Alert archive / Texas / High Wind Warnings in 2023

High Wind Warning 30, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

October 28, 2023Culberson County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this high wind warning at Oct 28, 2023, 1:49 PM CDT for Culberson County, Texas. It took effect at Oct 29, 2023, 3:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 20 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 28, 2023, 1:49 PM CDT (18:49 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 29, 2023, 3:00 PM CDT
Expired
Oct 30, 2023, 11:00 AM CDT
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Culberson County, TX

The radar

The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 212 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 29, 9:17 PM CDTNON-TSTM WND GST 664 S Pine Springs, TXAWOS station KGDP 4 S Pine Springs.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 2023-10-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 2023-10-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 61 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2574 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

916 
WWUS74 KMAF 281849
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
149 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

TXZ271-291300-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0024.231030T0000Z-231030T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0030.231030T0000Z-231030T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
149 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023 /1249 PM MDT Sat Oct 28 2023/

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ SUNDAY TO
11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ MONDAY...

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, northeast winds 45 to 60 mph
  with gusts up to 70 mph expected. For the Freeze Watch, sub-
  freezing temperatures as low as 25 possible.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains in Texas.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ 
  Sunday to 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ Monday. For the Freeze Watch, 
  from Sunday evening through early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile
  vehicles. Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

TXZ047-048-051-075-273-275-276-280-291300-
/O.EXA.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Borden-Scurry-Martin-Pecos-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Gail, Snyder, Stanton, Fort Stockton, 
Marfa, Big Bend National Park, and Chisos Basin
149 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 possible. As low
  as 27 degrees in the mountains.

* WHERE...Borden, Scurry, Martin, Pecos and Eastern Culberson 
  Counties, and Chinati Mountains, Marfa Plateau and Chisos 
  Basin.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045-046-050-270-272-277>279-291300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Andrews-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-
Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, 
Carlsbad Caverns NP, Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, 
Seminole, Lamesa, Andrews, Guadalupe Mountains National Park, 
Van Horn, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend National Park, 
Panther Junction, and Marathon
149 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023 /1249 PM MDT Sat Oct 28 2023/

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 28 possible. As low
  as 25 in the mountains.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  western Texas.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf
6 follow-up statements
820 
WWUS74 KMAF 290132
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
832 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

TXZ271-291345-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0030.231030T0000Z-231030T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
832 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023 /732 PM MDT Sat Oct 28 2023/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
SUNDAY TO 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ MONDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, northeast winds 45 to 60 mph 
  with gusts up to 70 mph expected. For the Freeze Watch, sub- 
  freezing temperatures as low as 25 possible.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains in Texas.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ 
  Sunday to 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ Monday. For the Freeze Watch, 
  from Sunday evening through early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high 
  profile vehicles. Frost and freeze conditions could kill 
  crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage 
  unprotected outdoor plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050-051-291345-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.231029T0132Z-231029T1400Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-
Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, 
Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, and Stanton
832 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023 /732 PM MDT Sat Oct 28 2023/

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/
SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile 
  or less in dense fog. For the Freeze Watch, sub-freezing 
  temperatures as low as 29 possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast New Mexico and West Texas.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ 
  Sunday. For the Freeze Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

TXZ052-053-291345-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.231029T0132Z-231029T1400Z/
Howard-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Big Spring and Colorado City
832 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.

* WHERE...Howard and Mitchell Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

NMZ027-028-TXZ075-270-272-273-275>280-291345-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, 
Carlsbad Caverns NP, Fort Stockton, 
Guadalupe Mountains National Park, Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, 
Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, 
and Chisos Basin
832 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023 /732 PM MDT Sat Oct 28 2023/

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 28 possible. As low 
  as 25 in the mountains.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  western Texas.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf
926 
WWUS74 KMAF 290611
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
111 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

TXZ271-291715-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0030.231030T0000Z-231030T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
111 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /1211 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING TO 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ MONDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, northeast winds 45 to 60 mph 
  with gusts up to 70 mph expected. For the Freeze Watch, sub- 
  freezing temperatures as low as 25 possible.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains in Texas.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ 
  Sunday to 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ Monday. For the Freeze Watch, 
  from Sunday evening through early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high 
  profile vehicles. Frost and freeze conditions could kill 
  crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage 
  unprotected outdoor plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

TXZ061-062-291400-
/O.EXA.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-231029T1400Z/
Ector-Midland-
Including the cities of Odessa and Midland
111 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.

