River Flood Warning 13, NWS Pueblo, CO

128 
WGUS85 KPUB 220140
FLSPUB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
740 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Colorado...

  Arkansas River NEAR Avondale affecting Pueblo County.

  Fountain Creek Near Fountain affecting El Paso County.

  Fountain Creek Near Pinon affecting Pueblo County.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Colorado...

  Fountain Creek At Colorado Springs affecting El Paso County.

.Heavy rainfall expected overnight will cause the Fountain Creek and 
the Arkansas River at Avondale to rise above flood stage later 
tonight through tomorrow morning. The degree of flooding will depend 
highly on the amount of rain and where it falls.  The forecasts 
below could change if heavier rainfall occurs.

For the Lower Arkansas River...including Avondale...Minor flooding 
is forecast.
For the Fountain Creek...including Colorado Springs, Fountain, 
Pinon, Pueblo...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 745 AM MDT.

&&


COC101-221345-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-230624T1800Z/
/ADLC2.1.ER.230614T0237Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
740 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Arkansas River NEAR Avondale.

* WHEN...Until early Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 7.0 feet, Minor Flood. Minor lowland flooding occurs 
  near Avondale

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM MDT Wednesday the stage was 6.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow
    evening to 7.5 feet Friday morning. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Saturday morning to 6.6 feet Sunday
    evening. It will rise to 6.7 feet early Monday afternoon. It
    will then fall again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    7.8 feet on 04/24/1942.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3829 10441 3829 10434 3827 10425 3820 10425
      3822 10434 3822 10441


$$

COC041-221345-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0011.230622T0540Z-230622T1903Z/
/FNEC2.1.ER.230622T0540Z.230622T0600Z.230622T0703Z.UU/
740 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY TOMORROW 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Fountain Creek At Colorado Springs.

* WHEN...From this evening to early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Homeless encampment below and near the 
  Nevada Avenue bridge is affected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 PM MDT Wednesday the stage was 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will fall to 6.1 feet this evening. It
    will then rise above flood stage late this evening to 12.3
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will fall below flood
    stage just after midnight tonight to 7.6 feet Friday
    afternoon then rise again.
  - Flood stage is 11.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.1 feet on 09/02/1994.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 pm MDT)     
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Fountain Creek
Colorado Spring 11.5  8.0   Wed 6 pm MDT 7.9   7.7   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3885 10480 3874 10469 3862 10464 3860 10472
      3870 10476 3879 10485


$$

COC041-221345-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0012.230622T1110Z-230623T0620Z/
/FHAC2.1.ER.230622T1110Z.230622T1400Z.230622T1820Z.UU/
740 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO EARLY FRIDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Fountain Creek Near Fountain.

* WHEN...From late tonight to early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Moderate agricultural flooding and bank 
  erosion occurs.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM MDT Wednesday the stage was 8.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will oscillate around flood stage with a
    maximum value of 13.9 feet tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.1 feet on 04/30/1999.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 pm MDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Fountain Creek
Fountain      12.0  8.1   Wed 7 pm MDT 7.8   7.7   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3861 10463 3855 10458 3847 10455 3845 10464
      3853 10467 3859 10473


$$

COC101-221345-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0013.230622T1640Z-230623T0700Z/
/PNNC2.1.ER.230622T1640Z.230622T1800Z.230622T1900Z.UU/
740 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO EARLY 
FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Fountain Creek Near Pinon.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning to early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Minor agricultural flooding occurs south 
  of Pinon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM MDT Wednesday the stage was 5.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 6.1 feet late this evening.
    It will then fall to 5.4 feet just after midnight tonight. It
    will rise above flood stage late tomorrow morning to 12.3
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage early tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 pm MDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Fountain Creek
Pinon         12.0  5.3   Wed 7 pm MDT 9.2   6.7   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3846 10455 3840 10456 3833 10457 3832 10466
      3838 10465 3844 10464


$$

KT

402 
WGUS45 KPUB 220605
FLWPUB

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1205 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Major severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Colorado...

  Fountain Creek Near Fountain affecting El Paso County.

  Fountain Creek Near Pinon affecting Pueblo County.

.Heavy rainfall across southern El Paso county will cause flooding 
of Fountain Creek.

For the Fountain Creek...including Colorado Springs, Fountain, 
Pinon, Pueblo...Moderate to Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 1215 PM MDT.

&&


COC041-221815-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0012.230622T0642Z-230622T2345Z/
/FHAC2.3.ER.230622T0642Z.230622T0800Z.230622T1145Z.NR/
1205 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast. This approaches the flood of 
  record.

