Alert archive / Minnesota / Winter Storm Watches in 2023
Winter Storm Watch 3, NWS Twin Cities, MN
NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this winter storm watch at Feb 19, 2023, 2:30 PM CST for 42 counties in Minnesota; 9 counties in Wisconsin. It took effect at Feb 21, 2023, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 19, 2023, 2:30 PM CST (20:30 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 21, 2023, 12:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Feb 20, 2023, 8:55 PM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Twin Cities, MN
All 51 counties
Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Barron County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 17 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1271 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -33 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
471 WWUS43 KMPX 192030 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 230 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 MNZ047-048-054>058-064>067-073>075-082-083-091-092-200430- /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ Stevens-Pope-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-Meeker- Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Redwood-Brown-Nicollet- Watonwan-Blue Earth-Martin-Faribault- Including the cities of Morris, Glenwood, Madison, Benson, Montevideo, Willmar, Litchfield, Granite Falls, Olivia, Hutchinson, Gaylord, Redwood Falls, New Ulm, St Peter, St James, Mankato, Fairmont, and Blue Earth 230 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of greater than 12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph and lead to areas of blowing snow, blizzard conditions possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There will be two main waves of this event. The first Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning will see totals of 4 to 8 inches of snow. There will be a lull before snow picks up again Wednesday evening where an additional 8 or more inches of snow could fall. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MNZ041>045-049>053-059>063-068>070-076>078-084-085-093-WIZ014>016- 023>028-200430- /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stearns-Benton-Sherburne- Isanti-Chisago-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-Carver- Scott-Dakota-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Waseca-Steele-Freeborn-Polk- Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Chippewa-Eau Claire- Including the cities of Alexandria, Long Prairie, Little Falls, Princeton, Mora, St Cloud, Sauk Rapids, Elk River, Cambridge, Center City, Monticello, Minneapolis, Blaine, St Paul, Stillwater, Chanhassen, Chaska, Victoria, Shakopee, Hastings, Le Sueur, Faribault, Red Wing, Waseca, Owatonna, Albert Lea, Osceola, Rice Lake, Ladysmith, Hudson, River Falls, Menomonie, Durand, Chippewa Falls, and Eau Claire 230 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of greater than 12 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph and lead to areas of blowing snow, blizzard conditions possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central, southeast and west central Minnesota and northwest and west central Wisconsin. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commutes. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There will be two main waves of this event. The first Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning will see totals of 4 to 8 inches of snow. There will be a lull before snow picks up again Wednesday evening where an additional 8 or more inches of snow could fall. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ NDC
3 follow-up statements
687 WWUS43 KMPX 201022 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 422 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...MAJOR WINTER STORM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... .A major winter storm will bring significant travel impacts across the region. Most locations can expect to see at least a foot of snow by the time it ends Thursday night. The worst conditions will be Wednesday evening through Thursday, as heavy snow combines with northeast wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph, with some areas in western Minnesota seeing gusts near 50 mph. This will lead to significant drifting snow, and whiteout conditions in open areas. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for the entire area. Parts of this Winter Storm Watch may get upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning later today for a band of snow that will move in on Tuesday. The snow will let up Wednesday morning, but then widespread heavy snow will develop later on Wednesday as the main storm arrives. This main storm is expected to bring near a foot of snow to most locations, with higher amounts possible across central Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Areas in western and southern Minnesota may see blizzard conditions as well. MNZ047-048-054>058-064>067-073>075-082-083-091-092-202100- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ Stevens-Pope-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-Meeker- Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Redwood-Brown-Nicollet- Watonwan-Blue Earth-Martin-Faribault- Including the cities of Morris, Glenwood, Madison, Benson, Montevideo, Willmar, Litchfield, Granite Falls, Olivia, Hutchinson, Gaylord, Redwood Falls, New Ulm, St Peter, St James, Mankato, Fairmont, and Blue Earth 422 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow with total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph late Wednesday into Thursday. * WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible, and the gusty winds could bring down tree branches and cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Avoid traveling late Wednesday and Thursday. