Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Tulsa, OK

February 15, 2023Adair County, Cherokee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 15, 2023, 10:56 PM CST for Adair County, Cherokee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 15, 2023, 10:56 PM CST (04:56 UTC)
Expired: Feb 15, 2023, 11:45 PM CST
In force: 49 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Feb 15, 9:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1709 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 93 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 421 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 818 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

078 
WUUS54 KTSA 160456
SVRTSA
OKC001-021-160545-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0022.230216T0456Z-230216T0545Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1056 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Adair County in northeastern Oklahoma...
  Southeastern Cherokee County in east central Oklahoma...

* Until 1145 PM CST.

* At 1056 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles east of
  Pumpkin Center, moving northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations in or near the path include...
  Tahlequah...                      Stilwell...
  Westville...                      Watts...
  Adair State Park...               Eldon...
  Proctor...                        Christie...
  Maryetta...                       Cookson...
  Cherokee Landing State Park...    Baron...
  Ballard...                        

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3586 9451 3564 9499 3564 9502 3576 9513
      3577 9512 3616 9456
TIME...MOT...LOC 0456Z 232DEG 41KT 3573 9505 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

3 follow-up statements

286 
WWUS54 KTSA 160507
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1107 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

OKC001-021-160545-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-230216T0545Z/
Adair OK-Cherokee OK-
1107 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL ADAIR AND SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES...

At 1107 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 3 miles north of
Cherokee Landing State Park, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations in or near the path include...
Tahlequah...                      Stilwell...
Westville...                      Watts...
Adair State Park...               Eldon...
Proctor...                        Christie...
Maryetta...                       Cookson...
Cherokee Landing State Park...    Baron...
Ballard...                        

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3567 9491 3583 9504 3616 9456 3586 9451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0507Z 239DEG 46KT 3580 9490 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

310 
WWUS54 KTSA 160516
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1116 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

OKC001-021-160545-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-230216T0545Z/
Adair OK-Cherokee OK-
1116 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL ADAIR AND EAST CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTIES...

At 1116 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles west of
Maryetta, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations in or near the path include...
Stilwell...                       Westville...
Watts...                          Adair State Park...
Eldon...                          Proctor...
Christie...                       Baron...
Maryetta...                       Ballard...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3572 9481 3595 9486 3616 9456 3586 9451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0516Z 242DEG 46KT 3585 9477 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

458 
WWUS54 KTSA 160534
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1134 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

OKC021-160544-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-230216T0545Z/
Cherokee OK-
1134 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CST for
northwestern Arkansas...and northeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3579 9465 3605 9472 3616 9456 3586 9451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0534Z 232DEG 41KT 3598 9457 

$$

OKC001-160545-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-230216T0545Z/
Adair OK-
1134 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL ADAIR COUNTY...

At 1134 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Westville,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations in or near the path include...
Stilwell...                       Westville...
Watts...                          Adair State Park...
Christie...                       Baron...
Maryetta...                       Ballard...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3579 9465 3605 9472 3616 9456 3586 9451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0534Z 232DEG 41KT 3598 9457 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 15, 8:45 PM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 8:45 PM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
845 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 842 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

Storms from NE OK through south central OK have expanded in
coverage the last few hours with scattered svr storms ongoing
nearer the moisture defined warm front extending through SE OK.
This has verified well with the recent short term guidance and the
evening update will accept the near term solutions of expanding
storms eastward as the cold front begins to surge eastward.
Ongoing forecast has this well handled the update will largely be
to refine timing of the higher precip chances. The severe
potential also looks to be highest along and south of Interstate
40 where a window of more substantial moisture return remains
possible.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Wednesday)
Issued at 200 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

Cold and breezy conditions are expected behind departing system into
Thursday and continue through Thursday night.  Wind chill indices
are forecast to fall into the teens across much of the area by
Friday morning although winds will begin to decrease as surface high
pressure continues to build over the region.

Quiet weather anticipated with a warming trend over the weekend into
early part of next week. Still some significant timing differences
in the operational models with cold front mid week, but
precipitation chances will once again increase during the Tuesday,
Wednesday time frame as upper system approaches. Stayed close to
NBM guidance through the extended periods.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 535 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

Showers and thunderstorms developing in South Central Oklahoma
will continue to develop and spread east/northeast into Eastern
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas this evening. Greater potential
for thunderstorms is expected along/south of a surface frontal
boundary over East Central Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. Will
continue Tempo groups for timing of greater potential. This
activity is forecast to push off to the east and northeast into
the overnight hours as the front exits and an upper level low
pressure lifts northeast through the region. Behind the
front...MVFR/IFR ceilings and breezy west to northwest winds are
forecast to spread across the CWA tonight and continue into
Thursday afternoon. Late in the TAF period there is potential for
parts of Eastern Oklahoma to try lifting back to low end VFR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   29  39  23  48 /  40   0   0   0
FSM   39  48  27  49 /  80   0   0   0
MLC   32  42  24  48 /  80   0   0   0
BVO   24  37  19  48 /  20   0   0   0
FYV   33  44  22  46 /  80   0   0   0
BYV   35  47  23  44 /  60   0   0   0
MKO   32  40  24  46 /  80   0   0   0
MIO   29  36  21  45 /  20   0   0   0
F10   30  40  24  48 /  90   0   0   0
HHW   37  45  27  49 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...20

