Special Marine Warning 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1202 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front approaching from the west arrives late afternoon
and into the evening, followed by an area of high pressure for
tonight. Our midweek storm system begins to take shape across
the central US, lifting a warm front near our region by late
Wednesday. The boundary is forecast to settle across the
forecast area Wednesday night into Thursday. Another cold front
from the west is expected to arrive on Thursday night with high
pressure arriving in its wake for Friday into Saturday. A cold
front and strengthening low pressure approaching from the west
may impact our weather on Sunday or Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A disturbance is forecasted to bring more precipitation to the
region this afternoon. Though this precipitation should not
carry anything too impressive QPF wise, this precipitation
associated with another boundary has the potential to carry
impacts along with it. There is indication within guidance that
elevated convection may be allowed to take place, allowing for
the possibility of thunder and small hail/graupel. The biggest
concern will be wind gusts. Guidance indicates a well mixed
layer with the potential for near 40 mph gusts to mix down to
the surface, especially for the western most of our PA counties
(i.e., Berks/Chester). By 22z most impacts should cease as
precipitation moves away from the region though some near 20 to
25 knot gusts could persist thereafter.

For tonight high pressure looks to wedge in; clear skies with
diminishing WNW winds will be the story of the period.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Surface high pressure over the area early Wednesday will
retreat eastward off the coast through the day. As the surface
high moves farther off the coast, warm advection will develop in
its wake ahead of a potent weather system approaching from the
middle part of the country. The warm air will override the low
level cold air anchored to our north resulting in a widespread
variation in temperatures in our region as we head into
Thursday.

Precipitation is anticipated to advect into our region from the
west and southwest on Wednesday. It will take some time to
moisten the lower layers of the atmosphere over our region.
However, by late afternoon the precipitation should reach most
areas including the Poconos and far northern New Jersey. While
it should be rain at most locations, enough cold air is expected
for some light snow, sleet or a wintry mix at the onset in the
Lehigh Valley, the Poconos and northern New Jersey.

Temperatures will actually warm into Wednesday night changing
precip to all rain near the I-78 corridor (with periods of rain
continuing farther south) with the wintry mix to the north
becoming mainly freezing rain for a time over the southern
Poconos and potentially into Sussex County NJ as well. Even here
in these northern areas temperatures are expected to eventually
rise above freezing by later Wednesday night or early Thursday
as an initial wave of low pressure moves across northern PA
causing winds to turn southerly. Before this changeover occurs
though, potential still exists for some locations above 1000
feet in the Poconos and NW NJ to receive around or in excess of
a tenth of an inch ice accumulation.

As the initial wave of energy moves east of the area early
Thursday, steadier precip should shut down with it mainly
looking like a dry day. The main forecast challenge and weather
story of the day will be the sharp divide in temperatures. This
is because as the initial area of low pressure moves off to the
east it could drag the front slightly farther back to the south
leading it to set up near NE PA into northern NJ. South of where
it sets up, expect highs soaring into the mid 60s to mid 70s
range while to the north it will stay in the 40s. This makes for
a very tricky forecast as there is some uncertainty in exactly
where the front will be with the gradient across it being very
strong. The overall trend has been towards a more northern storm
track with this system but the concern I have is the
combination of the strong high to the north and the initial wave
moving east of the area early Thursday may tend to keep the
surface front hung up over northern NJ into NE PA. For this
reason, we are forecasting temperatures a bit colder than the
model consensus here with highs over our northern NJ zones
likely staying in the 40s to low 50s. Coastal NJ should
experience similar temperatures as well due to onshore winds.
Elsewhere, expect highs soaring into the 60s to mid 70s over
interior southern NJ, SE PA, and Delmarva. These warmer areas
will also see some sunshine developing while near the front
farther north it will remain mostly cloudy and there could be
some showers around.

Thursday night, the main area of low pressure passes by to our
north as it moves from the lower Great Lakes eastward towards
New England. This keeps most of the area in the warm sector for
the majority of the night with temperatures through most of the
night in the 40s and 50s. Other than a continuing chance for a
few showers over NE PA into NW NJ closer to the track of the low
it should be a precip free night as the main shield of precip
will be north of the area.

Things change by very late Thursday night into early Friday as
the low passes east of New England dragging a strong cold front
southward through the area. This will result in temperatures
actually falling through the day Friday due to the strong cold
advection pattern. Early in the day (pre-sunrise) it will still
be in the 40s and 50s with temperatures then falling through the
morning and generally ranging from the 30s to mid 40s by mid
afternoon with 20s in the southern Poconos. The falling
temperatures will also be accompanied by very strong winds due
to a strong pressure gradient behind the departing system.
Expect NW winds 20 to 30 gusting at least 30 to 40 mph.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Cold high pressure is forecast to slide across New England
Friday night and begin shifting off the Northeast Coast during
the day Saturday. Robust cold air advection and a very dry
airmass (dewpoints in the single digits) Friday night will allow
overnight low temps to drop slightly below average, with upper
teens to mid 20s for the coastal plains and low to mid teens for
higher elevations! A disorganized low will begin developing
along a frontal boundary across Tennessee and North Carolina,
but with high pressure to our north and a cold, dry airmass in
place will likely keep the Delaware Valley mostly dry on
Saturday. Have decreased precip chances to reflect the continued
dry trend in deterministic guidance, but have maintained the
mention of a slight chance to chance of precipitation in the
event that the models trend back the other way. Afternoon high
temps Saturday will be below climo as well, with mid to upper
30s for the coastal plains and upper 20s to low 30s for higher
elevations.