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MNZ041>045-049>053-059>063-068>070-076>078-084-085-093-WIZ014>016- 023>028-202100- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stearns-Benton-Sherburne- Isanti-Chisago-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-Carver- Scott-Dakota-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Waseca-Steele-Freeborn-Polk- Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Chippewa-Eau Claire- Including the cities of Alexandria, Long Prairie, Little Falls, Princeton, Mora, St Cloud, Sauk Rapids, Elk River, Cambridge, Center City, Monticello, Minneapolis, Blaine, St Paul, Stillwater, Chanhassen, Chaska, Victoria, Shakopee, Hastings, Le Sueur, Faribault, Red Wing, Waseca, Owatonna, Albert Lea, Osceola, Rice Lake, Ladysmith, Hudson, River Falls, Menomonie, Durand, Chippewa Falls, and Eau Claire 422 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow with total snow accumulations of 10 to 18 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 to 45 mph late Wednesday into Thursday. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central, southeast and west central Minnesota and northwest and west central Wisconsin. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible, and the gusty winds could bring down tree branches and cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Avoid traveling late Wednesday and Thursday. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ jrb
734 WWUS43 KMPX 202009 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 209 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...MAJOR WINTER STORM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... .A major winter storm will bring significant travel impacts across the region. Most locations can expect to see at least a foot of snow by the time it ends Thursday night. The worst conditions will be Wednesday evening through Thursday, as heavy snow combines with northeast wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph, with some areas in western Minnesota seeing gusts near 50 mph. This will lead to significant drifting snow, and whiteout conditions in open areas. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for portions of central and southern Minnesota and west central Wisconsin where impacts will be lesser with the initial snow band Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. Additional accumulating snow will arrive with the main storm Wednesday afternoon that will require an upgrade of this Winter Storm Watch. A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for portions of western and southern Minnesota and most of the Twin Cities Metro. Forecast confidence is high that 4 to 7 inches of snow will fall Tuesday PM into Wednesday AM with the initial round of snow. The snow will lighten up Wednesday morning, but then widespread heavy snow will develop later on Wednesday afternoon as the main storm arrives. This main storm is expected to bring near an additional foot of snow to most locations, with higher amounts possible across south-central Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Areas in western and southern Minnesota may see blizzard conditions as well. MNZ054>058-064-065-073-074-082-210915- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-Meeker-Yellow Medicine- Renville-Redwood-Brown-Watonwan- Including the cities of Madison, Benson, Montevideo, Willmar, Litchfield, Granite Falls, Olivia, Redwood Falls, New Ulm, and St James 209 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO NOON CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 16 to 22 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...From noon Tuesday to noon CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ059-060-062-063-068>070-076>078-084-085-210915- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230221T2100Z-230224T0000Z/ Wright-Hennepin-Ramsey-Washington-Carver-Scott-Dakota-Le Sueur- Rice-Goodhue-Waseca-Steele- Including the cities of Monticello, Minneapolis, St Paul, Stillwater, Chanhassen, Chaska, Victoria, Shakopee, Hastings, Le Sueur, Faribault, Red Wing, Waseca, and Owatonna 209 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 18 to 22 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central and southeast Minnesota. * WHEN...From 3 PM Tuesday to 6 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ066-067-075-083-210915- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230221T2100Z-230224T0000Z/ McLeod-Sibley-Nicollet-Blue Earth- Including the cities of Hutchinson, Gaylord, St Peter, and Mankato 209 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 16 to 22 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...McLeod, Sibley, Nicollet and Blue Earth Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM Tuesday to 6 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ047-048-091-092-210915- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ Stevens-Pope-Martin-Faribault- Including the cities of Morris, Glenwood, Fairmont, and Blue Earth 209 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow with total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph late Wednesday into Thursday. * WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible, and the gusty winds could bring down tree branches and cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MNZ041>045-049>053-061-093-WIZ014>016-023>028-210915- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stearns-Benton-Sherburne- Isanti-Chisago-Anoka-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce- Dunn-Pepin-Chippewa-Eau Claire- Including the cities of Alexandria, Long Prairie, Little Falls, Princeton, Mora, St Cloud, Sauk Rapids, Elk River, Cambridge, Center City, Blaine, Albert Lea, Osceola, Rice Lake, Ladysmith, Hudson, River Falls, Menomonie, Durand, Chippewa Falls, and Eau Claire 209 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow with total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 to 45 mph late Wednesday into Thursday. