Alert archive / New Jersey / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS New York, NY

July 14, 2023Essex County, Union County, New Jersey

NWS New York, NY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 14, 2023, 10:10 PM EDT for Essex County, Union County, New Jersey. It was in force for 21 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 14, 2023, 10:10 PM EDT (02:10 UTC)
Expired: Jul 14, 2023, 10:31 PM EDT
In force: 21 min
Issued by: NWS New York, NY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Essex County, NJ, Union County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 996 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 628 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.5
Supercell composite: 3.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 14, 8:39 PM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 8:39 PM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 4:06 AM EDT, 18 hours 4 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
406 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

CTZ005>012-NYZ067>071-150815-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
406 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are forecast through the
weekend with flooding possible especially considering this area had
previous flooding over the last week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-150815-
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-
Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-
Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
Southern Nassau-
406 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a risk of localized flash flooding today. The Weather
Prediction Center has the area in a slight risk for excessive
rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are forecast through the
weekend with flooding possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-150815-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
406 AM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 7:04 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
704 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

NYZ067-142345-
Orange NY-
704 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH 745 PM
EDT...

At 704 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Sussex, or 11 miles west of Warwick, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Unionville around 725 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Pine Island, Slate
Hill and Westtown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4142 7449 4135 7435 4125 7446 4130 7457
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 211DEG 15KT 4121 7458

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Goodman

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 7:40 PM EDT, 2 hours 30 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
740 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

NYZ067-150030-
Orange NY-
740 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH 830 PM
EDT...

At 739 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Orange County. The strongest of these
thunderstorms was near Florida, or 7 miles south of Middletown,
moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Florida around 750 PM EDT.
  Middletown and Howells around 800 PM EDT.
  Goshen around 805 PM EDT.
  Walden and Montgomery around 830 PM EDT.

Other locations that could be impacted include Circleville, Pine
Island, Bullville, Washingtonville, Scotchtown, Slate Hill,
Maybrook, Pine Bush, Mechanicstown and New Hampton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4163 7425 4160 7425 4159 7418 4149 7404
      4127 7446 4135 7455 4147 7454 4150 7450
      4150 7448 4155 7444 4158 7439 4160 7435
      4160 7433 4162 7430 4163 7426
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 228DEG 14KT 4135 7446

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Goodman

Local storm report, Jul 14, 7:53 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New York NY
753 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 W Bloomingdale        41.03N 74.42W
07/14/2023                   Passaic            NJ   Dept of Highways

            DOT reports downed pole and downed wires on
            NJ 23 northbound south of CR 695/Echo Lake
            Rd (West Milford Twp). Time estimated by
            radar.

&&

DR

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 8:08 PM EDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 14, 9:03 PM EDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 14, 9:51 PM EDT, 19 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 14, 10:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	New York	40 min
Jul 15, 3:32 AM EDT	Flood Watch	OKX	Bronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 5 more	41 hr
Jul 15, 3:50 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Sullivan	25 min
Jul 15, 1:50 PM EDT	Rip Current Statement	OKX	Kings, Nassau, Queens, Suffolk	4 days
Jul 15, 3:17 PM EDT	Small Craft Advisory	OKX		51 hr
Jul 15, 4:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Rockland	39 min
Jul 15, 6:03 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Richmond	76 min
Jul 15, 6:06 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	OKX		39 min
Jul 15, 6:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Richmond	33 min
Jul 14, 8:08 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Bergen, Essex	52 min
Jul 14, 9:03 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Bergen	42 min
Jul 14, 9:22 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Bergen, Passaic	75 min
Jul 14, 9:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	OKX	Essex	39 min
Jul 14, 10:36 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OKX	Essex, Union	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Jersey, 2023 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.