Alert archive / New Mexico / Wind Advisories in 2024

Wind Advisory 9, NWS Albuquerque, NM

February 3, 202411 counties in New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this wind advisory at Feb 3, 2024, 2:35 AM MST for 11 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at Feb 3, 2024, 9:00 AM MST. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2024, 2:35 AM MST (09:35 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 3, 2024, 9:00 AM MST
Expired
Feb 3, 2024, 10:36 PM MST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

Counties Bernalillo County, NM, Catron County, NM, Cibola County, NM, Curry County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, McKinley County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Valencia County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 00:00Z on 2024-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 00:00Z on 2024-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -62 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1916 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

081 
WWUS75 KABQ 030935
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
235 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

NMZ226-240-031830-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0005.240203T1200Z-240204T1200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240203T1200Z/
South Central Mountains-Southwest Chaves County-
235 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST EARLY THIS 
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts 
  up to 50 mph. For the High Wind Warning, west winds 30 to 40 mph 
  with gusts up to 65 mph expected.

* WHERE...South Central Mountains and Southwest Chaves County.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 5 AM MST early this morning. 
  For the High Wind Warning, until 5 AM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take action to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. Extremely hazardous driving conditions 
can be expected, especially for motorists in high profile vehicles 
who should consider delaying travel.

&&

$$

NMZ207-208-221>224-233-237>239-241-031830-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0005.240203T1200Z-240204T1200Z/
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-Sandia/Manzano
Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-
South Central Highlands-Guadalupe County-De Baca County-Chaves
County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-San Agustin Plains and
Adjacent Lowlands-
235 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, southeast, and west 
  central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take action to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. Extremely hazardous driving conditions 
can be expected, especially for motorists in high profile vehicles 
who should consider delaying travel.

&&

$$

NMZ206-219-031830-
/O.UPG.KABQ.HW.A.0004.240203T1200Z-240204T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.240203T1600Z-240204T0700Z/
West Central Mountains-Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro
Area-
235 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT MST 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Middle Rio Grande Valley including the Albuquerque Metro 
  Area, and West Central Mountains.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to midnight MST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ220-235-236-031830-
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.240203T1600Z-240204T0700Z/
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Curry County-Roosevelt County-
235 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT MST 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Lower Rio Grande Valley, Curry County, and Roosevelt 
  County.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to midnight MST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ225-031830-
/O.NEW.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.240203T1600Z-240204T0700Z/
Upper Tularosa Valley-
235 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT MST 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Upper Tularosa Valley.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to midnight MST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Shoemake
5 follow-up statements
814 
WWUS75 KABQ 031148
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
448 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

NMZ226-240-031830-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240203T1200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0005.240203T1200Z-240204T1200Z/
South Central Mountains-Southwest Chaves County-
448 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM MST EARLY THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected.

* WHERE...South Central Mountains and Southwest Chaves County.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take action to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. Extremely hazardous driving conditions 
can be expected, especially for motorists in high profile vehicles 
who should consider delaying travel.

&&

$$

NMZ207-208-221>224-233-237>239-241-031830-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0005.240203T1200Z-240204T1200Z/
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-Sandia/Manzano
Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-
South Central Highlands-Guadalupe County-De Baca County-Chaves
County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-San Agustin Plains and
Adjacent Lowlands-
448 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, southeast, and west 
  central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take action to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. Extremely hazardous driving conditions 
can be expected, especially for motorists in high profile vehicles 
who should consider delaying travel.

&&

$$

NMZ220-225-235-236-031830-
/O.EXA.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.240203T1600Z-240204T0700Z/
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-Curry County-
Roosevelt County-
448 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT MST 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Lower Rio Grande Valley, Upper Tularosa Valley, Curry 
  County, and Roosevelt County.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to midnight MST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ206-219-031830-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.240203T1600Z-240204T0700Z/
West Central Mountains-Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro
Area-
448 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 
MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Middle Rio Grande Valley including the Albuquerque Metro 
  Area, and West Central Mountains.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to midnight MST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Shoemake
016 
WWUS75 KABQ 031759
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1059 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

NMZ207-208-221>224-226-233-237>241-040200-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-240204T1200Z/
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-Sandia/Manzano
Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-
South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-Guadalupe County-
De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
1059 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, southeast, and west 
  central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take action to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. Extremely hazardous driving conditions 
can be expected, especially for motorists in high profile vehicles 
who should consider delaying travel.

