Alert archive / Tennessee / Wind Advisories in 2023

Wind Advisory 3, NWS Morristown, TN

January 18, 202333 counties in Tennessee; Cherokee County, Clay County, North Carolina; 7 counties in Virginia

NWS Morristown, TN issued this wind advisory at Jan 18, 2023, 4:10 AM EST for 33 counties in Tennessee; Cherokee County, Clay County, North Carolina; 7 counties in Virginia. It took effect at Jan 18, 2023, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 18, 2023, 4:10 AM EST (09:10 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 18, 2023, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 19, 2023, 6:57 PM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Morristown, TN
All 42 counties

Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 265 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2023-01-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2023-01-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1615 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

566 
WWUS74 KMRX 180910
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
410 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

TNZ041-043-072-074-182100-
/O.UPG.KMRX.HW.A.0002.230119T0300Z-230119T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0300Z-230119T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230118T1500Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Blount Smoky Mountains-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Including the cities of Hartford, Cedar Creek, Cades Cove, 
Elkmont, and Gatlinburg
410 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile
  or less in dense fog. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 
  35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected, mainly above 4000 feet.
  Isolated gusts up to 65 mph are possible at Cove Mountain.

* WHERE...Cocke Smoky Mountains, Southeast Greene, Blount Smoky 
  Mountains and Sevier Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 10 AM EST this 
  morning. For the Wind Advisory, from 10 PM this evening to 1 
  PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Fog, hazardous driving conditions due to low 
  visibility. Wind Advisory, gusty winds could blow around 
  unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few 
  power outages may result. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

TNZ087-182100-
/O.NEW.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0300Z-230119T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230118T1500Z/
Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Citico and Coker Creek
410 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile
  or less in dense fog. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to
  30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected, mainly above 3000 
  feet.

* WHERE...Southeast Monroe County.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 10 AM EST this 
  morning. For the Wind Advisory, from 10 PM this evening to 1 
  PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Fog, hazardous driving conditions due to low
  visibility. Wind Advisory, gusty winds could blow around 
  unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few 
  power outages may result. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

TNZ018-045-047-182100-
/O.NEW.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0900Z-230119T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230118T1500Z/
Johnson-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, 
Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Erwin, Unicoi, 
Limestone Cove, and Hampton
410 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile
  or less in dense fog. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to
  30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected, mainly above 3000 feet
  feet.

* WHERE...Johnson, Unicoi and Southeast Carter Counties.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 10 AM EST this 
  morning. For the Wind Advisory, from 4 AM to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Fog, hazardous driving conditions due to low
  visibility. Wind Advisory, gusty winds could blow around 
  unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few 
  power outages may result. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>086-
098>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181500-
/O.CON.KMRX.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230118T1500Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-
Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-
Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam, 
Murphy, Unaka, Violet, Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville, 
Tusquitee, Big South Fork National, Oneida, Smokey Junction, 
Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Fincastle, La Follette, 
Elk Valley, Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, Royal Blue, 
Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale, Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, 
Clairfield, Howard Quarter, Evanston, Sneedville, Treadway, 
Kyles Ford, Mooresburg, Kingsport, Bristol TN, South Holston Dam,
Pine Orchard, High Point, Petros, Oak Ridge, Clinton, 
Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette, Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, 
Luttrell, Bean Station, Alpha, Morristown, Russellville, Bybee, 
Newport, Greeneville, Johnson City, Elizabethton, Harriman, 
Eagle Furnace, Rockwood, Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, 
Oliver Springs, Lenoir City, Loudon, Bearden, Knoxville, 
Lake Forest, Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains, Chestnut Hill, 
Dandridge, White Pine, Happy Valley, Maryville, Alcoa, 
Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville, Seymour, Pigeon Forge, 
Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, Lone Oak, Old Cumberland, Palio, 
Melvine, Mount Crest, Pikeville, Brayton, Dayton, Evensville, 
Old Washington, Grandview, Spring City, Big Spring, Athens, 
Clear Water, Dentville, Etowah, Sweetwater, Madisonville, 
Bullet Creek, South Pittsburg, Haletown (Guild), Jasper, 
Martin Springs, Whitwell, Powells Crossroads, Monteagle, 
Chattanooga, Lookout Mountain, Signal Mountain, Cleveland, Tasso,
Conasauga, Archville, Benton, Parksville, Reliance, 
Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown, Turtletown, Big Stone Gap, Norton, 
Wise, Coeburn, Appalachia, Pardee, Hiltons, Hansonville, Lebanon,
Dye, Castlewood, Honaker, Rosedale, Benhams, Bristol VA, 
and Abingdon
410 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023 /310 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2023/