* WHERE...Fountain Creek Near Fountain.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flood waters flow over Old Pueblo Road 
  south of Fountain.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 PM MDT Wednesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will oscillate around flood stage with a
    maximum value of 16.1 feet early this morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (12 am MDT)    
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Fountain Creek
Fountain      12.0  9.5   Wed 11 pm MD 8.4   8.3   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3861 10463 3855 10458 3847 10455 3845 10464
      3853 10467 3859 10473


$$

COC101-221815-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0013.230622T1247Z-230623T0854Z/
/PNNC2.2.ER.230622T1247Z.230622T1600Z.230622T2054Z.UU/
1205 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO JUST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Fountain Creek Near Pinon.

* WHEN...From this morning to just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Water threatens buildings near 28th Street 
  in Pueblo.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:15 PM MDT Wednesday the stage was 5.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this morning to a crest of 14.3 feet late this morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (12 am MDT)    
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Fountain Creek
Pinon         12.0  5.3   Wed 11 pm MD 8.8   7.4   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3846 10455 3840 10456 3833 10457 3832 10466
      3838 10465 3844 10464


$$

KT

669 
WGUS85 KPUB 220712
FLSPUB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
112 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Colorado...

  Fountain Creek Near Pinon affecting Pueblo County.

  Fountain Creek Near Fountain affecting El Paso County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Colorado...

  Fountain Creek At Colorado Springs affecting El Paso County.

.Heavy rainfall across southern El Paso county will cause flooding 
of Fountain Creek. Water levels have receded for Fountain Creek at 
Colorado Springs but flooding will continue downstream.

For the Fountain Creek...including Colorado Springs, Fountain, 
Pinon, Pueblo...Moderate to Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued early this morning at 215 AM MDT.

&&


COC041-220815-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-230622T0712Z/
/FNEC2.1.ER.230622T0557Z.230622T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
112 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Fountain Creek At Colorado Springs.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:45 AM MDT Thursday the stage was 7.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.7
    feet early this morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3885 10480 3874 10469 3862 10464 3860 10472
      3870 10476 3879 10485


$$

COC101-221915-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0013.230622T1307Z-230623T0845Z/
/PNNC2.2.ER.230622T1307Z.230622T1600Z.230622T2045Z.UU/
112 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO JUST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Fountain Creek Near Pinon.

* WHEN...From this morning to just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Water threatens buildings near 28th Street 
  in Pueblo.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:15 AM MDT Thursday the stage was 5.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this morning to a crest of 14.0 feet late this morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am MDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Fountain Creek
Pinon         12.0  5.9   Thu 12 am MD 8.3   7.1   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3846 10455 3840 10456 3833 10457 3832 10466
      3838 10465 3844 10464


$$

COC041-221915-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-230622T2345Z/
/FHAC2.3.ER.230622T0620Z.230622T0800Z.230622T1145Z.UU/
112 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Fountain Creek Near Fountain.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flood waters flow over Old Pueblo Road 
  south of Fountain.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:00 AM MDT Thursday the stage was 11.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.1
    feet early this morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early this morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am MDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Fountain Creek
Fountain      12.0  11.2  Thu 12 am MD 8.9   8.4   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3861 10463 3855 10458 3847 10455 3845 10464
      3853 10467 3859 10473


$$

KT

566 
WGUS85 KPUB 221341
FLSPUB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
741 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Colorado...

  Fountain Creek Near Pinon affecting Pueblo County.

  Arkansas River NEAR Avondale affecting Pueblo County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Colorado...

  Fountain Creek Near Fountain affecting El Paso County.

For the Lower Arkansas River...including Pueblo, Avondale, Nepesta, 
Fowler, Rocky Ford, La Junta, Lamar...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Fountain Creek...including Colorado Springs, Fountain, 
Pinon, Pueblo...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this morning at 845 AM MDT.

&&


COC041-221445-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-230622T1341Z/
/FHAC2.3.ER.230622T0620Z.230622T0645Z.230622T0715Z.UU/
741 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Fountain Creek Near Fountain.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM MDT Thursday the stage was 9.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 8.4 feet Saturday
    morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 am MDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Fountain Creek
Fountain      12.0  9.6   Thu 7 am MDT 8.4   8.4   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3861 10463 3855 10458 3847 10455 3845 10464
      3853 10467 3859 10473


$$

COC101-230145-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-230623T0439Z/
/PNNC2.1.ER.230622T1515Z.230622T1600Z.230622T1639Z.UU/
741 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Fountain Creek Near Pinon.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Water threatens buildings near 28th Street 
  in Pueblo.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 AM MDT Thursday the stage was 11.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this morning to a crest of 13.5 feet late this morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage late this morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 am MDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Fountain Creek
Pinon         12.0  11.5  Thu 7 am MDT 7.0   6.4   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3846 10455 3840 10456 3833 10457 3832 10466
      3838 10465 3844 10464


$$

COC101-230145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-230626T0600Z/
/ADLC2.1.ER.230614T0237Z.230622T1800Z.230625T1800Z.UU/
741 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Arkansas River NEAR Avondale.

