Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2023

Beach Hazards Statement 57, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

September 11, 20234 counties in North Carolina

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Sep 11, 2023, 8:33 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Sep 12, 2023, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 11, 2023, 8:33 PM EDT (00:33 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 12, 2023, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 12, 2023, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

Counties Carteret County, NC, Dare County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Onslow County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2023-09-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1566 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2023-09-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1566 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
998 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

521 
WHUS42 KMHX 120033
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
833 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

NCZ195-121245-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0057.230912T1200Z-230913T0000Z/
West Carteret-
833 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT TUESDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...Bogue Banks beaches.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT Tuesday through Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 12:35 PM Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

NCZ196-199-203>205-121245-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0057.230912T1200Z-230913T0000Z/
East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
833 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT TUESDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves 
  expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches from Duck to Cape Lookout, and Onslow 
  County beaches.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT Tuesday through Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw 
  a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck 
  and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 12:35 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
413 
WHUS42 KMHX 120845
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
445 AM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

NCZ205-122045-
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.230912T1200Z-230916T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.230912T1200Z-230913T0000Z/
Hatteras Island-
445 AM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EDT SATURDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 8 to
  12 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards 
  Statement, dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves 
  expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island beaches.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, from 8 AM this morning to 6 
  PM EDT Saturday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM 
  EDT this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ204-122045-
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.230912T1200Z-230915T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.230912T1200Z-230913T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-
445 AM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to
  11 feet expected in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards 
  Statement, dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves 
  expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island beaches.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, from 8 AM this morning to 6 
  PM EDT Friday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT 
  this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ203-122045-
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.230912T1800Z-230916T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.230912T1200Z-230913T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
445 AM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
  and large breaking waves expected in the surf zone. For the High
  Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 12 feet expected in
  the surf zone.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT this 
  morning through this evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from 
  2 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ196-122045-
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.230912T1800Z-230915T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.230912T1200Z-230913T0000Z/
East Carteret-
445 AM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
  and large breaking waves expected in the surf zone. For the High
  Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to 12 feet expected in
  the surf zone.

* WHERE...Core and Shackleford Banks beaches.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT this 
  morning through this evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from 
  2 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ195-199-122045-
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.230913T1200Z-230915T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.230912T1200Z-230913T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
445 AM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
  and large breaking waves expected in the surf zone. For the High
  Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet expected in
  the surf zone.

* WHERE...Crystal Coast and Onslow beaches.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT this 
  morning through this evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from 
  8 AM Wednesday to 6 PM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$
619 
WHUS42 KMHX 121937
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
337 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

NCZ205-130745-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-230916T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.000000T0000Z-230913T0000Z/
Hatteras Island-
337 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 9 
  to 13 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, 
  dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf 
  zone.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island beaches.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 6 PM EDT Saturday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which occurred around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ204-130745-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-230915T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.000000T0000Z-230913T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-
337 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 
  to 11 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, 
  dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf 
  zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island beaches.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 6 PM EDT Friday. For 
  the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which occurred around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ203-130745-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-230916T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.000000T0000Z-230913T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
337 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 
  to 12 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, 
  dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf 
  zone.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 6 PM EDT Saturday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which occurred around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ196-130745-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-230915T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.000000T0000Z-230913T0000Z/
East Carteret-
337 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 
  to 12 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, 
  dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf 
  zone.

* WHERE...Core Banks beaches.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 6 PM EDT Friday. For 
  the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which occurred around 12:30 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ195-199-130745-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0011.230913T1200Z-230915T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0057.000000T0000Z-230913T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
337 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM WEDNESDAY TO
6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents 
  and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf 
  Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet expected in the 
  surf zone.

* WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches.

* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from 8 AM Wednesday to 6 
  PM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 12:30 PM this afternoon

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Sep 11, 7:20 PM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 11, 7:20 PM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
720 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
A stalled front over the area will dissipate early this week.
Another cold front will cross the area later Wednesday into
Wednesday night, with ridging building in behind the front late
week through the weekend. Large swells from distant Hurricane
Lee will create hazardous beach and ocean conditions later this
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
As of 7:10 PM Monday...Things have remained pretty quiet
through the afternoon and early evening. A small shower popped
up along the NOBX but the rest of the CWA remains under clear or
mostly clear skies. These conditions are expected to continue
overnight and with the winds forecast to become very light,
there is potential for some patchy fog. However, given the lack
of rain today and most recent guidance lacking a good signal,
confidence in fog development is low. Overnight lows will be in
the upper 60s/low 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
As of 420 PM Mon...Old frontal boundary will gradually decay
over eastern NC tomorrow. Deep moisture slowly fills into the
region tomorrow ahead of the next shortwave trough pivoting
across the Great Lakes, with the associated cold front impinging
on the Appalachians by Tuesday evening. Although appreciable
forcing will be weak, isolated shower activity is expected
tomorrow both along the weakened boundary and sea/sound breezes.
Some activity could also push into the coastal plain from the
thermal trough expected to develop to our west. Favored only
slight chance PoPs for now. Highs very similar to today, right
around 90 inland and upper 80s along the beach.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 320 PM Mon...Most important features in the long term are
(1) a cold front that will move through later
Wednesday/Wednesday night, bringing increased rainfall chances
and (2) Strong high pressure over the Great Lakes that will
interact with offshore Hurricane Lee to bring a drier, cooler
airmass in late week into the weekend.

Tuesday and Wednesday...Surface ridging overhead Tuesday
morning slides offshore through the day as a cold front works
across the Appalachians. This front approaches Wednesday,
crossing the area late Wednesday or Wednesday night. Wednesday
will be more active as moisture advection strengthens ahead of
the approaching front. The main source of uncertainty is the
impact that still distant Hurricane Lee will have on local
weather Wednesday...if it is close enough it could contribute to
stronger moisture advection and increase shower/storm coverage
in the afternoon and evening, or we could conversely end up
being influence by the periphery subsidence around Lee, limiting
POPs somewhat. Generally expect scattered to widespread
afternoon showers/storms at this point, with an overall low
threat for severe or flooding given moisture uncertainty.

Thursday through Sunday...With the cold front now offshore,
high pressure builds in from the Great Lakes as Hurricane Lee
passes well east of the area. The interaction of Lee and the
inland High will bring an enhanced gradient, with gusty N winds,
strongest along the coast, efficiently advecting in drier,
cooler air, with a more pleasant early fall-like airmass
arriving. Dry conditions and below-normal temps continue
Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

Despite passing well offshore, confidence remains high that Lee
will bring dangerous coastal conditions, particularly the
latter half of this week, possibly into the weekend. See the
TIDES/COASTAL FLOOD section below for more details.

Sunday into early next week...High pressure passes south of the
area and offshore, with temps trending closer to normal
beginning Sunday. Humidity returns gradually, with more
diurnally driven storm chances early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through 18z Tuesday/...
As of 7:15 PM Monday...VFR conditions expected for nearly, if
not all, of the short term period. Clear skies and light winds
could support the development of patchy fog near EWN and OAJ,
but given the lack of rain today and disagreement in VIS
restrictions among guidance, confidence in this is low. Slight
chance showers could produce some cu tomorrow but no flight restrictions
are expected.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 320 AM Mon...Increased storm potential Wednesday brings
the threat for at least brief flight restrictions mid-week. A
cold front moves through Wednesday night, with drier high
pressure bringing prolonged VFR conditions late week into the
weekend with breezy to gusty N winds Thursday and Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /Tonight and Tuesday/...
As of 430 PM Mon...Cold front is beginning to cross area waters
this afternoon, sitting between Roanoke Island and Oregon Inlet.
The front will continue to slowly sag south and east before
washing out tomorrow, allowing sea/sound breezes to become the
dominant driver of winds tomorrow. General flow will be westerly
to southwesterly, with speeds through tomorrow evening not
exceed 10-15 kts.

