Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

710 
WWUS81 KBOX 080806
RFWBOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
306 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-082300-
/O.CON.KBOX.FW.W.0005.241108T1300Z-241108T2300Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
306 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland and Windham. 
  In Massachusetts, Western Franklin, Eastern Franklin, Northern 
  Worcester, Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Eastern Essex, 
  Western Hampshire, Western Hampden, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern 
  Hampden, Southern Worcester, Western Norfolk, Southeast 
  Middlesex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Northern Bristol, Western 
  Plymouth, Eastern Plymouth, Southern Bristol, Southern 
  Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes, Nantucket and Northern Middlesex. 
  In Rhode Island, Northwest Providence, Southeast Providence, 
  Western Kent, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington, Newport and 
  Block Island.

* TIMING...From 8 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 34 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Up to 62.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, .or will shortly. Any fires that start
may spread rapidly and become difficult to extinguish.

&&

$$


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For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

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@NWSBoston

361 
WWUS81 KBOX 081936
RFWBOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
236 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-091100-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-241109T2300Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
236 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

* AFFECTED AREA...All of Massachusetts east of the Berkshires, 
  northern Connecticut, and all of Rhode Island. 

* TIMING...Until 6 PM EST Saturday.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Upper 40s and 50s. 

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. Any fires that start 
may spread rapidly and become difficult to extinguish.

&&

$$
Belk/Dooley

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
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For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

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You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

942 
WWUS81 KBOX 090813
RFWBOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
313 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024


CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-092300-
/O.CON.KBOX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-241109T2300Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
313 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland and Windham. 
  In Massachusetts, Western Franklin, Eastern Franklin, Northern 
  Worcester, Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Eastern Essex, 
  Western Hampshire, Western Hampden, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern 
  Hampden, Southern Worcester, Western Norfolk, Southeast 
  Middlesex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Northern Bristol, Western 
  Plymouth, Eastern Plymouth, Southern Bristol, Southern 
  Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes, Nantucket and Northern Middlesex. 
  In Rhode Island, Northwest Providence, Southeast Providence, 
  Western Kent, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington, Newport and 
  Block Island.

* TIMING...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Winds
  will gradually subside through the day. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Between 45 and 55 degrees.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. Any fires that start
may spread rapidly and become difficult to extinguish.

&&

$$


For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/box
For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

995 
WWUS81 KBOX 092003
RFWBOX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
303 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024


CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-100915-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FW.W.0006.241110T1400Z-241110T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-241109T2300Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-
Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-
Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
303 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY ...

The National Weather Service in Boston/Norton has issued a Red
Flag Warning for which is in effect from 9 AM to 6 PM EST Sunday.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Connecticut, Hartford, Tolland and Windham. 
  In Massachusetts, Western Franklin, Eastern Franklin, Northern 
  Worcester, Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Eastern Essex, 
  Western Hampshire, Western Hampden, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern 
  Hampden, Southern Worcester, Western Norfolk, Southeast 
  Middlesex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Northern Bristol, Western 
  Plymouth, Eastern Plymouth, Southern Bristol, Southern 
  Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes, Nantucket and Northern Middlesex. 
  In Rhode Island, Northwest Providence, Southeast Providence, 
  Western Kent, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington, Newport and 
  Block Island.

* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, until 6 PM EST this 
  evening. For the second Red Flag Warning, from 9 AM to 6 PM 
  EST Sunday.

* WINDS...West 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 26 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Up to 57.

* LIGHTNING...

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread 
  quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, .or will shortly. Any fires that start
may spread rapidly and become difficult to extinguish.

&&

$$


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http://weather.gov/box
For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

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You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1219 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Another day of above normal temperatures before A dry cold front
will ushers in a chilly and blustery airmass Friday night into
Saturday. High pressure then quickly follows Saturday night
before moving east of the region Sunday. Low pressure tracking
across the Great Lakes into Quebec/northern New England will
bring a period of showers sometime late Sunday into early
Monday. High pressure builds back into the region later Monday
into the middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
10 AM Update...

Forecast looks to be on track. Some scattered clouds are moving
across MA mostly north of I-90. Highs today are still expected
to be slightly warmer than normal, just not as high as
yesterday's.

Previous Update...

Weak cold front settles south of southern New England this morning
as zonal mid level flow develops for the duration of the day. While
temperatures will several degrees cooler than the record high
temperatures observed on Wednesday, the "cold" in cold front
should be used sparingly as we expect above normal temperatures
once again today given warm temperatures aloft (7-8C) and
downsloping westerly flow. Overall, expect highs in the mid 60s
to low 70s though as has been the trend over the last several
weeks, dry antecedent conditions should help temperature
overachieve compared to most guidance. Given this, opted to bump
high temps up again for this afternoon using a blend of the
bias corrected MAV and the previous forecast to derive
widespread highs in the low 70s region wide.

Efficient mixing on W/WNW flow today will support wind gusts of up
to 25kt given modest LLJ at 925mb. Given persistent dry conditions,
warm temps, and gusty winds, fire weather concerns continue this
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/...
Tonight...

