Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Charleston, WV

738 
WGUS71 KRLX 180521
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
121 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

OHC009-105-163-180700-
/O.CON.KRLX.FF.W.0006.000000T0000Z-230718T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Athens OH-Meigs OH-Vinton OH-
121 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ATHENS, NORTHWESTERN MEIGS AND EAST CENTRAL 
VINTON COUNTIES...

At 121 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms produced heavy 
rain across the warned area earlier in the evening. Between 1.5 and 
2 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Albany, Carpenter and Dyesville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Report flooding to the National Weather Service by calling toll 
free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3920 8242 3929 8212 3917 8201 3906 8230
      3908 8232

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

SL

462 
WGUS71 KRLX 180654
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

OHC009-105-163-180704-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FF.W.0006.000000T0000Z-230718T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Athens OH-Meigs OH-Vinton OH-
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN ATHENS, 
NORTHWESTERN MEIGS AND EAST CENTRAL VINTON COUNTIES...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

LAT...LON 3920 8242 3929 8212 3917 8201 3906 8230
      3908 8232

$$

ARJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1033 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Unsettled summer weather continues much of the week, as
disturbances keep on moving across.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1030 PM Monday...

PoPs adjusted for wall of convection approaching from the west.
Severe thunderstorm watch 509 issued for southern half of the
line, along which upscale growth has not yet converted to much
storm intensification.

As of 810 PM Monday...

Thunderstorms continue rolling along a west to east line
separating higher temperatures and greater instability to the
south, and lower/less to the north, respectively. These storms
could take an hour or two after sunset to diminish, as they move
across the north-central WV lowlands. Meanwhile, the Indiana
line should be diminishing as whatever is left of it moves
southeastward into southwest portions of the forecast area late
tonight.

As of 150 PM Monday...

Areas of haze from smoke in the atmosphere from Canadian
wildfires will linger through the afternoon. We will be
tracking two s/w rounding the base of the mean longwave trof
across the Ohio Valley this afternoon and tonight. Expect
showers and storm coverage to increase this afternoon, most
notably in southeast OH and the northwestern portions of WV,
closer to better lift from a sagging baroclinic zone into the
upper Ohio Valley. Given the midlevel flow and shear profiles,
some of these storms could produce a damaging wind gust...mainly
across southeast OH and western WV.

We may get another ramp up later this evening and overnight as
the upper trof axis approaches and the front decays into the
area. However, uncertainty exists to coverage and intensity of
any convection given loss of heating.

There should be less in the way of haze Tuesday as flow briefly turns
more westerly in the mid levels. Much of the day should be quiet
with another disturbance is progged toward evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 315 PM Monday...

Key Point:
* Unsettled with potential for localized flooding mid week.

A 500-mb trough lifts north Tuesday night into Wednesday as high
pressure spreads into the southeastern US. This places the CWA in
between the ridge and trough, where shortwave energy will move
through. One shortwave is projected to cross south of the area on
Wednesday while a plume of moisture expands across the CWA.
Precipitable water values are likely to climb towards 2 inches
during this time, resulting in an increased risk for flash flooding
due to heavy rain. WPC has highlighted a slight risk of excessive
rainfall across central and southern portions of the CWA, with a
marginal risk covering the rest of the CWA. Strong thunderstorms may
also develop in this warm and very moist environment. Isolated
storms may even be capable of producing damaging winds Wednesday
afternoon and evening.

Daytime temperatures may remain slightly below normal, while
the overnights remain seasonably warm.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 315 PM Monday...

Key Points:
* Unsettled through the end of the work week.
* Less active this weekend.
* The next disturbance approaches for the beginning of the new work
  week.

A shortwave passing over the region will maintain chances of
showers and thunderstorms through Thursday. Meanwhile, a low
pressure system tracks along the US/Canada border and into the
Great Lakes region. The low then crosses to the north and is
expected to push a cold front through late in the week.

Surface high pressure and drier air begin to build in behind
the front and as the parent low pulls away to the northeast.
Overall, this should result in quieter weather most of the
weekend, though a few afternoon storms aren't entirely out of
the question. Precipitation chances begin to increase early in
the new work week as the next shortwave approaches.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 810 PM Monday...

