Storm Warning 172, NWS Anchorage, AK

213 
FZAK52 PAFC 150059
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-151345-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 966 mb low 85 nm southwest of Cape Newenham moves inland by 
early Fri morning. Several troughs move across the Bering Sea 
through Saturday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ750-151345-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ751-151345-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ752-151345-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ753-151345-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ754-151345-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ755-151345-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 45 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 24 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ756-151345-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.  and rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ757-151345-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 17 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ758-151345-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 17 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ759-151345-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 22 ft subsiding to 14 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ770-151345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers
and snow showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ772-151345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ771-151345-
Unalaska Bay-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after
midnight. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ773-151345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ774-151345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ775-151345-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ776-151345-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ777-151345-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ778-151345-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ780-151345-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ781-151345-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers
and snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ782-151345-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ783-151345-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ784-151345-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ785-151345-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ786-151345-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.  and rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ787-151345-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.

$$

PKZ766-151345-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ760-151345-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ761-151345-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ762-151345-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ763-151345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ764-151345-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 19 ft. Rain. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ765-151345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ767-151345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
359 PM AKST Thu Nov 14 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NE 25 kt
W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

787 
FZAK52 PAFC 151307
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-160230-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Several troughs move across the Bering Sea through Sunday morning
as ridging begins to build in from the western Bering.

$$

PKZ750-160230-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ751-160230-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ752-160230-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ753-160230-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ754-160230-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ755-160230-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ756-160230-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ757-160230-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ758-160230-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ759-160230-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ770-160230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ772-160230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ771-160230-
Unalaska Bay-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ773-160230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ774-160230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ775-160230-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ776-160230-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ777-160230-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ778-160230-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ780-160230-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ781-160230-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ782-160230-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ783-160230-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ784-160230-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ785-160230-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ786-160230-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ787-160230-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ766-160230-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ760-160230-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ761-160230-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ762-160230-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ763-160230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ764-160230-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ765-160230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  and patchy freezing fog.
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ767-160230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
407 AM AKST Fri Nov 15 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
446 PM AKST Wed Nov 13 2024

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Wednesday through Friday evening)...

The majority of Southcentral remains in a lull in-between two
troughs and ridging built in to the north. The clear skies have
allowed for temperatures to drop further than previously expected
for even coastal areas this past morning. That said, a similar
pattern is expected for much of Southcentral again Thursday
morning, including the potential for areas of freezing fog to
develop along portions of the northern Cook Inlet. Temperatures
tonight and early Thursday morning likely to dip into the single
digits for most of Southcentral except coastal areas, with areas
of the Susitna Valley and Copper River Basin likely to reach low
temperatures in the negatives. The tight pressure gradient and
cold air advection will allow for gusty winds to remain in
Resurrection Bay, Passage Canal, Valdez Narrows, and Thompson Pass
through Thursday morning.

Southcentral is looking at a pattern change however beginning
Thursday morning for Kodiak Island as a frontal system enters the
western Gulf of Alaska. Kodiak to see rainfall begin Friday
morning, however should come to an end by noon Thursday as the
front shifts northward. As the front begins to move over the Kenai
Peninsula, it is likely that it will spin-up a triple-point low
in the Northwestern Gulf of Alaska. This organization will likely
maintain the system as it pushes up into the Peninsula and Prince
William Sound. As the system overspreads Southcentral Thursday
afternoon, precipitation will fill in the region from Cook Inlet
and the Mat-Su valleys west into Prince William Sound. With
plenty of cold air in place ahead of the front, precipitation will
start as snow for most of Southcentral, with warmer air moving in
coastal locations, a shift from all snow to a rain/snow mix is
possible. With those exceptions, Southcentral will see generally
snowy weather overspread the region, with the highest
accumulations expected in the Prince William Sound region. The
initial surge of moisture will likely allow for a quick shot of
light snowfall for Anchorage late Thursday afternoon before the
winds orientate in a more downslope favored pattern. For Portage
Valley and Turnagain Pass, the combination of snow and wind, at
least initially, may produce a period of blowing snow. Several
inches of snow is also possible for Valdez and Thompson Pass with
this system.

