Tornado Warning 7, NWS Springfield, MO

828 
WWUS53 KSGF 051109
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
609 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

MOC209-051119-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-230405T1145Z/
Stone MO-
609 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN STONE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3661 9331 3680 9277 3650 9279 3650 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1109Z 236DEG 53KT 3654 9316 

$$

MOC213-051145-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-230405T1145Z/
Taney MO-
609 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CDT FOR TANEY
COUNTY...
    
At 609 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Hollister, or 9 miles southeast of Branson, moving
northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Branson, Lake Taneycomo, Bull Shoals Lake, Table Rock Lake, Table
Rock State Park, Hollister, Forsyth, Kissee Mills, Table Rock,
Kirbyville, Powersite, Protem, Rueter, Ridgedale, Ozark Beach and
Edgewater Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 9331 3680 9277 3650 9279 3650 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1109Z 236DEG 53KT 3654 9316 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Wise

861 
WWUS53 KSGF 051122
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
622 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

MOC213-051145-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-230405T1145Z/
Taney MO-
622 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CDT FOR EASTERN
TANEY COUNTY...
    
At 621 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles southeast of Forsyth, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Taneycomo, Bull Shoals Lake, Forsyth, Kissee Mills, Protem and
Rueter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3680 9277 3650 9279 3650 9311 3668 9312
TIME...MOT...LOC 1121Z 235DEG 49KT 3663 9300 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Wise

873 
WWUS53 KSGF 051134
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
634 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

MOC213-051143-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-230405T1145Z/
Taney MO-
634 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EASTERN TANEY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been
cancelled. However, large hail and damaging winds remain likely and a
Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.  However
small hail and gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3680 9277 3650 9279 3650 9311 3668 9312
TIME...MOT...LOC 1131Z 236DEG 53KT 3674 9280 

$$

Wise

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
311 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

Key Messages:

1. Potential for significant severe thunderstorms including
dangerous large hail and tornadoes through this morning.

2. Cooler and drier weather Wednesday through Friday. Monitor for
frost potential Thursday and Friday mornings.

3. Elevated fire weather conditions may occur Thursday and Friday.

4. Warming trend through the weekend into early next week.

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 227 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

Early this morning, the region was situated between two areas of
strong to severe convection. Storms moving out of Arkansas were
impacting far south central Missouri and a cold front moving
across eastern Kansas will move across the region over the through
this morning. A 04z sounding from Springfield showed the cap had
weakened with only 29 j/kg of CINH.

In advance of the front, an unstable airmass has been in place
since yesterday evening thanks to a strong cap across the Ozarks.
Over the past 8 hours the cap has eroded allowing severe storms to
develop along the front. MUCape values along and ahead of the
front was in the 2000 to 3000 j/kg range with nearly 50 to 60kts
of bulk shear and a destabilizing atmosphere. A strong 50-60kt
LLJ will combined with good upper level diffluence from a strong
upper jet max will aid in storm development. With the addition of
frontal lift, all modes of severe weather are expected as the
front moves across the Ozarks this morning.

South winds across the Ozarks was continuing to bring warm and
moist air into the area and will provide fuel for continued
severe weather. Expectations are for a few tornadoes, large hail
to 2 inches in diameter and damaging winds to 70 mph.

The front is expected to move through the Ozarks by Noon with
clearing skies and cooler temperatures moving in behind the front
as winds turn out of the northwest. Afternoon temperatures will
likely only be in the 50s for areas generally west of Highway 56
and in the 60s to the east.

With cold air advection ongoing tonight temperatures will fall
into the 30s. Most locations should see winds remain around 10mph
which should limit and frost potential to locations sheltered
from the wind

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 227 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

Cooler and drier air will continue Thursday with afternoon highs
in the upper 50s to around 60. With the region remaining under the
influence of high pressure into Friday another chilly night is
expected with frost likely Friday morning. The best chances would
be generally along and north of I-44, but later forecasts will
better place the areas of frost concern. Dry air may limit frost
potential with temperatures at or near freezing occurring around
sunrise. Continue to monitor for potential frost or freeze.

A warming trend is expected to begin Friday and continue through
the weekend once the high pressure moves east of the region. This
will bring the potential for lower RH values and increasing winds
which may result in some elevated fire concerns on Friday. Recent
trends in the "green up" around the area will begin to suppress
fire weather concerns over the coming weeks. Afternoon highs will
be in the middle 60s on Friday.