&&

$$

NMZ206-219-220-225-235-236-040200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240204T0700Z/
West Central Mountains-Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro
Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-Curry County-
Roosevelt County-
1059 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Middle Rio Grande Valley including the Albuquerque Metro 
  Area, West Central Mountains, Lower Rio Grande Valley, Upper 
  Tularosa Valley, Curry County, and Roosevelt County.

* WHEN...Until midnight MST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

11
461 
WWUS75 KABQ 031801
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1101 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

NMZ207-208-221>224-226-233-237>241-040215-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-240204T1200Z/
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-Sandia/Manzano
Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-
South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-Guadalupe County-
De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
1101 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, southeast, and west 
  central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing dust may reduce visibility 
  to below 2 miles at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take action to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. Extremely hazardous driving conditions 
can be expected, especially for motorists in high profile vehicles 
who should consider delaying travel.

&&

$$

NMZ206-219-220-225-235-236-040215-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240204T0700Z/
West Central Mountains-Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro
Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-Curry County-
Roosevelt County-
1101 AM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Middle Rio Grande Valley including the Albuquerque Metro 
  Area, West Central Mountains, Lower Rio Grande Valley, Upper 
  Tularosa Valley, Curry County, and Roosevelt County.

* WHEN...Until midnight MST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

11
517 
WWUS75 KABQ 040206
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
706 PM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

NMZ219-220-225-235-236-040315-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240204T0700Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande
Valley-Upper Tularosa Valley-Curry County-Roosevelt County-
706 PM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Wind speeds have decreased this evening and are not expected to 
increase overnight. Therefore the Wind Advisory is cancelled.

$$

NMZ207-208-221>224-226-233-237>241-040700-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-240204T1200Z/
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-Sandia/Manzano
Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-
South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-Guadalupe County-
De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
706 PM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, southeast, and west 
  central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take action to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. Extremely hazardous driving conditions 
can be expected, especially for motorists in high profile vehicles 
who should consider delaying travel.

&&

$$

NMZ206-040700-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240204T0700Z/
West Central Mountains-
706 PM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...West Central Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

34
583 
WWUS75 KABQ 040536
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1036 PM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

NMZ207-208-241-040645-
/O.CAN.KABQ.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-240204T1200Z/
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-San Agustin Plains and
Adjacent Lowlands-
1036 PM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Wind speeds have fallen and will continue to decrease through the 
overnight hours. Therefore the High Wind Warning is cancelled.

$$

NMZ206-040645-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240204T0700Z/
West Central Mountains-
1036 PM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Wind speeds have fallen below advisory levels, therefore the Wind 
Advisory has been cancelled. A few breezes may persist overnight.

$$

NMZ221>224-226-233-237>240-041200-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-240204T1200Z/
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-
Guadalupe County-De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-Eastern
Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
1036 PM MST Sat Feb 3 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Sandia and Manzano Mountains including Edgewood, Estancia 
  Valley, Central Highlands, South Central Highlands, South Central 
  Mountains, Guadalupe County, De Baca County, Chaves County Plains, 
  Eastern Lincoln County, and Southwest Chaves County.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging could blow down trees and power lines. Power 
  outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for 
  high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take action to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and other loose or 
lightweight outdoor objects. Extremely hazardous driving conditions 
can be expected, especially for motorists in high profile vehicles 
who should consider delaying travel.

&&

$$

34

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 2, 10:49 PM MST, 3 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 10:49 PM MST, 3 hours 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1049 PM MST Fri Feb 2 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 256 PM MST Fri Feb 2 2024

Precipitation will become mainly focused over the northern mountains
in the form of heavy snow tonight through Saturday night as a low
develops and deepens over northeast New Mexico and the Oklahoma and
Texas panhandles. The highest snowfall amounts will be across the
peaks of the Tusas and Sangre De Cristo Mountains where locally up
to 2 feet of snow is possible. Meanwhile, across central and
southeast New Mexico, strong and gusty west and northwest winds are
expected on the backside of this deepening low with sustained winds
of 30 to 45 mph and gusts of 50 to 70 mph possible. These winds will
remain gusty Saturday night slowly waning come sunrise Sunday. High
Wind Warnings are in effect for this region Saturday and Saturday
night. Tranquil conditions and warmer temperatures return Sunday and
Monday as high pressure slides overhead. Cloud cover increases and
breezy southwest flow returns Tuesday ahead of the next storm system
moving through the region Wednesday. Conditions look to remain
unsettled for western and central areas Thursday into late next week
ahead of another Pacific storm system.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 256 PM MST Fri Feb 2 2024

An H5 low taking shape over northeast NM this evening will deepen to
near 541dm Saturday morning while moist westerly flow persists over
the northern half of NM. Surface low pressure deepening to near
993mb near Clayton and much stronger 700-500mb layer flow
approaching from the west will allow winds to strengthen after
midnight, especially over the high terrain and nearby east slopes.
Wind gusts will trend closer to 55 mph by sunrise in these areas
then expand in coverage to nearby highlands and plains thru late
morning. The latest model guidance shows solid High Wind Warning
speeds south and east of ABQ with gusts of 55 to 70 mph expected.
The Watch was upgraded for most of the area except ABQ where
confidence is not as high and coverage is still limited to the
west mesa. The most widespread impact for Saturday will be these
high winds with areas of blowing dust, very difficult travel
across the plains, and potential power outages from downed tree
limbs and power lines.

