Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 2023

Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 14, 2023Carbon County, Monroe County, Pennsylvania

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this flash flood warning at Jul 14, 2023, 6:02 PM EDT for Carbon County, Monroe County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 6 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2023, 6:02 PM EDT (22:02 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2023, 12:00 AM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Carbon County, PA, Monroe County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 14, 7:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOODBlakeslee, PAPA Route 115 in Blakeslee has become impassable due to flooding.
Jul 14, 8:00 PM EDTRAIN 4.27Blakeslee, PAStorm total through 8 PM.
Jul 14, 8:00 PM EDTRAIN 6.161 Sw Blakeslee, PA

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 58 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2023-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 210 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2023-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 39 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
210 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-225 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1125 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

910 
WGUS51 KPHI 142202
FFWPHI
PAC025-089-150200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FF.W.0051.230714T2202Z-230715T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
602 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Carbon County in northeastern Pennsylvania...
  Northwestern Monroe County in northeastern Pennsylvania...

* Until 1000 PM EDT.

* At 602 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
  thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 
  1 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate 
  is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 
  inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing 
  or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

  IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
           highways, streets, and underpasses as well as other
           drainage and low lying areas.

* Some locations that may experience flash flooding include...
  Blakeslee, Lake Harmony, Arrowhead Lake, Pocono Raceway, and 
  Pocono Pines.

This includes the following highways...
	Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 277 and 295.
	Northeast Extension between mile markers 92 and 98.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around...don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most 
flood deaths occur in vehicles. In hilly terrain there are hundreds 
of low water crossings which are potentially dangerous in heavy 
rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where 
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become 
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or 
creeks.

&&

LAT...LON 4113 7565 4112 7563 4117 7560 4118 7558
      4122 7554 4122 7552 4123 7551 4114 7543
      4108 7543 4104 7551 4103 7574 4103 7576
      4106 7577 4109 7577 4109 7576 4110 7575
      4110 7573 4113 7569 4113 7567 4112 7566

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Staarmann
5 follow-up statements
059 
WGUS71 KPHI 142228
FFSPHI

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
628 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

PAC025-089-150200-
/O.CON.KPHI.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-230715T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carbon PA-Monroe PA-
628 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN CARBON AND NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

At 628 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 
1.5 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate 
is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 
inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets, and underpasses as well as other
         drainage and low lying areas.

Some locations that may experience flash flooding include...
  Blakeslee, Lake Harmony, Arrowhead Lake, Pocono Raceway, and 
  Pocono Pines.

This includes the following highways...
	Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 277 and 294.
	Northeast Extension between mile markers 91 and 97.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around...don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most 
flood deaths occur in vehicles. In hilly terrain there are hundreds 
of low water crossings which are potentially dangerous in heavy 
rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where 
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become 
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or 
creeks.

&&

LAT...LON 4113 7565 4112 7563 4117 7560 4118 7558
      4122 7554 4122 7552 4123 7551 4114 7543
      4108 7543 4104 7551 4103 7574 4103 7576
      4106 7577 4109 7577 4109 7576 4110 7575
      4110 7573 4113 7569 4113 7567 4112 7566

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Staarmann
969 
WGUS71 KPHI 142306
FFSPHI

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
706 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

PAC025-089-150200-
/O.CON.KPHI.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-230715T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carbon PA-Monroe PA-
706 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN CARBON AND NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

At 706 PM EDT, trained weather spotters reported thunderstorms 
producing heavy rain. PA Route 115 is impassible in Blakeslee due to 
flood waters. Between 2 and 4.5 inches of rain have fallen. The 
expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional 
rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. 
Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Trained spotters reported.

IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets, and underpasses as well as other
         drainage and low lying areas.

Some locations that may experience flash flooding include...
  Blakeslee, Lake Harmony, Arrowhead Lake, Pocono Raceway, and 
  Pocono Pines.

