Alert archive / Texas / Wind Advisories in 2023
Wind Advisory 17, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this wind advisory at Mar 1, 2023, 1:34 PM MST for Lea County, New Mexico; 5 counties in Texas. It took effect at Mar 2, 2023, 8:00 AM MST. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 1, 2023, 1:34 PM MST (20:34 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 2, 2023, 8:00 AM MST
- Expired
- Mar 2, 2023, 8:00 PM MST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Counties Lea County, NM, Borden County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Scurry County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4916 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 81 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 34 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 151 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
928 WWUS74 KMAF 012034 NPWMAF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 234 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 NMZ034-TXZ050-059-060-067-075-082-272-274-281-282-020845- /O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0014.230302T1200Z-230303T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KMAF.HW.W.0012.230302T1200Z-230303T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-230302T0300Z/ Southern Lea County-Andrews-Loving-Winkler-Ward-Pecos-Terrell- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County Plains- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- Including the cities of Eunice, Jal, Andrews, Mentone, Kermit, Monahans, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, Van Horn, Pecos, Presidio, Big Bend NP, Lajitas, and Castolon 234 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 /134 PM MST Wed Mar 1 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 35 to 55 mph with gusts 60 to 70 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and western Texas. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Thursday to midnight CST /11 PM MST/ Thursday night. For the Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ TXZ051-052-061>063-068>070-020845- /O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0014.230302T1200Z-230303T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KMAF.HW.W.0012.230302T1200Z-230303T0600Z/ Martin-Howard-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Crane-Upton-Reagan- Including the cities of Stanton, Big Spring, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, and Big Lake 234 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Martin, Howard, Ector, Midland, Glasscock, Crane, Upton and Reagan Counties. * WHEN...From 6 AM Thursday to midnight CST Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ NMZ027-028-TXZ270-271-273-275>280-020845- /O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-230303T0600Z/ Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Eastern Culberson County- Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, Guadalupe Mountains NP, Pine Springs, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, Marathon, and Chisos Basin 234 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 /134 PM MST Wed Mar 1 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts 65 to 95 mph. * WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. * WHEN...Until midnight CST /11 PM MST/ Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Severe turbulence near the mountains will be hazardous for low flying light aircraft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ NMZ029-033-TXZ045-020845- /O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0014.230302T1200Z-230303T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.WI.Y.0017.230302T1500Z-230303T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-230302T0300Z/ Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Gaines- Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, and Seminole 234 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 /134 PM MST Wed Mar 1 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, west winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...In New Mexico, Northern Lea and Central Lea Counties. In Texas, Gaines County. * WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening. For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ to 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ TXZ046>048-053-020845- /O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0014.230302T1200Z-230303T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.WI.Y.0017.230302T1500Z-230303T0300Z/ Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Mitchell- Including the cities of Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, and Colorado City 234 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Dawson, Borden, Scurry and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/maf
3 follow-up statements
066 WWUS74 KMAF 020354 NPWMAF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 954 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 NMZ027-028-TXZ270-271-273-275>280-021600- /O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-230303T0600Z/ Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Eastern Culberson County- Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, Guadalupe Mountains NP, Pine Springs, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, Marathon, and Chisos Basin 954 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 /854 PM MST Wed Mar 1 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts 65 to 95 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest Texas. * WHEN...Until midnight CST /11 PM MST/ Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Severe turbulence near the mountains will be hazardous for low flying light aircraft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ NMZ034-TXZ050>052-059>063-067>070-075-082-272-274-281-282-021600- /O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0012.230302T1200Z-230303T0600Z/ Southern Lea County-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Loving-Winkler-Ector- Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County Plains- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- Including the cities of Eunice, Jal, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, Van Horn, Pecos, Presidio, Big Bend NP, Lajitas, and Castolon 954 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 /854 PM MST Wed Mar 1 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...Southern Lea County, south central Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, and Rio Grande Valley. * WHEN...From 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Thursday to midnight CST /11 PM MST/ Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ NMZ029-033-TXZ045>048-053-021600- /O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0017.230302T1500Z-230303T0300Z/ Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Gaines-Dawson-Borden- Scurry-Mitchell- Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, and Colorado City 954 PM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 /854 PM MST Wed Mar 1 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...In New Mexico, Northern Lea and Central Lea Counties. In Texas, Gaines, Dawson, Borden, Scurry and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ to 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/maf
