Beach Hazards Statement 8, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

130 
WHUS42 KMHX 291103
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
703 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

NCZ203-205-292315-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0008.000000T0000Z-230430T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
703 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Hatteras Inlet.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 10:00 AM this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

080 
WHUS42 KMHX 292003
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
403 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

NCZ205-300815-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0006.230430T1500Z-230501T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0007.230430T1500Z-230501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0008.000000T0000Z-230430T0000Z/
Hatteras Island-
403 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents.
  For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation above
  ground level expected in low-lying adjacent to the Pamlico Sound.
  For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to 9 feet
  expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island beaches. Minor soundside flooding for
  areas adjacent to the Pamlico Sound north of Cape Hatteras. 

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 
  2 AM EDT Monday. For the High Surf Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday 
  to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and surfing
  conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep
  even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Minor
  ocean overwash possible south of Cape Hatteras.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

NCZ195-196-199-300815-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0006.230430T1200Z-230501T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0007.230430T1500Z-230501T0900Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
403 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM EDT
SUNDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low- lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking
  waves of 5 to 8 feet expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...West Carteret, East Carteret and Coastal Onslow 
  Counties.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 8 AM to 10 PM EDT 
  Sunday. For the High Surf Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 5 AM 
  EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and 
  surfing conditions and localized beach erosion.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

&&

$$

NCZ203-300815-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0006.230430T1500Z-230501T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0008.000000T0000Z-230430T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
403 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents.
  For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation above
  ground level expected in soundside low-lying areas.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches and areas adjacent to the 
  Albemarle, Croatan and Roanoke Sounds.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 
  2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Oregon Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/04 PM     1.9        1.3        1.5        1       None    
 30/04 AM     2.2        1.6        1.7       1-2      None    
 30/06 PM     3.2        2.6        2.7       2-3     Minor    
 01/05 PM     2.4        1.8        1.9        1       None    
 02/06 AM     2.4        1.8        1.9       1-2      None

&&

$$

NCZ204-300815-
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0007.230430T1500Z-230501T0900Z/
Ocracoke Island-
403 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Large breaking waves of 6 to 9 feet expected in the surf
  zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island beaches.

* WHEN...From 11 AM Sunday to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
  localized beach erosion. Minor ocean overwash possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

&&

$$

833 
WHUS42 KMHX 300010
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
810 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

NCZ205-301215-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0008.000000T0000Z-230430T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0009.230430T0010Z-230501T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0006.230430T1500Z-230501T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0007.230430T1500Z-230501T0900Z/
Hatteras Island-
810 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO
2 AM EDT MONDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents,
  large breaking waves, and strong longshore currents in the surf
  zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low- lying adjacent to the
  Pamlico Sound. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves
  of 6 to 9 feet expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island beaches. Minor soundside flooding for
  areas adjacent to the Pamlico Sound north of Cape Hatteras. 

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Sunday 
  evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 
  2 AM EDT Monday. For the High Surf Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday 
  to 5 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and surfing
  conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep
  even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
  Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first
  into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. Strong longshore
  currents will create dangerous swimming conditions. Minor ocean
  overwash possible south of Cape Hatteras.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ203-301215-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0008.000000T0000Z-230430T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0009.230430T0010Z-230501T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0006.230430T1500Z-230501T0600Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
810 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO
2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
  and strong longshore currents in the surf zone. For the Coastal
  Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level
  expected in low-lying areas adjacent to the sounds.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches and areas adjacent to the 
  Albemarle, Croatan and Roanoke Sounds.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Sunday 
  evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 
  2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Strong longshore 
  currents will create dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

Oregon Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 29/04 PM     1.9        1.3        1.5        1       None    
 30/04 AM     2.2        1.6        1.7       1-2      None    
 30/06 PM     3.2        2.6        2.7       2-3     Minor    
 01/05 PM     2.4        1.8        1.9        1       None    
 02/06 AM     2.4        1.8        1.9       1-2      None