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central, southeast and west central Minnesota and northwest and west central Wisconsin. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible, and the gusty winds could bring down tree branches and cause power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ WFO MPX
542 WWUS43 KMPX 210255 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...HISTORIC WINTER STORM SHOULD LEAD TO IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY... .Two primary rounds of snow are expected. The first will arrive Tuesday afternoon, tapering off early Wednesday. Accumulations of 3 to 7 inches are expected with round one. Round two will begin Wednesday afternoon and continue into Thursday with an additional 10 to 20 inches expected. Total snow accumulations will range from 15 to 25 inches, with the best chance for the higher end totals across east central Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. This is expected to reach the top 5 heaviest snow storms. The worst conditions will be Wednesday evening through Thursday, as heavy snow combines with northeast wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph. This will lead to significant blowing and drifting snow with whiteout conditions in open areas. Some drifts may be several feet deep. MNZ041>043-050-211215- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0009.230221T1800Z-230223T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230223T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Benton- Including the cities of Alexandria, Long Prairie, Little Falls, and Sauk Rapids 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Snow accumulations of 8 to 11 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. For the entire storm, total storm accumulations will range from 12 to 18 inches. * WHERE...Douglas, Todd, Morrison and Benton Counties. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 6 PM Wednesday to 6 PM CST Thursday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from noon Tuesday to 6 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ044-045-052-053-WIZ014>016-211215- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0009.230221T2100Z-230223T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230223T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Isanti-Chisago-Polk-Barron-Rusk- Including the cities of Princeton, Mora, Cambridge, Center City, Osceola, Rice Lake, and Ladysmith 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Snow accumulations of 10 to 15 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. For the entire storm, total storm accumulations will range from 14 to 19 inches. * WHERE...Portions of east central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 6 PM Wednesday to 6 PM CST Thursday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 3 PM Tuesday to 6 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ091-092-211215- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ /O.EXB.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230222T1200Z-230223T1800Z/ Martin-Faribault- Including the cities of Fairmont and Blue Earth 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO NOON CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Martin and Faribault Counties. * WHEN...From 6 AM Wednesday to noon CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ093-211215- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230222T1200Z-230223T1800Z/ Freeborn- Including the city of Albert Lea 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO NOON CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Freeborn County. * WHEN...From 6 AM Wednesday to noon CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ047-048-211215- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ Stevens-Pope- Including the cities of Morris and Glenwood 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO NOON CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches Tuesday and Tuesday night, followed by an additional 10 to 15 inches Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. For the entire storm, total accumulations will range from 15 to 20 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph by Wednesday. * WHERE...Stevens and Pope Counties. * WHEN...From noon Tuesday to noon CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ049-211215- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ Stearns- Including the city of St Cloud 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO NOON CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches Tuesday and Tuesday night, followed by an additional 11 to 16 inches Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. For the entire storm, total accumulations will range from 16 to 22 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph by Wednesday. * WHERE...Stearns