Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 2201

September 26, 202313 counties in New Mexico; 18 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 26, 2023, 3:53 PM MDT for 13 counties in New Mexico; 18 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 26, 2023, 3:53 PM MDT (21:53 UTC)
Expired
Sep 26, 2023, 6:00 PM MDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
5%
All 31 counties

Chaves County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Doña Ana County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Lea County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Otero County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Bailey County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, El Paso County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hudspeth County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Randall County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 232 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-09-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 844 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-09-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -50 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
844 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-68 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1148 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2023Every mesoscale discussion in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.