Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 2102

September 7, 20236 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 7, 2023, 7:51 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 7, 2023, 7:51 PM EDT (23:51 UTC)
Expired
Sep 7, 2023, 9:15 PM EDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 673
All 52 counties

New Castle County, DE, Berkshire County, MA, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Harford County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2023-09-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2039 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2023-09-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -7 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2039 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1218 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 7, 11:58 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle3 hr
Sep 7, 1:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Charles and 8 more8 hr
Sep 7, 3:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery84 min
Sep 7, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaltimore, Cecil, Harford87 min
Sep 7, 6:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaltimore, Cecil, Harford, City of Baltimore92 min
Sep 7, 1:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Essex, Franklin2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2023Every mesoscale discussion in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.