County. * WHEN...From noon Tuesday to noon CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ051-061-WIZ023>028-211215- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0003.230222T0000Z-230224T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230221T2100Z-230224T0000Z/ Sherburne-Anoka-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Chippewa-Eau Claire- Including the cities of Elk River, Blaine, Hudson, River Falls, Menomonie, Durand, Chippewa Falls, and Eau Claire 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches Tuesday and Tuesday night, followed by an additional 14 to 19 inches Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. For the entire storm, total accumulations will range from 18 to 24 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph by Wednesday. * WHERE...Portions of central and east central Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. * WHEN...From 3 PM Tuesday to 6 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ054>058-064-065-073-074-082-211215- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230221T1800Z-230223T1800Z/ Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-Meeker-Yellow Medicine- Renville-Redwood-Brown-Watonwan- Including the cities of Madison, Benson, Montevideo, Willmar, Litchfield, Granite Falls, Olivia, Redwood Falls, New Ulm, and St James 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO NOON CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches Tuesday and Tuesday night, followed by an additional 14 to 19 inches Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. For the entire storm, total accumulations will range from 18 to 24 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph by Wednesday. * WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest and west central Minnesota. * WHEN...From noon Tuesday to noon CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ MNZ059-060-062-063-066>070-075>078-083>085-211215- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.W.0004.230221T2100Z-230224T0000Z/ Wright-Hennepin-Ramsey-Washington-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott- Dakota-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-Waseca-Steele- Including the cities of Monticello, Minneapolis, St Paul, Stillwater, Hutchinson, Gaylord, Chanhassen, Chaska, Victoria, Shakopee, Hastings, St Peter, Le Sueur, Faribault, Red Wing, Mankato, Waseca, and Owatonna 855 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches Tuesday and Tuesday night, followed by an additional 14 to 19 inches Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. For the entire storm, total accumulations will range from 18 to 25 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph by Wednesday. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central and southeast Minnesota. * WHEN...From 3 PM Tuesday to 6 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant drifting will occur due to the heavy snow totals and strong winds. Drifts may be several feet deep. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin. && $$ Borghoff
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 19, 11:18 AM CST, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 11:18 AM CST, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1118 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 .UPDATE... Issued at 1113 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 Updated to include 18z aviation discussion below. && .DISCUSSION...(Today through Saturday) Issued at 346 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 KEY MESSAGES: - Today, A few hours of dense fog this morning ahead of the approaching cold front. - Monday, A quick moving clipper system will bring a few inches of accumulating snow north of I-94. - Tuesday through Thursday: A major winter storm remains on track to bring heavy snow along with gusty winds and drifting across the region. This system will be extremely disruptive, especially late Wednesday through Thursday. TODAY...Early morning satellite and surface obs showed a cold front approaching from the northwest. Ahead of this front, winds were light, and there were areas of dense fog across the region. This dense fog will last a few hours until the northwest winds associated with the aforementioned front mix it out. The rest of today will have falling temperatures behind the front, and winds of 15 to 20 mph. MONDAY...A fast moving clipper system will bring a few inches of snow across northern Minnesota and northern Wisconsin. Areas along and south of I-94 should see around a dusting to an inch, with higher amounts north of I-94, and nothing expected to the south near the Minnesota River Valley and I-90. The snow should approach from the northwest before sunrise, and exit the region during the afternoon. Forecast soundings show wind gusts near 30 mph at times after the snow ends. Temperatures will moderate into the 30s for most locations, which should help improve any slippery roads. WINTER STORM, TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A major winter storm remains on track to bring heavy snow along with gusty winds and drifting snow across the region. There are high probabilities (70 to 90 percent) that many locations will see over a foot of snow by the time it ends Thursday night. It's the timing of this snow that is the focus of the next paragraph. Despite the high confidence of a major winter storm, we have not issued a Winter Storm Watch yet. We anticipate these to be issued later today. The reason we held off is due to timing. We'd like to hone in on the band of snow