Blizzard Warning 1, NWS Gaylord, MI

544 
WWUS43 KAPX 121945
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

MIZ017-018-024-030-036-097-130345-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.240112T2200Z-240114T0000Z/
Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-Alcona-Iosco-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena, 
Harrisville, Tawas City, and Mackinac Island
245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  10 to 16 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Frequent 
  wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph this evening and tonight with 
  potential for 60 mph wind gusts, especially near the Lake Huron 
  shoreline.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Worst conditions expected this evening and tonight. 
  Travel could be very difficult to impossible during this time. 
  Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to significantly 
  reduced visibilities for several hours. Significant drifting 
  may lead to some impassible secondary roadways. Strong winds 
  could cause tree damage and result in power outages. Dangerous 
  driving conditions are anticipated this evening and overnight, 
  making travel strongly discouraged.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

&&

$$

MIZ022-023-028-029-035-130345-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.240112T2200Z-240114T0000Z/
Otsego-Montmorency-Crawford-Oscoda-Ogemaw-
Including the cities of Gaylord, Atlanta, Grayling, Mio, 
and West Branch
245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  10 to 15 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Frequent
  wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph expected this evening and tonight.

* WHERE...Otsego, Montmorency, Crawford, Oscoda and Ogemaw 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Worst conditions expected this evening and tonight. 
  Travel could be very difficult to impossible during this time. 
  Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to significantly 
  reduced visibilities for several hours. Significant drifting 
  may lead to some impassible secondary roadways. Strong winds 
  could cause tree damage and result in power outages. Dangerous 
  driving conditions are anticipated this evening and overnight, 
  making travel strongly discouraged.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-130345-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240113T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 
  mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing 
  snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting 
  on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result 
  in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-020-021-025>027-031>033-098-099-130345-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Emmet-Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee-
Wexford-Missaukee-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Northport, Mancelona, 
Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, 
Lake City, St. James, and Charlevoix
245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations of 8 to 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 
  mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing 
  snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting 
  on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result 
  in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ034-041-042-130345-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.240112T2100Z-240114T0000Z/
Roscommon-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Houghton Lake, Gladwin, and Standish
245 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow
  accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Lesser amounts around 6 inches
  possible near the immediate Lake Huron shoreline. Winds gusting
  as high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...Roscommon, Gladwin and Arenac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing 
  snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting 
  on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result 
  in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

868 
WWUS43 KAPX 130255
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

MIZ017-018-024-030-036-097-131200-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Alpena-Alcona-Iosco-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of Cheboygan, Rogers City, Alpena, 
Harrisville, Tawas City, and Mackinac Island
955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Additional snow
  accumulations of 4 to 6 inches, resulting in total snow 
  accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Frequent wind gusts of 35 to 45
  mph through tonight, especially near the Lake Huron shoreline.

* WHERE...Portions of Eastern Upper and Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to
  significantly reduced visibilities for several hours.
  Significant drifting may lead to some impassible secondary
  roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result in
  power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.

&&

$$

MIZ022-023-028-029-035-131200-
/O.CON.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Otsego-Montmorency-Crawford-Oscoda-Ogemaw-
Including the cities of Gaylord, Atlanta, Grayling, Mio, 
and West Branch
955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Additional snow
  accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, resulting in total snow
  accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. Frequent wind gusts of 35 to 40
  mph expected through tonight.

* WHERE...Otsego, Montmorency, Crawford, Oscoda and Ogemaw 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible during
  this time. Widespread blowing snow is expected to lead to
  significantly reduced visibilities for several hours.
  Significant drifting may lead to some impassible secondary
  roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle.

&&

$$

MIZ086>088-095-096-131200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, Sugar Island, Detour Village,
Goetzville, Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, 
St. Ignace, Brevort, and Les Cheneaux Islands
955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow
  accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 
  mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa, Central Chippewa, Southeast 
  Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern Mackinac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing 
  snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting 
  on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result 
  in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ016-020-021-025>027-031>033-098-099-131200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Emmet-Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee-
Wexford-Missaukee-Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Northport, Mancelona, 
Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, 
Lake City, St. James, and Charlevoix
955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of 8 to 13 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 
  mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing 
  snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting 
  on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result 
  in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ034-041-042-131200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
Roscommon-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Houghton Lake, Gladwin, and Standish
955 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Additional snow
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches, resulting in total snow
  accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Lesser amounts around 6 inches
  possible near the immediate Lake Huron shoreline. Winds gusting
  as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Roscommon, Gladwin and Arenac Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Widespread blowing 
  snow will significantly reduce visibility and lead to drifting 
  on roadways. Strong winds could cause tree damage and result 
  in isolated power outages. Dangerous travel conditions will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

385 
WWUS43 KAPX 130947
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-131700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240113T1700Z/
Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco-
Including the cities of Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, 
West Branch, and Tawas City
447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ097-131700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240113T1700Z/
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the city of Mackinac Island
447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ017-018-022-028-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240114T1200Z/
Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Otsego-Crawford-
Including the cities of Cheboygan, Rogers City, Gaylord, 
and Grayling
447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches.
  Localized amounts of up to 10 inches may be possible. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Otsego and Crawford Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times, especially on
  secondary roadways. Patchy blowing snow could significantly
  reduce visibility across open areas at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ034-041-042-131700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240113T1700Z/
Roscommon-Gladwin-Arenac-
Including the cities of Houghton Lake, Gladwin, and Standish
447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches.