157 WWUS74 KMAF 020945 NPWMAF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 345 AM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 NMZ027-028-TXZ270-271-273-275>280-030600- /O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-230303T0600Z/ Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Eastern Culberson County- Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, Guadalupe Mountains NP, Pine Springs, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, Marathon, and Chisos Basin 345 AM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 /245 AM MST Thu Mar 2 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 50 mph with gusts up to 80 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest Texas. * WHEN...Until midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Severe turbulence near the mountains will be hazardous for low flying light aircraft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ NMZ034-TXZ050>052-059>063-067>070-075-082-272-274-281-282-030600- /O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0012.230302T1200Z-230303T0600Z/ Southern Lea County-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Loving-Winkler-Ector- Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County Plains- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- Including the cities of Eunice, Jal, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, Van Horn, Pecos, Presidio, Big Bend NP, Lajitas, and Castolon 345 AM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 /245 AM MST Thu Mar 2 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and western Texas. * WHEN...Until midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ NMZ029-033-TXZ045>048-053-030300- /O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0017.230302T1500Z-230303T0300Z/ Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Gaines-Dawson-Borden- Scurry-Mitchell- Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, and Colorado City 345 AM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 /245 AM MST Thu Mar 2 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...In New Mexico, Northern Lea and Central Lea Counties. In Texas, Gaines, Dawson, Borden, Scurry and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ this morning to 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/maf 44
697 WWUS74 KMAF 021917 NPWMAF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 117 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 TXZ050>052-059>063-067>070-075-082-272>282-030600- /O.NEW.KMAF.DU.Y.0001.230302T1917Z-230303T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-230303T0600Z/ Andrews-Martin-Howard-Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward- Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains- Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills- Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley- Lower Brewster County- Including the cities of Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, Van Horn, Pecos, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon 117 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 ...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph, with higher gusts in the mountains. For the Blowing Dust Advisory, visibility between one quarter mile and one mile in blowing dust. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and western Texas. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until midnight CST tonight. For the Blowing Dust Advisory, until 8 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to reduced visibility. Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Motorists should not drive into an area of blowing dust. Remember, Pull Aside, Stay Alive. People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ NMZ027-028-034-TXZ270-271-030600- /O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-230303T0600Z/ Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Southern Lea County-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, Eunice, Jal, Guadalupe Mountains NP, and Pine Springs 117 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 /1217 PM MST Thu Mar 2 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT... * WHAT...West winds 35 to 55 mph with gusts up to 85 mph. * WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, Eddy County Plains, and Southern Lea. * WHEN...Until midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ TXZ046>048-053-030300- /O.NEW.KMAF.DU.Y.0001.230302T1917Z-230303T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-230303T0300Z/ Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Mitchell- Including the cities of Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, and Colorado City 117 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 ...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Blowing Dust Advisory, visibility between one quarter mile and one mile in blowing dust. For the Wind Advisory, west winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...Dawson, Borden, Scurry and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...For the Blowing Dust Advisory, until 8 PM CST this evening. For the Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to reduced visibility. Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Motorists should not drive into an area of blowing dust. Remember, Pull Aside, Stay Alive. Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ NMZ029-033-TXZ045-030300- /O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-230303T0300Z/ Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Gaines- Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, and Seminole 117 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023 /1217 PM MST Thu Mar 2 2023/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * WHERE...In New Mexico, Northern Lea and Central Lea Counties. In Texas, Gaines County. * WHEN...Until 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/maf
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 1, 10:38 AM MST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 10:38 AM MST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1138 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 415 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023
WV imagery shows the upper trough now over northern California,
leaving West Texas and Southeast New Mexico under southwest flow
aloft. A mountain wave is expected to strengthen over the
Guadalupes today, increasing winds over the area substantially over
yesterday, as the trough digs to SoCal by 00Z Thursday. Forecast
soundings in the Davis Mountains mix to above 600mb this afternoon,
indicating high winds will extend in the mountains and adjacent
plains all the way to the Big Bend Area, with wind advisories
abutting the warning area as well. Biggest concerns will be critical
fire weather. See fire wx discussion below for more details.
