Small Craft Advisory 21, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
212 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2023

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 209 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2023

Cooler and drier air is filter in, however temperatures did not drop
quickly overnight due to cloud coverage. A short wave trough will
push another boundary through the area today into tonight, and
behind this boundary will be the cold, dry air people have been
waiting for. There will be a slight possibility of an isolated
shower, especially along the coast as this boundary moves through.
Rain chances drop to zero for the rest of the week, with some
moisture returning Friday. Today temperatures will max out around
low 70s (north) to mid 70s (south). Overnight Monday into Tuesday
will be our coldest night. Low temperatures will dip into the 40s
for the northern areas and 50s for central and southern areas and
high temperatures will struggle to get into the mid 70s. By
Wednesday temperatures will begin to gradually increase and mid
80s temps make their return by Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 209 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2023

Expect a BKN cloud deck through the morning into the early afternoon
with ceilings around 4000-5000 as a boundary works through the area.
By the afternoon, this cloud deck will move through and dry air will
move in. Gusty N/NW winds will continue through most of the day
before diminishing overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 209 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2023

A strong N/NW flow will keep hazardous marine conditions in the
area today and into Tuesday, SCA in effect, Elevated risks for rip
currents will be possible through the time period as well.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 209 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2023

Dry air moves in behind the boundary,however RH values should remain
above critical values. A strong N/NW flow expected today into
tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  73  57  73  58 /  10   0   0   0
FMY  77  57  76  57 /  10   0   0   0
GIF  73  52  73  54 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  74  57  75  57 /  10   0   0   0
BKV  71  49  72  50 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  71  60  72  61 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for Coastal Charlotte-
     Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal
     Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out
     20 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out
     20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT this
     evening for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood
     FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out
     20 to 60 NM.

&&

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Close