Alert archive / Washington / Red Flag Warnings in 2023

Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Spokane, WA

July 15, 202314 counties in Washington

NWS Spokane, WA issued this red flag warning at Jul 15, 2023, 2:55 PM PDT for 14 counties in Washington. It took effect at Jul 16, 2023, 2:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 31 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2023, 2:55 PM PDT (21:55 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 16, 2023, 2:00 PM PDT
Expired
Jul 17, 2023, 8:59 PM PDT
In force
31 hr
Issued by
NWS Spokane, WA

Counties Adams County, WA, Asotin County, WA, Chelan County, WA, Columbia County, WA, Douglas County, WA, Ferry County, WA, Garfield County, WA, Grant County, WA, Lincoln County, WA, Okanogan County, WA, Pend Oreille County, WA, Spokane County, WA, Stevens County, WA, Whitman County, WA

The radar

The Spokane radar (KOTX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Spokane, WA (KOTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 2023-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 2023-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -3 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2476 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

168 
WWUS86 KOTX 152155
RFWOTX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Spokane WA
255 PM PDT Sat Jul 15 2023

...DRY, BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY... 

.The breakdown of a hot ridge of high pressure and the arrival of
a dry cold front will bring critical fire conditions to much of 
central and eastern Washington Sunday into Monday. Ahead of the 
front Sunday afternoon, hot south or southwest winds are expected 
to develop across central and north central Washington. Then on 
Monday, strong westerly winds will blow across central and 
eastern Washington in the wake the cold front.

WAZ703-704-161400-
/O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0003.230716T2100Z-230717T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T0000Z-230718T0600Z/
/O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Methow Valley (Zone 704)-
255 PM PDT Sat Jul 15 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 11 PM PDT
MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE METHOW AND
OKANOGAN VALLEYS...

The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 5 PM Sunday to 11 PM PDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 703 Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)
  and Fire Weather Zone 704 Methow Valley (Zone 704), mainly the
  southern portions.

* Winds: South-southwest 13 to 20 mph with local gusts to 30 mph 
  Sunday evening then becoming west-northwest 15 to 25 mph with 
  gusts up to 40 mph by Monday afternoon. 

* Relative Humidities: 11 to 18 percent Sunday and 19 to 28
  percent Monday.

* Impacts: The dry, gusty winds will be more pronounced south of
  Omak and south of Twisp in the late afternoon and evening hours.
  Temperatures near 100 Sunday afternoon combined with dry winds
  will lead to the potential for rapid spread of any new fires.
  Despite cooler temperatures and an increase in humidity Monday,
  strong wind are expected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ705>707-161400-
/O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0003.230716T2100Z-230717T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230716T2100Z-230718T0600Z/
/O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-
Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707)-
255 PM PDT Sat Jul 15 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 11 PM PDT
MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR CENTRAL
WASHINGTON...

The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 2 PM Sunday to 11 PM PDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 705 Foothills of Central 
  Washington Cascades (Zone 705), Fire Weather Zone 706 
  Waterville Plateau (Zone 706) and Fire Weather Zone 707 
  Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707).

* Winds: West 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph Sunday late
  afternoon and evening, increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts up  
  to 45 mph by Monday. 

* Relative Humidities: 11 to 18 percent Sunday and 15 to 25
  percent Monday. 

* Impacts: Temperatures in the mid 90s to near 100 Sunday
  afternoon combined with dry winds will lead to the potential for
  rapid spread of any new and existing fires. Despite cooler
  temperatures and higher humidity Monday, wind speeds will be
  stronger and more prolonged through the day.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ696-701-702-708-709-161400-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.A.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
East Washington Central Cascades (Zone 696)-
Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)-
Colville Reservation (Zone 702)-Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse -
Spokane Area (Zone 708)-Lower Palouse - Snake River (Zone 709)-
255 PM PDT Sat Jul 15 2023

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY THROUGH 
MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF 
EASTERN WASHINGTON...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 696 East Washington Central 
  Cascades (Zone 696), Fire Weather Zone 701 Foothills of 
  Northeast Washington (Zone 701), Fire Weather Zone 702 
  Colville Reservation (Zone 702), Fire Weather Zone 708 Eastern 
  Columbia Basin  -Palouse  -Spokane Area (Zone 708) and Fire 
  Weather Zone 709 Lower Palouse  -Snake River (Zone 709).