Downslope warming will yield afternoon highs similar to yesterday's,
if not a degree or two cooler as thicknesses drop w/the approach
of the upper trough, and increasing cloud cover.
Tonight, the upper trough is forecast to dig to southeast Arizona.
Winds will generally decouple somewhat with loss of diurnal heating,
but high winds are still expected in the warned area, and may
actually increase west and south, as strong 700mb winds round the
base of the trough. Mixing/cloud cover will keep overnight lows
above normal most locations, especially southeast.
Thursday, The upper trough plows through West Texas and Southeast
New Mexico, and is forecast to arrive over the South Plains by 00Z
Friday. 700mb height gradients tighten up to 60m/110nm or so. The
track of this feature is a little further south than 24 hours ago,
indicating strongest winds Thursday will be over the Davis
Mountains/Big Bend Area, where 50-60kt westerlies will round the
base of the trough. The will give that area the highest winds
they've seen in some time. Further north, high winds are still
expected as well, and we've added Scurry/Mitchell Counties to the
watch for high winds as the Pac front blows through. We'll hold off
upgrading the watch for now in case later model runs trend even
farther south. Latest models bring the Pac front through KMAF
shortly after 18Z, which will result in below-normal temperatures
all but the eastern CWA. There remains a chance of snow showers
Thursday morning Sacramentos/Guadalupes south into western Culberson
County, but little to no accumulations are expected. A few rain
showers could traverse northern Lea County and the Western Low
Rolling Plains Thursday evening/night.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 415 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023
Early Friday morning, wind speeds will slowly decrease from west to
east as the beast of an upper level trough pulls away from the area.
High winds are expected to continue until around 06Z Friday in the
mountains until the robust mid-lvl jet finally departs ewd. Weaker
zonal flow aloft will provide a much needed reprieve from the windy
conditions with MAV guidance only peaking at 11 kts for MAF! Highs
will top out near or slightly below normal on Friday mainly in the
mid to upper 60s.
This weekend will feature a quick return of above normal temps.
A shrtwv trough in westerly flow aloft will pass through the
Central Plains on Saturday, sending a cold front southward to our
region. This front will have no sensible impact on temperatures as
it quickly washes out and southerly sfc flow returns by Saturday
afternoon. Highs will be similar to Friday, possibly a degree or two
warmer. On Sunday, lee sfc troughing will return to the Southern
Plains resulting in westerly downsloping winds. This will allow
highs to spike into the mid 70s to lower 80s Sunday afternoon. It
will be a bit breezy across the higher terrain, but guidance
suggests that GDP should remain just below high wind criteria.
From Monday through the middle of next week, the upper level
pattern will not change much with quasi-zonal flow continuing
over the forecast area. Westerly sfc winds and an increasing low
level thermal ridge will result in temps soaring well above normal
on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday, another weak 500 hpa shrtwv
trough will traverse the Central Plains, sending a cold front
southward. Ensemble members show a large disparity in temperatures
Wednesday onwards. Due to high uncertainty, we will not deviate
from the NBM at this time. At least there are signs of potential
cooler air on the way.
-Salerno
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023
VFR continues throughout the period with plenty of high clouds.
