Alert archive / Michigan / Wind Advisories in 2023
Wind Advisory 2, NWS Marquette, MI
NWS Marquette, MI issued this wind advisory at Apr 5, 2023, 3:49 AM EDT for 7 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Apr 5, 2023, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 19 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 5, 2023, 3:49 AM EDT (07:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 5, 2023, 8:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 6, 2023, 3:07 PM EDT
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Marquette, MI
Counties Baraga County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Gogebic County, MI, Houghton County, MI, Iron County, MI, Marquette County, MI, Ontonagon County, MI
The radar
The Marquette radar (KMQT), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 845 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 62 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 737 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 1512 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.8
The text
As transmitted.
352 WWUS73 KMQT 050749 NPWMQT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Marquette MI 349 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 MIZ001-003-052100- /O.NEW.KMQT.HW.W.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 349 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Keweenaw and Northern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ MIZ002-004-005-009>011-084-052100- /O.NEW.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Ontonagon-Baraga-Marquette-Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson- Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, L'Anse, Gwinn, Marquette, Ironwood, Iron River, Iron Mountain, Kenton, and Sidnaw 349 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 /249 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Ontonagon, Baraga, Marquette, Gogebic, Iron, Dickinson and Southern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening to 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ 07
5 follow-up statements
775 WWUS73 KMQT 051712 NPWMQT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Marquette MI 112 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 MIZ001-003-052100- /O.NEW.KMQT.FG.Y.0001.230405T1712Z-230405T2100Z/ /O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 112 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility near zero miles in dense fog. * WHERE...Keweenaw and Northern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Thursday. For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 5 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. && $$ MIZ004-005-010-011-084-052100- /O.NEW.KMQT.FG.Y.0001.230405T1712Z-230405T2100Z/ /O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Baraga-Marquette-Iron-Dickinson-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of L'Anse, Gwinn, Marquette, Iron River, Iron Mountain, Kenton, and Sidnaw 112 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 /1212 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023/ ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT /4 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility near zero miles in dense fog. For the Wind Advisory, west winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Baraga, Marquette, Iron, Dickinson and Southern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 5 PM EDT /4 PM CDT/ this afternoon. For the Wind Advisory, from 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening to 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. && $$ MIZ012-052100- /O.NEW.KMQT.FG.Y.0001.230405T1712Z-230405T2100Z/ Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 1212 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Visibility near zero miles in dense fog. * WHERE...Menominee County. * WHEN...Until 4 PM CDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. && $$ MIZ002-009-052100- /O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Ontonagon-Gogebic- Including the cities of Ontonagon and Ironwood 112 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 /1212 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Ontonagon and Gogebic Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening to 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Jablonski
796 WWUS73 KMQT 051923 NPWMQT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Marquette MI 323 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 MIZ001-060330- /O.CAN.KMQT.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-230405T2100Z/ /O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Keweenaw- Including the city of Copper Harbor 323 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Keweenaw County. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ MIZ004-005-010-011-084-060330- /O.CAN.KMQT.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-230405T2100Z/ /O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Baraga-Marquette-Iron-Dickinson-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of L'Anse, Gwinn, Marquette, Iron River, Iron Mountain, Kenton, and Sidnaw 323 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 /223 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Baraga, Marquette, Iron, Dickinson and Southern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening to 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ MIZ012-052030- /O.CAN.KMQT.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-230405T2100Z/ Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 223 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ MIZ003-060330- /O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMQT.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-230405T2100Z/ Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Houghton and Hancock 323 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility less than one mile in dense fog. * WHERE...Northern Houghton County. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Thursday. For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 5 PM EDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. && $$ MIZ002-009-060330- /O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.230406T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Ontonagon-Gogebic- Including the cities of Ontonagon and Ironwood 323 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 /223 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Ontonagon and Gogebic Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening to 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Jablonski
