Gale Warning 10, NWS Melbourne, FL

047 
WHUS72 KMLB 152102
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
402 PM EST Wed Nov 15 2023

AMZ550-552-570-572-170600-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-231115T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0600Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
402 PM EST Wed Nov 15 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  seas 8 to 13 feet.

* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm, 
  Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm, 
  Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm and 
  Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ555-575-170300-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SC.Y.0045.000000T0000Z-231115T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0300Z/
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
402 PM EST Wed Nov 15 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  seas 8 to 12 feet.

* WHERE...Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm and Sebastian 
  Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

896 
WHUS72 KMLB 160705
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
205 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

AMZ550-570-170300-
/O.EXT.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-
205 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  seas 8 to 13 feet.

* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm 
  and Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ552-572-170300-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0600Z/
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
205 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  seas 9 to 14 feet.

* WHERE...Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm 
  and Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ555-575-170300-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0300Z/
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
205 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  seas 9 to 12 feet.

* WHERE...Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm and Sebastian 
  Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

223 
WHUS72 KMLB 160918
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
418 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

AMZ555-575-161800-
/O.UPG.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.SR.W.0001.231116T0918Z-231116T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.GL.W.0011.231116T1800Z-231117T0300Z/
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
418 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Storm Warning, east winds 30 to 40 knots with
  gusts up to 50 to 55 knots. For the Gale Warning, east winds 25
  to 30 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and seas 10 to 12 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm and Sebastian 
  Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Storm Warning, until 1 PM EST this afternoon. 
  For the Gale Warning, from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST 
  this evening.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ550-570-161800-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-
418 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  seas 8 to 13 feet.

* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm 
  and Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ552-572-161800-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0600Z/
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
418 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  seas 9 to 14 feet.

* WHERE...Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm 
  and Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

997 
WHUS72 KMLB 161756
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1256 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

AMZ555-575-170900-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231116T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMLB.GL.W.0011.231116T1800Z-231117T0900Z/
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
1256 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and 
  seas 10 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm and Sebastian 
  Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ552-572-170900-
/O.EXT.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
1256 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and 
  seas 10 to 14 feet.

* WHERE...Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm 
  and Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ550-570-170900-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-
1256 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...East winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and 
  seas 8 to 13 feet.

* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm 
  and Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

371 
WHUS72 KMLB 161911
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
211 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

AMZ550-552-570-572-170400-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.SC.Y.0046.231117T0900Z-231118T1500Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
211 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 25 to 35 knots with 
  gusts up to 45 knots and seas 11 to 16 feet. For the Small 
  Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 
  knots and seas 9 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm, 
  Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm, 
  Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm and 
  Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 4 AM EST Friday. For the 
  Small Craft Advisory, from 4 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ555-575-170400-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.SC.Y.0046.231117T0900Z-231118T1500Z/
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
211 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 25 to 35 knots with 
  gusts up to 45 knots and seas 10 to 15 feet. For the Small Craft
  Advisory, seas 7 to 12 feet expected.

* WHERE...Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm and Sebastian 
  Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 4 AM EST Friday. For the 
  Small Craft Advisory, from 4 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

115 
WHUS72 KMLB 170326
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1026 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

AMZ550-552-570-572-170900-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0046.231117T0900Z-231118T1500Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
1026 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO
10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 25 to 35 knots with
  gusts up to 40 knots and seas 11 to 16 feet. For the Small 
  Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 
  knots and seas 9 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm, 
  Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm, 
  Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm and 
  Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 4 AM EST Friday. For the 
  Small Craft Advisory, from 4 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ555-575-170900-
/O.CON.KMLB.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0046.231117T0900Z-231118T1500Z/
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
1026 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO
10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds 25 to 35 knots with
  gusts up to 40 knots and seas 10 to 15 feet. For the Small 
  Craft Advisory, seas 7 to 12 feet expected.

