Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 262, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

October 2, 2023Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 2, 2023, 1:02 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 2, 2023, 1:02 PM MDT (19:02 UTC)
Expired: Oct 2, 2023, 1:45 PM MDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Damage threat: Considerable
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 325 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -152 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 877 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 76 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 2, 11:23 AM MDT, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 2, 11:23 AM MDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 2, 10:24 AM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1124 AM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-031630-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
1124 AM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023 /1024 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2023/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico,
southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a medium risk of severe storms this afternoon and evening,
mainly across Southeast New Mexico and adjacent parts of West Texas.
Any severe storms that do develop may be accompanied by large hail,
damaging winds, and an isolated tornado.  Heavy rainfall may also
result in flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a medium risk of severe storms late Tuesday afternoon and
early evening, mainly across West Texas.  Any severe storms that do
develop may be accompanied by large hail, damaging winds, and an
isolated tornado.  Heavy rainfall may also result in flash flooding.

There is a low risk of severe storms Wednesday afternoon and evening,
mainly across the Western Low Rolling Plains and Permian Basin. Any
severe storms that do develop may be accompanied by large hail and
damaging winds.  Heavy rainfall may also result in flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

44

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 2, 12:53 PM MDT, 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1253 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2023

NMZ028-021945-
Eddy County Plains NM-
1253 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2023

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY THROUGH
145 PM MDT...

At 1253 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles southwest of Brantley Lake State Park, or 17 miles west of
Carlsbad, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Carlsbad, Carlsbad North, Brantley Lake State Park, and Living Desert
State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3227 10448 3237 10472 3271 10465 3246 10421
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 222DEG 12KT 3240 10454

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

88

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 2, 2:50 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	25 min
Oct 2, 3:03 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Reeves, Ward	45 min
Oct 2, 3:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	MAF	Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler	56 min
Oct 2, 4:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Gaines	43 min
Oct 2, 5:45 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	30 min
Oct 2, 12:53 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	52 min
Oct 2, 1:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Eddy	42 min
Oct 2, 1:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	47 min
Oct 2, 2:13 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Eddy	3 hr
Oct 2, 2:16 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Eddy	3 hr
Oct 2, 2:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	42 min
Oct 2, 2:22 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	38 min
Oct 2, 2:28 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Eddy, Lea	47 min
Oct 2, 2:43 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Eddy	47 min
Oct 2, 2:48 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Eddy	3 hr
Oct 2, 3:11 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Eddy, Lea	49 min
Oct 2, 3:23 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	52 min
Oct 2, 3:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	49 min
Oct 2, 3:56 PM MDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	MAF	Lea	21 min
Oct 2, 3:59 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	3 hr
Oct 2, 3:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Eddy, Lea	61 min
Oct 2, 4:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	60 min
Oct 2, 4:28 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Lea	62 min
Oct 2, 4:55 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	50 min
Oct 2, 5:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	MAF	Lea	27 min
Oct 2, 5:37 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Eddy	3 hr
Oct 2, 5:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	52 min
Oct 2, 5:42 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Lea	3 hr
Oct 2, 5:48 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2023 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.