* WHERE...Ector and Midland Counties.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ 
  Sunday. For the Freeze Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050-051-291715-
/O.CON.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-231029T1400Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-
Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, 
Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, and Stanton
111 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /1211 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/
THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile 
  or less in dense fog. For the Freeze Watch, sub-freezing 
  temperatures as low as 29 possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast New Mexico and West Texas.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ 
  Sunday. For the Freeze Watch, from Sunday evening through 
  Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

TXZ052-053-291400-
/O.CON.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-231029T1400Z/
Howard-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Big Spring and Colorado City
111 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.

* WHERE...Howard and Mitchell Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

NMZ027-028-TXZ075-270-272-273-275>280-291715-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, 
Carlsbad Caverns NP, Fort Stockton, 
Guadalupe Mountains National Park, Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, 
Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, 
and Chisos Basin
111 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /1211 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 28 possible. As low 
  as 25 in the mountains.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  western Texas.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf
155 
WWUS74 KMAF 290803
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
303 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

TXZ271-301600-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0030.231030T0000Z-231030T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
303 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /203 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING TO 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ MONDAY...

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, northeast winds 45 to 60 mph
  with gusts up to 70 mph expected. For the Freeze Watch, sub- 
  freezing temperatures as low as 25 possible.

* WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, Guadalupe Pass. For the
  Freeze Watch, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains in Texas.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ 
  this evening to 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ Monday. For the Freeze 
  Watch, from this evening through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile
  vehicles. Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050-051-301600-
/O.CON.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-231029T1400Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-
Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, 
Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, and Stanton
303 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /203 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/
THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile
  or less in dense fog. For the Freeze Watch, sub-freezing
  temperatures as low as 29 possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and western Texas.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ 
  this morning. For the Freeze Watch, from this evening through 
  Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

TXZ052-053-061-062-291400-
/O.CON.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-231029T1400Z/
Howard-Mitchell-Ector-Midland-
Including the cities of Big Spring, Colorado City, Odessa, 
and Midland
303 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.

* WHERE...Howard, Mitchell, Ector and Midland Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

NMZ027-028-TXZ075-270-272-273-275>280-301600-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, 
Carlsbad Caverns NP, Fort Stockton, 
Guadalupe Mountains National Park, Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, 
Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, 
and Chisos Basin
303 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /203 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 29 possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest Texas.

* WHEN...From this evening through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf
902 
WWUS74 KMAF 291231
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
731 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050-051-300045-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.231029T1231Z-231030T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-231029T1400Z/
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-
Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, 
Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, and Stanton
731 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /631 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ MONDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ 
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as low
  as 28. For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility one quarter mile
  or less in dense fog.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and western Texas.

* WHEN...For the Freeze Warning, until 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ 
  Monday. For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ 
  this morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

TXZ271-300045-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.231029T1231Z-231030T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0030.231030T0000Z-231030T1600Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
731 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /631 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ 
THIS EVENING TO 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as low
  as 25. For the High Wind Warning, northeast winds 45 to 60 mph
  with gusts up to 70 mph expected.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains in Texas.

* WHEN...For the Freeze Warning, until 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ 
  Monday. For the High Wind Warning, from 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ 
  this evening to 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile
  vehicles. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

TXZ052-053-061-062-300045-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.231029T1231Z-231030T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-231029T1400Z/
Howard-Mitchell-Ector-Midland-
Including the cities of Big Spring, Colorado City, Odessa, 
and Midland
731 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT MONDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as low
  as 30. For the Dense Fog Advisory, visibility half mile or less
  in dense fog.