* WHERE...Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm and Sebastian 
  Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 4 AM EST Friday. For the 
  Small Craft Advisory, from 4 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

JP

698 
WHUS72 KMLB 170919
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
419 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2023

AMZ550-570-171500-
/O.EXP.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
/O.UPG.KMLB.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-231118T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.GL.W.0012.231117T0919Z-231117T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.SC.Y.0047.231117T1200Z-231118T1500Z/
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-
419 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2023

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, east winds up 25 knots with gusts 
  up to 35 knots and seas 9 to 13 feet. For the Small Craft 
  Advisory, seas 9 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm 
  and Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 7 AM EST this morning. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ552-572-171500-
/O.EXP.KMLB.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-231118T1500Z/
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
419 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 
  knots and seas 10 to 15 feet.

* WHERE...Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm 
  and Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

AMZ555-575-171500-
/O.EXP.KMLB.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-231117T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0046.000000T0000Z-231118T1500Z/
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
419 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2023

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Seas 7 to 12 feet.

* WHERE...Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm and Sebastian 
  Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
915 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

...New UPDATE, MARINE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 915 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

Key Messages:
-Scattered rain expected to increase and become locally heavy at
 the coast late Wednesday into Thursday
-Gusty winds continue with dangerous seas and surf
-Minor to moderate beach erosion and coastal flooding possible
 during the next several high tide cycles
-Gale Watch for local Atlantic waters beginning Wednesday evening

Unsettled weather continues to percolate up and down the peninsula
this evening. So far, we have been spared from any heavy rain,
but the potential of what could come is readily apparent after
several inches fell this evening close to Ft Lauderdale. Florida
remains on the eastern flank of low pressure in the northern
Gulf and on the north side of an old frontal boundary. Adequate
moisture, coupled with convergence within the onshore flow regime,
are keeping us damp from time to time.

For us, scattered light to moderate rain showers persist,
especially up around Daytona Beach and south of Melbourne on the
Treasure Coast. CAMs have not been doing a great job with the
progression of this activity, so it is prudent to keep scattered
(30-50%) coverage in the forecast through the overnight, with the
activity perhaps becoming more concentrated over the northern
portions of East Central Florida in time. Lows will only drop into
the upper 60s to mid 70s (warmest on our Treasure Coast barrier
islands).

Winds have slackened off over the interior, but it's still pretty
gusty at the coast, occasionally exceeding 30 mph. This will
remain the case through the overnight hours. At our beaches, rough
and pounding surf continues and the risk of rip currents will
remain quite high for the foreseeable future.

Minor tweaks were made to the overnight forecast to account for
trends in rain coverage and wind. We are still forecasting a
further deterioration of weather late Wednesday through Thursday;
see the previous forecast discussion below. There are some
details still to iron out regarding the track of the surface low
that is forecast to develop on Thursday near our coast, muddied
by the significant disagreements that still exist in the evening
medium-range guidance suite. This will have significant
implications on heavy rain/flooding potential and peak wind gusts
at our shoreline.

Be sure to visit weather.gov/melbourne and our social media
channels for the latest updates as we fine-tune this impactful
forecast.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 915 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

Tonight-Wednesday... (modified previous) Evening buoy reports
indicate that the strongest winds are occurring across the
Treasure Coast and Gulf Stream waters, with a few gusts over 30 kt
just off of Ft Pierce. Seas range from 6-9 feet right now.
Hazardous boating conditions will continue. A Small Craft Advisory
remains in effect across the adjacent Atlantic through much of
the day Wednesday, and then a Gale Watch goes into effect across
the waters late in the afternoon. Easterly winds around 20-25
knots are forecast to continue tonight and Wednesday, and then
increase to 25-30 knots late afternoon and into Wednesday night,
with gusts up to 40 knots possible. Seas will build to around
7-10 feet.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 915 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

IMPACTS:
-Periodic showers through the period
-Easterly crosswinds at MCO increase Wed
-Slight LLWS for inland terminals overnight, below TAF criteria

Steady east winds from 8-15 kt Orlando area / 10-20 kt coastal
terminals overnight with gusts 20-30 kt for coastal sites. By 15Z,
east winds increase to 15-20 kt for most terminals, and gusts
20-30 kt will be common. VFR CIGs prevail at most locations now,
and this should remain the case through much of the TAF period.
Off- and- on rain showers will continue through at least early
afternoon Wed. By Wed evening, especially beyond 21Z, guidance
suggests that bands of rain will begin moving north, first
affecting SUA/FPR/VRB and then potentially MCO beyond sunset.