* Winds: West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph by Monday
  afternoon.

* Relative Humidities: 15 to 24 percent.

* Impacts: Any new and existing fires have the potential to 
  spread rapidly on Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
235 
WWUS86 KOTX 160934
RFWOTX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Spokane WA
234 AM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...DRY, BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO 
MONDAY...

.The breakdown of a hot ridge of high pressure and the arrival of
a dry cold front will bring critical fire conditions to much of
central and eastern Washington Sunday into Monday. Ahead of the
front Sunday afternoon, hot south or southwest winds are expected
to develop across central and north central Washington. Winds will
shift to the west and northwest Sunday evening. On Monday, strong
westerly winds will blow across central and eastern Washington in
the wake of a dry cold front.

WAZ696-170000-
/O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230716T2300Z-230718T0600Z/
East Washington Central Cascades (Zone 696)-
234 AM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EAST WASHINGTON
CENTRAL CASCADES...

The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 4 PM this afternoon to 11 PM PDT Monday. The Fire Weather
Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 696 East Washington Central 
  Cascades (Zone 696).

* Winds: Sunday late afternoon and evening: West to northwest 10 
  to 15 mph with gusts around 25 mph. On Monday, 10 to 20 mph with
  gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidities: Sunday: 10 to 25 percent. Monday: 20 to 35
  percent in the valleys and 30 to 40 percent over the higher 
  terrain locally 50 to 60 percent along the immediate Cascade 
  Crest.

* Impacts: Main concerns for critical fire weather conditions on
  Monday will be east of the cascade crest. Any new and existing
  fires have the potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ701-702-170000-
/O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)-
Colville Reservation (Zone 702)-
234 AM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FOOTHILLS OF NORTHEAST
WASHINGTON AND COLVILLE RESERVATION...

The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 9 AM to 11 PM PDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 701 Foothills of Northeast 
  Washington (Zone 701) and Fire Weather Zone 702 Colville 
  Reservation (Zone 702).

* Winds: Southwest 12 to 18 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 15 to 22 percent.

* Impacts: Any new and existing fires have the potential to 
  spread rapidly on Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ708-709-170000-
/O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse - Spokane Area (Zone 708)-
Lower Palouse - Snake River (Zone 709)-
234 AM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EASTERN COLUMBIA
BASIN PALOUSE, SPOKANE AREA, LOWER PALOUSE AND SNAKE RIVER...

The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag 
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect 
from 9 AM to 11 PM PDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer
in effect.

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 708 Eastern Columbia Basin  -
  Palouse  -Spokane Area (Zone 708) and Fire Weather Zone 709 
  Lower Palouse  -Snake River (Zone 709).

* Winds: West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts: 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ705>707-170000-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230716T2100Z-230718T0600Z/
Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-
Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707)-
234 AM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR CENTRAL
WASHINGTON...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 705 Foothills of Central 
  Washington Cascades (Zone 705), Fire Weather Zone 706 
  Waterville Plateau (Zone 706) and Fire Weather Zone 707 
  Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707).

* Winds: West 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph Sunday late
  afternoon and evening, increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts up
  to 40 mph by Monday. 

* Relative Humidities: 8 to 18 percent Sunday and 15 to 25 percent
  Monday. 

* Impacts: Temperatures in the mid 90s to near 100 Sunday
  afternoon combined with dry winds will lead to the potential for
  rapid spread of any new and existing fires. Despite cooler
  temperatures and higher humidity Monday, wind speeds will be
  stronger and more prolonged through the day.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ703-704-170000-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T0000Z-230718T0600Z/
Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Methow Valley (Zone 704)-
234 AM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE
METHOW AND OKANOGAN VALLEYS...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 703 Okanogan Valley (Zone 
  703) and Fire Weather Zone 704 Methow Valley (Zone 704).

* Winds: South-southwest 12 to 18 mph with local gusts to 30 mph
  late Sunday afternoon. Winds shifting to west and northwest
  Sunday evening. On Monday, west-northwest 15 to 25 mph with
  gusts up to 35 mph.
 
* Relative Humidities: 9 to 18 percent Sunday and 18 to 28 percent
  Monday.

