Alert archive / California / Winter Storm Warnings in 2023

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS San Diego, CA

January 28, 2023Riverside County, San Bernardino County, San Diego County, California

NWS San Diego, CA issued this winter storm warning at Jan 28, 2023, 1:20 PM PST for Riverside County, San Bernardino County, San Diego County, California. It took effect at Jan 29, 2023, 10:00 AM PST. It was in force for 44 hr. 16 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 28, 2023, 1:20 PM PST (21:20 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 29, 2023, 10:00 AM PST
Expired
Jan 31, 2023, 6:00 AM PST
In force
44 hr
Issued by
NWS San Diego, CA

Counties Riverside County, CA, San Bernardino County, CA, San Diego County, CA

The radar

The Santa Ana Mts radar (KSOX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 29, 11:13 PM PSTSNOW 0Murrieta, CAA LITTLE SNOW MIXED IN WITH RAIN IN LA CRESTA ELEVATION 2300 FEET.
Jan 29, 11:35 PM PSTSNOW 0.2Wrightwood, CALITTLE SNOW FALL, ROADS ARE ICY, COLD TEMPERATURE.
Jan 30, 6:31 AM PSTSNOW 31 Ese Palomar Mountain, CASNOW OVERNIGHT BIRCH HILL PALOMAR MOUNTAIN STORM TOTAL 2.5 INCHES.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 0.53 Wsw Big Bear City, CABIG BEAR YARD AT 6800 FEET.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 23 Nne Mt Baldy, CAEND OF BALDY ROAD 6400 FEET.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 28 Sse Big Bear City, CABARTON FLATS AT 6900 FEET HIGHWAY 38.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 31 E Forest Falls, CAFOREST FALLS AT 5900 FEET.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 31 Ne Idyllwild, CASOCIAL MEDIA AT 5300 FEET. ALSO SEEN ON PINE COVE WATER DISTRICT CAMERAS.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 42 E Running Springs, CAARROWBEAR ON HIGHWAY 18.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 46 Nw Forest Falls, CAOVERNIGHT AT ANGELUS OAKS ON HIGHWAY 38.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 53 Nne Mt Baldy, CA5 INCHES OVERNIGHT AT 7800 FEET. MT BALDY SKI RESORT.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 61 Se Crestline, CAELEVATION 4900 FEET.
Jan 30, 7:00 AM PSTSNOW 6Green Valley Lake, CAELEVATION 6900 FEET NEAR HIGHWAY 18.
Jan 30, 10:24 AM PSTSNOW 0.5Wrightwood, CALIGHT SNOW SHOWERS, ROADS ARE ICY BUT BEING PLOWED.
Jan 30, 1:53 PM PSTSNOW 41 Ese Palomar Mountain, CA1 NEW INCH TODAY. BIRCH HILL AT 5700 FEET.
Jan 30, 5:19 PM PSTSNOW 5.51 Ese Palomar Mountain, CASPOTTER REPORTED AN ADDITIONAL 2 INCHES OF SNOW AT BIRCH HILL, BRINGING THE STORM TOTAL TO 5.5 INCHES.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

San Diego, CA (KNKX), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, San Diego, CA at 12:00Z on 2023-01-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, San Diego, CA at 12:00Z on 2023-01-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 96 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1235 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

130 
WWUS46 KSGX 282120
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
120 PM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

CAZ055-290630-
/O.UPG.KSGX.WS.A.0002.230129T1800Z-230131T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T1800Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including the cities of Crestline, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear City,
Big Bear Lake, Running Springs, and Wrightwood
120 PM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 3 inches expected between 3000-
  4000 feet, 3 to 7 inches expected between 4000-6000 feet, 7 to
  10 inches expected between 6000-7000 feet, up to 12 inches
  expected above 7000 feet. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph with peak
  gusts to 60 mph expected at the windiest desert slope 
  locations.

* WHERE...San Bernardino County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Sunday to 7 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. I-15
  through the Cajon Pass will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase Sunday morning
  with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to become
  widespread and impactful Sunday evening. Snow levels will start
  between 4500-5000 feet Sunday, dropping to 3500 feet by Monday
  morning and down to 3000 feet early Tuesday. Light snow
  accumulations expected on the I-15 through the Cajon Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ056-290630-
/O.UPG.KSGX.WS.A.0002.230129T2100Z-230131T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T2100Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
Including the city of Idyllwild-Pine Cove
120 PM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 4 inches expected between 3500
  and 4500 feet, 4 to 7 inches expected between 4500 and 5500
  feet, 7 to 12 inches expected above 6000 feet. Wind gusts 30 to
  50 mph with peak gusts to 60 mph expected at the windiest 
  desert slope locations.