Strong, gusty west-southwest winds develop at all sites within
the next hour or so, carrying through sunset this evening. Winds
remain westerly overnight staying fairly light, though may be a
tad stronger at CNM.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 415 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023
A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for the entire region this
afternoon through early this evening. Critical to locally extreme
fire weather conditions are expected to materialize this afternoon,
especially across southeast New Mexico and areas along and south of
the Pecos River in West TX where strong winds will combine with very
low humidity. Poor to fair moisture recovery is expected overnight.
Very strong westerly winds will impact the region on Thursday with
the passage of a Pacific cold front. This will be a similar setup
to the one we experienced last Sunday with damaging winds and
blowing dust overspreading the region. Although humidity will
increase behind the frontal boundary, there could be new
ignitions caused by downed power lines due to how strong the
winds will be Thursday afternoon. A Fire Weather Watch has been
issued for the entire region. We will finally get a break in
critical fire weather conditions Friday through this weekend as
winds are greatly reduced, although it will remain very dry
keeping a risk of elevated fire weather in play.
-Salerno
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 78 49 69 35 / 10 0 10 10
Carlsbad 73 38 53 31 / 0 0 10 0
Dryden 87 57 80 41 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 79 50 67 37 / 0 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 64 34 43 30 / 0 0 30 0
Hobbs 72 40 53 29 / 10 0 10 10
Marfa 72 39 57 25 / 0 0 10 0
Midland Intl Airport 77 47 65 35 / 10 0 0 0
Odessa 77 48 64 36 / 10 0 0 0
Wink 77 43 59 33 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Warning until midnight CST /11 PM MST/ Thursday night
for Central Brewster County-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson
County-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains-Marfa Plateau.
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CST /7 PM MST/ this evening for
Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster County-Chinati Mountains-
Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains
Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson County-Ector-Gaines-
Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Lower Brewster County-
Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Presidio Valley-
Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Van Horn
and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
Fire Weather Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday
evening for Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster County-Chinati
Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis
Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson County-Ector-
Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Lower
Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-
Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-
Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
Wind Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for Andrews-Gaines-
Loving-Lower Brewster County-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves
County Plains-Terrell-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-
Winkler.
High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening
for Andrews-Borden-Crane-Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-
Howard-Loving-Lower Brewster County-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-
Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-
Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
NM...High Wind Warning until 11 PM MST Thursday for Eddy County
Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.
Red Flag Warning until 7 PM MST this evening for Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe
Mountains.
Fire Weather Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday
evening for Chaves Plains-Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento
Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains.
Wind Advisory until 8 PM MST this evening for Central Lea County-
Northern Lea County-Southern Lea County.
High Wind Watch from late tonight through Thursday evening for
Central Lea County-Northern Lea County-Southern Lea County.
&&
SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...16Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 3:37 AM MST, 9 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 437 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-021045- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 437 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2023 /337 AM MST Wed Mar 1 2023/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. A High Wind Warning is in effect late this morning through tonight for the Davis and Chinati Mountains, Davis Mountain Foothills, Eddy County plains, eastern Culberson County, Marfa Plateau, and Central Brewster County. A Wind Advisory is in effect late this morning through early evening for the rest of Southeast New Mexico and most of West Texas. A Red Flag Warning is in effect late this morning through early evening for West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. A High Wind Warning is in effect through Thursday evening for the Guadalupe, Delaware, Davis, and Chinati Mountains, Davis Mountain Foothills, Eddy County plains, eastern Culberson County, Marfa Plateau, and Central Brewster County. A High Wind Watch is in effect through Thursday evening for the rest of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect late Thursday morning through early evening for West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. High winds are possible Friday through Tuesday in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. Near-critical fire weather conditions are possible Friday through Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland 44
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2:12 AM MST | Fire Weather Watch | MAF | Chaves, Eddy, Lea, Lincoln, Otero | 12 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Texas, 2023Wind Advisories in New Mexico, 2023Every wind advisory in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.