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM
CST/ THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee 
  and southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ this morning.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
527 
WWUS74 KMRX 181356
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
856 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

TNZ041-043-072-074-087-182300-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230118T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0300Z-230119T1800Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Blount Smoky Mountains-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Hartford, Cedar Creek, Cades Cove, 
Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Citico, and Coker Creek
856 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile 
  or less in dense fog. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 
  35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected, mainly above 4000 
  feet. Isolated gusts up to 65 mph are possible at Cove 
  Mountain.

* WHERE...Cocke Smoky Mountains, Southeast Greene, Blount Smoky 
  Mountains and Sevier Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 11 AM EST this 
  morning. For the Wind Advisory, from 10 PM this evening to 1 
  PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

TNZ018-045-047-182300-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230118T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0900Z-230119T1800Z/
Johnson-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, 
Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Erwin, Unicoi, 
Limestone Cove, and Hampton
856 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile 
  or less in dense fog. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to 
  30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected, mainly above 3000 
  feet feet.

* WHERE...Johnson, Unicoi and Southeast Carter Counties.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 11 AM EST this 
  morning. For the Wind Advisory, from 4 AM to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>086-
098>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181600-
/O.EXT.KMRX.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230118T1600Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-
Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-
Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam, 
Murphy, Unaka, Violet, Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville, 
Tusquitee, Big South Fork National, Oneida, Smokey Junction, 
Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Fincastle, La Follette, 
Elk Valley, Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, Royal Blue, 
Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale, Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, 
Clairfield, Howard Quarter, Evanston, Sneedville, Treadway, 
Kyles Ford, Mooresburg, Kingsport, Bristol TN, South Holston Dam,
Pine Orchard, High Point, Petros, Oak Ridge, Clinton, 
Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette, Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, 
Luttrell, Bean Station, Alpha, Morristown, Russellville, Bybee, 
Newport, Greeneville, Johnson City, Elizabethton, Harriman, 
Eagle Furnace, Rockwood, Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, 
Oliver Springs, Lenoir City, Loudon, Bearden, Knoxville, 
Lake Forest, Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains, Chestnut Hill, 
Dandridge, White Pine, Happy Valley, Maryville, Alcoa, 
Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville, Seymour, Pigeon Forge, 
Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, Lone Oak, Old Cumberland, Palio, 
Melvine, Mount Crest, Pikeville, Brayton, Dayton, Evensville, 
Old Washington, Grandview, Spring City, Big Spring, Athens, 
Clear Water, Dentville, Etowah, Sweetwater, Madisonville, 
Bullet Creek, South Pittsburg, Haletown (Guild), Jasper, 
Martin Springs, Whitwell, Powells Crossroads, Monteagle, 
Chattanooga, Lookout Mountain, Signal Mountain, Cleveland, Tasso,
Conasauga, Archville, Benton, Parksville, Reliance, 
Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown, Turtletown, Big Stone Gap, Norton, 
Wise, Coeburn, Appalachia, Pardee, Hiltons, Hansonville, Lebanon,
Dye, Castlewood, Honaker, Rosedale, Benhams, Bristol VA, 
and Abingdon
856 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023 /756 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2023/

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee 
  and southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ this morning.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$
141 
WWUS74 KMRX 181758
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1258 PM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

TNZ041-043-072-074-087-190400-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0300Z-230119T1800Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Blount Smoky Mountains-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Hartford, Cedar Creek, Cades Cove, 
Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Citico, and Coker Creek
1258 PM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected, mainly above 4000 feet. Isolated gusts up to 65 mph 
  are possible at Cove Mountain.

