Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Birmingham, AL

960 
WGUS74 KBMX 270223
FFSBMX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
923 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

ALC081-113-270600-
/O.CON.KBMX.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240927T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lee AL-Russell AL-
923 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR 
LEE AND NORTHERN RUSSELL COUNTIES...

At 923 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. 
Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in the 
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Auburn, Phenix City, Opelika, Notasulga, Smiths, Smiths Station, 
  Griffen Mill, Beauregard, Bleecker, Beans Mill, Beulah, Ladonia, 
  Auburn University, Loachapoka, Marvyn, Robert G. Pitts Airport, 
  Monterey Heights, Mount Jefferson, Parkmanville and Chewacla State 
  Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 8544 3250 8549 3256 8565 3273 8545
      3273 8528 3275 8528 3275 8514 3274 8511
      3272 8512 3269 8512 3258 8507 3251 8500
      3245 8500 3242 8496 3241 8498 3239 8497
      3239 8499 3237 8498 3234 8501 3241 8543

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

40/Sizemore

761 
WGUS54 KBMX 270503
FFWBMX
ALC081-113-270800-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240927T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1203 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Lee County in east central Alabama...
  Northern Russell County in southeastern Alabama...

* Until 300 AM CDT.

* At 1203 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain 
  have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 
  hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in 
  the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Auburn, Phenix City, Opelika, Notasulga, Smiths, Smiths Station, 
  Griffen Mill, Beauregard, Bleecker, Beans Mill, Beulah, Ladonia, 
  Auburn University, Loachapoka, Marvyn, Robert G. Pitts Airport, 
  Monterey Heights, Mount Jefferson, Parkmanville and Chewacla State 
  Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 8544 3250 8549 3256 8565 3273 8545
      3273 8528 3275 8528 3275 8514 3274 8511
      3272 8512 3269 8512 3258 8507 3251 8500
      3245 8500 3242 8496 3241 8498 3239 8497
      3239 8499 3237 8498 3234 8501 3241 8543

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

25/Owen

525 
WGUS54 KBMX 270724
FFWBMX
ALC081-113-271000-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240927T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
224 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Lee County in east central Alabama...
  Northern Russell County in southeastern Alabama...

* Until 500 AM CDT.

* At 224 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain 
  have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 
  hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in 
  the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain in a tropical rain
           band.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Auburn, Phenix City, Opelika, Notasulga, Smiths, Smiths Station, 
  Griffen Mill, Beauregard, Bleecker, Beans Mill, Beulah, Ladonia, 
  Auburn University, Loachapoka, Marvyn, Robert G. Pitts Airport, 
  Monterey Heights, Mount Jefferson, Parkmanville and Chewacla State 
  Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 8544 3250 8549 3256 8565 3273 8545
      3273 8528 3275 8528 3275 8514 3274 8511
      3272 8512 3269 8512 3258 8507 3251 8500
      3245 8500 3242 8496 3241 8498 3239 8497
      3239 8499 3237 8498 3234 8501 3241 8543

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

25/Owen

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
625 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2024

As Helene moves through the Gulf, widespread rain will move from
south to north over the southeast and eastern parts of the area
through the rest of the day. There could be a few breaks, but the
overall trend will be light to moderate rain fairly consistently.
As Helene approaches this evening, rain should increase in
coverage and intensity, with moderate to heavy rain in the east
and south, and light to moderate rain around the I65 corridor and
in areas west. Overnight tonight, Helene is expected to move east
of the area, and this will keep widespread consistent rain over
mostly the eastern half of the state. Models are diverging on
how much rain will actually make it to the western half of the
state, but with the amount of moisture associated with Helene,
have kept in slight chance to chance rainfall through the night.
Once Helene moves north of the area, the system will then take a
westward turn, with wrap around moisture staying over the northern
parts of Alabama. Models again disagree on how much moisture will
make it around Helene, but kept in slight chance in the northern
counties through the morning Friday. Friday afternoon could bring
slightly higher coverage and intensity as the bands continue to
wrap around Helene, and there is a little bit more instability to
work with, with the greatest chances across the northern third of
the area.

