Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 24

January 18, 202331 counties in Arkansas; 16 parishes in Louisiana; 18 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 18, 2023, 9:02 AM CST for 31 counties in Arkansas; 16 parishes in Louisiana; 18 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 18, 2023, 9:02 AM CST (15:02 UTC)
Expired
Jan 18, 2023, 6:00 PM CST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 65 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Marion County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 18, 9:38 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVLafayette, Miller28 min
Jan 18, 9:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo50 min
Jan 18, 9:47 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKCleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln27 min
Jan 18, 10:12 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVNacogdoches, Rusk48 min
Jan 18, 10:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Lafayette, Nevada, Union38 min
Jan 18, 10:24 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo51 min
Jan 18, 10:46 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVPanola, Rusk, Shelby44 min
Jan 18, 11:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatSHVColumbia, Nevada, Union56 min
Jan 18, 11:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKOuachita39 min
Jan 18, 11:08 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKOuachita26 min
Jan 18, 11:20 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Ouachita25 min
Jan 18, 11:31 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVDe Soto44 min
Jan 18, 11:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita27 min
Jan 18, 11:45 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Dallas, Ouachita45 min
Jan 18, 11:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Union41 min
Jan 18, 12:01 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun17 min
Jan 18, 12:20 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Webster25 min
Jan 18, 12:23 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Union52 min
Jan 18, 12:42 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Webster33 min
Jan 18, 12:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Webster22 min
Jan 18, 3:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2023-01-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 471 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2023-01-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 291 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
471 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
605 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
275 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 18, 7:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River and 5 more2 hr
Jan 18, 11:48 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Grant and 3 more87 min
Jan 18, 12:30 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips and 1 more90 min
Jan 18, 2:34 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Crittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis7 hr
Jan 18, 3:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha89 min
Jan 18, 5:47 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCatahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Tensas118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Tornado Watches in Texas, 2023Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.