that will fall Tuesday, while also taking into consideration the widespread heavy snow and strong winds that will follow Wednesday through Thursday. As mentioned in the previous discussion, Tuesday's snow will be driven primarily by low level frontogenesis. These types of setups tend to produce higher amounts over a small area than the global models and ensemble suites indicate. The current forecast suggests that areas just north of I- 90, and south of I-94 could see 5 to 9 inches of snow with this initial band by Wednesday morning. These amounts would merit a Winter Storm Watch, but we also need to consider the second part of this system, which is widespread heavy snow developing Wednesday and lasting through Thursday night. This should produce another 6 to 12 inches of snow across the entire forecast area, with some locations getting up to as much as 15 inches. In addition, northeast winds increase and become northwest during this second part of the storm, with wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph possible. This would support a Winter Storm Watch across all counties, along with blizzard conditions for western and southern Minnesota. So in summary, no winter storm headlines were issued overnight because we didn't want to send mixed-messages by including only some counties for Tuesday's band of snow, when all counties will see significant winter impacts late Wednesday through Thursday. Confidence remains high in a major winter storm starting Tuesday, and lasting through Thursday. There will be a small lull between Tuesday's band of snow and the widespread snow that develops late Wednesday, but it may be more of a transition to light snow, than a clean break. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... Friday morning may start off quite cold, especially if skies can clear behind the departing winter storm. Lows of -5 to -15 are likely, but winds will be light so wind chills are a non-factor. There is a small chance for snow Friday into Saturday, mainly east of I-35, but amounts should be light. Otherwise temperatures will moderate closer to normal by next weekend. No changes were made to the blended guidance. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon) Issued at 1113 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 MVFR with IFR possible as a cold front passes through today. Northwest winds will increase after the frontal passage, with gusts near 20 kts. Clouds will lift and scatter out this evening, and then winds will lighten up overnight and take on a more southerly direction before turning light and variable overnight. Winds will ramp up out of the SSE on Monday morning ahead of another fast- moving system that will bring snow to KAXN/KSTC/KRNH and possibly KMSP and KEAU on Monday. MVFR cigs will return with the cold front passage on Monday. KMSP... MVFR clouds will linger into mid-afternoon. Winds will be northwest around 10kts, with some gusts possible. Later today expect VFR conditions as winds decrease and become more southerly. Winds will turn more light and variable overnight. MVFR cigs return Monday morning as a cold front approaches from the NW. There is a chance for some snow to move in Monday morning, but it does not look to bring MVFR vsby at this time. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ Tue...VFR with MVFR/IFR/-SN likely late, and LIFR possible. Winds NNW at 10G20 kts. Wed...MVFR/IFR -SN likely, with LIFR possible. Winds NE at 15G25 kts. Thu...IFR/SN with LIFR/+SN possible, then MVFR/VFR late. Wind NE bcmg NW at 15G25 kts. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...None. WI...None. && DISCUSSION...JRB AVIATION...BPH
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 3:39 AM CST, 10 hours 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 339 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 MNZ041>045-047>053-055-057>063-066-068>070-078-WIZ014>016-023>028- 200945- Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns- Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Swift-Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright- Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-McLeod-Carver-Scott-Dakota- Goodhue-Polk-Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Chippewa- Eau Claire- 339 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Minnesota...east central Minnesota...southeast Minnesota...west central Minnesota...northwest Wisconsin and west central Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Up to 2 inches of accumulating snow is likely along and north of Interstate 94 on Monday, with the highest amounts to the north. For Tuesday through Thursday, a large and slow-moving storm is likely to bring significant snowfall and travel impacts across all of central and southern Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed. MNZ054-056-064-065-067-073>077-082>085-091>093-200945- Lac Qui Parle-Chippewa-Yellow Medicine-Renville-Sibley-Redwood- Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Watonwan-Blue Earth-Waseca-Steele- Martin-Faribault-Freeborn- 339 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Minnesota...south central Minnesota...southwest Minnesota and west central Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. For Tuesday through Thursday, a large and slow-moving storm is likely to bring significant snowfall and travel impacts across all of central and southern Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in Minnesota, 2023Winter Storm Watches in Wisconsin, 2023Every winter storm watch in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.