689 WWUS73 KMQT 060041 NPWMQT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Marquette MI 841 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 MIZ001-003-060930- /O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 841 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible. * WHERE...Keweenaw and Northern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Sporadic power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ MIZ002-004-005-009>011-084-060930- /O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Ontonagon-Baraga-Marquette-Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson- Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, L'Anse, Gwinn, Marquette, Ironwood, Iron River, Iron Mountain, Kenton, and Sidnaw 841 PM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023 /741 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Ontonagon, Baraga, Marquette, Gogebic, Iron, Dickinson and Southern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. A few tree limbs could be blown down and sporadic power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ JV
168 WWUS73 KMQT 060734 NPWMQT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Marquette MI 334 AM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023 MIZ001-003-070000- /O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 334 AM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...Keweenaw and Northern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ MIZ002-004-005-009>011-084-070000- /O.CON.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Ontonagon-Baraga-Marquette-Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson- Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, L'Anse, Gwinn, Marquette, Ironwood, Iron River, Iron Mountain, Kenton, and Sidnaw 334 AM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023 /234 AM CDT Thu Apr 6 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Ontonagon, Baraga, Marquette, Gogebic, Iron, Dickinson and Southern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ 07
371 WWUS73 KMQT 061907 NPWMQT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Marquette MI 307 PM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023 MIZ002-004-005-009>011-084-062015- /O.CAN.KMQT.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Ontonagon-Baraga-Marquette-Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson- Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, L'Anse, Gwinn, Marquette, Ironwood, Iron River, Iron Mountain, Kenton, and Sidnaw 307 PM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023 /207 PM CDT Thu Apr 6 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The strongest winds have lightened up this afternoon, however gusty winds to 30 mph are still possible through this evening. $$ MIZ001-003-070000- /O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230407T0000Z/ Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 307 PM EDT Thu Apr 6 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Keweenaw and Northern Houghton Counties. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Apr 5, 3:20 AM EDT, 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 5, 3:20 AM EDT, 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Marquette MI
320 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023
.SHORT TERM...(Today)
Issued at 319 AM EDT WED APR 5 2023
We've had an interesting morning thus far over Upper Michigan! A
band of thunderstorms has brought sleet/graupel and freezing rain to
much of the CWA from around 1130 PM last night to the time of this
writing. Otherwise, some light sleet and snow (was NOT expecting
this, but it was snowing at the office as late as 315AM), freezing
drizzle, and drizzle is being seen across the UP early this morning
as the warm front of a strong low pressure system continues to move
from south to north overhead. As temps slowly warm at the sfc this
morning, expect the transition from wintry precip to pure
rain/drizzle from south to north. While we may see some isolated
thunderstorms continue throughout the morning hours today, CAMs
guidance hints at a dry slot possibly moving over the UP around dawn
this morning, giving us a quick reprieve from the precip. However,
don't expect the reprieve to last all that long, as the cold front
of the low pressure begins to move into the far west late this
morning. As the cold front pushes east through the area today, some
rain showers and thunderstorms look to fire up along the frontal
boundary, with convective activity increasing the further east the
front goes. What may aid the convective activity is cloudy skies
giving way to sunny skies ahead of the cold front; this would allow
for high lapse rates to occur near the sfc and for the sfc to heat
up very quickly. Speaking of warming up today, given the significant
warm nose today and the break up in the cloud cover over the area
this afternoon, thinking highs will get to around 50 across most of
the area, save Ironwood and the Keweenaw which may struggle to get
to the mid 40s and the south central where the mid 50s are expected.
One more concern for today is the windy conditions; while some
easterly windy conditions are expected over the far east and
Keweenaw early this morning, once the low lifts through Lake
Superior into northern Ontario later today, expect strong SW'rly
winds associated with the LLJ wrapped around the low to mix down to
the sfc. Thus, we may see wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph across the
area, with a few gusts up to 50 mph possible near the Lake Superior
shoreline from Ironwood to Copper Harbor before we get into the
evening hours...
.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 433 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2023
A 500mb closed low over WY embedded in the upper level trough over
the Rockies will travel northeast through the Dakotas tonight and
continues through northwest MN into Ontario Wed afternoon. The
associated sfc low pres tracks northeast through IA and continues
north along MN/WI and the west side of Lake Superior Wed morning.