The warming trend continues into Saturday and Sunday. A pleasant
weekend is expected with mostly dry conditions as highs climb into
the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Heading into next week and beyond, the pattern favors above normal
temperatures and drier weather with highs around 80 to the lower
80s by the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2023

High overcast cloud cover will remain in place overnight as a
front approaches the region. Initially, VFR conditions will
continue ahead of the front with some low level wind shear through
part of the overnight into the near sunrise period.

A cold front will move through the Ozarks region through the
early morning hours. This will bring the potential for MVFR to IFR
flight conditions as the front and storms move through the
region. Winds will shift from southerly to northerly as the front
move through.

Flight conditions will improve to VFR for most of the area by mid
morning behind the front.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
555 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-061100-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
555 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

...Severe Thunderstorms This Morning...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

 Limited tornado risk.
 Elevated hail risk.
 Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
 Elevated lightning risk.
 Limited excessive rainfall risk.
 Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
 Elevated frost risk.
 Elevated fire weather risk.

DISCUSSION...

Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop across the
Missouri Ozarks this morning. Large hail up to the size of golf
balls and damaging winds up to 70 mph will be the main threats.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible early this morning east of a
line from Table Rock Lake to Lebanon.

Wind gusts of 35 to 40 mph will be possible through the day as a
strong cold front moves across the area. The strong winds behind
the front will lead to an elevated fire weather risk, especially
over southeast Kansas and far western Missouri where drought
conditions persist.

Much colder air will spread into the area tonight with
temperatures dropping to near freezing, especially in valleys and
other low lying areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A cooler air mass will remain across the region through Friday
and there is the potential for frost during early morning on
Thursday and Friday. Given the dry air in place, elevated fire
weather conditions will develop Wednesday and again Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed this morning for locations along
 and east of a line from Cassville to Osage Beach.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Terry

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
426 AM CDT WED APR 5 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 AM     HAIL             ORONOGO                 37.19N 94.47W
04/05/2023  E1.00 INCH       JASPER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

TITUS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
437 AM CDT WED APR 5 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0436 AM     HAIL             4 SSW NEOSHO            36.81N 94.39W
04/05/2023  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

TITUS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
506 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

MOZ093-101-051030-
Newton MO-McDonald MO-
506 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Newton
and central McDonald Counties through 530 AM CDT...

At 506 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Anderson, or near Pineville, moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Big Sugar Creek State Park, Anderson, Goodman, Pineville, Lanagan,
Fairview, Newtonia, Stella, Wentworth, Stark City, Ritchey and Rocky
Comfort.

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 1 and 13.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 9453 3705 9407 3705 9406 3676 9407
      3653 9443
TIME...MOT...LOC 1006Z 230DEG 57KT 3664 9440

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Melto

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
513 AM CDT WED APR 5 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 AM     HAIL             3 W BOLIVAR             37.61N 93.47W
04/05/2023  U1.25 INCH       POLK               MO   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: HALF DOLLAR (1.25 IN.).

&&

TITUS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
538 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

MOZ094-102-103-051115-
Barry MO-Lawrence MO-Stone MO-
538 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Stone,
northeastern Barry and southeastern Lawrence Counties through 615 AM
CDT...

At 537 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Verona, or 7 miles southwest of Aurora, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Monett, Aurora, Marionville, Crane, Purdy, Verona, Hurley,
Chesapeake, Mcdowell, Pleasant Ridge, Wheelerville and Madry.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3670 9386 3686 9397 3719 9361 3700 9361
      3699 9334
TIME...MOT...LOC 1037Z 234DEG 53KT 3687 9379

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Melto

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
555 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

MOZ057-058-069-070-081-051130-
Maries MO-Camden MO-Miller MO-Laclede MO-Pulaski MO-
555 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Maries,
Miller, north central Laclede, northern Pulaski and eastern Camden
Counties through 630 AM CDT...

At 555 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Camdenton, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lake of The Ozarks State Park, Ha Ha Tonka State Park, Lake of The
Ozarks, Osage Beach, Camdenton, Richland, Dixon, Crocker, Iberia,
Vienna, St. Elizabeth, Saint Elizabeth, Linn Creek, Tuscumbia,
Stoutland, Brumley, Freedom, Kaiser, Old Linn Creek and Decaturville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
central, southwestern and east central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3834 9220 3829 9219 3829 9203 3806 9184
      3803 9193 3804 9195 3801 9197 3801 9202
      3799 9203 3774 9270 3804 9281 3834 9234
      3834 9229 3832 9225
TIME...MOT...LOC 1055Z 237DEG 54KT 3800 9262

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Melto