Gale Warning 3, NWS Anchorage, AK

418 
FZAK62 PAFC 020010
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
310 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-021430-
310 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 971 mb low at 53N 157W moves to 55N 155W at 983 mb by Tue morning,
then dissipates by midday Tue. Its front moves over the Alaska 
Peninsula and Eastern Bering Sea through Tue morning. A 959 mb low at
46N 180E moves to 51N 169W at 936 mb by Tue afternoon. It then 
continues to 55N 166W at 949 mb by Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-021430-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
310 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 to 20 kt becoming N 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 18 to 23 ft.

$$

PKZ412-021430-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
310 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 to 35 kt increasing to 30 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft building to 9 to 16 ft in the
afternoon. Snow showers and rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Snow showers
and rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft.

$$

PKZ413-021430-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
310 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt becoming NE 20 to 35 kt after
midnight. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Rain showers
with snow showers.
.WED...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft.

$$

PKZ414-021430-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
310 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2024

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 to 40 kt increasing to 35 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft. Rain showers
and snow.
.WED...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft.

$$

558 
FZAK62 PAFC 021205
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
305 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-030245-
305 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 941 mb low at 49N 175W moves to 51N 169W at 937 mb Tue 
afternoon, then shifts to 56N 168W at 955 mb for Thu morning. Its 
front wraps over the Aleutians and Central Bering Sea and extends 
across the Alaska Peninsula through Thu morning.

$$

PKZ411-030245-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
305 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 to 20 kt becoming N 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 20 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 18 to 23 ft.

$$

PKZ412-030245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
305 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 to 30 kt increasing to 30 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 6 to 10 ft building to 8 to 16 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft. Snow and
widespread rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Snow showers and
rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft.

$$

PKZ413-030245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
305 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 to 40 kt becoming N 35 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 to 17 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft.

$$

PKZ414-030245-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
305 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Widespread rain and
snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft. Snow.
.WED...NE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 18 ft. Rain showers with
snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft.

$$

423 
FZAK62 PAFC 022320
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-031415-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 937 mb low at 51N 169W moves to 56N 167W at 963 mb by Thu
afternoon. Its front wraps over the Aleutians and Central Bering 
Sea and extends across the Alaska Peninsula through Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-031415-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 18 ft. Snow with rain
showers.
.THU...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 18 to 23 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 to 21 ft.

$$

PKZ412-031415-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft.

$$

PKZ413-031415-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 17 ft. Rain showers
and
snow showers.
.THU...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft.

$$

PKZ414-031415-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
220 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 18 ft. Rain showers with
snow
showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain showers
with
snow showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.

$$

710 
FZAK62 PAFC 031215
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
315 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-040200-
315 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 943 mb low at 54N 166W moves to 56N 168W at 955 mb by Thu
morning. The low then moves to 57N 163W at 973 mb by Fri morning.

$$

PKZ411-040200-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
315 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Snow and rain
showers.
.THU...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 to 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 19 ft.

$$

PKZ412-040200-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
315 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.

$$

PKZ413-040200-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
315 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 to 27 ft.

$$

PKZ414-040200-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
315 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 17 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain showers and
snow showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 29 ft.

$$

195 
FZAK62 PAFC 032329
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
229 PM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-041400-
229 PM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 945 mb low at 55N 167W moves to 56N 166W at 963 mb by Thu 
afternoon. The low then moves to 58N 167W at 995 mb by Fri 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-041400-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
229 PM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Snow and rain
showers.
.THU...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.

$$

PKZ412-041400-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
229 PM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.

$$

PKZ413-041400-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
229 PM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and 
snow showers.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 to 27 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$

PKZ414-041400-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
229 PM AKST Wed Jan 3 2024

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain showers 
and snow showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain showers and 
snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 29 ft.