Areas in eastern Alabama received between 3-6" yesterday from the
training storms. These same areas are expected to receive
additional persistent, moderate to heavy activity through the
night. Widespread flooding is expected, with flash and river
flooding a threat. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the
eastern half of the state to account for yesterdays rainfall
totals, added to the rain expected to accumulate through tomorrow
morning.

Winds will increase through the afternoon and evening, with the
highest sustained winds of 20-25 mph possible overnight tonight in
the southeastern and eastern part of Central Alabama. A Tropical
Storm Warning will be in effect for the southeast and eastern most
row of counties to account for these high wind speeds, and a Wind
Advisory will be effect tonight for areas along and between I65
and the TS Warning. With the amount of rain measured in the south
and east, combined with high wind speeds tonight could easily
knock trees down with roads blocked and power outages possible.

24

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2024

The areas of rainfall will decrease around the cut-off low on
Saturday through Sunday. Meanwhile, the cut-off low persists over
the region through at least Monday before shifting to our east
Monday night into Tuesday. Still may see a few light shower
activity under the closed upper level low over the weekend, but
most guidance keeps the area rain-free, so confidence to mention
any rain chances remains too low right now, but it's something
we'll need to watch for in the next few days. If there is a better
day for for a brief shower or two it looks like Monday as the
upper low pushes east. Beyond Monday, high pressure will remain
in control with temperatures generally in the low to mid 80s.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2024

Moderate to occasionally heavy tropical rain will continue to
impact all terminals except TCL as Hurricane Helene moves
northward from Florida to Georgia. Visibilities will occasionally
drop to IFR. Cigs will become at least MVFR. MGM/ANB/ASN have the
highest probabilities of IFR cigs with medium chances at BHM/EET.
Rain exits Friday morning, though some wraparound showers may move
in across the north by afternoon. MVFR cigs will linger across
much of the northern terminals through the afternoon. Wind gusts
will increase out of the northwest to 20 to 30 kts tonight,
remaining breezy out of the west on Friday.

32/JDavis

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

With tropical moisture increasing ahead of Hurricane Helene and a
stalled frontal boundary, widespread rain is expected through
tonight, with rain chances diminishing through the day on Friday.
Highest chances on Friday will be across the north. Minimal RH
values will be above 60% through the weekend. Winds increase
substantially on this evening and overnight as the tropical
system approaches the northern Gulf coast. Wind gusts of 25-30 mph
are possible for much of Central Alabama, with gusts exceeding
50 mph in the eastern half of Central AL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     64  72  61  75 / 100  60  30  20
Anniston    64  74  63  78 / 100  50  20  10
Birmingham  62  73  63  76 /  70  40  30  20
Tuscaloosa  62  74  63  79 /  20  30  30  10
Calera      62  75  65  79 /  60  30  20  10
Auburn      63  77  63  81 / 100  20  10  10
Montgomery  62  82  64  84 /  90  10  10   0
Troy        62  80  62  83 / 100   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Friday morning for the following counties:
Autauga-Barbour-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-
Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Elmore-Etowah-Jefferson-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-
Montgomery-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Tallapoosa.

Wind Advisory until 1 PM CDT Friday for the following counties:
Autauga-Blount-Calhoun-Chilton-Clay-Coosa-Elmore-Etowah-
Jefferson-Lowndes-Montgomery-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Tallapoosa.

Tropical Storm Warning for the following counties: Barbour-
Bullock-Chambers-Cherokee-Cleburne-Lee-Macon-Pike-Randolph-
Russell.

&&

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...32/JDavis

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
345 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

ALZ011>015-017>050-271200-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
345 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

Heavy rainfall associated with the approaching Hurricane Helene will
lead to flooding for portions of the eastern half of Central Alabama
today into tonight. Gusty winds will increase today into tonight
with wind gusts of up to 30 to 50 mph possible in the eastern half
of Central Alabama. Elsewhere, lower but still breezy conditions will
be noted across the western half of Central Alabama.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Gusty winds from Helene will continue through the morning hours on
Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
now into Friday.