The sfc low then continues northeast through Ontario toward James
Bay by Thu morning with sfc high pressure building over the Upper
Midwest overnight into Fri. Much colder air on Thursday brings a
period of lake effect snow showers, especially for the Keweenaw.
Then a series of low amplitude shortwaves bring chances for light
precipitation this weekend into early next week. A fast-moving
shortwave drops southeast through the UP Fri night into Sat ahead of
upper level troughing that follows through Sun afternoon. Additional
shortwaves are expected into early next week, but precipitation
amounts are expected to be below average after tonights storm.
Temperatures trend from below normal to above normal this weekend
with much above normal temperatures leading to substantial snow melt
and some flooding concerns next week.
The main focus of the period is the imminent winter storm system
that brings a wintry mix and strong winds. Strong 850mb WAA yields a
warm nose that is noteworthy in the BUFKIT soundings throughout the
UP which will start tonight with primarily rain over southern
Menominee County and a mix of rain/sleet elsewhere. This will
gradually mix with freezing rain as low level cold air advection
battles the warm layer aloft. Icing amounts on the Keweenaw and
across the far east are expected to exceed 1/4 inches by Wed
morning. Strong WAA ahead of the cold front erodes the deep
inversion gradually through the morning and into the early afternoon
aiding in the final transition across the UP over to rain. It's
possible that high temps on Wednesday may not be warm enough with
NBM 50th percentile several degrees warmer than the current
forecast. Pops begin to diminish as well during this transition with
the dry slot moving in ahead of the cold front. The cold front will
move east late Wed morning/afternoon and a diurnal increase in
convective PoPs along the front with a much drier air mass moving in
behind the cold front.
Another major factor with this system is the strong winds. As the
warm front continues to lift north, east winds will continue to ramp
up through midnight with gusts up to 30 likely across much of the UP
and up to 40 knots in the Keweenaw. The WAA regime combined with
precipitation reduces confidence in high winds tonight, but the
unusual easterly direction warrants a more aggressive wind forecast.
As the low passes along the west side of the lake, winds veer
southeast immediately ahead of the cold front then southwesterly
behind the front. Strong southwest winds ramp up in the overnight
hours with gusts up to 35 to 40 knots for most, with the Keweenaw
getting up to 50 knots. As the low continues northward on Thursday,
the winds gradually diminish while veering westerly then winds
should drop off shortly after sunset as ridging begins to build in
and the boundary layer decouples preventing stronger winds aloft
from mixing down. Lake-effect snow is also expected after these
winds veer westerly Thu morning. CAA in the 850mb level will help
850mb temps drop to around -14 to -15C. BUFKIT soundings show a
favorable LES environment with inversion heights up to 8kft that
encompass the entire DGZ. As winds veer westerly, more dominant
banding features crossing the Keweenaw are possible. Even if that
doesn't occur the combination of briefly heavy snow showers and
strong winds suggests impactful weather mainly related to low vsby.
The inverted-v structure at the surface could limit snow shower
coverage.
Fri night into Sat morning brings another shortwave with light snow
chances. An additional shortwave bringing light precip chances,
mainly rain moves through Sun night into Monday. The above normal
temps will be more noticeable Sat and beyond with highs getting well
into the 40s on Sat and into the 50s to 60s Sun through the early
part of next week. On top of that, lows look to stay around or above
freezing post Sat night which will help melt our snowpack.
Additional warmth and snowmelt are expected next week suggesting
spring may have finally sprung.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 133 AM EDT WED APR 5 2023
MVFR/IFR conditions will lower to IFR and possibly LIFR overnight
with the onset of mainly freezing rain and sleet with a warm frontal
passage. Isolated t-storms are also possible. Eventually, pcpn will
change over to light rain showers by Wednesday morning but IFR to
LIFR conditions will persist at least through the morning hours
before gradually improving to MVFR in the afternoon.
