Severe Thunderstorm Warning 360, NWS Memphis, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
249 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 217 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

A strong cold front will move east of the Mid-South tonight.
Strong to severe thunderstorms will be found ahead of the front
tonight. Behind the front, drier and much colder air will move
into the region. Temperatures on Sunday will be some 20-25 degrees
colder than today with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Dry weather
will continue through much of the upcoming week with temperatures
gradually returning back toward normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Friday)
Issued at 217 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

A strong cold front is located across west Tennessee and extreme
northwest Mississippi. Strong to severe thunderstorms have formed
ahead of the front and a Tornado Watch remains in effect until 7
pm CST. Temperatures ahead of the front are in the low to mid 70s
and in the upper 50s to around 60 degrees.

This cold front will move through the remainder of the Mid-South
tonight with more strong to severe thunderstorms expected ahead of
the front. Behind the front, drier and much colder air will move
into the region overnight. Temperatures will be chilly with lows
Sunday morning in the mid 30s to lower 40s.

The cold front will be east of the region on Sunday with a large
area of high pressure building across the Rockies and into the
southern Plains. Dry and chilly weather will be found across the
Mid-South on Sunday. Temperatures will be some 25 degrees colder
than today with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Sunday night will
be the coldest night of the week with lows Monday morning in the
mid 20s to around 30 degrees.

The surface high will move east of the region on Monday. Winds
will shift to the south bringing milder air to the region.
Temperatures will start to moderate on Monday and then return to
seasonal levels by Tuesday. Dry weather will continue for Tuesday
through early Friday morning. A weak cold front will approach the
region on Friday with a few showers possible.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1116 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

Cold front about to cross the Mississippi River in west Tennessee
with a secondary boundary over portions of central and western
Arkansas. Ahead of cold front, line of thunderstorms will move
across west Tennessee and north Mississippi this afternoon. IFR
ceilings will cover areas of the Mid-South ahead of the front.
Behind the front, showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible
with ceilings improving to VFR levels. Precipitation will end as
drier air moves into region. Winds will shift from the south to
the northwest as cold front moves through. Wind speeds will be
between 10 and 15 knots with higher gusts for much of the forecast
period.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS
AVIATION...ARS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
337 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     Hail             1 NW Independence       34.71N 89.81W
12/09/2023  E2.00 inch       Tate               MS   Public

&&

MJ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
341 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     Hail             1 ENE Batesville        34.32N 89.92W
12/09/2023  E2.75 inch       Panola             MS   Storm Chaser

&&

MJ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
342 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0339 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 ENE Batesville        34.32N 89.92W
12/09/2023  E60 MPH          Panola             MS   Storm Chaser

            Power flashes observed.

&&

MJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
345 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

TNZ021-022-052>055-092215-
Carroll TN-Henderson TN-Chester TN-Madison TN-Benton TN-Decatur TN-
345 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT HENDERSON...SOUTHWESTERN
BENTON...SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL...EAST CENTRAL MADISON...NORTHEASTERN
CHESTER AND NORTHERN DECATUR COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM CST...

At 345 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mifflin, or 7 miles northeast of Henderson, moving northeast at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lexington, Henderson, Natchez Trace State Park, Natchez Trace State
Forest, Parsons, Jacks Creek, Parkers Crossroads, Darden, Mifflin,
Wildersville, Dollar, Jeannette, Beech Bluff, Rock Hill, Juno,
Holladay, Middle Fork, Timberlake, Hinson Springs, and Cozette.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CST for west
Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3571 8803 3540 8859 3556 8872 3598 8818
      3574 8802
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 233DEG 40KT 3553 8858

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

DNM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
402 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

TNZ053>055-091-092-092230-
Henderson TN-Chester TN-Decatur TN-McNairy TN-Hardin TN-
402 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN HENDERSON...
NORTHERN MCNAIRY...NORTHWESTERN HARDIN...CENTRAL CHESTER AND
SOUTHWESTERN DECATUR COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM CST...

At 402 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Masseyville, or 9 miles southeast of Chickasaw State Park, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Henderson, Adamsville, Sardis, Silerton, Masseyville, Reagan, Jacks
Creek, Darden, Morris Chapel, Montgomery, Robertson, McNairy, Scotts
Hill, Bethel Springs, Saltillo, Finger, Milledgeville, Enville, Forty
Forks, and Rose Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CST for west
Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3518 8871 3530 8879 3533 8879 3534 8880
      3566 8820 3542 8804
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 241DEG 51KT 3530 8869

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

DNM

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