* WHERE...Cocke Smoky Mountains, Southeast Greene, Blount Smoky 
  Mountains and Sevier Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TNZ018-045-047-190400-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0900Z-230119T1800Z/
Johnson-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, 
Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Erwin, Unicoi, 
Limestone Cove, and Hampton
1258 PM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
  expected, mainly above 3000 feet.

* WHERE...Johnson, Unicoi and Southeast Carter Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
113 
WWUS74 KMRX 190104
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
804 PM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-081>086-098>102-
191000-
/O.EXA.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0300Z-230119T1800Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Morgan-Anderson-Union-
Roane-Loudon-Knox-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-
Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-
Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam, 
Murphy, Unaka, Violet, Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville, 
Tusquitee, Big South Fork National, Oneida, Smokey Junction, 
Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Fincastle, La Follette, 
Elk Valley, Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, Royal Blue, 
Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale, Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, 
Clairfield, Howard Quarter, Pine Orchard, High Point, Petros, 
Oak Ridge, Clinton, Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette, 
Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, Luttrell, Harriman, Eagle Furnace, 
Rockwood, Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, Oliver Springs, 
Lenoir City, Loudon, Bearden, Knoxville, Lake Forest, 
Happy Valley, Maryville, Alcoa, Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, 
Sevierville, Seymour, Pigeon Forge, Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, 
Lone Oak, Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine, Mount Crest, Pikeville,
Brayton, Dayton, Evensville, Old Washington, Grandview, 
Spring City, Big Spring, Athens, Clear Water, Dentville, Etowah, 
Sweetwater, Madisonville, Bullet Creek, South Pittsburg, 
Haletown (Guild), Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell, 
Powells Crossroads, Monteagle, Chattanooga, Lookout Mountain, 
Signal Mountain, Cleveland, Tasso, Conasauga, Archville, Benton, 
Parksville, Reliance, Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown, and Turtletown
804 PM EST Wed Jan 18 2023 /704 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THURSDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina and east 
  Tennessee.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

VAZ002-006-008-191000-
/O.EXA.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0900Z-230119T1800Z/
Wise-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Big Stone Gap, Norton, Wise, Coeburn, 
Appalachia, Pardee, Hansonville, Lebanon, Dye, Castlewood, 
Honaker, Rosedale, Benhams, Bristol VA, and Abingdon
804 PM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
  expected, mainly above 2500 feet.

* WHERE...Wise, Russell and Washington VA Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TNZ041-043-072-074-087-191000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0300Z-230119T1800Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Blount Smoky Mountains-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Hartford, Cedar Creek, Cades Cove, 
Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Citico, and Coker Creek
804 PM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected, mainly above 4000 feet. Isolated gusts up to 65 mph 
  are possible at Cove Mountain.

* WHERE...Cocke Smoky Mountains, Southeast Greene, Blount Smoky 
  Mountains and Sevier Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TNZ018-045-047-191000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0900Z-230119T1800Z/
Johnson-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, 
Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Erwin, Unicoi, 
Limestone Cove, and Hampton
804 PM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected, mainly above 3000 feet.

