Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Warnings in 2023

Areal Flood Warning 37, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 17, 2023Warren County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood warning at Jul 17, 2023, 4:41 AM EDT for Warren County, New Jersey. It was in force for 14 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2023, 4:41 AM EDT (08:41 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 2023, 6:12 PM EDT
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Warren County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2023-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 225 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2023-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 78 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
225 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
625 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

639 
WGUS41 KPHI 170841
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
441 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

NJC041-172000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.W.0037.230717T0841Z-230717T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Warren NJ-
441 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues. 

* WHERE...A portion of northern New Jersey...including the following 
  county...Warren.

* WHEN...Until 400 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying 
  and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 438 AM EDT, Excessive runoff from rainfall Sunday morning
    is resulting in rising streams. Flooding is already occurring
    in the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain fell
    mainly on Sunday morning.
  - For Beaver Brook at Belvidere:
    At 4:30am the stage was 4.92 feet.
    Flood Stage is 4.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around...don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most 
flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when
it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4082 7508 4083 7508 4084 7510 4085 7510
      4085 7509 4085 7508 4085 7507 4086 7506
      4086 7505 4087 7505 4087 7501 4081 7501


$$

AAD
2 follow-up statements
904 
WGUS41 KPHI 171815
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
215 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

NJC041-180000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0037.000000T0000Z-230718T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Warren NJ-
215 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...A portion of western Warren County in New Jersey.

* WHEN...Until 800 PM EDT.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other 
  low-lying and flood-prone locations is occurring.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 210 PM EDT, minor flooding was occurring along Beaver
    Brook in the Belvidere area, and along some other small
    streams and creeks. The flooding is due to runoff from
    Sunday's heavy rainfall.
  - The waterways should return within their banks this evening.
  - For Beaver Brook at Belvidere:
    At 2:00 pm the brook level was 4.61 feet and falling.
    Flood Stage is 4.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

&&

LAT...LON 4082 7508 4083 7508 4084 7510 4085 7510
      4085 7509 4085 7508 4085 7507 4086 7506
      4086 7505 4087 7505 4087 7501 4081 7501


$$

Iovino
613 
WGUS81 KPHI 172212
FLSPHI

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
612 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

NJC041-172222-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0037.000000T0000Z-230718T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Warren NJ-
612 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for Central Warren County.

Flood waters are receding. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat.

LAT...LON 4082 7508 4083 7508 4084 7510 4085 7510
      4085 7509 4085 7508 4085 7507 4086 7506
      4086 7505 4087 7505 4087 7501 4081 7501


$$

Iovino

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Jul 17, 4:15 AM EDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 17, 4:15 AM EDT, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
415 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A break in the active wet, humid weather on Monday will give way
to yet another warm, muggy day with thunderstorms possible
Tuesday as another cold front approaches. Later in the week, a
more potent cold front may pass through later Thursday or
Friday, possibly giving way to a drier weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Dense fog advisory now in effect for all of our NJ zones.
Elsewhere in the region, fog is either not very dense or not
widespread.

Today will be the more tranquil of the next few days. Mid level dry
air advection will be working into the region. A weak mid level
short wave trough is expected to lift northeast, generally staying
north of our region. There is a slight chance (20%) for showers and
storms, first this afternoon in the vicinity of the sea breeze
(which will likely stay rather close to the coast thanks to westerly
flow further inland). The other chance for showers and storms comes
tonight as the next short wave trough approaches the region from the
west. The trough should stay pretty far west so precip chances
through the overnight are confined to the Poconos and Berks County.
In both cases, precipitable water values will be significantly lower
than we've seen the last few days, so the risk for heavy rain is
low.