The other focus Saturday will be very heavy snow and blowing snow in
the Sangre de Cristo Mts as westerly upslope flow persists all day
and into Saturday night. Snowfall rates may exceed 2"/hour on west-
facing higher ridges. Snow accums trended higher again with amounts
of 1 to 2 feet appearing very likely. Moisture and lift also wraps
around the H5 low with increasing potential for heavy snow along the
Raton Ridge Saturday. The Winter Storm Warning was also expanded to
this area, mainly for Raton Pass and locations along the CO border.
Blowing snow may also be problematic in this area however temps are
not as cold as the higher terrain of the Sangre de Cristos. Temps
areawide will trend colder on Saturday with very cold winds compared
to recent days. The strong winds will begin to decrease very slowly
over central and southeast NM Saturday night as the entire storm
system pulls away into northeast TX. Parts of the High Wind Warning
may be cancelled before midnight Saturday depending on how fast the
pressure gradient relaxes while the upper speed max ejects east of
the area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 256 PM MST Fri Feb 2 2024

Gusty northwest winds across central and southeast NM will continue
to taper off Sunday morning as the upper level low over southern
Great Plains exits east into the lower Mississippi River Valley.
Winds across eastern NM will be breezy Sunday afternoon at around 15
to 30 mph, a far cry from Saturday's high winds. Temperatures on
Sunday will be around to just a touch below average as CAA gradually
weakens. Shortwave ridging moves overhead Sunday night into Monday
allowing temperatures to warmup up above seasonal averages by around
5 to 10 degrees along with light southerly winds.

Upper level flow backs more southwesterly on Tuesday ahead of the
next Pacific upper level trough with breezy winds and temperatures 5
to 10 degrees above average to as much as 15 degrees above average
across northeast NM due to a surface lee low. Rain and mountain snow
arriving to western areas as early as Tuesday evening as the leading
baroclinic zone of the upper level trough begins moving in. Rain and
mountain snow, along with colder temperatures, spread east Tuesday
night into Wednesday for areas mainly along and west of the central
mountain chain as a shortwave ahead of the longwave trough ejects
northeast across the state. The eastern plains look to remain warm
breezy and mainly dry Wednesday due to the southwest flow ahead of
the longwave trough. The upper level jet ahead of this longwave
trough axis looks to be better oriented from southwest to northeast
where the Tusas and San Juan Mountains could receive a hefty amount
of fresh snow due to ideal upslope flow. A Pacific front sweeps
through the state Wednesday evening and night.

The longwave trough moves inland into the Intermountain West
Thursday dampening as it does so. Broad cyclonic flow at the base of
the trough will keep cloud cover and precipitation across areas
along and west of the central mountain chain persistent resulting in
temperatures below normal by 5 to 10 degrees. Meanwhile, for areas
along and east of the central mountain, temperatures will be cooler
compared to Tuesday and Wednesday and closer to average behind the
Pacific cold front, with gusty west winds of 20 to 35 mph and mostly
sunny skies. Forecast confidence drops Friday into next weekend as
deterministic and ensemble model guidance vary on how far south a
trailing shortwave tracks across the Great Basin and intermountain
West due to differences in how far the upstream ridge extends
north into the Gulf of Alaska.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1043 PM MST Fri Feb 2 2024

Much of the shower activity has diminished late this evening,
though snow showers persist across the high terrain. MVFR cigs are
already starting to develop across western and northern NM, to
include KGUP, and these low cigs may expand through the overnight
hours. Low cigs will then re-focus on Saturday across NE NM where
additional snow showers are anticipated. Breezy conditions are
expected overnight, but west to northwest winds will rapidly
increase after sunrise. Gusts between 45 and 55kt are expected
near and south of I-40 on Saturday afternoon. BLSN and mt
obscurations are likely across the high terrain. BLDU is possible
across lower elevation areas. Wind speeds will be slow to come
down Saturday evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 256 PM MST Fri Feb 2 2024