$$

782 
FZAK62 PAFC 041210
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
310 AM AKST Thu Jan 4 2024

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-050245-
310 AM AKST Thu Jan 4 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 957 mb low at 56N 168W moves to 57N 162W at 974 mb by Fri 
morning. The low then moves to 59N 158W at 991 mb by Sat afternoon
as it moves inland over Southwest Alaska. A strong North Pacific
low moves to 51N 176W at 952 mb by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ411-050245-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
310 AM AKST Thu Jan 4 2024

.TODAY...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 16 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 23 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.

$$

PKZ412-050245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
310 AM AKST Thu Jan 4 2024

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft. Snow and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$

PKZ413-050245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
310 AM AKST Thu Jan 4 2024

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind up to 15 kt becoming E up to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 16 to 26 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.

$$

PKZ414-050245-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
310 AM AKST Thu Jan 4 2024

.TODAY...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 16 to 25 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
505 PM AKST Sun Dec 31 2023

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
into next year)...

Nature deciding to kick things off with fireworks of its own with
an active pattern underway and for the foreseeable future.
Starting off first, an opening and weakening shortwave is making
its way inland this afternoon over the Kenai Peninsula, bringing a
mixed back of rain and snow overspreading the Alaska Gulf Coast
and up sloping over western portions of Cook Inlet. Temperatures
will gradually warm over the majority of southcentral AK through
the first half of the week with winds shifting more S/SE-ly as a
maturing low stalls due south of Kodiak Island by Monday evening.
This low eventually get absorbed into a second much larger and
stronger low tracking along the Western and Central Aleutian Chain
by Tuesday evening.

Precipitation-type (p-type) remains a challenge for Kodiak and the
north Gulf coast through Monday as the low stalls out southwest
of Kodiak Island. Still think it should keep air enough cold air
aloft for any precipitation to remain all snow except for the
lower elevations of the immediate coastline under ESE-ly wind.
Complicating matters further, will need to keep an eye on winds,
temperatures, and p-types by Wednesday evening for the Anchorage
bowl. With a strong E to SE-ly winds, anticipating downsloping to
keep much of the Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley dry or result
in light flurries during the day. However, as the attendant front
from the aforementioned strong Bering Low lifts up from the
south, with a surface high residing over the Arctic, expecting
some level of cold air to advect southward through the day on
Wednesday. As a result, best chances for a quick period of
potentially heavy snow would come on Wednesday afternoon into the
night time as the front lifts overhead with dense cold air at the
surface.

NM

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Tuesday night)...

Offshore easterly wind flow across Southwest Alaska will increase
overnight tonight, and lead into a prolonged windy and gusty
pattern across Southwest into the mid work week. Rain and snow
showers across the Alaska Peninsula will continue through midweek
as a broad low pressure system in the Bering continues to send
active systems over the area. Over tonight, snow showers will move
north across the Southwest coastline bringing a 1-2 inches to
places such as Togiak up to Kongiganak. Locally higher snow totals
of 1-3 inches near Kipnuk and Mekoryuk. Snow showers are expected
to persist across Nunivak Island throughout the day Monday,
diminishing by Monday evening. Gusty winds coming through the
Kamishak Gap through Iliamna and Koliganek will become
increasingly strong from Monday and Tuesday, reaching peak
intensity by Tuesday afternoon.

By Tuesday afternoon, another new potent low moving into the
southern Bering Sea will push a strong front into Southwest,
effectively enhancing the already strong gradient and wind field
in place. Very strong gusts as high as 70 mph will be possible
with this next frontal system between Tuesday afternoon and
Wednesday morning, mainly where gap enhancement will again be most
prominent, roughly along a line running between Iliamna and
Koliganek. Additionally, over the marine areas of Bristol Bay,
near hurricane force southeasterly gusts will be pushing into
western Capes. Uncertainty for the exact strength and timing of
this next frontal system is still on the mild side, so be sure to
continue monitoring the forecast for updates as we continue to
hone in on this next impactful storm system.

CL

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Tuesday night)...

