Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 1813

August 2, 202317 counties in Iowa; 27 counties in Missouri; 38 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 2, 2023, 2:38 AM CDT for 17 counties in Iowa; 27 counties in Missouri; 38 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2023, 2:38 AM CDT (07:38 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2023, 5:15 AM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
5%
All 82 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saline County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2023-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2975 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2023-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 89 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2975 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2057 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
21.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Benton, Bollinger, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 37 more3 hr
Aug 1, 7:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Chase, Dawson, Deuel, Dundy, Frontier and 8 more86 min
Aug 1, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuffalo, Chase, Custer, Dawson, Dundy, Franklin and 12 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2023Every mesoscale discussion in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.