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 4:46 PM CST, 6 hours 10 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
446 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
446 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THROUGH EVENING...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Along and south of a line from McAlester Oklahoma to
    Fort Smith Arkansas.
	ONSET...After 7 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...South of Interstate 44.
	ONSET...After 7 PM.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...After midnight.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered storms have developed across north central Texas late this
afternoon and these storms will expand in coverage as they spread
eastward this evening. Severe weather potential will increase across
portions of eastern Oklahoma as these storms pass. Large hail and
locally damaging winds will be the primary hazards. The tornadic
potential may increase across southeast Oklahoma as low level
moisture increases and winds fields strengthen. Storms will spread
east of the region by the early morning hours on Thursday.

Gusty northwest winds will develop after midnight as the a
strong cold front passes. Winds gusts 30 to 40 mph will be possible
through the overnight hours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...High Fire Weather and High Wind Potential.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Northwest winds will remain gusty behind the cold front on
Thursday. Winds return southerly over the weekend and
will become gusty. The warmer, drier and windier conditions will
raise fire weather concerns, especially by Sunday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 15, 10:03 PM CST, 53 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1003 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

ARZ001-010-OKZ068-069-160445-
Benton AR-Washington AR-Adair OK-Cherokee OK-
1003 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern Benton,
western Washington, Adair and southeastern Cherokee Counties through
1045 PM CST...

At 1003 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 5 miles south of Scraper to 3 miles southwest of
Cookson. Movement was northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Stilwell...                       Lincoln...
Westville...                      Watts...
Adair State Park...               Eldon...
Proctor...                        Christie...
Cincinnati...                     Maryetta...
Cookson...                        Cherokee Landing State Park...
Baron...                          Ballard...
Clyde...                          Wedington...
Rhea...                           Summers...
Morrow...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CST for
northwestern Arkansas...and northeastern Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9432 3577 9444 3569 9499 3600 9489
TIME...MOT...LOC 0403Z 244DEG 46KT 3601 9488 3569 9498

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Local storm report, Feb 15, 10:18 PM CST, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1018 PM CST WED FEB 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0954 PM     TSTM WND GST     HULBERT                 35.93N 95.14W
02/15/2023  M69 MPH          CHEROKEE           OK   PUBLIC

&&

MR

Local storm report, Feb 15, 10:35 PM CST, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1035 PM CST WED FEB 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1027 PM     HAIL             2 SE MAYSVILLE          36.39N 94.58W
02/15/2023  E1.00 INCH       BENTON             AR   PUBLIC

&&

MR

Special weather statement, Feb 15, 10:44 PM CST, 12 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1044 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

OKZ073-160515-
Pittsburg OK-
1044 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Pittsburg County
through 1115 PM CST...

At 1044 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 4 miles northeast of Stuart to 3 miles northwest
of Wardville to 8 miles northeast of Coalgate. Movement was east at
45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mcalester...                      Krebs...
Kiowa...                          Savanna...
Alderson...                       Ashland...
Haywood...                        Mcalester Regional Airport...
Blanco...                         Haileyville...
Pittsburg...                      Arpelar...
Dow...                            Bache...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CST for
southeastern Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3468 9589 3468 9609 3498 9609 3509 9563
      3460 9552 3459 9588
TIME...MOT...LOC 0444Z 257DEG 38KT 3493 9604 3469 9607 3462 9611

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Local storm report, Feb 15, 10:47 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1047 PM CST WED FEB 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE OAKS               36.16N 94.85W
02/15/2023                   CHEROKEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REDBUD HOUSING IN OAKS LOST A ROOF, MANY
            TREES DOWN, POWER OUTAGES REPORTED.

&&

MR

Local storm report, Feb 15, 10:55 PM CST, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1055 PM CST WED FEB 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1054 PM     HAIL             GRAVETTE                36.42N 94.45W
02/15/2023  E0.88 INCH       BENTON             AR   PUBLIC

&&

MR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 15, 9:33 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Pittsburg	42 min
Feb 15, 9:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	30 min
Feb 15, 9:44 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware	46 min
Feb 15, 9:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes	57 min
Feb 15, 10:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	TSA	McIntosh, Pittsburg	24 min
Feb 15, 10:03 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	42 min
Feb 15, 10:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Pittsburg	38 min
Feb 15, 10:12 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, Pittsburg	33 min
Feb 15, 10:39 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Sequoyah	51 min
Feb 15, 10:44 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	31 min
Feb 15, 10:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Pittsburg	42 min
Feb 15, 10:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	52 min
Feb 15, 11:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore, Sequoyah	46 min
Feb 15, 11:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha	44 min
Feb 15, 11:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore, Sequoyah	37 min
Feb 16, 12:07 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha	38 min
Feb 16, 12:32 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	43 min
Feb 16, 12:40 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore, Pushmataha	50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2023 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.