The smoke haze clearing, and convection dying down for the
evening, allow for a VFR start to the night. Thunderstorms did
persist in the middle Ohio Valley between PKB and HTS, and will
move across the north central lowlands of WV tonight, before
weakening. Other showers and thunderstorms may move into the HTS
tri-state region late tonight, but should be weakening as they
move across mainly southern and central WV overnight.

The active weather will at first preclude overnight fog
formation except at EKN, but conditions may lower to MVFR or
IFR beneath a heavier shower or thunderstorm, in which case IFR
would become more likely in its wake through the early morning
hours Tuesday.

Once the last of any showers and thunderstorms move out of the
area early Tuesday morning, Tuesday should be a more tranquil
day, with any afternoon showers and thunderstorms too widely
scattered for inclusion into otherwise VFR TAFs.

Light south to southwest surface flow overnight will become
light west to southwest on Tuesday. Flow aloft will be light to
moderate west to southwest.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to high.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Forecasts may need adjusted or amended for
showers and thunderstorms tonight. This and other factors may
affect fog formation through early Tuesday morning.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                             TUE 07/18/23
UTC 1HRLY       03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14
EDT 1HRLY       23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    M    L    M    M    L    M    L    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    H    H    M    L    L    L    L    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    M    L    L    M    L    L    L    M    M    M    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    L    H    H    H    M    H    L    M    L    L
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    M    M    M

AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY...
Brief IFR possible in showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night
through Thursday, which would also increase the chance for
early morning IFR in fog.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...30/TRM/JLB
NEAR TERM...30/TRM
SHORT TERM...JLB
LONG TERM...JLB
AVIATION...TRM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
950 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ083-086-087-WVZ005>008-013>015-026-181100-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Jackson OH-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-
Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-Boone-
950 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 509 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, portions
of southeast Ohio, and portions of central, southern and western
West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Showers and thunderstorms could also produce heavy downpours and
localized flash flooding tonight, and the area also remains in a
marginal risk for excessive rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The weather becomes unsettled again at times Wednesday through
Thursday, with showers and storms producing heavy downpours and
localized flash flooding potential.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday, with
the main threat being damaging winds and hail. While a Slight risk
for excessive rainfall exist for Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

OHZ066-067-075-076-084-085-VAZ003-004-WVZ009>011-016>020-024-025-
027>034-039-040-515>526-181100-
Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-Vinton-Meigs-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wood-
Pleasants-Tyler-Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-
Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-
Barbour-Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-
Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
950 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio,
southwest Virginia, and portions of central, northeast, northern,
southeast and southern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms could produce heavy downpours and
localized flash flooding tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The weather becomes unsettled again at times Wednesday through
Thursday, with showers and storms producing heavy downpours and
localized flash flooding potential.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday, with
the main threat being damaging winds and hail. While a Slight risk
for excessive rainfall exist for Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

TRM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1019 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

OHZ066-067-180300-
Morgan OH-Perry OH-
1019 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Perry and
northwestern Morgan Counties through 1100 PM EDT...

At 1018 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hide-A-Way Hills, or 7 miles southeast of Lancaster, moving east at
55 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
New Lexington, McConnelsville, Somerset, Shawnee, Perry State Forest,
Crooksville, Junction City, New Straitsville, Malta, Corning,
Hemlock, Rendville and Eagleport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3981 8207 3977 8208 3976 8182 3956 8175
      3955 8205 3956 8226 3959 8226 3960 8237
      3974 8236 3974 8241 3979 8240 3982 8214
      3982 8210
TIME...MOT...LOC 0218Z 263DEG 49KT 3965 8249

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

14

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1053 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

OHZ066-067-075-180345-
Athens OH-Morgan OH-Perry OH-
1053 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Perry,
southwestern Morgan and northwestern Athens Counties through 1145 PM
EDT...