* WHERE...Riverside County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong 
  winds could cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase Sunday
  afternoon with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to become
  widespread and impactful Sunday evening. Snow levels will start
  between 4500 and 5000 feet Sunday, dropping to 3500 to 4000 
  feet on Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ058-290630-
/O.UPG.KSGX.WS.A.0002.230129T2100Z-230131T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T2100Z-230131T1800Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
120 PM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. 1 to 3 inches expected between 4000-5000
  feet. 3 to 7 inches expected between 5000-5500 feet. 7 to 12
  inches expected above 5500 feet, with isolated amounts over 1
  foot. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph with peak gusts to 60 mph expected 
  at the windiest desert slope locations.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
  commute. Portions of I-8 will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase Sunday
  afternoon with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to become
  more widespread and impactful Sunday evening. Snow levels will 
  start between 4500 and 5000 feet Sunday, dropping to 4000 to 
  4500 feet by Monday morning. Falling to below 4000 feet Monday 
  night. Light snow accumulations possible on I-8 in eastern San 
  Diego County.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CO
8 follow-up statements
622 
WWUS46 KSGX 290512
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
912 PM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

CAZ055-291400-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T1800Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including the cities of Crestline, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear City,
Big Bear Lake, Running Springs, and Wrightwood
912 PM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
7 AM PST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 3 inches expected between 3000
  and 4000 feet, 3 to 7 inches expected between 4000 and 6000
  feet, 7 to 10 inches expected between 6000 and 7000 feet, up to
  12 inches expected above 7000 feet. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph 
  with peak gusts to 60 mph expected at the windiest desert slope 
  locations.

* WHERE...San Bernardino County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Sunday to 7 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. I-15 
  through the Cajon Pass will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase Sunday morning
  with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to become
  widespread and impactful Sunday evening. Snow levels will start
  between 4500 and 5000 feet Sunday, dropping to 3500 feet by
  Monday morning, and down to 3000 feet early Tuesday. Light snow
  accumulations expected on the I-15 through the Cajon Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ056-291400-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T2100Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
Including the city of Idyllwild-Pine Cove
912 PM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO
10 AM PST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 4 inches expected between 
  3500 and 4500 feet, 4 to 7 inches expected between 4500 and 
  5500 feet, 7 to 12 inches expected above 6000 feet. Wind gusts 
  30 to 50 mph with peak gusts to 60 mph expected at the 
  windiest desert slope locations.

* WHERE...Riverside County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong 
  winds could cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase Sunday 
  afternoon with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to 
  become widespread and impactful Sunday evening. Snow levels 
  will start between 4500 and 5000 feet Sunday, dropping to 3500 
  to 4000 feet on Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ058-291400-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T2100Z-230131T1800Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
912 PM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO
10 AM PST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. 1 to 3 inches expected between 4000 and 5000
  feet. 3 to 7 inches expected between 5000 and 5500 feet. 7 to 
  12 inches expected above 5500 feet, with isolated amounts over 1
  foot. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph with peak gusts to 60 mph 
  expected at the windiest desert slope locations.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute. Portions of I-8 will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase Sunday 
  afternoon with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to 
  become more widespread and impactful Sunday evening. Snow 
  levels will start between 4500 and 5000 feet Sunday, dropping 
  to 4000 to 4500 feet by Monday morning. Falling to below 4000 
  feet Monday night. Light snow accumulations possible on I-8 in 
  eastern San Diego County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$
059 
WWUS46 KSGX 291025
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
225 AM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

CAZ055-292300-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T1800Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including the cities of Crestline, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear City,
Big Bear Lake, Running Springs, and Wrightwood
225 AM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 AM PST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 3 inches expected between 
  3000 and 4000 feet, 3 to 7 inches expected between 4000 and 
  6000 feet, 7 to 10 inches expected between 6000 and 7000 feet, 
  up to 12 inches expected above 7000 feet. Wind gusts 30 to 50 
  mph with peak gusts to 60 mph expected at the windiest desert 
  slope locations.