Currently, the broad complex low pressure system across the
western Bering continues weakening, however the active pattern
across the Bering and Aleutians will be succeeded by a new
stronger system approaching early next week. For tonight, the
major system is a strong but weakening low pressure system pushing
northward from the southern Alaska Peninsula. This system is
pushing a wave of moisture, bringing a shot of snow showers across
the Alaska Peninsula into Southwest Alaska through the overnight
period tonight as well as mild gusty easterly winds up to 40 mph
near places like King Salmon. These winds and showers will likely
weaken slightly but continue until the next, stronger system
arrives Tuesday.

By noon Monday, a strong, storm force low will make it's presence
felt across the Aleutians as it approaches from the southwest.
Storm force easterly winds with gusts to Hurricane force will move
into the central Aleutians while temperatures initially remain
cold enough for incoming precipitation to fall as snow, possibly
resulting in near whiteout conditions at times for Adak and Atka.
The expected track of this low continues to shift west compared to
earlier projections, and this should allow warm air near the
low's center to make it into the central Aleutians and change snow
over to a rain/snow mix Monday evening before the low crosses the
Chain into the Bering and colder air rushes back in from the
northwest. Meanwhile, another strong low will move south of the
Alaska Peninsula, sending easterly gale force winds into the
eastern fringes of the Bering Sea close to the Alaska Peninsula
and Bristol Bay. This secondary system will merge with Bering
system's occluded front on Tuesday, eventually resulting in one
absolutely enormous low extending across much of the North
Pacific, Bering Sea and Mainland Alaska. Sustained winds between
gale and storm force range will affect most of the outlook area
around this system through at least Tuesday night, except right
near the center as it moves slowly east over the southern Bering
Sea.

AS/CL

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through Sunday)...

An active pattern is developing across the Bering Sea with two
strong upper lows to move through the region over the course of
the next week. The first upper low arrives early Tuesday, with
forecast guidance continuing to show potential hurricane force
wind gusts for portions of the Aleutians. The low will likely have
peaked by Tuesday afternoon, with a slightly weaker, but very
large upper low sitting over southern Bering from the start of the
long term forecast period on Wednesday through Thursday night. A
large wind field will see gales and storm force winds impacting
much of the Bering Sea with the potential for snow and blowing
snow from the Western Aleutians to the Eastern Aleutians. By
Wednesday the low's eastward progress will position the strongest
winds south of the Eastern Aleutians. Gale force winds gusting to
50+ knots will promote seas up to 35 feet on the Pacific side of
the Eastern Aleutians early Wednesday morning. Winds diminish into
Thursday with an axis of westerly gales stretching from north of
the Western Aleutians, southeastward across the Eastern Aleutians,
to the south side of the AKPEN. Attention then turns to the
weekend, where yet another strong low is forecast to emerge from
the North Pacific into the Aleutian Chain. This latter low does
not look to be as strong as the Tuesday low, but model discrepancy
abounds.

For Southcentral, Tuesday's Aleutian low will bring a stout front
into the Gulf of Alaska by Wednesday morning. This front will see
somewhat warmer temperatures associated with it, though with the
front already occluded the warm-up will likely be underwhelming.
Instead, expect to see a mix of rain and snow accompanied by gale
southeasterly winds moving across the Kenai Peninsula into Prince
William Sound through Wednesday afternoon. What have been largely
drier conditions across Southcentral will gradually transition to
a more unsettled pattern, with increasing snow chances across
Prince William Sound and the Copper River Basin. Precipitation,
while heaviest on Wednesday, will linger, especially along the
Gulf Coast, through early Friday. A second front arrives over the
weekend and closer to Sunday with renewed rain and snow chances
for Southcentral.

BL

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC..Conditions are expected to remain VFR around the airport
this afternoon and through the night as the next system moves
into the region. Southeast winds aloft moving over PANC will
continue to produce low level wind shear through this afternoon
into the evening.

CC

&&