* WHERE...Johnson, Unicoi and Southeast Carter Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TD
609 
WWUS74 KMRX 190832
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
332 AM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-070-VAZ001-005-192100-
/O.EXB.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T1800Z-230120T0000Z/
Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Jefferson-Lee-Scott VA-
Including the cities of Evanston, Sneedville, Treadway, 
Kyles Ford, Mooresburg, Kingsport, Bristol TN, South Holston Dam,
Bean Station, Alpha, Morristown, Russellville, Bybee, Newport, 
Greeneville, Johnson City, Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains, 
Chestnut Hill, Dandridge, White Pine, Rose Hill, and Hiltons
332 AM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Northeast Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TNZ046-192100-
/O.EXB.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T1800Z-230120T1200Z/
Northwest Carter-
Including the city of Elizabethton
332 AM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Northwest Carter County.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-081>087-098>102-
192100-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230120T0000Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Morgan-Anderson-Union-
Roane-Loudon-Knox-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-
Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Southeast Monroe-
Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam, 
Murphy, Unaka, Violet, Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville, 
Tusquitee, Big South Fork National, Oneida, Smokey Junction, 
Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Fincastle, La Follette, 
Elk Valley, Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, Royal Blue, 
Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale, Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, 
Clairfield, Howard Quarter, Pine Orchard, High Point, Petros, 
Oak Ridge, Clinton, Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette, 
Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, Luttrell, Harriman, Eagle Furnace, 
Rockwood, Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, Oliver Springs, 
Lenoir City, Loudon, Bearden, Knoxville, Lake Forest, Maryville, 
Alcoa, Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville, Seymour, 
Pigeon Forge, Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, Lone Oak, 
Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine, Mount Crest, Pikeville, Brayton, 
Dayton, Evensville, Old Washington, Grandview, Spring City, 
Big Spring, Athens, Clear Water, Dentville, Etowah, Sweetwater, 
Madisonville, Bullet Creek, Citico, Coker Creek, South Pittsburg,
Haletown (Guild), Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell, 
Powells Crossroads, Monteagle, Chattanooga, Lookout Mountain, 
Signal Mountain, Cleveland, Tasso, Conasauga, Archville, Benton, 
Parksville, Reliance, Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown, and Turtletown
332 AM EST Thu Jan 19 2023 /232 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2023/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina and the majority of
  the east Tennessee Valley.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TNZ018-045-047-VAZ006-008-192100-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0900Z-230120T1200Z/
Johnson-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, 
Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Erwin, Unicoi, 
Limestone Cove, Hampton, Hansonville, Lebanon, Dye, Castlewood, 
Honaker, Rosedale, Benhams, Bristol VA, and Abingdon
332 AM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Tennessee, Johnson, Unicoi and Southeast Carter 
  Counties. In Virginia, Russell and Washington VA Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TNZ041-043-072-074-192100-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230120T1200Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Blount Smoky Mountains-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Including the cities of Hartford, Cedar Creek, Cades Cove, 
Elkmont, and Gatlinburg
332 AM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph,
  isolated gusts up to 60 mph are possible, mainly above 4000
  feet. Wind gusts then come down into the 30 to 40 mph range this
  afternoon, affecting all elevations.

* WHERE...Cocke Smoky Mountains, Southeast Greene, Blount Smoky 
  Mountains and Sevier Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