* WHERE...Howard, Mitchell, Ector and Midland Counties.

* WHEN...For the Freeze Warning, until 1 PM CDT Monday. For the 
  Dense Fog Advisory, until 9 AM CDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Hazardous driving conditions due to low visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

If driving, slow down, use your headlights, and leave plenty of
distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

NMZ027-028-TXZ075-270-272-273-275>280-300045-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FZ.A.0001.231030T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.231029T1231Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, 
Carlsbad Caverns NP, Fort Stockton, 
Guadalupe Mountains National Park, Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, 
Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, 
and Chisos Basin
731 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /631 AM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ MONDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 28. Lower
  temperatures possible in the mountains.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest Texas.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ Monday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

TXZ063-070-300045-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.231029T1231Z-231030T1800Z/
Glasscock-Reagan-
Including the cities of Garden City and Big Lake
731 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30.

* WHERE...Glasscock and Reagan Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf
136 
WWUS74 KMAF 291811
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
111 PM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

TXZ060-069-301215-
/O.EXA.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Winkler-Upton-
Including the cities of Kermit, McCamey, and Rankin
111 PM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30.

* WHERE...Winkler and Upton Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

TXZ271-301215-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0030.231029T2000Z-231030T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
111 PM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /1211 PM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/
MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as low
  as 20. For the High Wind Warning, northeast winds 40 to 60 mph 
  with gusts up to 75 mph expected.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains in Texas.

* WHEN...For the Freeze Warning, until 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ 
  Monday. For the High Wind Warning, until 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ 
  Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile
  vehicles. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-061>063-070-075-270-272-273-
275>280-301215-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Ector-Midland-
Glasscock-Reagan-Pecos-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, 
Carlsbad Caverns NP, Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, 
Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, 
Colorado City, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Big Lake, 
Fort Stockton, Guadalupe Mountains National Park, Van Horn, 
Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend National Park, 
Panther Junction, Marathon, and Chisos Basin
111 PM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 /1211 PM MDT Sun Oct 29 2023/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 24 in Southeast New
  Mexico and as low as 26 in the Permian Basin. Temperatures as 
  low as 20 in the mountains.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  western Texas.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ Monday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf
284 
WWUS74 KMAF 300715
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
215 AM CDT Mon Oct 30 2023

TXZ271-301800-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-231030T1600Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
215 AM CDT Mon Oct 30 2023 /115 AM MDT Mon Oct 30 2023/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/
THIS AFTERNOON...

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT /10 AM
MDT/ THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures as low
  as 22. For the High Wind Warning, northeast winds 30 to 50 mph 
  with gusts up to 75 mph.

* WHERE...For the Freeze Warning, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains
  in Texas.  For the high Wind Warning, Guadalupe Pass.

* WHEN...For the Freeze Warning, until 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ this 
  afternoon.  For the High Wind Warning, until 11 AM CDT /10 AM 
  MDT/ this morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile
  vehicles.  Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches.  If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly.  Those that have 
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above- 
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-069-070-075-270-272-
273-275>280-301800-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231030T1800Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Winkler-Ector-
Midland-Glasscock-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Queen, Artesia, Carlsbad, 
Carlsbad Caverns NP, Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, 
Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, 
Colorado City, Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, McCamey, 
Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, 
Guadalupe Mountains National Park, Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, 
Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, 
and Chisos Basin
215 AM CDT Mon Oct 30 2023 /115 AM MDT Mon Oct 30 2023/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/
THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 27.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  western Texas.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly.  Those that have 
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above- 
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

44

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Oct 28, 12:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 12:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1246 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 231 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

* Strong Cold Front to Arrive Early Sunday Morning, Along With
  Widespread Rain Chances