Given that the system organizes and pulls into a low pressure
system, precipitation is expected to persist into the early
weekend. By Friday morning, the low is expected to shift the wind
field and allow for a band of snowfall to re-establish from Palmer
to Kenai including Anchorage. This band on the backside of the
low is currently expected to lack a substantial moisture content
but a favorable persistence. This could indicate a potentially
long- duration very light snow event for Anchorage and the
surrounding area from Friday morning into Saturday.

-CL

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3: Today through Saturday afternoon)...

A storm system currently near Adak will bring a suite of hazards
as it moves into and across Southwest Alaska through Friday. There
have been quite a few updates to the previous forecast as
improving model agreement has led to increased forecast
confidence. The biggest changes have been the issuance of the
following statements, advisories, and warnings:

* Kuskokwim Delta: Blizzard Warning for parts of Kuskokwim Delta
  north and west of the Kuskokwim River, including Nunivak Island.
* Lower Kuskokwim Valley: Winter Weather Advisory for 6-10 inches
  of snow.
* Bristol Bay: High Surf Advisory for Togiak Bay coastline.
  Special Weather Statement for Greater Bristol Bay due to gusty
  winds, blowing snow, and snow transitioning to rain.

Diving into the details... the focus for the short term forecast
continues to be a strong low that is currently near Adak. As the
low moves across the Pribilof Islands and towards Southwest
Alaska tonight, the Aleutian Islands, Alaska Peninsula, and
Pribilof Islands can expect to see rain and gusty winds. An area
of storm force winds will accompany the low center, with a
broad area of gales around the system itself. The strongest gusts
in the Bering Sea region tonight will likely be around Dutch
Harbor, with gusts to 60 kt or about 70 mph.

From just after midnight tonight through early tomorrow morning,
conditions will begin to deteriorate across Southwest Alaska as
the front moves in. Resident cold air and excellent moisture
advection with this low will lead to widespread snow. Gusty winds
will lead to blowing snow and visibility reductions for most of
Kuskokwim Delta, with blizzard conditions expected to the north
and west of Kuskokwim River where temperatures will stay the
coolest. Bristol Bay could see some blowing snow early on as winds
blow through Kamishak Gap. However, by Thursday afternoon, strong
southerly flow will usher in warmer air and transition snow to
rain. In addition to changing over the precipitation type, this
strong southerly flow will also lead to high surf along the Togiak
Bay coastline. For Lower Kuskokwim Valley, the persistent stream
of moisture advection will lead to a long duration of snowfall
through Thursday, though no blowing snow is expected as the valley
will be sheltered from strong winds.

Forecast confidence decreases for Friday as models disagree on
the track of the low across Southwest Alaska. What this means is
that there will be uncertainty in how quickly conditions improve
as the low departs into the Gulf of Alaska. Accordingly, forecast
snow amounts could shift, especially for the Winter Weather
Advisory for the Lower Kuskokwim Valley. While the details remain
uncertain, the overall weather pattern looks to be more benign as
we head from Friday into the weekend. Broad longwave troughing
will keep unsettled weather in the forecast, though only weaker
disturbances are expected. With northerly flow, expect gusty (but
weaker) winds to persist and for temperatures to trend cooler.

-Chen

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

Sunday, a low over the northern Gulf of Alaska weakens and moves
southeast, reducing the persistent shortwave precipitation over
the Kenai Peninsula. As it departs, gale force wind will be pulled
southeast across the Alaska Peninsula and out of Cook Inlet. This
drier northerly flow will cause clearing skies and colder
conditions. Single digit temperatures are expected for most of
Southcentral Sunday night through Wednesday, with below zero
temperatures across the Copper River Basin, where lows dip into
the negative teens Tuesday and Wednesday.

To the west, a shortwave low over the Aleutian Chain moves
eastward on Sunday, strengthening to push a front of gale force
winds into the southern Gulf by Tuesday morning. In its wake, a
ridge builds across the Bering Sea and Southwest Monday and
Tuesday, before a front of a northern Kamchatka low pushes across
the Aleutian Chain and Bering Sea Tuesday to Wednesday.

&&.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. Fog and low
cigs may redevelop under high pressure Thursday morning.

&&