VAZ002-192100-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.230119T0900Z-230120T0000Z/
Wise-
Including the cities of Big Stone Gap, Norton, Wise, Coeburn, 
Appalachia, and Pardee
332 AM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Wise County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
470 
WWUS74 KMRX 191946
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
246 PM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-067>071-073-081>087-098>102-
VAZ001-002-005-200000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230120T0000Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-
Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-
McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-
West Polk-East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam, 
Murphy, Unaka, Violet, Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville, 
Tusquitee, Big South Fork National, Oneida, Smokey Junction, 
Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Fincastle, La Follette, 
Elk Valley, Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, Royal Blue, 
Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale, Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, 
Clairfield, Howard Quarter, Evanston, Sneedville, Treadway, 
Kyles Ford, Mooresburg, Kingsport, Bristol TN, South Holston Dam,
Pine Orchard, High Point, Petros, Oak Ridge, Clinton, 
Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette, Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, 
Luttrell, Bean Station, Alpha, Morristown, Russellville, Bybee, 
Newport, Greeneville, Johnson City, Harriman, Eagle Furnace, 
Rockwood, Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, Oliver Springs, 
Lenoir City, Loudon, Bearden, Knoxville, Lake Forest, 
Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains, Chestnut Hill, Dandridge, 
White Pine, Maryville, Alcoa, Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, 
Sevierville, Seymour, Pigeon Forge, Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, 
Lone Oak, Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine, Mount Crest, Pikeville,
Brayton, Dayton, Evensville, Old Washington, Grandview, 
Spring City, Big Spring, Athens, Clear Water, Dentville, Etowah, 
Sweetwater, Madisonville, Bullet Creek, Citico, Coker Creek, 
South Pittsburg, Haletown (Guild), Jasper, Martin Springs, 
Whitwell, Powells Crossroads, Monteagle, Chattanooga, 
Lookout Mountain, Signal Mountain, Cleveland, Tasso, Conasauga, 
Archville, Benton, Parksville, Reliance, Big Frog Mountain, 
Ducktown, Turtletown, Big Stone Gap, Norton, Wise, Coeburn, 
Appalachia, Pardee, and Hiltons
246 PM EST Thu Jan 19 2023 /146 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2023/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina and the majority 
  of the east Tennessee Valley.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045>047-072-074-VAZ006-008-200515-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230120T1200Z/
Johnson-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-
Northwest Carter-Southeast Carter-Blount Smoky Mountains-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, 
Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Hartford, Cedar Creek, 
Erwin, Unicoi, Limestone Cove, Elizabethton, Hampton, Cades Cove,
Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Hansonville, Lebanon, Dye, Castlewood, 
Honaker, Rosedale, Benhams, Bristol VA, and Abingdon
246 PM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In Tennessee, Johnson, Unicoi and Southeast Carter 
  Counties. In Virginia, Russell and Washington VA Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
765 
WWUS74 KMRX 192357
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
657 PM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

TNZ018-041-043-045>047-072-074-VAZ006-008-201200-
/O.CAN.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230120T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMRX.WI.Y.0004.230120T0000Z-230120T1200Z/
Johnson-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-
Northwest Carter-Southeast Carter-Blount Smoky Mountains-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, 
Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Hartford, Cedar Creek, 
Erwin, Unicoi, Limestone Cove, Elizabethton, Hampton, Cades Cove,
Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Hansonville, Lebanon, Dye, Castlewood, 
Honaker, Rosedale, Benhams, Bristol VA, and Abingdon
657 PM EST Thu Jan 19 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
  occurring.

* WHERE...Portions of the east Tennessee mountains and southwest 
  Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-067>071-073-081>087-098>102-
VAZ001-002-005-200100-
/O.CAN.KMRX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230120T0000Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-
Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-
McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-
West Polk-East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-
657 PM EST Thu Jan 19 2023 /557 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2023/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have decreased below advisory level.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 18, 3:54 AM EST, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 3:54 AM EST, 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
354 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 338 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

Key Messages:

1. Widespread dense fog will continue through at least mid morning
before conditions improve.

2. A line of moderate rain showers will move onto the Cumberland
Plateau early Thursday morning, then spread east into the east TN
Valley. Most areas are by by mid afternoon. Gusty winds are
expected as the showers move through as they will pull down
stronger winds aloft. Gusts from 30 to 40 mph are expected.

3. Late tonight into Thursday, sustained southwest winds of 25 to 35
mph are expected across the highest peaks of the east TN mountains
with wind gusts from 40 to 55 mph, isolated gusts up to 65 mph.
See wind section below for more details.

Discussion:

Through this morning:

A dense fog advisory will remain in place through 10 AM EST.
Widespread dense fog is occurring and conditions won't improve
until at least mid morning. There may be some areas that hang onto
fog until early afternoon due to a steep low level inversion that
is in place. Will monitor trends and extend the advisory if need
be. Please use caution while traveling this morning.

