Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS Birmingham, AL

193 
WGUS74 KBMX 141800
FFSBMX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
100 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

ALC005-141915-
/O.CON.KBMX.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-240914T1915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour AL-
100 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEASTERN BARBOUR COUNTY...

At 100 PM CDT, Emergency Management reported thunderstorms producing 
heavy rain in Eufaula. Between 3 and 5 inches of rain have fallen. 
Flash flooding is already occurring in the City of Eufaula, where 
several streets are reported as flooded or impassible.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Eufaula, Lakepoint Resort State Park and Lugo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3204 8505 3203 8506 3202 8505 3199 8507
      3197 8507 3196 8509 3194 8508 3191 8511
      3190 8511 3189 8513 3188 8513 3186 8514
      3186 8521 3188 8523 3206 8521 3206 8506

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

56

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
653 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 305 AM CDT SAT SEP 14 2024

The remnant low of Francine continues to rotate over the Lower
Mississippi River Valley today, slightly drifting to the east, but
with its center remaining to the west of Central Alabama. A
convergent low level moisture axis oriented north to south this
morning will continue to provide focus for showers. This axis is
expected to pivot northeastward today, with widespread showers and
occasional thunderstorms across much of the area, especially
across the north and east. As the upper low drifts back westward
tonight and tomorrow, the axis will remain over the area, allowing
for continued showers and storms.

Rainfall amounts today through Sunday could vary from 0.5inch to
as much as 4 inches, depending on where rain bands and training
set up. Opted to leave counties in the Flood Watch given the
uncertainty on the locations of these bands, and extended the
watch through tonight. As the upper low weakens, winds aloft have
also weakened. With less shear and limited surface instability,
chances of severe storms or tornadoes are too low to include in
the forecast.

14

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 305 AM CDT SAT SEP 14 2024

Monday through Friday.

The rainy pattern will continue Sunday night through Monday across
Central AL as the remnants of Francine persist for yet another day.
The trough deepens through the Gulf States Monday night into Tuesday
and will push a boundary southward towards the coast. Drier air will
build in behind this boundary Tuesday through Wednesday. Then, for
the second half of the week, a quasi-omega block pattern sets up
with a deep trough over the west coast and an upper low over the
Coastal Mid-Atlantic region. This will lead to mostly rain-free
conditions Wednesday through Friday across Central AL as drier
northerly flow persists on the back side of the low to our east.

Temperatures will gradually warm into the mid to upper 80s by the
end of the week with lows in the 60s.

25/Owen

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM CDT SAT SEP 14 2024

A stalled frontal boundary and moisture convergence axis remains
over Central Alabama, oriented north to south. Along this
boundary, showers will continue to move south to north, bringing
heavy rainfall and vis reductions. This moisture axis is expected
to pivot slowly east and northward through the day, with
widespread showers and thunderstorms impacting much of the area,
especially terminals across the north and east.

A mixture of MVFR and IFR cigs start the period, and are not
expected to improve much through the period. Southeasterly winds
will be 5-10kts through the period.

NOTE: NIL TAF continues for KANB until further notice due to large
comms issue and missing obs.

14

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

High rain chances will continue across the area today through early
next week. Winds will be out the east for much of the day and could
be gusty at times, especially in higher terrain areas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     76  65  78  63 /  80  70  60  40
Anniston    77  68  78  66 /  80  70  60  40
Birmingham  77  68  76  66 /  90  70  70  50
Tuscaloosa  81  68  78  66 /  50  50  80  60
Calera      79  69  77  68 /  90  70  70  60
Auburn      78  68  77  66 /  80  70  60  50
Montgomery  82  70  79  68 /  90  60  70  60
Troy        82  68  78  66 /  90  50  60  60

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Sunday morning for the following counties:
Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-
Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Jefferson-
Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marion-Montgomery-Pike-Randolph-Russell-
Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.

&&

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...14

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
340 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

ALZ011>015-017>050-151145-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
340 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are forecast across Central Alabama today,
posing continued threats for locally heavy rainfall and flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
today.