This includes the following highways...
	Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 277 and 294.
	Northeast Extension between mile markers 91 and 97.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around...don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most 
flood deaths occur in vehicles. In hilly terrain there are hundreds 
of low water crossings which are potentially dangerous in heavy 
rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where 
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become 
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or 
creeks.

&&

LAT...LON 4113 7565 4112 7563 4117 7560 4118 7558
      4122 7554 4122 7552 4123 7551 4114 7543
      4108 7543 4104 7551 4103 7574 4103 7576
      4106 7577 4109 7577 4109 7576 4110 7575
      4110 7573 4113 7569 4113 7567 4112 7566

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Staarmann
769 
WGUS71 KPHI 150047
FFSPHI

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
847 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

PAC025-089-150200-
/O.CON.KPHI.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-230715T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carbon PA-Monroe PA-
847 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN CARBON AND NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

At 847 PM EDT, trained weather spotters reported thunderstorms 
producing heavy rain in PA Route 115 is impassible in Blakeslee due 
to flood waters. Between 2 and 5 inches of rain have fallen. Flash 
flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Trained spotters reported.

IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets, and underpasses as well as other
         drainage and low lying areas.

Some locations that may experience flash flooding include...
  Blakeslee, Lake Harmony, Arrowhead Lake, Pocono Raceway, and 
  Pocono Pines.

This includes the following highways...
	Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 277 and 294.
	Northeast Extension between mile markers 91 and 97.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around...don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most 
flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when 
it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where 
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become 
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or 
creeks.

&&

LAT...LON 4113 7565 4112 7563 4117 7560 4118 7558
      4122 7554 4122 7552 4123 7551 4114 7543
      4108 7543 4104 7551 4103 7574 4103 7576
      4106 7577 4109 7577 4109 7576 4110 7575
      4110 7573 4113 7569 4113 7567 4112 7566

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

Staarmann
855 
WGUS51 KPHI 150142
FFWPHI
PAC025-089-150400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-230715T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
942 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northeastern Carbon County in northeastern Pennsylvania...
  Northwestern Monroe County in northeastern Pennsylvania...

* Until midnight EDT.

* At 942 PM EDT, emergency management reported thunderstorms 
  producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 5 
  inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1 
  inch in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
           highways, streets, and underpasses as well as other
           drainage and low lying areas.

* Some locations that may experience flash flooding include...
  Blakeslee, Lake Harmony, Arrowhead Lake, Pocono Raceway, and 
  Pocono Pines.

This includes the following highways...
	Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 277 and 294.
	Northeast Extension between mile markers 91 and 97.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around...don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most 
flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when 
it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

Flooding is already occurring. It is important to know where you are 
relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in 
heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks.

&&

LAT...LON 4113 7565 4112 7563 4117 7560 4118 7558
      4122 7554 4122 7552 4123 7551 4114 7543
      4108 7543 4104 7551 4103 7574 4103 7576
      4106 7577 4109 7577 4109 7576 4110 7575
      4110 7573 4113 7569 4113 7567 4112 7566

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.5-1 INCH IN 1 HOUR

$$

Staarmann
027 
WGUS71 KPHI 150353
FFSPHI

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1153 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

PAC025-089-150403-
/O.EXP.KPHI.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-230715T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carbon PA-Monroe PA-
1153 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR 
NORTHEASTERN CARBON AND NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4113 7565 4112 7563 4117 7560 4118 7558
      4122 7554 4122 7552 4123 7551 4114 7543
      4108 7543 4104 7551 4103 7574 4103 7576
      4106 7577 4109 7577 4109 7576 4110 7575
      4110 7573 4113 7569 4113 7567 4112 7566