Much chillier, but seasonable, conditions expected tonight as winds
slacken and clear skies prevail. Decent radiational cooling is
expected, though some lingering wind gusts in excess of 10kt,
particularly across the high terrain will preclude temps from
tumbling to dewpoints in some places, particularly in the highest
elevations of the Worcester Hills atop the inversion. With dewpoints
falling into the 30s overnight, do expect widespread lows in the 30s
across the interior and 40s in urban centers and along the coast.

Friday...

Much stronger cold front has its eyes on New England the second half
of Friday into Friday evening as a mid level trough digs south
across Maine and Nova Scotia. Trough wont maximize it's southern
extent until sometime on Saturday so do slightly above normal temps
to hang on for one more day, with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s
given winds remain oriented out of the SW/W until very close to 00Z
Saturday.

Winds expected to gust to around 25kt again on Friday as 925mb
jet strengthens to around 35kt during the afternoon.
Unfortunately, no precipitation is expected with
tomorrow/tomorrow evening's frontal passage. Hope for rain come
later during the holiday weekend, with more details outline in
the long term section of the AFD. Even with slightly cooler
temps, fire weather concerns continue again on Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Key Points...

* Dry but blustery & turning chilly Fri night into Sat
* Diminishing wind Sat night & chilly with lows in the 20s for many
* Round of showers expected late Sun into early Mon
* Dry later Mon/Tue/Wed as temps cool to seasonable levels by Wed

Details...

Friday night through Saturday night...

A cold front will cross the region later Fri/Fri night...but as we
have seen of late there is little moisture to work with and the
front should generally come through dry. There is a decent shot of
chilly air that is ushered into the region Fri night and Sat behind
this front. 850T drop to -5C/-6C and with a bit of a northwest
breeze...lows should be well down into the 30s by daybreak Sat. In
fact...highs on Sat will be seasonably chilly in the upper 40s to
the middle 50s. The chilliest temps will occur Sat night as high
pressure crests of the region...allowing winds diminish and set the
stage for ideal radiational cooling conditions. Low temps Sat night
should bottom out well down into the 20s in many locations.

Sunday and Monday...

Large high pressure moves to our southeast on Sun as a closed upper
level low crosses the Great Lakes and then into Quebec/northern
Canada on Mon. This will keep the main surface low along with better
forcing/deeper moisture to our north. However...a modest southwest
LLJ ahead of this system will transport a decent PWAT plume around
1.25 inches. This should be enough for a period showers sometime
later Sun into early Mon. While we should see a period of much
needed rainfall...given the best forcing is passing to our north
think the amounts will be kept in check. In fact...this system is
progressive and should see partial clearing by Mon afternoon with
highs well into the 60s.

Tuesday and Wednesday...

Upper level ridging/above normal height fields move into the region
Tue into Wed. However...surface high pressure building eastward
across Quebec allowing shallow cool air to trend temps cooler Tue
and especially Wed when they return to more seasonable levels. Dry
weather weather will prevail over this time with high pressure in
control.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

18Z TAF Update...

Rest of Today...High Confidence.

VFR despite some scattered mid & high level cloudiness. Gusts
up to 25 knots for most terminals (up to 30 knots at ORH) are
expected to persist until sunset. Winds continuing at W to NW up
to 15 knots.

Tonight...High Confidence.

VFR. Light NW winds becoming SW.

Friday...High Confidence.

VFR. W to SW winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots.

KBOS TAF...High Confidence in TAF.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Friday through Sunday/

Friday Night: VFR. Windy with gusts up to 35 kt.

Saturday: VFR. Windy with gusts up to 30 kt.

Saturday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.

Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy.
SHRA likely.

Veterans Day: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. Chance
SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Wind gusts to around 20kt are expected this afternoon but seas
will remain between 2-3feet. Infrequent wind gust to ~25kt
possible but thinking prevailing conditions will remain below
SCA criteria, thus did not issue for the waters today.

Winds and waves increase tomorrow with cold frontal passage
Friday afternoon/evening. SCA conditions expected after 18Z for
the southern outer waters where a advisory has been hoisted,
Elsewhere, conditions will remain below criteria through 00Z.

Outlook /Friday Night through Tuesday/...

Friday Night: Strong winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Areas of
rough seas. Slight chance of rain showers. Small craft
advisories in place for all waters outside Narragansett Bay and
Boston Harbor Friday night through Saturday.

Saturday: Low risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 35 kt.
Areas of rough seas.

Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Sunday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Rain showers.

Veterans Day: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The prolonged period of dry weather coupled with a very dry ground
will continue to result in elevated fire weather concerns on
Thursday. Plenty of sunshine is expected Thursday with afternoon
high temperatures in the upper 60s to the lower 70s. Northwest
wind gusts of 20 to 25 mph are expected. Minimum afternoon
relative humidity values are expected to range between 40 and 50
percent.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM Friday to 7 PM EST Saturday for
     ANZ231>234-251.
     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday
     for ANZ235-237.
     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM Friday to 10 PM EST Saturday
     for ANZ250.
     Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Friday to 10 PM EST Saturday
     for ANZ254-255.
     Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday for
     ANZ256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Frank/KS
NEAR TERM...Hrencecin/KS
SHORT TERM...KS
LONG TERM...Frank
AVIATION...Frank/Hrencecin/KS
MARINE...Frank/KS
FIRE WEATHER...Frank/KS