Offshore, seas remain at 3-5 feet but periods remain high at
around 13 seconds. Conditions are expected to further
deteriorate as swell from distance Hurricane Lee continues to
impact area waters. The first 6+ foot sea observations are
likely across Raleigh Bay shortly after midnight tonight, with
all area waters under the gun by midday Tuesday. From here, SCA
conditions will continue well into the long term.

LONG TERM /Tuesday through Saturday/...
As of 320 AM Mon...The primary hazard through the middle of the
week will be elevated seas as long period (14-16 second) swell
from distant Hurricane Lee fills in. Seas more uniformly reach
5-7 ft through the day Tuesday, continuing to build through
midweek before likely peaking Friday. There is still uncertain
with the track and strength of Lee, but reasonable forecast is
for the combination of the long period Lee swell and building
northerly windswell to bring seas to a very dangerous 10-15 ft
during the day Friday, before they only gradually subside
through the weekend. SCAs have been issued appropriately to
handle the seas, with Gale Warnings potentially needed for the
stronger winds Friday as forecast confidence increases.

Light to moderate southerly flow Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of
an approaching cold front. The front crosses the waters later
Wednesday into early Thursday, with northerly flow becoming
gusty behind the front as well offshore Hurricane Lee interacts
with strong high pressure over the Great Lakes. These gusty
winds peak Friday, then diminish into the weekend as high
pressure builds south of the area.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 330 AM Mon...Hurricane Lee will slowly progress north of
Hispaniola and east of the Bahamas over the next several days,
producing strong, long period southeasterly swell that will
impact the entire eastern seaboard. This longer period swell
has begun to fill in across ENC beaches, with much higher waves
most likely arriving on Tuesday and persisting through the
coming week. Expect very dangerous surf conditions with large
waves, strong rip currents, and powerful shorebreak Tuesday into
the weekend at all area beaches. Additionally, the long period
(15-20 seconds) will cause extensive wave run-up, with the
potential for significant beach erosion, ocean overwash, and
coastal flooding. Details on the severity of impacts is
dependent on the eventual track, intensity, and size of
Hurricane Lee as it likely passes offshore late week.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196-
     204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 AM EDT Saturday
     for AMZ150-158.
     Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Tuesday to 8 AM EDT Saturday
     for AMZ152-154-156.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...OJC
SHORT TERM...MS
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...CB/OJC
MARINE...CB/MS
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHX
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 11, 4:59 AM EDT, 15 hours 34 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
459 AM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-120900-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-Inland Onslow-
459 AM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ204-205-120900-
Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
459 AM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Powerful swell from Hurricane Lee will bring dangerous surf
conditions, including strong rip currents and large waves, to
eastern North Carolina beaches through much of the coming week.
There is potential for additional impacts including ocean overwash
and coastal flooding late week as well, depending on the eventual
track and strength of Lee.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-199-203-120900-
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Northern Outer Banks-
459 AM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Powerful swell from Hurricane Lee will bring dangerous surf
conditions, including strong rip currents and large waves, to
eastern North Carolina beaches through much of the coming week.
There is potential for additional impacts including ocean overwash
and coastal flooding late week as well, depending on the eventual
track and strength of Lee.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-120900-
East Carteret-
459 AM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement north of Cape Lookout.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk west of Cape Lookout.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Powerful swell from Hurricane Lee will bring dangerous surf
conditions, including strong rip currents and large waves, to
eastern North Carolina beaches through much of the coming week.
There is potential for additional impacts including ocean overwash
and coastal flooding late week as well, depending on the eventual
track and strength of Lee.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 12, 4:45 AM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryMHXCarteret, Dare, Hyde, Onslow5 days

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2023Every beach hazards statement in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.