$$

SFJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 14, 3:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 3:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
316 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A deep closed upper low over south-central Canada will slowly
build to the south and east through the weekend before departing
early in the new week. An upper trough will then set up over
the Northeast. Several disturbances will spin off this low and
will pass through the region during this time.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Showers and a few thunderstorms have started to pop up this
afternoon as today's event commences. After reviewing some of
the recent CAM guidance and doing some mesoanalysis, the current
thinking is that areas along and west of the I-95 corridor have
the best chance to see showers and thunderstorms. The highest
instability and shear is currently over eastern PA and northern
NJ and CAMs have focused convection over these areas in the
coming hours. Worth noting that as of 18z, DCAPE values in these
locations were 1000+ J/kg, with damaging wind gusts as the
primary threat. Some small hail is possible as well, but it will
be difficult to get severe level hail with these storms.
Another important thing to note is that SE PA/Northern NJ have
the lowest FFG values across the area, and it will not take much
for flooding to occur. There is some CIN over the NJ coastal
plain which could limit things a bit, and observations at
KACY/KMIV show an overcast mid-level cloud deck, which is
limiting daytime heating/destabilization. Current thinking is
that the peak of the event will come between 21z-22z, beginning
to wind down around 01z-02z.

Following the departure of showers/thunderstorms, it should be
a relatively quiet overnight period. Some patchy fog and low
stratus should develop after midnight. Dewpoints will be very
close to temperatures at that point, both in the upper 60s and
low to mid 70s. It will feel quite muggy.

For Saturday, it does look pretty quiet for the most part. A
closed upper level low will begin to push southeast through
south central Canada, with a weak shortwave lifting through the
region. Convective initiation will be focused along the sea-
breeze, but any showers/thunderstorms will be on the more
scattered to isolated side. Precipitation chances are relatively
low compared to today and Sunday, around 15-30%. Temperatures
will get into the upper 80s with some spots getting into the low
90s. With dewpoints getting into the low to mid 70s, it will
feel tropical and heat indices will be getting close to triple
digits.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Upper trough with strong shortwave energy digs through the
Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Saturday night. Surface low pressure
develops over the Ohio Valley Saturday night and tracks into
western Pennsylvania and western and central New York during the
day Sunday before departing. Meanwhile, a secondary low looks
to form southwest of the Delmarva Peninsula on Sunday, and that
low tracks to the north and east across New Jersey before
departing Sunday night.

Deep south to southwest flow ahead of this system will usher a
warm and humid airmass into the region. Surface dew points will
rise well into the low to mid 70s across much of the region, and
in the upper 70s in southern Delmarva, Saturday night through
Sunday evening.

Showers will become likely with a chance for thunderstorms
Saturday night as the first low passes north of the area.
Although it will be night, there should be 500 to 1000 J/kg of
surface-based CAPE, but there will also be 35 to 45 kt of 0-6 km
Bulk Shear. A few stronger thunderstorms are possible, but the
main threat will be heavy rain as PWATs will be over 2.25
inches. With winds from 1000 to 500 mb averaging 25 to 30 kt,
storms should be moving fairly quickly, so any flooding should
be localized unless there is training of storms. Areas of fog
will develop as well.

Going into Sunday, as the secondary low passes over the area,
showers and thunderstorms will spread over the area. PWATs will
be in excess of 2.25 inches, and may approach 2.5 inches. Highs
on Sunday will top off in the mid and upper 80s, and this should
yield surface-based CAPE values as high as 1500 to 2000 J/kg
along with 25 to 30 kt of 0-6 km Bulk Shear. Stronger to severe
thunderstorms will be possible with potentially damaging winds,
but once again, the main threat will be heavy rain. Given a
swath of heavy rain Saturday night, any additional heavy
rainfall will result in flooding and flash flooding. The Weather
Prediction Center keeps most of the area in a Marginal Risk for
Excessive Rainfall, but there is a part of far northern New
Jersey that is in a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall on
Sunday.

Low pressure departs Sunday night and a cold front passes
through the region late. Showers and thunderstorms will taper
off from west to east. It will take some time for drier air to
filter into the region, and given abundant low level and surface
moisture from the rainfall, patchy fog will develop Sunday
night.