* WHEN...Until early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Moderate Flood

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 AM MDT Thursday the stage was 7.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 AM MDT Thursday was 7.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 7.9
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Sunday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    7.9 feet on 07/20/1969.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3829 10441 3829 10434 3827 10425 3820 10425
      3822 10434 3822 10441


$$

Ehr

260 
WGUS85 KPUB 221652
FLSPUB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1052 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Colorado...

  Fountain Creek Near Pinon affecting Pueblo County.

COC101-221800-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-230622T1652Z/
/PNNC2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1052 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Fountain Creek Near Pinon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 AM MDT Thursday the stage was 8.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 6.4 feet Saturday
    morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (11 am MDT)    
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Fountain Creek
Pinon         12.0  8.5   Thu 10 am MD 6.9   6.4   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 3846 10455 3840 10456 3833 10457 3832 10466
      3838 10465 3844 10464


$$

JML

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
247 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 244 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

Key messages:

1) dangerous thunderstorms capable of producing all severe weather
types along with high impact flash flooding will be possible in and
around the lower elevations of the Pikes Peak region later this
evening into the early morning hours.

2 More isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible over
the plains this afternoon and evening, and once again tomorrow late
afternoon.

Currently...

A volatile atmosphere was noted over the plains this afternoon. CAPE
values were in the 3000 to 5000 range and effective shear was in the
30 to 40 knot range. The atmosphere, however, was capped.

Skies were mostly clear all areas, although low cumulus were note
dover the far eastern plains and up in the Pikes Peak region.

Temperatures were in the 80s plains nd 70s valleys. Much drier air
was noted over the mtns and valleys., and along the southern I-25
corridor region.

Rest of today (til 6 pm)...

CAMS show it should remain dry all areas, with the exception over
eastern El Paso county were an isolated strong storm will be
possible later this afternoon. I am also concerned that we may see
some isolated convection develop over the far southeastern plains
late in the afternoon. Otherwise, moisture will continue to push
back to the west, and expect the atmosphere over the region to
continue to destabilize.

Tonight...

There is not other way to put it, dangerous severe thunderstorms are
very likely over the Pikes Peak region, specifically western El Paso
county including all the metro areas of Colorado Springs. All of the
high resolution guidance continues to paint explosive thunderstorm
development occurring later this evening during the 9 pm to 10 pm
time period. CAPE values are progged to be 4000 to 5000 range and
effective shear is going to be in the 40 to 50 knot range per the
spc mesoanalysis page. Any sustained updraft that forms in this
environment will become severe, capable of producing very large
destructive hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. Additionally, latest
HRRR guidance is showing accumulating rainfall to 7 to 8 inches. I
do believe these values are overdone, but nonetheless, there is
likely going to be rainfall values that will easily cause flash
flooding.

Based on what we are seeing in satellite date, the main moisture
push was pushing west and the leading edge was moving across the CO
and KS border (this moisture surge was associated with all of the
convection in central KS earlier this morning). It is this boundary
that will continue to push westward and will initiate the main
explosive convection over the Colorado Springs region around 9-10 pm
tonight.

Most of the guidance only shows the most dangerous storms affecting
the greater COS region this evening, keeping most other areas dry.
However, the atmosphere over all of the plains will be very
volatile through the nighttime hours, and any storms that go up
will be capable of all severe hazards along with flash flooding.

In an earlier call with SPC, a watch will be issued later today for
parts, or all. of the plains, with giant hail being the primary
threat.

Tomorrow...

Expect mostly cloudy and cool weather over the plains, There may (or
may not) be convection ongoing across the far eastern plains early
tomorrow morning. Either way, I expect it to be rather stable over
the plains for a good part of tomorrow, and convection may not
develop into late in the day tomorrow. The primary severe threat
will be along the I-25 corridor.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 244 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

Key Messages:

1) Lingering showers and storms Thursday night into very early
Friday.

2) Drying and warming pattern kicks in starting this weekend through
the beginning of next week.

Thursday Night and Friday...

