Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 280, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

October 2, 2023Lea County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 2, 2023, 6:06 PM MDT for Lea County, New Mexico. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 2, 2023, 6:06 PM MDT (00:06 UTC)
Expired: Oct 2, 2023, 6:45 PM MDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Lea County, NM

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 2, 1:03 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Oct 2, 5:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 998 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -40 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1514 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 2, 5:57 PM MDT, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 2, 5:57 PM MDT, 9 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 2, 10:24 AM MDT, 7 hours 42 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1124 AM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-031630-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
1124 AM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023 /1024 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2023/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico,
southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a medium risk of severe storms this afternoon and evening,
mainly across Southeast New Mexico and adjacent parts of West Texas.
Any severe storms that do develop may be accompanied by large hail,
damaging winds, and an isolated tornado.  Heavy rainfall may also
result in flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a medium risk of severe storms late Tuesday afternoon and
early evening, mainly across West Texas.  Any severe storms that do
develop may be accompanied by large hail, damaging winds, and an
isolated tornado.  Heavy rainfall may also result in flash flooding.

There is a low risk of severe storms Wednesday afternoon and evening,
mainly across the Western Low Rolling Plains and Permian Basin. Any
severe storms that do develop may be accompanied by large hail and
damaging winds.  Heavy rainfall may also result in flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

44

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 2, 4:45 PM MDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
545 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0541 PM     Flash Flood      1 NW Carlsbad           32.41N 104.25W
10/02/2023                   Eddy               NM   Trained Spotter

            Car flooded on SH 524 on west side of
            Carlsbad.

&&

Special weather statement, Oct 2, 4:55 PM MDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
455 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2023

NMZ028-033-034-022345-
Southern Lea County NM-Eddy County Plains NM-Central Lea County NM-
455 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2023

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN EDDY AND SOUTHWESTERN
LEA COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM MDT...

At 455 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 21
miles northeast of Loving, or 26 miles east of Carlsbad, moving north
at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Maljamar and Halfway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
southeastern New Mexico.

&&

LAT...LON 3209 10386 3214 10408 3289 10384 3269 10333
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 199DEG 29KT 3242 10378

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

91

Local storm report, Oct 2, 5:26 PM MDT, 40 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
626 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0541 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NE Lovington          32.96N 103.34W
10/02/2023                   Lea                NM   Emergency Mngr

            Single wide trailer fully collapsed. No
            injuries reported. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

Special weather statement, Oct 2, 5:45 PM MDT, 21 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 2, 5:48 PM MDT, 18 minutes before

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Local storm report, Oct 2, 5:59 PM MDT, 7 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 2, 6:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Loving, Reeves	55 min
Oct 2, 6:55 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Loving	50 min
Oct 2, 7:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler	43 min
Oct 2, 7:50 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Loving, Ward, Winkler	55 min
Oct 2, 8:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Ector, Ward, Winkler	62 min
Oct 2, 8:49 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews	56 min
Oct 2, 9:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Gaines	62 min
Oct 2, 9:44 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	46 min
Oct 2, 9:58 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector, Winkler	62 min
Oct 2, 10:43 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	47 min
Oct 2, 10:49 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	26 min
Oct 2, 10:54 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	51 min
Oct 2, 10:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Gaines	61 min
Oct 2, 11:01 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector	59 min
Oct 2, 11:46 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Ector	3 hr
Oct 2, 11:57 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Dawson, Gaines	63 min
Oct 3, 12:01 AM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Gaines	6 hr
Oct 3, 1:02 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	28 min
Oct 3, 2:13 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Borden	47 min
Oct 3, 3:15 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Borden, Scurry	60 min
Oct 3, 1:55 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	50 min
Oct 3, 2:23 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	52 min
Oct 3, 2:27 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	48 min
Oct 3, 2:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	45 min
Oct 3, 2:53 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	52 min
Oct 3, 2:55 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Pecos	3 hr
Oct 3, 3:10 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Upton	50 min
Oct 3, 3:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	46 min
Oct 3, 3:40 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Crane, Ector, Midland, Upton	50 min
Oct 3, 3:46 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	44 min
Oct 3, 3:52 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	38 min
Oct 3, 3:53 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	52 min
Oct 3, 3:55 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Howard, Martin	65 min
Oct 3, 4:02 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Dawson	58 min
Oct 3, 4:03 PM MDT	Dust Storm Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	27 min
Oct 3, 4:11 PM MDT	Dust Storm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Martin, Midland	34 min
Oct 3, 4:17 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	43 min
Oct 3, 4:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Martin, Midland	40 min
Oct 3, 4:41 PM MDT	Dust Storm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Howard, Martin	34 min
Oct 3, 4:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Borden, Dawson, Howard, Martin	51 min
Oct 3, 4:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Howard, Mitchell	64 min
Oct 3, 4:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	49 min
Oct 3, 4:58 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Howard	3 hr
Oct 3, 4:58 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Scurry	62 min
Oct 3, 5:12 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	48 min
Oct 3, 5:16 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Borden, Dawson, Scurry	3 hr
Oct 3, 5:24 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	23 min
Oct 3, 5:43 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Mitchell	3 hr
Oct 3, 5:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	44 min
Oct 3, 5:48 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Scurry	3 hr
Oct 3, 5:55 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	50 min
Oct 3, 5:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell	45 min
Oct 3, 5:58 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Scurry	62 min
Oct 2, 6:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	33 min
Oct 2, 6:54 PM MDT	Areal Flood Warning	MAF	Eddy	9 hr
Oct 2, 6:59 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	46 min
Oct 2, 7:12 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	63 min
Oct 2, 8:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Lea	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2023 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.