Today through Thursday overview:

A broad area of low pressure will move from the central Great Plains
today and into the Great Lakes region by Thursday. A stationary
boundary that is currently located across southern middle TN will
transition into a warm front today and will begin to lift northeast
into our area this afternoon. Will keep the area dry today and don't
introduce slight chance POPs until early evening. This is in
response to upper-level divergence increasing across the area
ahead of the cold front. The bulk of the rain will occur just
ahead of and along the cold front, which doesn't push into our
area until early Thursday morning. Expect the line of moderate
rain showers to arrive onto the Cumberland Plateau between 3 AM
and 6 AM EST, then push east into the east TN Valley through mid
to late morning. Most areas are dry by mid afternoon. QPF will be
fairly low and most areas will average around 0.25 inches of
rainfall, isolated areas up to 0.5 inches are expected though.

Wind:

The biggest impact with this system will be the strong and gusty
winds across the high terrain of the east TN Mountains. I don't
expect this to be a mountain wave event as the 850mb flow is mostly
parallel to the terrain. The strong and gusty winds will be due to
the 45 to 55 knot 850 mb jet passing overhead. Though there will
be a few isolated locations, such as Cove Mountain, that will hit
High Wind Warning criteria, expect most areas to stay within
Advisory level winds. HREF, WRF-ARW, HRRR, all in pretty good
agreement with this wind event. The highest peaks, above 4000
feet, can expect sustained southwest winds of 25 to 35 mph with
gusts from 45 to 55 mph, with isolated gusts to 65 mph. See wind
advisory for additional details.

For valley locations, expect gusty winds to occur as the line of
showers moves across the area. This is due to the stronger winds
aloft being pulled down to the surface by the showers. Sustained
winds between 15 to 25 mph are expected with gusts from 30 to 40
mph as the rain moves through.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 338 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

Key Messages:

1. Relief from rain late week and into the first half of the
weekend. Additional rounds of showers returning late weekend and
into next week.

2. Temperatures becoming more seasonable for the extended period.

Discussion:

The second weather system to impact East Tennessee this week will
continue to lift north and east late Thursday as precipitation
chances come to an end and H85 flow weakens and veers to the WNW.
Dry conditions are anticipated to persist Friday and through the
majority of Saturday as more seasonable temperatures filter into the
region.

By Saturday night, low pressure at 500mb transitions eastward over
the central CONUS. As a response to the increasing upper level flow,
southerly 850mb winds will amplify and increase moisture return into
the area as well. GEFS ensemble mean suggest PWAT values returning
to near 1", with the greatest moisture in the southern valley and
southwest NC. As weak low pressure and associated surface boundaries
lift northward overnight Saturday and into Sunday, precipitation
chances will increase in response.

Models seem to be converging better on the concept of Sunday being
the most likely time for additional rainfall with this system, as
well as the axis of strongest precip setting up southeast of the
forecast area. Still some discrepancies among ensemble means
regarding local accumulation but not currently anticipating
significant impacts at this time. GEFS shows only low end(20-30%)
chance of 24 hour rainfall totals greater than 1" for southwest NC
and the GSMNP area where as the ECMWF ensemble mean does not show
any chance. Additionally, depending on where exactly the 850mb jet
sets up, some gusty winds will be possible in the higher elevations
of East Tennessee mountains Sunday. There are still differences
among models in this aspect so details remain fuzzy. Just worth
noting it cannot be totally ruled out at this time.

Only a short-lived break from unsettled weather is expected near the
start of the work week before an additional system brings increasing
chances for rain once again. Details for this are uncertain at this
time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1239 AM EST Wed Jan 18 2023

Dense fog expected at all sites through late morning. Flight
conditions will alternate between LIFR and below airport minimums.
Conditions return to IFR by late morning/early afternoon, then
MVFR/VFR during the afternoon hours. CIGs begin lowering again
toward the end of the period as our next weather system begins to
push in.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             65  58  67  37 /  20  80  80   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  61  53  65  36 /  10  50  90   0
Oak Ridge, TN                       60  52  65  35 /  10  60  80   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              58  48  63  35 /   0  40 100   0

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Cherokee-
     Clay.