At 1053 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Logan, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Nelsonville, Glouster, Shawnee, Chauncey, New Straitsville, Corning,
Buchtel, Jacksonville, Murray City, Trimble, Hemlock, Amesville,
Rendville and Burr Oak State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3965 8192 3947 8188 3937 8200 3944 8228
      3947 8228 3947 8217 3955 8216 3956 8226
      3959 8226 3960 8237 3961 8238 3966 8237
TIME...MOT...LOC 0253Z 281DEG 20KT 3956 8230

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

08

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1108 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

KYZ101-102-OHZ083-084-086-087-WVZ007-180400-
Greenup KY-Carter KY-Jackson OH-Gallia OH-Lawrence OH-Vinton OH-
Mason WV-
1108 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Greenup, Carter,
Gallia, Jackson, south central Vinton, central Lawrence and
northwestern Mason Counties through MIDNIGHT EDT...

At 1108 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Jackson to 7 miles southwest of Vanceburg.
Movement was southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland, Portsmouth, Ironton, Jackson, Grayson, Gallipolis, Coal
Grove, Olive Hill, Oak Hill, Rio Grande, Lake Vesuvius, Grayson Lake
State Park, Carter Caves State Park, New Boston, Greenup, Gesling,
Greenbo Lake, Oldtown, Load and Letitia.

This includes Interstate 64 in Kentucky between mile markers 149 and
179.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EDT for
northeastern Kentucky...southeastern Ohio...and western West
Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3834 8323 3873 8303 3876 8289 3875 8288
      3859 8285 3860 8274 3861 8274 3885 8265
      3886 8276 3897 8281 3910 8263 3900 8210
      3896 8210 3901 8199 3901 8198 3820 8301
      3827 8317 3819 8323 3821 8330 3832 8334
TIME...MOT...LOC 0308Z 310DEG 32KT 3907 8268 3852 8342

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

08

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1128 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

OHZ067-075-076-180400-
Washington OH-Athens OH-Morgan OH-
1128 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Washington, southeastern Morgan and east central Athens Counties
through MIDNIGHT EDT...

At 1128 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chesterhill, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
McConnelsville, Beverly, Chesterhill, Malta, Stockport, Amesville,
Fleming and Bartlett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3962 8159 3959 8159 3958 8156 3941 8154
      3933 8173 3940 8196 3965 8191
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 282DEG 32KT 3946 8182

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

08

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1132 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

OHZ075-076-084-085-180400-
Washington OH-Athens OH-Meigs OH-Vinton OH-
1132 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Meigs,
southwestern Washington, southeastern Vinton and southern Athens
Counties through MIDNIGHT EDT...

At 1132 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Albany, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Athens, Pomeroy, Albany, Coolville, Rutland, Tuppers Plains, Chester,
Amesville, Stroud Run State Park, Dyesville, Darwin, Harrisonville,
Dexter and Carpenter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EDT for
western West Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3933 8173 3901 8196 3903 8201 3903 8204
      3909 8236 3927 8231 3940 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 282DEG 34KT 3917 8224

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

08

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1147 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

KYZ101>103-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>008-180430-
Boyd KY-Greenup KY-Carter KY-Gallia OH-Lawrence OH-Jackson WV-
Mason WV-Wayne WV-Cabell WV-
1147 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Boyd, southeastern
Greenup, east central Carter, eastern Gallia, Lawrence, northern
Mason, central Cabell, west central Jackson and northwestern Wayne
Counties through 1230 AM EDT...

At 1146 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Tuppers Plains to Coalton. Movement was
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Huntington, Ashland, Ironton, Point Pleasant, Gallipolis, Coal Grove,
Chesapeake, Proctorville, Cannonsburg, Barboursville, Kenova,
Catlettsburg, Ceredo, Princess, Coalton, Burnaugh, Naples, Rush,
Durbin and Centerville.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 64 in Kentucky between mile markers 175 and 191.
 Interstate 64 in West Virginia between mile markers 1 and 17.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EDT for
northeastern Kentucky...southeastern Ohio...and central, western and
northwestern West Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3896 8218 3892 8191 3889 8193 3887 8190
      3889 8186 3891 8185 3890 8181 3822 8252
      3825 8261 3827 8261 3827 8264 3837 8291
TIME...MOT...LOC 0346Z 312DEG 16KT 3915 8191 3838 8279

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

08