Today will be the veritable "calm before the storm", though it won't
be without its own challenges. Yesterday's front remains draped
roughly along the Pecos River Valley, remaining rather diffuse. Last
evening and overnight, it has served as a focus for showers and a
few thunderstorms, mainly just to the east of the area across the
Concho Valley and Edwards Plateau. This activity will likely
continue through daybreak, perhaps developing westward as the front
begins its slow northward trek. Cloudy conditions will persist for
most of the day along and east/north of the Pecos River, with some
clearing from west to east expected during the afternoon. However,
this cloud cover as well as an only slightly modified post-frontal
air mass will keep temperatures on the cool side, especially across
the northern Permian Basin where highs may settle in the upper 50s
and 60s north of the main boundary. 70s and lower 80s are expected
elsewhere, with the warmest temperatures in the upper 80s to around
90 degrees along the Rio Grande Valley. Aloft, southwesterly flow
persists today ahead of a broad longwave trough extending from the
northern Plains across the Great Basin. The trough will continue
amplifying as it slowly translates eastward, coincident with
increasing mid- and low-level moisture across the region. Late this
afternoon, CAMs are in favor of some isolated storms developing in
the vicinity of the higher terrain across Southeast New Mexico and
West Texas where clearing is expected and upslope surface flow will
aid in storm development as the aforementioned front drifts
northward. Storms are expected to progress eastward across the Upper
Trans Pecos into the Permian Basin and Stockton Plateau by evening,
with the strongest storms capable of producing isolated strong wind
gusts and hail, along with locally heavy rainfall.

Tonight, increasing ascent ahead of the approaching trough and the
much-advertised cold front will coincide with a surge of mid-level
moisture to yield an uptick in rain/storm chances, especially across
the eastern Permian Basin southwestward across the Trans Pecos
toward the Davis Mountains. The greatest storm chances through
tonight will be across the Permian Basin, diminishing further south
and west. Increasing precipitable water values will lend to a heavy
rain/localized flooding concern, especially across the Permian Basin
where cell training may occur. The strong cold front will edge into
Southeast New Mexico and the northern Permian Basin just prior to
daybreak Sunday morning, then quickly progress southward through the
area and reach the Rio Grande by mid- to late afternoon. Given the
timing and strength of this front, locations across Southeast New
Mexico and the Permian Basin will likely see falling temperatures
through the day, with only a brief period of warming expected along
and south of I-10 before the front makes it through the region.
Thus, temperatures Sunday afternoon will be in the 30s and 40s
roughly along and north of I-10, with coldest temperatures across
northern areas, and 60s to 80s along and south of US90.

In addition to the wild temperature swing, widespread showers and
thunderstorms are expected to develop on Sunday thanks to isentropic
ascent and forcing due to the quickly progressing cold front. Severe
weather is not anticipated, however, locally heavy rainfall and
localized flooding may occur, particularly where cell training
occurs and over urban areas and/or areas that received substantial
rainfall last Monday and Tuesday. The greatest chance for
precipitation and heavy rain will be across eastern areas from the
Permian Basin to the Stockton Plateau, though most will see some
measurable precipitation from this event beginning on Sunday. As
temperatures fall during the afternoon on Sunday, locations across
northern Lea county may reach freezing, resulting in the potential
for a mix of rain and freezing rain/freezing drizzle. Fortunately,
given this is the first strong cold front, there is still a lot of
heat stored in the ground, thus ice accretion will be minimal if
any, with the exception of perhaps some elevated surfaces.
Elsewhere, precipitation through Sunday afternoon will remain of the
liquid, non-freezing variety.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 231 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

A messy forecast remains on tap Sunday night and Monday.  Sunday
evening, the upper-level trough will be passing through the Four
Corners, leaving West Texas and Southeast New Mexico under southwest
flow aloft.  At the surface, the cold front will have just cleared
the Rio Grande, and momentum looks to produce high gap winds through
Guadalupe Pass. A High Wind Watch has been issued. Wind
Advisories may be needed in subsequent forecasts for the higher
elevations over the southwestern zones. Convection should be
ongoing across the CWA, with a little thunder over the southeast.
As CAA continues overnight, rain from the Guadalupes to
central/northern Lea County should changeover to a wintry mix, but
accumulations are expected to be light. Of more concern will be
farther south, where forecast soundings suggest a round of FZRA
over the Davis/Glass Mountains. Since accumulations are advisory
criteria, we're reluctant to issue a watch attm, and will let the
next shift pull that trigger if still warranted. In the meantime,
we'll hit it in the HWO. Much of Southeast New Mexico, the
northwest Permian Basin, and the higher elevations look to
experience the first freeze of the fall Sunday night/Monday
morning, so we've gone ahead and issued a freeze watch.