* Impacts: Hot southerly winds will develop in the Okanogan Valley
  this afternoon and become gusty after 2PM. Be cautious of
  shifting winds to the west Sunday evening. Winds in the Methow
  valley will start off light up-valley (southeast) today and
  increase from the west and northwest Sunday afternoon and
  evening. Temperatures near 100 Sunday afternoon combined with 
  dry winds will lead to the potential for rapid spread of any new
  fires. Despite cooler temperatures and an increase in humidity 
  Monday, strong wind are expected to blow through the day. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
973 
WWUS86 KOTX 162150
RFWOTX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Spokane WA
250 PM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...DRY, WINDY CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY...

.The passage of a dry cold front will break down the hot ridge of
high pressure and bring critical fire conditions to much of 
central and eastern Washington through Monday. Hot southerly  
winds will be found this evening across central and north central
Washington. Winds will shift to the west and northwest overnight.
Expect strong westerly winds across central and eastern 
Washington on Monday in the wake of a dry cold front.

WAZ705>707-171400-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-230718T0600Z/
Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-
Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707)-
250 PM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR CENTRAL WASHINGTON...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 705 Foothills of Central 
  Washington Cascades (Zone 705), Fire Weather Zone 706 
  Waterville Plateau (Zone 706) and Fire Weather Zone 707 
  Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707).

* Winds: West 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph this evening,
  increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph by Monday. 

* Relative Humidities: 8 to 16 percent through this evening and 15
  to 25 mph Monday. 

* Impacts: The hot, dry winds will lead to the potential for 
  rapid spread of any new and existing fires. Despite cooler 
  temperatures and higher humidity Monday, wind speeds will be 
  stronger and more prolonged through the day.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ703-704-171400-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T0000Z-230718T0600Z/
Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Methow Valley (Zone 704)-
250 PM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE METHOW AND OKANOGAN
VALLEYS...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 703 Okanogan Valley (Zone 
  703) and Fire Weather Zone 704 Methow Valley (Zone 704).

* Winds: Southerly 12 to 18 mph with local gusts to 30 mph through
  early this evening. Winds shifting to west and northwest by late
  evening. On Monday, west-northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to
  40 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 9 to 18 percent through this evening, 15 to
  25 percent Monday.

* Impacts: Be cautious of shifting winds to the west this evening.
  The hot, dry winds will lead to the potential for rapid spread 
  of any new fires. Despite cooler temperatures and an increase in
  humidity Monday, strong wind are expected to blow through the 
  day.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ696-171400-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230716T2300Z-230718T0600Z/
East Washington Central Cascades (Zone 696)-
250 PM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EAST WASHINGTON
CENTRAL CASCADES...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 696 East Washington Central 
  Cascades (Zone 696).

* Winds: West to northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts around 25 mph
  this evening. On Monday, Northwest 12 to 24 mph with gusts up 
  to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 10 to 25 percent through early evening.
  Monday: 20 to 35 percent in the valleys and 30 to 40 percent
  over the higher terrain locally near 60 percent along the
  Cascade Crest.

* Impacts: Main concerns for critical fire weather conditions on
  Monday will be east of the cascade crest. Any new and existing
  fires have the potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ701-702-171400-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)-
Colville Reservation (Zone 702)-
250 PM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 11 PM PDT
MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FOOTHILLS OF NORTHEAST
WASHINGTON AND COLVILLE RESERVATION...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 701 Foothills of Northeast 
  Washington (Zone 701) and Fire Weather Zone 702 Colville 
  Reservation (Zone 702).

* Winds: Southwest 12 to 18 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 14 to 21 percent.

* Impacts: Any new and existing fires have the potential to 
  spread rapidly on Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ708-709-171400-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse - Spokane Area (Zone 708)-
Lower Palouse - Snake River (Zone 709)-
250 PM PDT Sun Jul 16 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 11 PM PDT
MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EASTERN COLUMBIA
BASIN PALOUSE, SPOKANE AREA, LOWER PALOUSE AND SNAKE RIVER...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 708 Eastern Columbia Basin  -
  Palouse  -Spokane Area (Zone 708) and Fire Weather Zone 709 
  Lower Palouse  -Snake River (Zone 709).

* Winds: West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 13 to 21 percent.

* Impacts: Any new and existing fires have the potential to 
  spread rapidly on Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
111 
WWUS86 KOTX 171344
RFWOTX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Spokane WA
644 AM PDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...DRY, WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY...

.The passage of a dry cold front will promote windy conditions
today delivering critical fire conditions to much of central and 
eastern Washington.