* WHERE...Roscommon, Gladwin and Arenac Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ088-095-096-098-131700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240113T1700Z/
Southeast Chippewa-Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
Including the cities of Detour Village, Goetzville, 
Drummond Island, Engadine, Naubinway, Epoufette, St. Ignace, 
Brevort, Les Cheneaux Islands, and St. James
447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches.

* WHERE...Southeast Chippewa, Western Mackinac and Eastern 
  Mackinac Counties, and Beaver Island and surrounding islands.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility across open areas at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-020-021-025>027-031>033-099-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240114T1200Z/
Emmet-Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Manistee-
Wexford-Missaukee-Charlevoix-
Including the cities of Petoskey, Northport, Mancelona, 
Frankfort, Traverse City, Kalkaska, Manistee, Cadillac, 
Lake City, and Charlevoix
447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches.
  Localized amounts of up to 10 inches may be possible. Winds 
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times, especially on
  secondary roadways. Patchy blowing snow could significantly
  reduce visibility across open areas at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ086-087-131800-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.240113T0947Z-240114T1200Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Paradise, Trout Lake, Rudyard, 
Sault Ste. Marie, Brimley, Kinross, and Sugar Island
447 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches.
  Localized amounts of up to 8 inches may be possible. Winds 
  gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa and Central Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times, especially on
  secondary roadways. Patchy blowing snow could significantly
  reduce visibility across open areas at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/gaylord

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
424 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024

Key Messages:

-- A rare, high impact winter storm will cross the Great Lakes today
 into Saturday.

-- Blizzard conditions are expected across areas of northern
 lower Michigan along and east of I-75 and Mackinac Island.
 Dangerous travel is anticipated for these areas, including
 potential impassible secondary roadways.

-- Snowfall amounts of 10-15" expected along and east of I-75,
 with totals of 6-10" generally expected west of I-75 and
 across the eastern U.P.

-- Additional high accumulations of lake effect snow are
 expected to through the weekend into early next week, along
 with much colder temperatures ranging from near zero into the
 teens. Wind chills may reach -10 to -20F some mornings next
 week.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Pattern Synopsis:

Just over a year since the 2022 Christmas Eve Blizzard, northern
Michigan finds itself on the doorstep of a rare, high impact winter
storm once again. Stunning jet dynamics will fall in line as the
right entrance region of strong upper-level ridging will couple with
the left exit region of a negatively tilted trough. This impressive
forcing aloft may pave the way for the associated surface cyclone to
undergo true bomb cyclogenesis as it makes a run at 970mb, which
would exceed a 24mb drop in 24hrs. As discussed in last night's
short term, ensemble forecast and reanalysis data depict this
cyclone as what would be the deepest in a 30 year climatology
reanalysis period and a 19 year reforecast period centered around
mid-January. Needless to say, this system gets a tip of the cap from
the midnight crew at APX.

Forecast Details:

Very strong warm advection and frontogenetic forcing will lift
northward across the state this afternoon and evening, which is
expected to generate a band of impressive snow with high snowfall
rates that looks to swing into the southeast portions of the CWA in
the late afternoon/early evening timeframe. Analyzed forcing,
forecast sounding profiles, and HREF probabilities all lead to high
confidence in snowfall rates of 1-2" per hour -- and perhaps as high
as 3-4" per hour at times -- through the evening hours as this band
works north across the area. These snowfall rates are most likely
along and east of I-75.

Anticipated high snowfall rates over a several hour period this
evening is expected to lead to impressive snowfall amounts across
portions of northern Michigan. Current forecast amounts by Saturday
morning are between 10-15" for most areas along and east of I-75
with amounts generally ranging from 6-10" west of I-75 and north of
the bridge. Based on latest probabilistic guidance, high confidence
(greater than 70%) exists in snowfall amounts exceeding 12" across
northeast lower. Low confidence (10-40%) also exists in snowfall
totals exceeding 18" across this area by 12Z Saturday, meaning that
amounts this high cannot be entirely ruled out for localized areas.

While high snowfall amounts are expected, the primary driver of most
serious impacts will be very strong winds. East to northeast winds
will increase throughout the day, reaching max speeds this evening
into tonight. Wind gusts of 35-50+ mph are expected across much of
the area during this timeframe, and may even exceed 60 mph at times
across wide open areas and along the Lake Huron shoreline.

Confidence has continued to increase in high snowfall amounts and
very strong wind gusts with most recent guidance. Thus, a Blizzard
Warning has been issued for most counties along and east of I-75
including Mackinac Island. While most areas of the CWA will
experience falling snow and aforementioned wind gusts, the Blizzard
Warning area currently encompasses the area that has the highest
likelihood to experience the most extreme impacts from this storm --
focusing on a several hour period this evening through tonight.