* WHERE...San Bernardino County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 10 AM today through 7 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. I- 15 
  through the Cajon Pass will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase this morning
  with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to become
  widespread and impactful this evening. Snow levels will start at
  around 5000 feet today, dropping to near 4000 feet on Monday, 
  and down to 3000 feet early Tuesday. Light snow accumulations 
  expected on the I-15 through the Cajon Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ056-292300-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T2100Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
Including the city of Idyllwild-Pine Cove
225 AM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM PST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 4 inches expected between 
  3500 and 4500 feet, 4 to 7 inches expected between 4500 and 
  5500 feet, 7 to 12 inches expected above 6000 feet. Wind gusts 
  30 to 50 mph with peak gusts to 60 mph expected at the 
  windiest desert slope locations.

* WHERE...Riverside County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 1 PM today through 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong 
  winds could cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase this afternoon
  with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to become
  widespread and impactful this evening. Snow levels will start
  near 5000 feet today, dropping to 4000 to 4500 feet on Monday
  and to 3500 feet early Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ058-292300-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.230129T2100Z-230131T1800Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
225 AM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM PST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. 1 to 3 inches expected between 4000 and 
  5000 feet. 3 to 7 inches expected between 5000 and 5500 feet. 
  7 to 12 inches expected above 5500 feet, with isolated amounts 
  over 1 foot. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph with peak gusts to 60 mph 
  expected at the windiest desert slope locations.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 1 PM today through 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute. Portions of I-8 will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase this afternoon
  with scattered snow showers. Snow will start to become more
  widespread and impactful this evening. Snow levels will start
  near 5000 feet today, dropping to around 4500 feet on Monday,
  and to 3500 feet early Tuesday. Light snow accumulations 
  possible on I-8 in eastern San Diego County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$
Gregoria
159 
WWUS46 KSGX 292125
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
125 PM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

CAZ055-300615-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including the cities of Crestline, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear City,
Big Bear Lake, Running Springs, and Wrightwood
125 PM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 3 inches expected between 3000
  and 4000 feet, 3 to 7 inches expected between 4000 and 6000
  feet, 7 to 10 inches expected between 6000 and 7000 feet, 10 to
  12 inches expected above 7000 feet, locally over a foot. Wind 
  gusts 30 to 50 mph with peak gusts to 60 mph expected at the 
  windiest desert slope locations.

* WHERE...San Bernardino County Mountains.

* WHEN...through 7 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. I- 15 
  through the Cajon Pass will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will continue through tonight. Snow
  showers will become more widespread and impactful this evening.
  Snow levels around 5000 feet today, dropping to 4500 feet on
  Monday morning, and down to 3000 feet early Tuesday. Light snow
  accumulations expected on the I-15 through the Cajon Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ056-300615-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
Including the city of Idyllwild-Pine Cove
125 PM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 4 inches expected below 5000
  feet, 4 to 9 inches expected 5000 and 6000 feet, 9 to 14 inches
  expected above 6000 feet. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph with peak 
  gusts to 60 mph expected at the windiest desert slope locations.

* WHERE...Riverside County Mountains.

* WHEN...through 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong 
  winds could cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will continue into Monday morning.
  Snow will become widespread and impactful this evening. Snow
  levels are 5000-5500 feet today, and will drop to 4000 to 4500
  feet on Monday and 3500-4500 feet early Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ058-300615-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
125 PM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. 1 to 3 inches expected between 4000 and 
  5000 feet. 3 to 7 inches expected between 5000 and 5500 feet. 
  7 to 12 inches expected above 5500 feet, with isolated amounts 
  over 1 foot. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph with peak gusts to 60 mph 
  expected at the windiest desert slope locations.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 1 PM today through 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute. Portions of I-8 will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will continue into early Monday
  morning. Snow will start to become more widespread and impactful
  this evening. Snow levels are 5000-5500 feet today, dropping to
  around 4500 feet on Monday, and 3500-4000 feet early Tuesday. 
  Light snow accumulations possible on I-8 in eastern San Diego 
  County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CO
741 
WWUS46 KSGX 300503
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
903 PM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

CAZ055-301400-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including the cities of Crestline, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear City,
Big Bear Lake, Running Springs, and Wrightwood
903 PM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 3 inches expected between 3000
  and 4000 feet, 3 to 7 inches expected between 4000 and 6000
  feet, 7 to 10 inches expected between 6000 and 7000 feet, 10 to
  12 inches expected above 7000 feet, locally over a foot. Wind
  gusts 30 to 50 mph.