At ISM/SFB/MCO/LEE, winds have decoupled sufficiently for 15-25 kt
of LLWS in the lowest 2KFT. This is just below criteria for the
TAF, but is worth noting esp. with crosswind component at MCO.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 915 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

The St. Johns River at Astor is forecast to remain in Minor Flood
Stage through late week due to breezy east winds and high
astronomical tides. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible over the
basin Wednesday into Thursday, which could slow the decline of the
river as well.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (Wed-Tue)
Issued at 253 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

Deeper moisture will continue to be drawn northward through the day
Wednesday, with rain chances increasing from south to north through
the afternoon. PoPs rise from 30-40 percent in the morning to 50-70
percent in the afternoon. Enhanced coastal convergence from elevated
onshore winds combined with the moist airmass will lead to the
potential of locally heavy to excessive rainfall up to 4-6" with any
training bands of rain or repeated rounds of heavier showers along
the coast in the afternoon and evening. Should these amounts be
reached, urban and poor drainage flooding is likely in some areas. A
Flood Watch for the east central FL coast goes into effect Wednesday
afternoon and continues through early afternoon Thursday.

The breezy onshore winds will keep lows in the upper 60s to low 70s
tonight, with highs still limited to the mid to upper 70s for much
of the area tomorrow as cloud cover and rainfall continues.

Hazardous surf will continue along the coast, with large breaking
waves of 5 to 8 feet and numerous strong rip currents. Minor coastal
flooding and beach erosion will also continue to be possible around
the time of high tide. A Coastal Flood Advisory, High Surf Advisory
and High Risk of Rip Currents continues for the entire east central
Florida coast. Entering the dangerous surf is highly discouraged!

Wednesday Night-Thursday Night...An upper level trough digs from the
Florida panhandle into the peninsula through the period, slowing as
a shortwave drops in behind it. At the surface, the associated
surface low over the eastern GOMEX weakens, as a yet another surface
low begins to develop along an old frontal boundary off of the
southeast Florida coast Wednesday night. This low will continue to
develop through the day on Thursday, intensifying to into a gale
(non-tropical low) as it moves north-northeastward. The global
models continue to differ on the location of the center of the low,
with the ECMWF a bit slower and closer to the coast, while the GFS
is a bit faster and farther offshore. A closer track would lead to
more impacts for east central Florida, mainly in the form of wind,
rain, and hazardous beach conditions. This trend also continues for
the low's exit, with the GFS clearing the low from the local area
much quicker, as it is picked up by an approaching front.

Regardless of the exact location of the center of the low, windy
conditions are forecast to continue through the day on Thursday,
with onshore winds 15-20mph inland and up to 20-25mph along the
coast. Wind gusts 25-35mph are likely, with some gusts possibly
approaching 40mph. A Wind Advisory will likely be needed into
Thursday evening. For this forecast, have gusty winds diminishing
into Thursday night, though should the slower ECMWF solution pan
out, breezy to windy conditions could linger a little longer.

Heavy rainfall still looks to be a threat through the period, with
forecast PWATs approaching 2". Like with the wind forecast, a track
farther offshore would reduce the amount of rainfall we receive.
Nonetheless, deep moisture, strong divergence aloft, and frictional
convergence, look to produce 1-3" across much of the forecast area,
with up to 2-4" possible along the coast from around Melbourne
southward. Locally higher amounts up to 6" are expected, which could
cause urban and poor drainage flooding. A Flood Watch remains in
effect for the coastal counties into Thursday afternoon. High PoPs
area-wide will continue through the day on Thursday, with chances
beginning to diminish Thursday evening, as the low pulls away.