TN...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ this morning for
     Anderson-Bledsoe-Blount Smoky Mountains-Bradley-Campbell-
     Claiborne-Cocke Smoky Mountains-East Polk-Grainger-Hamblen-
     Hamilton-Hancock-Hawkins-Jefferson-Johnson-Knox-Loudon-
     Marion-McMinn-Meigs-Morgan-North Sevier-Northwest Blount-
     Northwest Carter-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Northwest
     Monroe-Rhea-Roane-Scott TN-Sequatchie-Sevier Smoky
     Mountains-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast
     Monroe-Sullivan-Unicoi-Union-Washington TN-West Polk.

     Wind Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM EST Thursday for Johnson-
     Southeast Carter-Unicoi.

     Wind Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday for
     Blount Smoky Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky
     Mountains-Southeast Greene-Southeast Monroe.

VA...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Lee-Russell-
     Scott VA-Washington VA-Wise.

&&

SHORT TERM...SR
LONG TERM....Wellington
AVIATION...KRS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 17, 3:42 PM EST, 12 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
342 PM EST Tue Jan 17 2023

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-182045-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
342 PM EST Tue Jan 17 2023 /242 PM CST Tue Jan 17 2023/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong and gusty winds are expected across the higher elevations
of the Cumberland Plateau, the East Tennessee mountains,
southwest Virginia, and southwest North Carolina mountains from
now through mid morning. Wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph are expected,
with gusts from 30 to 40 mph across the highest mountain peaks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Multiple weather systems will occur throughout the extended
forecast. Periods of moderate rainfall are expected with brief
locally moderate to heavy rainfall possible at times.

Strong and gusty winds are expected across the higher elevations
of the Cumberland Plateau, the East Tennessee mountains,
southwest Virginia, and southwest North Carolina mountains
Wednesday night into Thursday. Wind gusts up to 65 mph are
possible across the highest peaks of the Smokies.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 17, 10:55 PM EST, 5 hours 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1055 PM EST Tue Jan 17 2023

NCZ060-061-TNZ012-035-040-041-067-068-071>074-081>087-098>102-
181500-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Morgan-Northwest Cocke-
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Roane-Loudon-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam,
Murphy, Unaka, Violet, Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville,
Tusquitee, Big South Fork National, Oneida, Smokey Junction,
Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Pine Orchard, High Point,
Petros, Bybee, Newport, Hartford, Harriman, Eagle Furnace,
Rockwood, Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, Oliver Springs,
Lenoir City, Loudon, Happy Valley, Maryville, Alcoa, Cades Cove,
Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville, Seymour, Pigeon Forge,
Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, Lone Oak,
Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine, Mount Crest, Pikeville, Brayton,
Dayton, Evensville, Old Washington, Grandview, Spring City,
Big Spring, Athens, Clear Water, Dentville, Etowah, Sweetwater,
Madisonville, Bullet Creek, Citico, Coker Creek, South Pittsburg,
Haletown (Guild), Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell,
Powells Crossroads, Monteagle, Chattanooga, Lookout Mountain,
Signal Mountain, Cleveland, Tasso, Conasauga, Archville, Benton,
Parksville, Reliance, Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown, and Turtletown
1055 PM EST Tue Jan 17 2023 /955 PM CST Tue Jan 17 2023/

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING...

Patches of fog have developed across the area late tonight. Some
of this fog may become locally dense overnight with visibility
dropping to one-quarter mile or less at times. So please use
caution if traveling in these areas through Wednesday morning. Be
alert for rapid changes in visibility on area roadways and allow
extra space between vehicles.

TD

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Tennessee, 2023Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2023Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2023Every wind advisory in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.