* WHERE...San Bernardino County Mountains.

* WHEN...Through 7 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. I- 15 
  through the Cajon Pass will be impacted. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will continue through tonight. Snow
  showers will become more widespread and impactful this evening.
  Snow levels near 4500 feet tonight, will drop to 3000 feet 
  early Tuesday. Light snow accumulations expected on the I-15 
  through the Cajon Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ056-301400-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
Including the city of Idyllwild-Pine Cove
903 PM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. 1 to 4 inches expected below 5000
  feet, 4 to 9 inches expected 5000 and 6000 feet, 9 to 14 inches
  expected above 6000 feet. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Riverside County Mountains.

* WHEN...Through 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will continue into Monday morning.
  Snow will become widespread and impactful this evening. Snow
  levels will drop to 4000 to 4500 feet on Monday and 3500-4500 
  feet early Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ058-301400-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
903 PM PST Sun Jan 29 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. 1 to 3 inches expected between 4000 and 5000
  feet. 3 to 7 inches expected between 5000 and 5500 feet. 7 to 12
  inches expected above 5500 feet, with isolated amounts over 1
  foot. Wind gusts 30 to 50 mph.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...From 1 PM today through 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
  commute. Portions of I-8 will be impacted. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will continue into early Monday
  morning. Snow will start to become more widespread and impactful
  this evening. Snow levels will drop to around 4500 feet on
  Monday, and 3500-4000 feet early Tuesday. Light snow  
  accumulations possible on I-8 in eastern San Diego County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$
043 
WWUS46 KSGX 301135
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
335 AM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

CAZ055-302300-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including the cities of Crestline, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear City,
Big Bear Lake, Running Springs, and Wrightwood
335 AM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3
  inches between 3000 and 4500 feet, 3 to 6 inches between 4500 
  and 6500 feet, 7 to 10 inches between 6500 and 7500 feet, with 
  locally over 1 foot on the highest peaks. Winds gusting as high 
  as 35 mph.

* WHERE...San Bernardino County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty 
  winds could bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels of 3500 to 4000 feet will lower
  to below 3000 feet for late tonight and early Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

CAZ056-302300-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
Including the city of Idyllwild-Pine Cove
335 AM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 4
  inches below 5000 feet, 4 to 8 inches from 5000 to 6500 feet,
  and 8 to 14 inches above 6500 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35
  mph.

* WHERE...Riverside County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels around 4000 feet will lower to
  around 3000 feet late tonight..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

CAZ058-302300-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
335 AM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 4
  inches between 3500 and 4000 feet, 4 to 8 inches between 4000
  and 5000 feet, 8 to 12 inches above 5000 feet, with isolated 
  amounts over 1 foot on the highest peaks. Winds gusting as high 
  as 40 mph.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels of 4000 to 4500 feet will lower
  to 3000 to 3500 feet early Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

17
115 
WWUS46 KSGX 302059
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
1259 PM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

CAZ055-310600-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including the cities of Crestline, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear City,
Big Bear Lake, Running Springs, and Wrightwood
1259 PM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 2
  inches between 3000 and 4500 feet, 2 to 4 inches between 4500
  and 6500 feet, 4 to 8 inches between 6500 and 7500 feet, with
  locally over 1 foot on the highest peaks. Winds gusting as high
  as 55 mph on south-facing slopes as northeast winds pick up 
  this evening.

* WHERE...San Bernardino County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty 
  winds could bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels of 3500 to 4000 feet will lower
  to below 3000 feet for late tonight and early Tuesday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ056-310600-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
Including the city of Idyllwild-Pine Cove
1259 PM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 3
  inches below 5000 feet, 3 to 6 inches from 5000 to 6500 feet,
  and 6 to 12 inches above 6500 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35
  mph.