Although a cold front passed through the region on Sunday,
temperatures will still be a few degrees above normal, though with
the drier air, it should feel more comfortable today than it has the
last few days.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Persisting upper-level low pressure spinning across Ontario that
has been plaguing our region with continued unsettled weather
will finally start shifting eastward to Quebec on Tuesday. That
will send yet another trough eastward across the Great Lakes and
Appalachians, though it will tend to weaken and pull northward
before it arrives here. Still, it appears there will be enough
forcing to kick off some more showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
afternoon and evening. Would not even rule out some showers or a
stray storm around the Poconos into northwest NJ in the morning.
CAMs and HREF suggest the focus will become northern NJ,
perhaps toward the coast in particular, but would not rule out
at least isolated thunderstorms anywhere in our region. While I
don't have much confidence in timing, models suggest this
trough will push through early in the evening, so activity
should end fairly quickly rather than lingering into the night
like some of our recent rounds of convection. While dewpoints
take a step back on Monday, 70F+ dewpoints will surge back
northward across the Delmarva and up the NJ coastal plain on
Tuesday. Mediocre lapse rates may hold back CAPE, but bulk shear
of 25-30 kt will be enough to support stronger convection, and
the moist environment suggests that localized flooding may be an
issue, even while storms appear they will not linger in any one
spot for very long. WPC ERO has portions of NJ in a slight risk.
SPC does not have us highlighted, but would not rule out an
isolated severe storm.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
In short, the long term portion of the forecast remains
generally unsettled. The driest day appears to be Wednesday as
we are caught in between disturbances. Some mid-level energy
looks to skirt across the southern Delmarva late Wednesday into
Wednesday night, so mentioned a chance of showers/storms
possible across the Eastern Shore of MD and DE possibly
squeaking into SE PA and S NJ. Otherwise, the northern portion
may have a fairly pleasant day with a little lower humidity and
some partial sunshine, with highs mainly in the 80s.

Thursday and Friday, unfortunately look to hold on to the
active pattern we have seen over the past few weeks, as the
departing upper-low lifting out of eastern Canada is replaced
with yet another potent trough dropping across eastern Canada
and the Great Lakes, with the longwave trough persisting. Have
followed guidance from the NBM, with generally precipitation
chances between 30-50% each day. There will probably be one or
two periods of fairly widespread shower and thunderstorm
activity, but exact timing of the trough and associated cold
front passage is uncertain. Weak high pressure may build in over
the weekend allowing for at least a dry day or two accompanied
by high temperatures in the low to mid 80s and relatively lower
humidity. However, there is some uncertainty given this far into
the future, and it still looks like the longwave trough will
be lingering over the Great Lakes.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Through 12Z...Transient fog has developed at most TAF sites. These
visibility restrictions should continue through the overnight hours.
KTTN, KMIV, and KACY have the greatest risk for persistent LIFR
restrictions (one note, there remains a comms issue with KACY, so
still carrying AMD NOT SKED on that TAF). Variable wind 5 knots or
less. Medium confidence on the overall pattern, but low confidence
on the timing details of the fog.

Monday...Mostly VFR conditions. The only exception is that haze
advected in from Canadian wildfires may result in MVFR visibility
restrictions, but low confidence at this point on how much
visibility restrictions we will see. Northwest wind less than 10
knots, becoming southwest. High confidence on the overall pattern,
but low confidence on visibility restrictions.

Tonight...Mostly VFR conditions expected, though there is a slight
chance (20%) for showers and storms at KRDG resulting in visibility
and ceiling restrictions very late tonight. Light winds (5 KT or
less). While direction may be variable at times, it should generally
favor southerly. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday...VFR in the morning, with sub-VFR conditions possible
in the afternoon with showers and thunderstorms possible, mainly
north of PHL. S-SW winds of 5-10kts during the day, becoming
5kts/less at night. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday...VFR expected. A few evening showers and
thunderstorms possible but probably staying south of ILG. S-SW
winds of 5-10kts. Moderate confidence.

Thursday and Friday...A cold front may move through with a
period of more widespread showers and thunderstorms. VFR with
times of MVFR and IFR around thunderstorms. SE-S winds of
5-10kts, shifting to more westerly behind the front. Moderate
confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
Fog persists especially on the NJ coastal waters. It has been
more transient on the Delaware coastal waters and the Delaware
Bay, so will continue to monitor through sunrise, but the
advisory there may be able to be cancelled early.