High snowfall amounts and snow rates combined with very strong winds
are expected generate significant blowing and drifting of snow,
especially across the Blizzard Warning area. Evening and overnight
travel will be very difficult, and perhaps impossible at times
across some areas for a time tonight. Drifting on secondary
roadways has the potential of reaching the point where some
roads become impassible. Other roadways will likely still be
very difficult to travel on as continued strong winds recover
them with snow, even with diligent plowing. Given the magnitude
of snow and winds, power outages will be possible across
northern Michigan. It is emphasized that the timing of worst
expected impacts -- around a 9 HR period beginning this evening
into tonight -- will overlap with both the evening commute as
well as a popular travel time for those downstate heading north
to try and enjoy winter recreation activities over the weekend.
Those looking to travel this evening or tonight should plan
accordingly as it will be strongly discouraged. Near-zero
visibilities and significant accumulations of snow on roadways
will increase the likelihood for accidents and stuck vehicles,
creating a dangerous situation for those involved. Be sure to
take the necessary precautions today and stay tuned to the
latest forecast for any important updates.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

High Impact Weather...Accumulating snowfall along with blowing
and drifting snow will continue to impact travel this weekend.

Primary Forecast Concerns...Snowfall amounts and headlines.

The deep area of low pressure will continue to lead to hazardous
travel through this weekend. The surface low itself will cross Lake
Huron Saturday morning then up move across western Quebec for much
of the weekend. Wrap around moisture continues through Saturday
morning with a transition to lake effect/lake enhanced activity by
Saturday evening. Current headlines will continue through the day
Saturday. Lake effect snow showers are expected Saturday night into
Sunday with an extension of headlines likely in many areas downwind
of Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. Winds will slowly back from
northerly early Saturday to west northwest by Saturday night into
Sunday. Wind gusts to between 35 and 40 mph are still possible
Saturday morning with possible gusts in the respectable 25 to 30 mph
range Saturday night into Sunday. Blowing and drifting snow will
continue, especially in open areas. Arctic air plunging in behind
the storm system will lead to excellent over lake instability. All
in all, very impactful conditions and hazardous travel will continue
especially along and west of I-75 through Sunday. Additional
accumulations of a half of a foot to perhaps a foot or more of snow
are possible in the stronger/longer lasting lake effect snow bands.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

High Impact Weather...Lake effect snow into next week.

A sharp upper level trough of low pressure is expected to remain
across the Great Lakes for much of next week. Associated arctic air
will lead to cold temperatures and periods of lake effect snow
showers through the long term. Short waves moving through the flow
will likely shift the lake effect around but some spots downwind of
Lake Superior and Lake Michigan will likely see additional impactful
snow accumulations next week. Temperatures for a change are expected
to be several degrees BELOW normal which is a big change given the
warm readings the region has experienced over the last year plus.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Mostly MVFR conditions through this morning. Conditions
deteriorate from southwest to northeast during the afternoon as
snow and gusty winds spread across the region. Very gusty winds
(frequently in excess of 30 knots) and heavy snow will impact
the taf locations this evening. Expect several inches of snow,
heaviest south of the bridge...and especially at KAPN. Blowing
and drifting snow expected, frequently dropping visibilities to
less than a mile.

&&

.MARINE...

An impressive storm system will cross the Great Lakes today into
Saturday. This system is expected to generate storm force wind gusts
over all northern Michigan nearshore waters at times this evening
into Saturday morning. Worst conditions are anticipated over Lake
Huron nearshore waters with the potential for near storm-force
sustained winds, 55-60 kt wind gusts, and wave heights in excess of
20 ft. High snowfall rates of 1-2" per hour are also expected this
evening into Saturday. Wind gusts look to diminish to advisory
criteria later Saturday.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Winter Storm Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST
     Saturday for MIZ016-020-021-025>027-031>033-098-099.
     Blizzard Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Saturday
     for MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-035-036-097.
     Winter Storm Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST
     Saturday for MIZ034-041-042.
     Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST
     Saturday for MIZ086>088-095-096.
MARINE...Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday for
     LHZ345>347.
     Storm Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Saturday
     for LHZ348-349.
     Storm Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday
     for LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
     Storm Warning from 9 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday for
     LSZ321-322.

&&

NEAR TERM...DJC
SHORT TERM...AJS
LONG TERM...AJS
AVIATION...MSB
MARINE...DJC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1037 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-130345-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
1037 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A high impact winter storm is expected across northern Michigan
late Friday afternoon into Saturday. Please see the latest Winter
Storm Warning for additional details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the National
Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways:

Online:    weather.gov/gaylord
Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord
Twitter: twitter.com/nwsgaylord

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-130345-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1037 PM EST Thu Jan 11 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Gale force winds are expected Friday night and Saturday across
our nearshore waters. Sporadic storm force wind gusts are
expected across portions of northern Lake Huron and Lake Michigan
Friday night and Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.