* WHERE...Riverside County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels around 4000 feet will lower 
  to around 3000 feet late tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ058-310600-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
1259 PM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 4 
  inches between 3500 and 4000 feet, 4 to 8 inches between 4000 
  and 5000 feet, 8 to 12 inches above 5000 feet, with isolated 
  amounts over 1 foot on the highest peaks. Winds gusting as 
  high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels of 4000 to 4500 feet will 
  lower to 3000 to 3500 feet early Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

Adams
495 
WWUS46 KSGX 310508
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
908 PM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

CAZ055-311500-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
Including the cities of Crestline, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear City,
Big Bear Lake, Running Springs, and Wrightwood
908 PM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 1 inch.
  Winds gusting as high as 55 mph on south-facing slopes as 
  northeast winds pick up this evening.

* WHERE...San Bernardino County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels of 3500 to 4000 feet will 
  lower to below 3000 feet for late tonight and early Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ056-311500-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
Including the city of Idyllwild-Pine Cove
908 PM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 2
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Riverside County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels near 4000 feet will lower to 
  around 3000 feet late tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$

CAZ058-311500-
/O.CON.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
908 PM PST Mon Jan 30 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7
  inches above 5000 feet and 1 to 2 inches above 3500 feet. Winds
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels of near 4000 feet will lower 
  to 3000 to 3500 feet early Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For road condition information in California...enter
8 0 0 4 2 7 7 6 2 3 if inside california or
9 1 6 4 5 5 7 6 2 3 if outside California.

&&

$$
Gregoria
661 
WWUS46 KSGX 310812
WSWSGX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Diego CA
1212 AM PST Tue Jan 31 2023

CAZ055-310915-
/O.CAN.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1500Z/
San Bernardino County Mountains-
1212 AM PST Tue Jan 31 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Most snow showers have ended.

$$

CAZ056-310915-
/O.CAN.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1800Z/
Riverside County Mountains-
1212 AM PST Tue Jan 31 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Snow showers will continue to diminish overnight with additional 
snowfall of one inch or less.

$$

CAZ058-311400-
/O.EXT.KSGX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230131T1400Z/
San Diego County Mountains-
Including the cities of Julian and Pine Valley
1212 AM PST Tue Jan 31 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...San Diego County Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM PST early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The snow level will lower to 3000 to 3500
  feet with snow showers diminishing from the north through early
  this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

17

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 28, 9:27 AM PST, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 28, 9:27 AM PST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Diego CA
927 AM PST Sat Jan 28 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Cooler and cloudier conditions will prevail for the weekend into
early next week. An incoming storm system will bring gusty west
winds, low-elevation mountain snow, and widespread rain to lower
elevations. Scattered showers are possible by Sunday morning with
the bulk of the precipitation falling late Sunday into Monday
before tapering off into Tuesday. Snow levels will be low through
the duration of the storm, resulting in significant snow
accumulations which is expected to impact major mountain passes.
Dry conditions will return by late Tuesday, with periods of
offshore winds and warmer conditions expected through the end of
the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

Forecast Highlights:
*Winter storm will bring rain, wind, and mountain snow Sunday
 through Tuesday.
*Impacts expected on major mountain passes, including I-15 through
 the Cajon Pass and I-8 in the San Diego County mountains.

A coastal eddy developed overnight, bringing areas of low clouds to
coastal locations this morning. Clouds are most widespread in San
Diego County with patchier coverage in Orange County. Areas of low
clouds expected along the coast for much of today, before spreading
further inland this evening into Sunday ahead of an approaching low
pressure system. High temperatures today are forecast to be 5 to 10
degrees cooler than yesterday everywhere expect the low deserts.
Further cooling is expected on Sunday through early next week for
the entire area. Scattered showers are expected to develop ahead of
the low pressure system on Sunday, before more widespread
precipitation late Sunday into Monday. Showers are expected to taper
off from northwest to southeast Tuesday. More details surrounding the
uncertainties in the precipitation forecast, forecast rainfall
totals, and rates can be found in the Hydrology section below.

The main impact from this storm will be snowfall in the mountains.
This is a cold system. Snow levels will start out at around 4500
feet then lower to 3500-4000 feet on Monday and down to about 3000
feet as showers wind down Monday night-Tuesday. This will result in
snowfall down to pass level along I-15/Cajon Pass and I-8 in the San
Diego County mountains. Snowfall will be significant in the mountain
communities. 8-12 inches is likely above 6000 feet, 4-9 inches 5000-
6000 feet, and 1-3 inches 3000-4000 feet. Accumulating snowfall is
expected in higher elevation locations in the High Desert.