Winds and seas are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory
criteria through tonight. Some guidance has seas at 5 feet,
especially further off shore through mid day today, but that has yet
to develop, and is unlikely that we will see any significant
increase in seas over the next few hours, so have kept the seas
forecast below 5 ft for now.

Outlook....

Tuesday and Wednesday...No advisories will be needed. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms possible each afternoon/evening,
mainly north of Barnegat Light on Tuesday, then south of
Barnegat Light on Wednesday. S-SW winds around 10 kt with seas
of 3-4 feet.

Thursday and Friday...A cold front will come through with a more
widespread round of showers and thunderstorms, but timing is
uncertain. We do not anticipate any small craft advisories, with
southerly winds shifting to westerly behind the front, around 10
to 15 kt, and seas generally around 3 ft.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Due to continued runoff from rainfall over the weekend, we have
a several river gauges running above 'action stage', and even a
couple of non-forecast points in minor flood in Warren County
NJ, where rainfall was particularly heavy on already saturated
soils. Most sites have crested, but we are still keeping a close
eye on the Nanticoke River at Bridgeville. That area saw 4 to 6
inches of rain on Sunday, and while the river appears to be near
cresting, it is nearing minor flood stage. In Warren County,
Paulins Kill at Blairstown will drop back below flood stage
early this morning, while Beaver Brook at Belvidere has crested
and should drop below flood stage at some point today.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for NJZ001-
     007>010-012>027.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for ANZ430-431-
     450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Dodd
NEAR TERM...Johnson
SHORT TERM...Dodd
LONG TERM...Dodd/DeSilva
AVIATION...Dodd/DeSilva/Johnson
MARINE...Dodd/DeSilva/Johnson
HYDROLOGY...Dodd
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 17, 4:22 AM EDT, 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

DEZ001-180822-
New Castle-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-180822-
Kent-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-180822-
Inland Sussex-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-180822-
Delaware Beaches-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-180822-
Carbon-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-180822-
Monroe-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-180822-
Berks-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-180822-
Lehigh-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-180822-
Northampton-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-180822-
Delaware-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-180822-
Philadelphia-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-180822-
Western Chester-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-180822-
Eastern Chester-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-180822-
Western Montgomery-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-180822-
Eastern Montgomery-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-180822-
Upper Bucks-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-180822-
Lower Bucks-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-180822-
Sussex-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-180822-
Warren-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-180822-
Morris-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Tuesday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-180822-
Hunterdon-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-180822-
Somerset-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Tuesday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-180822-
Middlesex-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Tuesday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-180822-
Western Monmouth-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Tuesday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-180822-
Eastern Monmouth-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-180822-
Mercer-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Several instances of flooding are possible on Tuesday,
especially in urban and poor-drainage areas and near particularly vulnerable
small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-180822-
Salem-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-180822-
Gloucester-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-180822-
Camden-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-180822-
Northwestern Burlington-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-180822-
Ocean-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-180822-
Cumberland-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-180822-
Atlantic-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-180822-
Cape May-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-180822-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-180822-
Coastal Atlantic-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-180822-
Coastal Ocean-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-180822-
Southeastern Burlington-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-180822-
Kent MD-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-180822-
Queen Annes-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-180822-
Talbot-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-180822-
Caroline-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-180822-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-180822-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-180822-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-180822-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-180822-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-180822-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-180822-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-180822-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0422 AM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 16, 10:50 PM EDT, 5 hours 51 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1050 PM EDT Sun Jul 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0949 PM     Rain             1 SSE Bridgeport        40.09N 75.33W
07/16/2023  M1.47 inch       Montgomery         PA   Trained Spotter

            Storm total.

&&

Staarmann

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 11:23 PM EDTMarine Dense Fog AdvisoryPHI11 hr
Jul 17, 12:52 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 10 more10 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2023Every areal flood warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.