A ridge of weak high pressure noses in from the southwest on
Monday. Conditions should be dry, mostly sunny, and dew points
will be a bit lower, generally in the mid to upper 60s. Highs
will top off in the upper 80s to low 90s. There should even be
some mixing in the afternoon that would lower dew points during
the peak heating of the day and may result in winds gusting 20
to 25 mph.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Closed upper low will be over the southern portion of Hudson
Bay, Canada Monday evening and will lift north into the northern
Province of Quebec. An upper trough will extend down from this
low and will lie over the eastern Great Lakes and Northeast
Tuesday through Wednesday. Zonal flow sets up Thursday before
another mid-level trough approaches on Friday. Although the
weather will still be unsettled, especially on Tuesday,
conditions overall and throughout next week may not be quite as
active as they were this week.

Some weak shortwave energy passes through Monday evening, and
there will be some isolated showers and thunderstorms. Most of
the night should be quiet.

The base of the upper trough passes north of New York state,
and low pressure will develop west of the region and will pass
through the region on Tuesday. Deep south to southwest flow
ahead of this system will usher a hot and humid airmass into the
Northeast and Mid- Atlantic with highs in the upper 80s to low
90s and surface dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. There is
a good chance for convection on Tuesday, especially in the
northern zones, as low pressure and a cold front work their way
through the region.

Showers and thunderstorms taper off Tuesday night, and then it
will be quiet into Wednesday. Some weak shortwave energy may
touch off isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Cooler
and less humid on Wednesday with highs in the mid and upper 80s
and surface dew points in the low to mid 60s.

As another upper trough digs down into the Great Lakes, more
shortwaves will rotate around the base of the trough and will
pass through the region for the end of the week. These will once
again bring chances for showers and thunderstorms Thursday and
Friday. Highs will generally be in the upper 80s with dew points
in the upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of today (through 00z)...Primarily VFR outside of
convection. Showers and thunderstorms expected to develop in the
vicinity of terminals as early as 19/20z, continuing through
about 00/01z. Winds will generally be out of the southwest
around 5-10 kt, with higher gusts possible in thunderstorms.
Moderate confidence overall.

Tonight (00z-12z)...Thunderstorms linger into the early
evening, which could bring some brief restrictions. Conditions
likely go VFR for part of the night before some fog/stratus
develops, bringing CIGs/VSBYs down to MVFR/IFR levels.
Introduced a temporary period of LIFR at KMIV, but confidence
remains low in exact timing for the onset of fog and stratus.
Moderate confidence in occurrence of restrictions after
midnight, continuing into the early daytime period Saturday.

Saturday...VFR once low clouds/fog break during the mid-
morning. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms may
result in brief restrictions. Southerly winds around 5-10 kt.
Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday night...Sub-VFR conditions in SHRA/TSRA and fog. S
winds 5 to 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Sunday through Sunday night...Sub-VFR conditions in
SHRA/TSRA/fog. Rain may be heavy at times. SHRA/TSRA taper off
Sunday night, but restrictions may continue in fog. S winds 10
to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming LGT/VRB at night.
Moderate confidence.

Monday through Monday night...VFR. Isolated SHRA/TSRA possible
at night. W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S at night. Moderate
confidence.

Tuesday through Tuesday night...Primarily VFR. Afternoon SHRA
and TSRA will result in sub-VFR conditions and gusty winds.
Conditions improve Tuesday night. SW winds 10 to 15 kt with
gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W to NW 5 to 10 kt at night.
Moderate confidence.

Wednesday...VFR. W winds 5 to 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
No marine headlines anticipated through Saturday. Southerly
winds around 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Periods of showers and thunderstorms along the waters later
today and into tonight.

Outlook...