Monday morning, precipitation will taper off to the southeast,
leaving the coldest day of this forecast in its wake, with highs
most locations unfortunately stuck in the 40s.

A gradual warmup ensues into next weekend under dry northwest flow
aloft.  More widespread freezes are anticipated Tuesday and
Wednesday mornings.  With any luck, highs by Friday afternoon should
be back up to around normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

A quasistationary warm front extends from near KCNM to about 15 N
KINK to about 10 S KMAF. North of the boundary, widespread IFR
conditions in BR/FG and -DZ are observed, while south of the
boundary, skies are becoming VFR. This boundary will slowly lift
northward for a bit, with skies perhaps becoming MVFR at KMAF in a
few hours. Scattered TSRA is expected to develop along the
eastern slopes of the mountains later this afternoon, potentially
impacting KINK, KMAF, and KPEQ later this afternoon/evening.

Then the bottom falls out after midnight as a strong cold front
slides through area terminals. Will see a few hours of gusty winds
behind the front, then winds will be sustained out of the north or
northeast AOA 15 knots with widespread IFR CIGS and VSBYs developing
behind the front after FROPA. Will see some -SHRA/-RA after
daybreak across eastern terminals as an upper level storm system
passes overhead. All in all, not a good day for GA pilots
tomorrow (or any pilots for that matter).

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               40  43  33  43 /  50  90  80  30
Carlsbad                 47  52  34  44 /  20  40  30  20
Dryden                   64  75  38  44 /  10  60  90  40
Fort Stockton            53  64  34  41 /  30  70  90  40
Guadalupe Pass           50  55  29  38 /  10  20  30  10
Hobbs                    39  43  30  43 /  40  60  40  10
Marfa                    54  71  31  39 /  20  30  50  30
Midland Intl Airport     41  47  34  42 /  50  80  80  20
Odessa                   42  48  35  42 /  50  80  80  20
Wink                     48  54  36  44 /  40  70  70  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Freeze Watch from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon for
     Andrews-Central Brewster County-Davis Mountains-Davis
     Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above
     7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and
     Highway 54 Corridor.

     High Wind Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...Freeze Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for
     Central Lea County-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains
     of Eddy County-Northern Lea County-Southern Lea County.

&&

SHORT TERM...84
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...70
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 28, 2:45 AM CDT, 11 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
245 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-290745-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
245 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2023 /145 AM MDT Sat Oct 28 2023/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico,
southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A Freeze Watch is in effect from Sunday evening through Monday
afternoon for the Davis, Guadalupe, and Delaware Mountains, the Davis
Mountain Foothills, Andrews, Dawson, and Gaines Counties, Van Horn
and the Highway 54 Corridor, central Brewster County, and the
Southeast New Mexico Plains.

A High Wind Watch is in effect from Sunday evening through Monday
morning for Guadalupe Pass.

Light freezing rain is possible Sunday night and Monday, mainly
across the Davis and Glass Mountains.  This may result in a light
glaze of ice.  For all but the highest elevations, less than 1/10th
of an inch of ice is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 28, 2:16 AM CDTFreeze WatchMAFAndrews, Borden, Brewster, Culberson, Dawson, Gaines and 6 more29 hr
Oct 28, 2:16 AM CDTHigh Wind WatchMAFCulberson12 hr
Oct 28, 1:59 PM CDTWinter Weather AdvisoryMAFBrewster, Culberson, Jeff Davis, Pecos, Presidio, Reeves47 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Texas, 2023Every high wind warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.