WAZ703>707-180600-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-230718T0600Z/
Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Methow Valley (Zone 704)-
Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-
Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707)-
644 AM PDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE METHOW VALLEY, 
OKANOGAN VALLEY, FOOTHILLS OF CENTRAL WASHINGTON CASCADES,
WATERVILLE PLATEAU, AND WESTERN COLUMBIA BASIN...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 703 Okanogan Valley (Zone 
  703), Fire Weather Zone 704 Methow Valley (Zone 704), Fire 
  Weather Zone 705 Foothills of Central Washington Cascades 
  (Zone 705), Fire Weather Zone 706 Waterville Plateau (Zone 
  706) and Fire Weather Zone 707 Western Columbia Basin (Zone 
  707).

* Winds: West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Local wind
  gusts up to 45 mph on the Waterville Plateau and benches along
  the Columbia River.

* Relative Humidities: 15 to 25 percent.

* Impacts: Any new and existing fires have the potential to spread
  rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ696-180600-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-230718T0600Z/
East Washington Central Cascades (Zone 696)-
644 AM PDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EAST WASHINGTON
CENTRAL CASCADES...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 696 East Washington Central 
  Cascades (Zone 696).

* Winds: West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 20 to 35 percent in the valleys and 30 to
  40 percent over the higher terrain. Locally higher humidity
  values closer to the Cascade Crest.

* Impacts: Main concerns for critical fire weather conditions on
  Monday will be east of the cascade crest. Any new and existing
  fires have the potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ701-702-180600-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)-
Colville Reservation (Zone 702)-
644 AM PDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FOOTHILLS OF
NORTHEAST WASHINGTON AND COLVILLE RESERVATION...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 701 Foothills of Northeast 
  Washington (Zone 701) and Fire Weather Zone 702 Colville 
  Reservation (Zone 702).

* Winds: Southwest 13 to 18 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 16 to 23 percent.

* Impacts: Any new and existing fires have the potential to spread
  rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

WAZ708-709-180600-
/O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0004.230717T1600Z-230718T0600Z/
Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse - Spokane Area (Zone 708)-
Lower Palouse - Snake River (Zone 709)-
644 AM PDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR EASTERN COLUMBIA
BASIN PALOUSE, SPOKANE AREA, LOWER PALOUSE AND SNAKE RIVER...

* Affected Area: Fire Weather Zone 708 Eastern Columbia Basin  -
  Palouse  -Spokane Area (Zone 708) and Fire Weather Zone 709 
  Lower Palouse  -Snake River (Zone 709).

* Winds: West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Relative Humidities: 15 to 23 percent.

* Impacts: Any new and existing fires have the potential to spread
  rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
271 
WWUS86 KOTX 180359
RFWOTX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Spokane WA
859 PM PDT Mon Jul 17 2023


WAZ696-701>709-180500-
/O.CAN.KOTX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-230718T0600Z/
East Washington Central Cascades (Zone 696)-
Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)-
Colville Reservation (Zone 702)-Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-
Methow Valley (Zone 704)-
Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-
Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707)-
Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse - Spokane Area (Zone 708)-
Lower Palouse - Snake River (Zone 709)-
859 PM PDT Mon Jul 17 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

The National Weather Service in Spokane has cancelled the
Red Flag Warning.

Relative humidities are increasing and winds be decreasing 
tonight thus the Red Flag Warning is cancelled.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Spokane, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jul 15, 10:28 AM PDT, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 10:28 AM PDT, 4 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1028 AM PDT Sat Jul 15 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
The Inland Northwest will be warming and drying through the
weekend. Temperatures peak on Sunday in the high 90s to near 105
in the LC Valley before cooling on Monday into the 80s. Sunday
evening through Monday will have gusty winds and low relative
humidities that could lead to critical fire conditions, especially
on Monday. There is a signal for returning hot temperatures mid
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

***CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAYS SUNDAY AND MONDAY***

*Saturday and Sunday heat: Ridging continues to build and temperatures
 will peak in the mid 90s to low 100s Saturday and Sunday.
 Overnight low temperatures are only dipping into the 60s in most
 locations this morning and tonight so relief is limited. Heat
 advisories remain in effect until 9 PM Sunday. Added the Okanogan
 Valley and Upper Columbia Basin to the heat advisory as minimum
 temperatures remain warm in the mid to upper 60s overnight with
 daytime high temperatures reaching as high as 102 degrees.
 Staying hydrated, getting plenty of electrolytes, avoiding
 strenuous outdoor activities, and spending as much time as
 possible in the shade or in an air-conditioned building will be
 particularly important.