&&

$$

NCZ195-196-199-301215-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0009.230430T0010Z-230501T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0006.230430T1200Z-230501T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0007.230430T1500Z-230501T0900Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
810 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 10 PM
EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents,
  large breaking waves, and strong longshore currents in the surf
  zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation
  above ground level expected in low- lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking
  waves of 5 to 8 feet expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...West Carteret, East Carteret and Coastal Onslow 
  Counties.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Sunday 
  evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 8 AM to 10 PM 
  EDT Sunday. For the High Surf Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 5 
  AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and surfing
  conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep
  even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
  Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first
  into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. Strong longshore
  currents will create dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ204-301215-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0009.230430T0010Z-230501T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0007.230430T1500Z-230501T0900Z/
Ocracoke Island-
810 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents,
  large breaking waves, and strong longshore currents in the surf
  zone. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to 9 
  feet expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island beaches.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Sunday 
  evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from 11 AM Sunday to 5 AM 
  EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries. Strong longshore currents will 
  create dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
417 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Multiple areas of low pressure with fronts draped between them
make for a dynamic forecast into the weekend. Another round of
rain and tstorms slated for Eastern NC this evening into
tonight. High pressure will briefly build into the area on
Saturday bringing quieter conditions to the region before
another strong storm system moves up the East Coast Sunday into
Monday. Drier and cooler weather is then expected through early
next week as high pressure builds into the Eastern CONUS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
As of 1600 Friday...Warm front originating from Low pressure
inland over the NC/VA border has lifted through most of the FA,
currently over Mainland Dare, Pamlico Sound, and out over Cape
Hatteras. Showers activity is confined to N and E of this
boundary with drier midlevel air working from SW to NE behind
the warm front leading to breaks in the clouds and more sunlight
allowing temps to work well into the mid-upper 70s. Another low
continues to spin up along the warm front offshore SE of Cape
Lookout where weak rotation is evident on satellite. This
clearing and resultant heating is also allowing for instability
to build further across the Coastal Plain and Inner Banks with
RAP analysis suggesting CAPE values approaching 3kJ/kg later
this afternoon which would bring a conditional threat for more
thunderstorms to develop out ahead of a weak cold front
approaching from the NE. Coverage looks to be sparse as a combo
of drier air and weak shear may limit development and
organization of thunderstorm activity this afternoon but with
forcing from the aforementioned Jet Streak and surface front
plus the available instability if a storm could get going it
could become strong to severe in nature bringing a threat for
damaging wind gusts and hail.

Any ongoing shower or thunderstorm activity will quickly exit
the FA after midnight allowing for dry conditions to once again
return to the FA this evening. In addition to this, light
winds, high RH's, and clearing skies are forecast to begin to
build into the area late tonight. Confidence has increased in
the potential for the development of some patchy fog across our
inland zones tonight. Additional tweaks to tonight's forecast
may lead to pockets of dense fog over inland zones in the early
morning hours. Very humid MinTs tonight into the low 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
As of 1600 Friday...Low pressure will shift off the coast
early Saturday morning, with subsidence and drying aloft developing
behind it for Saturday. As a result mostly dry conditions are
expected, and with low level thicknesses fairly high, afternoon
temperatures should climb into the low 80s across most of the
area, mid-upper 70s immediate coast where a seabreeze
circulation developing late afternoon will provide some relief.
With that said, have begun the process of increasing PoPs in
the afternoon. This is due to an area of greater moisture
convergence between the weak cold front draped over the FA
around HWY17 and the afternoon seabreeze. HiRes models have
begun resolving some light showers in this area but with little
upper level support, any showers that could develop are expected
to be shallow and light so have kept PoPs just shy of SChC for
now.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 400 PM Fri...Another strong low pressure system moves up
the Eastern Seaboard Sunday and into Monday bringing the threat
of more heavy rain and thunderstorms. Cooler and drier high
pressure then builds in early through mid next week with much
quieter conditions expected.

Late Weekend...By early Sunday a potent and deep upper level
trough will spawn low pressure development across the Deep
South. This low will then move quickly up the Eastern Seaboard
later Sunday, and is likely to deepen rapidly as it moves across
NC. This will bring another period of widespread heavy rain and
thunderstorms, as well as strong winds. A potentially
significant severe threat could develop if instability is
sufficient and the current track of the low, just inland of the
forecast area, holds.