In addition to rain and low-elevation mountain snow, gusty west
winds are expected Sunday into early Monday. Winds over the
mountains are expected to peak at 50 to 60 mph. Winds on the desert
mountain slopes into the deserts will peak at 40 to 50 mph, with the
strongest winds expected over the San Bernardino mountains into the
High Desert.

The storm system will depart to the east on Tuesday, with dry
conditions expected by Tuesday evening. Clear conditions will
prevail Wednesday through late next week. Periods of gusty north to
northeast winds expected on Tuesday. Winds look like they will
mostly impact areas north of San Diego County. Strongest winds
expected through the Cajon Pass into the Inland Empire and on the
foothills of the San Bernardino and Santa Ana mountains. Winds will
diminish by Tuesday evening. Wednesday morning is expected to be
quite cold, with inland frost expected to develop. A building upper
level ridge is expected for the end of the week bringing warmer
conditions into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
291700Z...SCT-BKN low clouds with bases 2500-3000 ft MSL and tops
around 3000 ft MSL will continue within 10 miles of the coast today
with mostly clear skies elsewhere and unrestricted VIS. Clouds will
spread inland after 23Z today and extend east to the coastal
mountain slopes by 04Z Sun with bases continuing 2500-3000 ft MSL
and tops rising to 5500 ft MSL by 12Z Sun with higher terrain
becoming obscured 04Z-08Z Sun. ISOLD -SHRA will develop after 08Z
Sun from the mountains west to the coast, including VCNTY KSAN, KCRQ
and KSNA, continuing Sun.

Areas of west winds will develop over the mountains and deserts
after 08Z Sun with gusts 25-45 kt, except more southerly VCNTY Cajon
Pass.

&&

.MARINE...
No hazardous marine weather conditions are expected through next
Wednesday, except for gusts from the west around 20 knots Sunday
afternoon and night over the coastal waters.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A cold, low pressure system will drop along the coast this weekend,
move over the CA Bight on Monday, before swinging inland just south
of San Diego. The path of this storm will keep us in an extended
period of showers starting Sunday and continuing into Tuesday.
Current guidance is trending wetter, especially for San Diego
County. There is still some uncertainty surrounding the exact
position of the low pressure system, leading to uncertainty
regarding how much rain could fall and how heavy the showers will
be. Global ensemble clusters continue to show 30.5% variance (amount
of spread in ensemble solutions)around the position of the low
pressure system by Tuesday. Clusters with more ECMWF and Canadian
guidance are wetter than clusters with more GEFS.

The bulk of the rainfall is expected after midnight on Sunday night
through Monday afternoon. Showers will diminish from northwest to
southeast Monday night into Tuesday. Showers will linger the longest
over the San Diego County mountains. Current guidance has 0.20-0.50
inches in Orange County and the Inland Empire. In San Diego County
0.35-0.70 inches are expected, with the lower accumulations along
the coast and the higher accumulations in the eastern valleys. The
Coachella Valley and High Desert have total rainfall around a tenth
of an inch. The San Diego County deserts could see total rainfall
accumulations of 0.25-0.45 inches. It will be a cold system, so low
snow levels (3500-4000) feet will help limit runoff from higher
elevations.

Current high resolution guidance has hourly rainfall rates between
0.25-0.35 inches late Sunday through Monday. A prolonged period of
light rain over ground that will quickly become saturated, could
result in considerable runoff, and ponding of water in poorly
drained and urban areas. Rivers and streams will rise once again and
could inundate, normally dry areas by late Monday. All interests
should continue to monitor later forecasts.

&&

.SKYWARN...
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are
encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through late Monday night
     for San Bernardino County Mountains.

     Winter Storm Watch from Sunday afternoon through late Monday
     night for Riverside County Mountains.

     Winter Storm Watch from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday morning
     for San Diego County Mountains.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM Sunday to midnight PST Sunday night for
     Apple and Lucerne Valleys.

     Wind Advisory from 1 PM Sunday to 7 AM PST Monday for Coachella
     Valley-San Diego County Deserts-San Gorgonio Pass Near
     Banning.

PZ...None.

&&

PUBLIC/HYDROLOGY...CO
AVIATION/MARINE...Maxwell

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in California, 2023Every winter storm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.