There remains a fair amount of spread in the guidance for
Sunday into Monday. In general for Sunday, our disorganized
southern low Saturday will strengthen offshore, though guidance
disagrees if any precip will reach our forecast area. High
pressure looks to move overhead Sunday night and during the day
Monday before a fairly potent system developing across the
central US moves closer to the Northeast Monday night. At this
time, there are still significant timing differences with this
system and decided to stick close to NBM guidance.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

This afternoon...Lingering MVFR/IFR conditions around KRDG,
KABE, KTTN and KPNE early this afternoon. Mainly VFR at KPHL,
KILG, KMIV and KACY. A cold front is forecast to move eastward
across the TAF sites between about 18Z and 21Z bringing showers
and lowering conditions. The showers may also be accompanied by
wind gusts around 35 knots, small hail and isolated thunder.
Clearing is anticipated after the front passes. West southwest
wind increasing to around 10 knots, then shifting to the west
northwest after the cold front passes with speeds of 10 to 15
knots and gusts of 20 to 25 knots. Medium confidence.

Tonight...VFR. Northwest wind around 10 knots, becoming
variable 5 knots or less after midnight. High confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday...VFR in the morning. Conditions then lowering in the
afternoon with the arrival of rain. These restrictions should
continue Wednesday night. Variable wind 5 knots or less,
becoming east to southeast 5 to 10 knots. Medium confidence.

Thursday...Lingering MVFR/IFR conditions are possible in the
morning with a chance of rain, then conditions improving to VFR.
Southwest wind increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Medium confidence.

Friday...Mainly VFR. Northwest wind around 20 knots with gusts
of 30 to 40 knots. Medium to high confidence.

Friday night...Mainly VFR. Breezy NNW winds 15 to 20 knots turn
north overnight and diminish to 5 to 10 knots. Medium
confidence.

Saturday...Mainly VFR. NE wind 5 to 10 knots, becoming south
around 10 knots. Medium confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
This afternoon...Seas around 2 to 3 ft today will grow to 3 to
4 ft by the end of the period. ENE winds around 10 knots will
back to near near 15 knot SW/W winds towards the end of the
period. No headlines expected.

Tonight...3 to 4 ft seas tonight should return to 2 to 3 ft by
morning. NW winds around 15 knots will be accompanied by near 20
to 25 knot gusts at times. SCA headlines may be needed.

Outlook...

Wednesday...No marine headlines are anticipated.

Thursday...Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around
20 knots. Winds increasing to 15 to 20 gusting up to 30 knots
Thursday night.

Friday...Northwesterly gale force wind gusts are possible.

Friday night...Breezy NNW winds gusting to SCA criteria will
gradually diminish overnight, becoming N around 15-20 kts.

Saturday...No marine headlines are anticipated. NNW winds 10-15
kts turn S in the afternoon.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Fitzsimmons/Iovino
NEAR TERM...MJL
SHORT TERM...Fitzsimmons/Iovino
LONG TERM...Iovino/MJL
AVIATION...Fitzsimmons/Iovino
MARINE...Fitzsimmons/MJL/Wunderlin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

DEZ001-221603-
New Castle-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-221603-
Kent-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-221603-
Inland Sussex-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-221603-
Delaware Beaches-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-221603-
Carbon-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-221603-
Monroe-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-221603-
Berks-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-221603-
Lehigh-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-221603-
Northampton-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and
power outages on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-221603-
Delaware-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-221603-
Philadelphia-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-221603-
Western Chester-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-221603-
Eastern Chester-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-221603-
Western Montgomery-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-221603-
Eastern Montgomery-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-221603-
Upper Bucks-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-221603-
Lower Bucks-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-221603-
Sussex-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-221603-
Warren-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-221603-
Morris-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-221603-
Hunterdon-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-221603-
Somerset-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-221603-
Middlesex-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-221603-
Western Monmouth-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-221603-
Eastern Monmouth-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-221603-
Mercer-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-221603-
Salem-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-221603-
Gloucester-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-221603-
Camden-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-221603-
Northwestern Burlington-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-221603-
Ocean-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-221603-
Cumberland-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-221603-
Atlantic-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-221603-
Cape May-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-221603-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-221603-
Coastal Atlantic-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-221603-
Coastal Ocean-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-221603-
Southeastern Burlington-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Wednesday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-221603-
Kent MD-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-221603-
Queen Annes-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-221603-
Talbot-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-221603-
Caroline-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-221603-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-221603-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-221603-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Thursday.
Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-221603-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-221603-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-221603-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-221603-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-221603-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
230 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

NJZ016>018-021>025-212015-
Coastal Atlantic NJ-Salem NJ-Cumberland NJ-Camden NJ-Atlantic NJ-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May NJ-Cape May NJ-Gloucester NJ-
230 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2023

...Gusty showers will impact portions of Atlantic, Cumberland, east
central Salem, southeastern Camden, southeastern Gloucester and
northern Cape May Counties through 315 PM EST...

At 230 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers with
isolated thunderstorms along a line extending from Glassboro to
Greenwich. Movement was east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Vineland, Atlantic City, Millville, Bridgeton, Ocean City,
Cumberland, Pleasantville, Glassboro, Hammonton, Somers Point,
Ventnor City, Brigantine, Northfield, Absecon, Clayton, Margate City,
Buena, Egg Harbor City, Laurel Lake and Weymouth.

This includes the following highways...
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 15 and 48.
 Atlantic City Expressway between mile markers 0 and 31.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3946 7420 3946 7424 3920 7458 3911 7463
      3927 7534 3972 7516 3957 7450 3954 7444
      3954 7434 3953 7433 3951 7432 3952 7429
      3949 7415
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 275DEG 36KT 3972 7512 3936 7533

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Hoeflich