Winds will be strong out of the east tonight, particularly at KCMX,
where gusts could reach and exceed 40 knots. East-southeast winds
are expected Wednesday morning with gusts up to 20 kts at IWD and
SAW and 45 kts at CMX. Winds then shift southwest in the afternoon
and will remain gusty with gusts of 35-40 kt possible at all the
terminals. Southwest to west gusts could reach 45-50 knots at KCMX
Wednesday evening.
&&
.MARINE...(For the 4 PM Lake Superior forecast issuance)
Issued at 433 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2023
...Long duration Gale and Storm Force Wind event ongoing through
Thursday...
No big changes were made with this very strong and long lived storm
event on Lake Superior. Track of the sfc low continue to look like
it will go across western Lake Superior. Will have two periods of
strong winds with the first associated with warm air advection ahead
of the low pressure and the second associated with cold air
advection behind the low. East-northeast storm force winds look to
be still up to 60 knots across the west and a high-end gale up to 45
knots across the east. Southwest winds quickly increase behind the
cold front on Wednesday then gradually veer westerly Wednesday night
into Thursday. Still looks like storm warnings will have to be
hoisted eventually across the east half for Wed night into Thu.
Confidence continues to be high that there will be widespread storm
force winds up to 60 knots on Lake Superior at times into Thu and
waves up to 25 feet possible. Expect conditions to improve Thursday
night as high pressure slides across the Upper Great Lakes.
&&
.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Upper Michigan...
Lakeshore Flood Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for MIZ001-
003.
Winter Storm Warning until 11 AM EDT this morning for MIZ001-003.
Winter Weather Advisory until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning
for MIZ002-004-005-010>013-084.
Ice Storm Warning until 10 AM EDT /9 AM CDT/ this morning for
MIZ006-007-009-085.
Lakeshore Flood Advisory until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning
for MIZ012>014.
Lake Superior...
Storm Warning until 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ this morning for
LSZ162.
Gale Warning until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning for
LSZ240>251.
Storm Warning until noon EDT Thursday for LSZ263-264.
Gale Warning until 3 AM EDT Friday for LSZ265>267.
Lake Michigan...
Gale Warning until 5 AM EDT early this morning for LMZ221-248-
250.
&&
SHORT TERM...TAP
LONG TERM...Jablonski
AVIATION...Voss/TAP
MARINE...EKHazardous weather outlook, Apr 4, 3:57 PM EDT, 11 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Marquette MI 357 PM EDT Tue Apr 4 2023 MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-052000- Keweenaw-Ontonagon-Northern Houghton-Baraga-Marquette-Alger-Luce- Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson-Menominee-Delta-Southern Schoolcraft- Southern Houghton-Northern Schoolcraft- 357 PM EDT Tue Apr 4 2023 /257 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2023/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Upper Michigan and western Upper Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight A strong low pressure system will bring accumulating snow, mixed wintry precipitation of sleet, snow, freezing rain and rain, very strong winds, and a chance of thunderstorms late this afternoon and tonight. Some of the storms could contain some small hail across the southern counties. There could be up to a quarter inch of ice accumulation tonight. See the latest Winter Weather Advisory, Ice Storm Warning and Winter Storm Warning for further details. There will also be some minor lakeshore flooding and beach erosion along the Lake Superior and the bay of Green Bay and Lake Michigan shorelines tonight. See the latest lakeshore flood advisory for further details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday A strong low pressure system will bring mixed wintry precipitation of sleet, snow, freezing rain and rain, very strong winds, and a chance of thunderstorms Wednesday. There could be some up to a quarter inch of ice accumulations into Wednesday morning. See the latest Winter Weather Advisory, Ice Storm Warning and Winter Storm Warning for further details. There will also be some minor lakeshore flooding and beach erosion along the Lake Superior shorelines on Wednesday. See the latest lakeshore flood advisory for further details. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this time. LSZ162-240>251-263>267-052000- Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand Portage MN beyond 5NM-Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI- Black River to Ontonagon MI- Ontonagon to Upper Entrance of Portage Canal MI- Upper Entrance of Portage Canal to Eagle River MI- Eagle River to Manitou Island MI- Manitou Island to Point Isabelle MI- Point Isabelle to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal MI- Lower Entrance of Portage Canal To Huron Islands MI Including Keweenaw and Huron Bays-Huron Islands to Marquette MI- Marquette to Munising MI-Munising to Grand Marais MI- Grand Marais to Whitefish Point MI- Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle Royale National Park- Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border- Lake Superior West of Line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI Beyond 5NM from shore- Lake Superior East of a line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI and West of a line from Grand Marais MI to the US/Canadian Border Beyond 5NM from shore- Lake Superior from Grand Marais MI to Whitefish Point MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border- 357 PM EDT Tue Apr 4 2023 /257 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2023/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Central Lake Superior...Eastern Lake Superior and Western Lake Superior. .DAY ONE...Tonight A strong northeast to east gale to 45 knots and storm force winds to 60 knots are expected through tonight. Thunderstorms will also be possible this afternoon through tonight. See the latest Lake Superior forecast and marine weather message for further details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday A strong east gale Wednesday becoming southwesterly late Wednesday through Thursday to 45 knots and storm force winds to 60 knots are expected. Gales may persist out of the west-northwest on Lake Superior into Thursday night. Thunderstorms will also be possible Wednesday. See the latest Lake Superior forecast and marine weather message for further details. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this time. LMZ221-248-250-052000- Green Bay North of line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island Passage-Seul Choix Point to Point Detour MI- 5NM East of a line from Fairport MI to Rock Island Passage- 357 PM EDT Tue Apr 4 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Northern Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight East-to-southeast-to-south gales to 40 knots are possible late this afternoon into tonight. Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon through tonight. See the latest Nearshore Marine Forecast and Marine Weather Message for further details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Southwest gales to 45 knots are possible Wednesday night and Thursday. Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this time. TDUD
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 4, 11:39 PM EDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1139 PM EDT Tue Apr 4 2023
MIZ012-013-050415-
Delta MI-Menominee MI-
1139 PM EDT Tue Apr 4 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Delta
and southeastern Menominee Counties through 1215 AM EDT/1115 PM
CDT/...
At 1139 PM EDT/1039 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 7 miles southwest of Cedar River, or 18 miles northeast
of Marinette, moving northeast at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Cedar River, Ford River, Bark River, Gourley, Arthur Bay and Wells
State Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4528 8760 4576 8734 4565 8699 4562 8702
4562 8706 4555 8716 4541 8726 4541 8735
4529 8744 4524 8749
TIME...MOT...LOC 0339Z 205DEG 41KT 4531 8744
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
07Special weather statement, Apr 5, 12:11 AM EDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1211 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023
MIZ006-013-014-085-050445-
Northern Schoolcraft MI-Southern Schoolcraft MI-Delta MI-Alger MI-
1211 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Delta,
west central Schoolcraft and south central Alger Counties through
1245 AM EDT...
At 1211 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Escanaba, moving northeast at 70 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Escanaba, Rapid River, Ensign, Chicago Lake, Round Lake, Stonington
and Nahma Junction.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4562 8702 4562 8706 4566 8716 4628 8671
4614 8637 4561 8690 4560 8697
TIME...MOT...LOC 0411Z 210DEG 62KT 4569 8699
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
07Local storm report, Apr 5, 12:23 AM EDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1223 AM EDT WED APR 5 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1220 AM HAIL 1 E ESCANABA 45.75N 87.06W
04/05/2023 E0.70 INCH DELTA MI PUBLIC
HAILING NOW.
&&
GMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Marquette, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 11:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MQT | Menominee | 36 min |
| Apr 5, 12:11 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MQT | Delta | 34 min |
| Apr 5, 3:49 AM EDT | High Wind Warning | MQT | Houghton, Keweenaw | 40 hr |
| Apr 5, 4:39 AM EDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | MQT | 23 hr | |
| Apr 5, 1:12 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | MQT | Baraga, Dickinson, Houghton, Iron, Keweenaw, Marquette and 1 more | 4 hr |
| Apr 5, 4:22 PM EDT | Gale Warning | MQT | 29 hr | |
| Apr 5, 4:22 PM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | MQT | 11 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Michigan, 2023Every wind advisory in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.