Saturday night...Sub-SCA conditions. S winds 10 to 15 kt with
gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. VSBY restrictions in showers
and thunderstorms with heavy rain.

Sunday through Sunday night...Marginal SCA conditions. S winds
15 to 20 kt with occasional gusts to 25 kt, becoming W to NW 5
to 10 kt Sunday night. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers and thunderstorms
with heavy rain and gusty winds. Showers and thunderstorms
taper off Sunday night, then VSBY restrictions in fog Sunday
night.

Monday through Monday night...Sub-SCA conditions. S winds 10 to
15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Tuesday through Tuesday night...Sub-SCA conditions. S winds 10
to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt at
night. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Wednesday...Sub-SCA conditions. S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

Rip Currents...

For Friday, 10 to 15 kt southerly flow shall be accompanied by
breaking wave heights of 2 to 3 ft for all locations except
Delaware beaches which will see breaking wave heights closer to
1 to 2 ft. Given these conditions along with a medium SSE/S
period swell, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of
dangerous rip currents for the New Jersey and Delaware beaches.

For Saturday, near 10 kt southerly flow shall be accompanied by
breaking wave heights of 2 to 3 ft for all locations except
Delaware beaches which will see breaking wave heights closer to
1 to 2 ft. Given these conditions along with a continued medium
SSE/S period swell, there is a MODERATE risk for the
development of dangerous rip currents for the New Jersey and
Delaware beaches.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Will continue to have to keep an eye on some localized coastal
flooding tonight with the next high tide, mainly limited to
localized areas around Barnegat Bay once again. Those areas saw
some minor flooding in spots last night, so with little change
in conditions tonight, the potential remains, though with
astronomical tides slightly lowering, the risk of flooding
should lower slightly.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPS
NEAR TERM...Hoeflich
SHORT TERM...MPS
LONG TERM...MPS
AVIATION...Hoeflich/MPS
MARINE...Hoeflich/MPS
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 4:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

DEZ001-152038-
New Castle-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-152038-
Kent-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-152038-
Inland Sussex-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-152038-
Delaware Beaches-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-152038-
Carbon-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Saturday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-152038-
Monroe-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Saturday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.
Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-152038-
Berks-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-152038-
Lehigh-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-152038-
Northampton-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-152038-
Delaware-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-152038-
Philadelphia-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-152038-
Western Chester-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-152038-
Eastern Chester-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-152038-
Western Montgomery-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-152038-
Eastern Montgomery-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-152038-
Upper Bucks-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-152038-
Lower Bucks-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-152038-
Sussex-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-152038-
Warren-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-152038-
Morris-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-152038-
Hunterdon-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-152038-
Somerset-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-152038-
Middlesex-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-152038-
Western Monmouth-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-152038-
Eastern Monmouth-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-152038-
Mercer-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-152038-
Salem-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-152038-
Gloucester-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-152038-
Camden-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-152038-
Northwestern Burlington-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-152038-
Ocean-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-152038-
Cumberland-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-152038-
Atlantic-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-152038-
Cape May-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-152038-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-152038-
Coastal Atlantic-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-152038-
Coastal Ocean-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-152038-
Southeastern Burlington-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Sunday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-152038-
Kent MD-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-152038-
Queen Annes-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-152038-
Talbot-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-152038-
Caroline-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-152038-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-152038-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-152038-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-152038-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-152038-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-152038-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-152038-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-152038-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0438 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 3:43 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
343 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

PAZ103-105-142015-
Upper Bucks PA-Western Montgomery PA-
343 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Montgomery and west central Bucks Counties through 415 PM EDT...

At 342 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Green Lane, or 18 miles south of Allentown, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lansdale, Quakertown, Souderton, Hatfield, Schwenksville, Green Lane,
Spring Mount, Telford, Sellersville, Pennsburg, Red Hill,
Trumbauersville, Harleysville and Kulpsville.

