Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 709

October 12, 202310 counties in Kansas; 34 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 12, 2023, 1:12 PM CDT for 10 counties in Kansas; 34 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 12, 2023, 1:12 PM CDT (18:12 UTC)
Expired
Oct 12, 2023, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 44 counties

Decatur County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Loup County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Polk County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 12, 2:18 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Phelps27 min
Oct 12, 2:52 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDHarlan, Phelps23 min
Oct 12, 2:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Loup9 hr
Oct 12, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Kearney, Phelps35 min
Oct 12, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDFranklin, Kearney31 min
Oct 12, 4:06 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDAdams, Franklin, Kearney, Webster24 min
Oct 12, 4:47 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGIDAdams, Hall13 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2023-10-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 689 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2023-10-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 124 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
689 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-98 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
543 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 12, 12:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGraham, Jewell, Norton, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks and 1 more2 hr
Oct 12, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRepublic61 min
Oct 12, 5:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Geary, Jewell, Lincoln and 7 more2 hr
Oct 11, 8:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Burt and 28 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2023Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.