Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 705

May 7, 2023Logan County, Phillips County, Sedgwick County, Colorado; 21 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 7, 2023, 11:49 AM MDT for Logan County, Phillips County, Sedgwick County, Colorado; 21 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 7, 2023, 11:49 AM MDT (17:49 UTC)
Expired
May 7, 2023, 1:45 PM MDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 24 counties

Logan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Chase County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Valley County, NE, Wheeler County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2023-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 310 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2023-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -62 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
310 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-146 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1729 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 1:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCYuma5 hr
May 6, 8:37 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGage, Jefferson, Johnson, Pawnee, Thayer53 min
May 7, 3:51 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Burt, Butler, Colfax, Cuming, Dakota and 15 more2 hr
May 7, 1:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Cass, Dodge, Douglas, Sarpy, Saunders and 1 more2 hr
May 7, 4:01 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Chase, Custer, Dawson, Dundy, Frontier and 11 more89 min
May 7, 5:02 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Butler, Cass, Clay, Colfax and 32 more88 min
May 7, 5:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Buffalo, Butler, Cass, Clay, Colfax and 37 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2023Every mesoscale discussion in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.