Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 30, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 16, 2024Alpena County, Presque Isle County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2024, 1:06 AM EDT for Alpena County, Presque Isle County, Michigan. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 16, 2024, 1:06 AM EDT (05:06 UTC)
Expired: Jul 16, 2024, 1:45 AM EDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Gaylord, MI
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Alpena County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 230 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -40 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1375 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 118 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 1:00 AM EDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 1:00 AM EDT, 6 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 10:14 PM EDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1014 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-170215-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
1014 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A few thunderstorms remain possible tonight. An isolated severe
storm remains possible, with brief gusty winds and small hail the
primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible across
northern Michigan on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-170215-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1014 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A few thunderstorms remain possible tonight. An isolated severe
storm remains possible, with brief gusty winds and small hail the
primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 9:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
955 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

MIZ098-160245-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands MI-
955 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CHARLEVOIX COUNTY
THROUGH 1045 PM EDT...

At 954 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles west of Saint James On Beaver Island, moving southeast at 30
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Saint James On Beaver Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4574 8587 4573 8576 4579 8573 4575 8533
      4573 8545 4560 8545 4554 8553 4554 8563
      4556 8567 4562 8569 4566 8567 4568 8574
      4572 8575 4571 8578 4566 8582 4566 8585
      4569 8589
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 294DEG 27KT 4570 8585

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

msb

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 11:08 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1108 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

MIZ016-017-099-160430-
Cheboygan MI-Emmet MI-Charlevoix MI-
1108 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN CHEBOYGAN...EMMET
AND SOUTHEASTERN CHARLEVOIX COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 AM EDT...

At 1108 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Good Hart, or 11 miles west of Harbor Springs,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Petoskey, Harbor Springs, Pellston, Indian River, Conway, Alanson,
Wolverine, Topinabee, Good Hart, Burt Lake State Park, Stutsmanville,
Brutus, Reasoners Corner, Pleasant View, Burt Lake, Clarion, Walloon
Lake, Bayshore, Bay View, and Oden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4537 8521 4538 8513 4537 8504 4540 8493
      4543 8505 4547 8510 4554 8513 4559 8511
      4559 8454 4520 8460 4527 8500 4534 8523
TIME...MOT...LOC 0308Z 279DEG 23KT 4548 8521

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Dippman

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 11:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 16, 12:29 AM EDT, 37 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 16, 12:34 AM EDT, 32 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jul 16, 12:51 AM EDT, 15 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 15, 8:28 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	APX		47 min
Jul 15, 9:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	APX	Leelanau	26 min
Jul 15, 9:10 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	APX		29 min
Jul 15, 9:28 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	APX		62 min
Jul 15, 9:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	APX	Charlevoix	50 min
Jul 15, 10:30 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	APX		60 min
Jul 15, 11:08 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	APX	Emmet	82 min
Jul 15, 11:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Emmet	46 min
Jul 15, 11:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	APX	Cheboygan	28 min
Jul 16, 12:29 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	APX	Montmorency	46 min
Jul 16, 12:34 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	APX	Otsego	56 min
Jul 16, 2:07 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	APX		23 min
Jul 16, 2:12 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	APX	Benzie	63 min
Jul 16, 3:04 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	APX	Missaukee, Wexford	56 min
Jul 16, 2:57 PM EDT	Small Craft Advisory	APX		35 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2024 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.