Lingering showers and thunderstorms from Thursday's convection will
potentially linger into the evening and early overnight hours thanks
to good surface moisture and a mid-level disturbance. As said
disturbance moves eastwards, precipitation will wane and move east,
clearing our area by Friday morning. A mid-level low will pass north
of Colorado during the day Friday, which may actually work to push
out moisture and dry things out. While a rogue isolated shower or
thunderstorm will be possible over the eastern plains Friday
afternoon, things should generally be on the quiet side.
Temperatures will also increase a fair bit from Thursday, with highs
in the low-80s over the high terrain and low-90s over the eastern
plains.

Saturday Onwards...

Upper-level ridging will build in starting on Saturday, giving us
above average temperatures and dry conditions across the area
through the rest of the extended period. Mostly clear skies will
also persist through the weekend. Some amorphous shortwave energy at
the mid and upper levels could give us some isolated afternoon
showers and thunderstorms, mainly over the higher terrain, but
otherwise things should be quiet. Long-range models and ensemble
solutions hint at a new system moving into Colorado around midweek.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 244 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

...HIGH IMPACT WEATHER TONIGHT...

KCOS..

MAIN CONCERN --- Severe Thunderstorms will likely affect the KCOS
air space after 04 UTC tonight and lasting to about 07 UTC. Damaging
winds and destructive hail will be possible. Hailstones measuring 2
to 3 inches in diameter will be possible in and around KCOS.

In the meantime, and isolated strong to severe storm may develop
late this afternoon in the vicinity of KCOS.

After 07 UTC, MVFR/IFR conditions likely through tomorrow morning.
More thunderstorms will be possible late tomorrow afternoon.

KPUB...VFR through about 04-05 UTC, then a chance of strong to
severe thunderstorms through 08 UTC, MVFR/IFR through tomorrow
morning. More thunderstorms will be possible late tomorrow
afternoon.

KALS...

VFR through 24 hours. Gusty southwest winds this afternoon and
tomorrow afternoon

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch from 6 PM MDT this evening through late tonight for
COZ084-085.

&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...HODANISH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1100 AM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

COZ058>089-093>099-221700-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1100 AM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

...DANGEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER THE PIKES PEAK
REGION LATER THIS EVENING....

Intense severe thunderstorms are very likely over the Pikes Peak
region later this evening. Very large hail...2 inches in diameter
or greater...will be possible, along with damaging winds over 70
mph. There is also a low chance of a tornado. In addition to the
severe weather threat, the FLASH FLOOD threat will be high this
evening over the Pikes Peak region. The severe thunderstorm
activity is expected to develop after 9 pm tonight and potentially
last into the early morning hours.

For this afternoon and early evening, isolated strong to severe
thunderstorms may develop over most of the plains, with the
best chance of storms developing north and east of a line from
Pueblo to Kim. Large hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado
cannot be ruled out.

For late tonight over the plains, there is quite a bit of
uncertainty on the evolution of thunderstorm movement over the
region. However the threat is high enough that a band of strong to
severe storms may move across the far eastern plains during the
late night time period. Flash flooding, damaging winds, large hail
and isolated tornadoes will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected for Thursday,
mainly along and east of the Continental Divide in the late morning,
and spreading into the I-25 corridor and the eastern plains through
the afternoon and evening hours. Some storms could become severe,
especially across the Palmer Divide, with main threats being 1 inch
hail, 60 mph winds, and torrential rainfall.

On Friday, isolated strong to severe storms will be possible across
our eastern plains.

Much warmer temperatures through this period will lead to another
surge in runoff from the last of the high mountain snowpack,
especially across the Arkansas basin.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be very likely over the plains, and especially the greater EL PASO
COUNTY region.

NWS PUB STAFF - Hodanish

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
605 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     Hail             5 SW Black Forest       38.97N 104.76W
06/21/2023  M1.60 inch       El Paso            CO   Public

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
627 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     Hail             4 N Fort Lyon           38.15N 103.16W
06/21/2023  M2.75 inch       Bent               CO   Public

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
654 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     Hail             2 SW Fort Lyon          38.08N 103.18W
06/21/2023  E1.50 inch       Bent               CO   Public

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
658 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 PM     Hail             3 W Fort Lyon           38.10N 103.20W
06/21/2023  M1.00 inch       Bent               CO   Public

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
705 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     Hail             1 N Las Animas          38.08N 103.22W
06/21/2023  M1.75 inch       Bent               CO   Law Enforcement

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
709 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

COZ089-095-220145-
Crowley County CO-Western Kiowa County CO-
709 PM MDT Wed Jun 21 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Kiowa
and northeastern Crowley Counties through 745 PM MDT...

At 709 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Wild Horse Point, or 39 miles north of La Junta, moving east at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central Kiowa
and northeastern Crowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 10327 3851 10364 3852 10363 3852 10351
      3853 10350 3853 10323
TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 280DEG 13KT 3856 10349

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

kam