Deep moisture and cloud cover will keep overnight lows in the mid to
upper 60s, with some lower 70s possible for the Treasure Coast.
Highs Thursday in the mid to upper 70s.

Use caution at the beach, with large breaking waves of 4-9ft in the
surf zone. These waves will combine with high tides to produce minor
coastal flooding. There will also be a high risk of rip currents.
Entering the water is strongly discouraged.

Friday-Tuesday (modified previous)...A few lingering showers
possibly again through the day on Friday, mainly along the coast, as
the low departs to the northeast. Trough aloft pushes east of the
state, dragging a reinforcing (dry) cool front SE through the area
this weekend. Dry conditions into early next week, though a few
showers will be possible across the north on Tuesday. Max temps
cooling, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s becoming upper 70s
to mid-80s. Overnight lows also cooling, with Friday morning lows in
the lower to mid-60s and weekend mins in the 50s everywhere but the
immediate coast (L60s). Mon night U50s-L60s inland to L-M60s near
the coast as NE winds veer easterly, inhibiting nocturnal drainage
flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  69  76  68  76 /  50  50  70  70
MCO  70  77  69  77 /  40  50  70  70
MLB  71  79  70  79 /  50  60  80  70
VRB  72  80  71  80 /  70  70  80  80
LEE  67  77  67  77 /  40  40  60  60
SFB  69  77  69  78 /  40  50  70  70
ORL  69  78  69  78 /  40  50  70  70
FPR  72  79  70  79 /  70  70  80  80

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for FLZ141-154-
     159-164-347-447-647-747.

     High Surf Advisory until 4 AM EST Friday for FLZ141-154-159-164-
     347-447-647-747.

     Flood Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon
     for FLZ141-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ550-552-555-
     570-572-575.

     Gale Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening for
     AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575.

&&

SHORT TERM...Heil
LONG TERM....Pendergrast
AVIATION.....Heil

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
741 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-
164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-151245-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-
Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River-
Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-
Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
741 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2023

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
Occasional easterly wind gusts from 25 to 35 mph are forecast
overnight along the barrier islands and coastal communities of the
Space and Treasure Coasts. Elsewhere, gusts from 10 to 20 mph
will be common.

.COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
Fresh onshore flow combined with high astronomical tides will
produce dangerous conditions at the beaches, including large
breaking waves of 6 to 8 feet, rough surf, and wave runup to the
dune line near times of high tide, leading to minor beach
erosion.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A High Risk of numerous, strong, life-threatening rip currents
continues at all central Florida Atlantic beaches. Entering this
rough, dangerous surf is highly discouraged.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Dangerous boating conditions continue across all central Florida
Atlantic waters, with a Small Craft Advisory remaining in effect.
Easterly winds will hover around 25 knots tonight, while seas
continue to build up to 8 to 10 feet.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
The St. Johns River at Astor is forecast to remain in Minor
Flood Stage through late week due to breezy east winds and high
astronomical tides. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible over
the basin late Wednesday into Thursday, which could slow the
decline of the river.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
Fresh easterly winds will continue to produce numerous beach
hazards through late this work week, including large breaking
waves, rough surf, wave runup near high tides, minor beach
erosion, and coastal flooding. The risk for numerous, strong,
life-threatening rip currents will remain High.

A broad surface low in the Gulf of Mexico is forecast to move east,
reaching Florida mid-week, continuing high rain chances through
Thursday, and further deteriorate beach and marine conditions.
Repeated rounds of showers are forecast to produce widespread
rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, and locally higher amounts up
to 6 inches are possible. A flood watch is in effect for our
coastal communities from Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. There
is a slight chance for lightning storms Wednesday and Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed tonight.

Heil