This includes Northeast Extension between mile markers 31 and 42.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4046 7535 4026 7527 4025 7527 4026 7528
      4025 7530 4026 7555 4034 7559
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 255DEG 10KT 4033 7548

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Staarmann
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 4:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
421 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

NJZ008-010-012-142100-
Morris NJ-Somerset NJ-Middlesex NJ-
421 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Morris, central Somerset and north central Middlesex Counties through
500 PM EDT...

At 421 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Somerville, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
New Brunswick, Somerville, Somerset, Edison, East Brunswick,
Bridgewater, Middlesex, Bound Brook, Manville, Millstone,
Martinsville, Millington, Society Hill, North Brunswick Township,
South Plainfield, North Plainfield, Highland Park, Metuchen, Dunellen
and Raritan.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike near exit 10.
 Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 34 and 43.
 Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 1 and 19.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4047 7433 4048 7466 4059 7470 4074 7442
      4071 7441 4067 7446 4066 7445 4067 7441
      4065 7440 4060 7446 4060 7437
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 254DEG 9KT 4057 7459

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Staarmann
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 4:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
440 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

PAZ054-055-142115-
Monroe PA-Carbon PA-
440 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Carbon
and west central Monroe Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 440 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
White Haven, or 15 miles southeast of Wilkes-Barre, moving east at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Blakeslee, Lake Harmony, Arrowhead Lake, Albrightsville and
Meckesville.

This includes the following highways...
 Northeast Extension between mile markers 87 and 97.
 Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 277 and 290.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 7554 4097 7551 4099 7577 4101 7573
      4105 7577 4108 7577 4111 7571 4113 7569
      4112 7565 4113 7563 4119 7557
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 257DEG 10KT 4106 7570

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Staarmann
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 4:54 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
454 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

NJZ010-012-142145-
Somerset NJ-Middlesex NJ-
454 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Somerset and north central Middlesex Counties through 545 PM EDT...

At 454 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Society Hill, or near New Brunswick. This storm was nearly
stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
New Brunswick, Somerset, Edison, East Brunswick, Middlesex, Bound
Brook, Society Hill, North Brunswick Township, South Plainfield,
North Plainfield, Highland Park, Metuchen, Dunellen, Watchung and
South Bound Brook.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike near exit 10.
 Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 1 and 13.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4047 7433 4048 7456 4056 7457 4066 7441
      4063 7442 4060 7445 4060 7436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 257DEG 4KT 4054 7449

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Staarmann
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 5:35 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
535 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

PAZ055-142200-
Monroe PA-
535 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Monroe
County through 600 PM EDT...

At 535 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mount Pocono, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Pocono, Tobyhanna, Henryville, Paradise Valley, Pocono Pines,
Skytop, Mountainhome, Canadensis, Alpine Mountain and Cresco.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 295 and 297.
 Interstate 380 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 0 and 8.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4115 7515 4114 7513 4114 7509 4111 7506
      4106 7545 4116 7549 4124 7534 4125 7513
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 245DEG 21KT 4112 7541

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Staarmann

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 8:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMonroe32 min
Jul 13, 8:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonroe25 min
Jul 13, 9:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMonroe32 min
Jul 13, 10:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMonroe44 min
Jul 13, 10:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMonroe27 min
Jul 14, 5:30 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIPhiladelphia30 min
Jul 14, 5:54 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBucks51 min
Jul 14, 3:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMontgomery32 min
Jul 14, 4:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICarbon35 min
Jul 14, 5:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe50 min
Jul 14, 5:33 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICarbon, Monroe29 min
Jul 14, 5:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMonroe25 min
Jul 14, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe51 min
Jul 14, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonroe, Northampton38 min
Jul 14, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonroe49 min
Jul 14, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonroe, Northampton53 min
Jul 14, 7:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIMonroe, Northampton39 min
Jul 14, 7:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHILehigh29 min
Jul 14, 7:40 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHINorthampton6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2023Every flash flood warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.