*Sunday and Monday Fire Weather Concerns: Winds pick up Sunday
 evening with relative humidities still in the teens in the
 Waterville Plateau, Okanogan Valley, Wenatchee and Moses Lake as
 a surface low in south central BC forms. The greatest uncertainty
 for red flag conditions continues to be the Okanogan Valley where
 NBM guidance is likely too strong with the winds from Omak to
 Oroville. Hi-res guidance indicates up to a 70% chance of meeting
 red flag criteria in the southern portion of the fire zone. The
 Methow Valley also carries some uncertainty with wind speeds for
 Sunday afternoon and evening and will continue to analyze
 incoming high resolution guidance today to decide.

 The risk of critical fire weather persists on Monday as the
 ridge begins to flatten, causing the pressure gradient to
 tighten. A 105 knot upper level jet passing overhead will favor
 surface cyclogenesis on the lee side of the Alberta Rocky
 Mountains. The strength of the upper level jet is in the 90th
 percentile. Gusty winds will become widespread, reaching speeds
 of 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. While localized gusts could
 reach 45 mph, they won't be as widespread. Although temperatures
 will offer some relief, ranging from the mid to upper 80s,
 humidity levels will remain in the teens to mid 20s. Existing
 fires and new incidents will spread rapidly under these
 conditions. Adjusted minimum RH down from NBM guidance for
 Monday into the teens for most locations in the Fire Weather
 Watch as there is a 60-80% chance of 20% or lower Monday
 afternoon. This roughly matches the latest MOS and bias
 corrected guidance. Stay vigilant and keep track of the latest
 forecast updates. Ensure you have a plan in place in the event a
 wildfire breaks out in your area.

*Long term heat outlook (Wednesday onward): After a couple cooler
 days Monday and Tuesday (80s), model solutions continue to show
 amplified Gulf of Alaska troughing favoring amplification of the
 downstream ridge in the west, resulting in an extended period of
 above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation. As it
 currently stands, there is a 70% chance of the ridge axis over
 the ID Panhandle by Thursday favoring hotter temperatures. The
 other 30% of the global ensembles still have warm temperatures,
 but a few degrees cooler with the ridge axis in Northwest
 Montana. Relative humidities will remain in the teens next week
 with the hot temperatures. NAEFS and EFI charts are not
 indicating any significant wind events luckily. /Butler

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: Conditions will be VFR through the period.Mid to high
level clouds will begin to stream in after 18Z Saturday. Winds
will increase across the Cascade gaps to around 10-12 kt after 00Z
Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane        96  63  97  61  83  52 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d'Alene  94  60  96  60  83  53 /   0   0   0   0  10   0
Pullman        93  57  94  56  80  47 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston      102  69 104  69  91  59 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       95  54  95  53  83  46 /   0   0   0   0  20  10
Sandpoint      91  57  93  58  81  49 /   0   0   0   0  10  10
Kellogg        89  65  92  64  78  53 /   0   0   0   0  10   0
Moses Lake     99  62  99  60  85  52 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      98  68  96  64  80  56 /   0   0   0   0  10   0
Omak           99  64  99  61  86  54 /   0   0   0   0  10   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Heat Advisory until 9 PM PDT Sunday for Lewiston Area.

WA...Heat Advisory until 9 PM PDT Sunday for Lower Garfield and
     Asotin Counties-Moses Lake Area-Okanogan Valley-Upper
     Columbia Basin-Wenatchee Area.

     Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening
     for Colville Reservation (Zone 702)-East Washington Central
     Cascades (Zone 696)-Eastern Columbia Basin  -Palouse  -
     Spokane Area (Zone 708)-Foothills of Central Washington
     Cascades (Zone 705)-Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone
     701)-Lower Palouse  -Snake River (Zone 709)-Methow Valley
     (Zone 704)-Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Waterville Plateau
     (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone 707).

     Fire Weather Watch from Sunday afternoon through late Sunday
     night for Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone
     705)-Methow Valley (Zone 704)-Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-
     Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)-Western Columbia Basin (Zone
     707).

&&

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Washington, 2023Every red flag warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.