There are no critical fire weather conditions expected for at least
the next 7 days. A potent storm system moving thru the region thru
Saturday will spread heavy mountain snow into northern NM, a few
valley rain showers, and very strong winds focused on Saturday over
central and eastern NM. Snow accumulations in the Sangre de Cristo
Mts may average 1 to 2 feet on higher peaks and ridges. West winds
today will become northwest Saturday with gusts of 55 to 70 mph over
parts of central and eastern NM. Breezy conditions will continue
into Sunday but overall tranquil weather is likely with a ridge of
high pressure over the area through Monday. The next weather system
will arrive Tuesday with widespread precip again Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  30  44  23  44 /  40   5   0   0
Dulce...........................  24  39  11  40 /  90  60   5   0
Cuba............................  25  36  18  39 /  50  30   0   0
Gallup..........................  25  39  16  43 /  30  10   0   0
El Morro........................  23  34  16  40 /  30  20   0   0
Grants..........................  26  40  19  45 /  10   5   0   0
Quemado.........................  25  38  20  44 /  20  20   0   0
Magdalena.......................  27  40  25  48 /  20   0   0   0
Datil...........................  25  36  22  44 /  20   5   0   0
Reserve.........................  24  45  18  52 /  30  20   0   0
Glenwood........................  31  45  26  53 /  50  20   0   0
Chama...........................  21  32   8  35 /  90  80  10   0
Los Alamos......................  27  37  23  42 /  50  50  10   0
Pecos...........................  25  38  22  44 /  30  30   5   0
Cerro/Questa....................  27  35  20  36 /  70  70  30   0
Red River.......................  19  30  12  32 /  70  80  50   0
Angel Fire......................  17  31   9  34 /  70  70  40   0
Taos............................  25  38  15  39 /  70  60  20   0
Mora............................  26  38  20  43 /  40  40  10   0
Espanola........................  30  44  23  47 /  60  50  10   0
Santa Fe........................  28  38  23  42 /  50  50  10   0
Santa Fe Airport................  29  43  25  45 /  40  30   5   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  30  45  28  48 /  20  10   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  32  48  30  50 /  10   5   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  32  51  28  52 /   5   5   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  31  48  28  50 /  10   5   0   0
Belen...........................  32  50  26  53 /  10   5   0   0
Bernalillo......................  32  48  28  50 /  20  10   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  31  51  26  52 /   5   5   0   0
Corrales........................  32  49  28  51 /  10  10   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  32  51  26  52 /   5   5   0   0
Placitas........................  30  43  27  46 /  30  10   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  31  48  28  50 /  10  10   0   0
Socorro.........................  32  51  30  56 /  10   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  27  39  24  42 /  20  20   0   0
Tijeras.........................  29  41  26  44 /  20  20   0   0
Edgewood........................  28  42  25  45 /  10  10   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  27  43  24  47 /  10   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  25  39  22  44 /   5   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  28  42  25  45 /  10   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  27  43  24  46 /  20   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  30  47  27  50 /  20   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  26  40  25  45 /  20   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  27  35  24  38 /  30  50  60   5
Raton...........................  27  39  23  44 /  40  50  50   5
Springer........................  29  44  24  49 /  20  30  30   0
Las Vegas.......................  28  44  23  47 /  20  10   5   0
Clayton.........................  31  43  32  48 /  20  40  40   5
Roy.............................  31  46  27  49 /  20  20  20   0
Conchas.........................  35  54  31  57 /  20  10  10   0
Santa Rosa......................  33  50  30  53 /  10   5   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  35  52  30  55 /  30  20  10   0
Clovis..........................  34  56  33  56 /  10   5  10   0
Portales........................  34  57  33  57 /  10   5   5   0
Fort Sumner.....................  35  55  32  57 /  10   5   0   0
Roswell.........................  37  60  38  63 /   5   5   0   0
Picacho.........................  32  51  32  56 /   5   0   0   0
Elk.............................  29  48  29  55 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Watch from 5 AM MST Saturday through late Saturday
night for NMZ206-219.

High Wind Warning from 5 AM Saturday to 5 AM MST Sunday for
NMZ207-208-221>224-226-233-237>241.

Winter Storm Warning until 5 PM MST Saturday for NMZ210.

Winter Weather Advisory until 5 PM MST Saturday for NMZ211.

Winter Storm Warning from 5 AM Saturday to 5 AM MST Sunday for
NMZ227.

Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM MST Saturday for NMZ213-214.

Wind Advisory until 5 AM MST Saturday for NMZ226-240.

&&

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...34

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New Mexico, 2024Every wind advisory in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.