Monday through Friday...Behind the strong low pressure system
and cold front, breezy conditions are expected early next week
as cooler and drier high pressure moves in from the west while a
large occluded low sits over the SE Canada. Some fire weather
concerns are possible as afternoon RHs dip below 30 percent and
wind gusts reach 25-30 mph.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through 18z Friday night/...
As of 1330 Friday...The TAF forecast remains rather tricky with
showers/storms impacting regional TAF sites. Primarily going
with a VFR TAF with tempo MVFR groups through the first part of
the afternoon ceilings sitting at about 4-6 kft. Expecting
OVC VFR decks with SCT-BKN MVFR CIGs as mid level dry air puts
a pin in precip chances for a brief period. Shower and
thunderstorm chances then increase later today as the next wave
of forcing overspreads ENC with a few of the storms potentially
becoming rather strong in nature. Coverage looks to be too
limited to include this in the TAFs this afternoon so kept
mention of this activity out of the TAFs on this run. Confidence
has increased in fog developing overnight for inland terminals,
so have included MVFR VIS for ISO/PGV. Later TAFs may further
decrease flight cats down to IFR levels should guidance continue
trending this way. At this time, fog is expected to remain W of
OAJ and EWN.

LONG TERM /Saturday through Wednesday/... As of 400 PM
Fri...VFR conditions return Saturday morning, though this will
be short lived as another low pressure system moving through the
area on Sunday has the potential to bring another extended
period of sub-VFR conditions into Monday morning. VFR conditions
are expected to develop late Mon and continue on Tue as high
pressure builds over the area.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Friday night/...
As of 1615 Friday...The warm front has lifted through most of the
area, currently located over Nern Sounds and Coastal Waters with
a new low pressure circulation spinning up along the front SE of
Cape Lookout continuing to bring rather gusty S-SWerly winds to
our coastal waters. Forecast guidance is in general consensus
with widespread 15-20G25KT over coastal waters this afternoon
into this evening, subsiding to ~10-15G20kt tonight. Rain and
tstorm activity has ceased for the afternoon but another round
of showers and storms is expected late this evening and into
tonight. Seas persist around 6-10 feet through the rest of
Friday keeping all coastal waters well into SCA criteria
through the period. Seas subside briefly overnight becoming
5-6ft around sunrise Saturday

LONG TERM /Saturday through Tuesday/...
As of 240 AM Fri...Winds briefly diminish Sat to SW 10-15 kt
then, a strong area of low pressure will lift through the
coastal waters with strong southerly flow developing at 20-30
kts with a potential for Gale Force winds. Winds will shift to
the west Monday and Tuesday diminishing slightly to 15-25 kt.

Hazardous seas are expected for most of the long term with seas
briefly subsiding to 3-5 ft Sat then building to 7-11 ft Sunday
into Monday morning. Seas subside but remain elevated AOA 6 ft
Mon afternoon into Tue.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
As of 400 PM Fri... No significant changes to the forecast
thinking as increased fire danger remains possible Monday
through Wednesday. Behind a strong low pressure system Monday
morning, cooler and drier high pressure will move into the area
through most of next week. While this occurs, a large and
occluded low pressure system will sit over SE Canada, and keep a
strong pressure gradient in tact across the Carolinas for
several days.

RH values will drop to at least 30%-35% each afternoon, while
winds remain strong at 15-20 mph with gusts 25-30 mph. Deep
mixing may promote even stronger wind gusts at times.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196-
     203>205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ150-152-
     154.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ156-158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CEB/RCF
SHORT TERM...CEB
LONG TERM...JME/SGK
AVIATION...JME/CEB/RCF
MARINE...JME/CEB
FIRE WEATHER...MHX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2023

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-291930-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-Inland Onslow-
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A second threat for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may
develop this afternoon and evening with a risk of damaging winds and
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered thunderstorms may develop Sunday afternoon and bring a
risk of damaging winds, heavy rain, and an isolated threat for a
tornado.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ204-291930-
Ocracoke Island-
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

A second threat for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may
develop this afternoon and evening with a risk of damaging winds and
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered thunderstorms may develop Sunday afternoon and bring a
risk of damaging winds, heavy rain, and an isolated threat for a
tornado.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-291930-
East Carteret-
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

A second threat for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may
develop this afternoon and evening with a risk of damaging winds and
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered thunderstorms may develop Sunday afternoon and bring a
risk of damaging winds, heavy rain, and an isolated threat for a
tornado.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-199-291930-
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2023

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

A second threat for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may
develop this afternoon and evening with a risk of damaging winds and
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered thunderstorms may develop Sunday afternoon and bring a
risk of damaging winds, heavy rain, and an isolated threat for a
tornado.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-205-291930-
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
328 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

A second threat for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may
develop this afternoon and evening with a risk of damaging winds and
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered thunderstorms may develop Sunday afternoon and bring a
risk of damaging winds, heavy rain, and an isolated threat for a
tornado.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.