Alert archive / Missouri / Winter Storm Warnings in 2023

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS St. Louis, MO

January 23, 202312 counties in Illinois; 14 counties in Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this winter storm warning at Jan 23, 2023, 2:12 PM CST for 12 counties in Illinois; 14 counties in Missouri. It took effect at Jan 24, 2023, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 15 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2023, 2:12 PM CST (20:12 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 24, 2023, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Jan 25, 2023, 9:14 AM CST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
All 26 counties

Bond County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Madison County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 24, 10:04 PM CSTSNOW 0.5Viburnum, MO
Jan 25, 12:08 AM CSTSNOW 2Irondale, MO
Jan 25, 4:15 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 67 Ssw Fredericktown, MOFROM PUBLIC RELAYED VIA MEDIA PARTNER.
Jan 25, 4:44 AM CSTSNOW 0.5Defiance, MOSNOW ALSO BEGINNING TO ACCUMULATE ON DRIVEWAY.
Jan 25, 4:51 AM CSTSNOW 1.7Crestwood, MOTOTAL SO FAR. 1.3 INCHES FALLING IN THE LAST HOUR.
Jan 25, 5:00 AM CSTSNOW 3.5De Soto, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 5:00 AM CSTSNOW 4.5Steelville, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 5:00 AM CSTSNOW 5.54 Sw Potosi, MOTOTAL SO FAR. 0.66 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT--COMPACTION SUSPECTED.
Jan 25, 5:30 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 81 Se Farmington, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 5:46 AM CSTSNOW 32 Sse Percy, ILVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 5:57 AM CSTSNOW 1.61 Nnw Woodson Terrace, MOFROM KSTL OBSERVER.
Jan 25, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 0.81 N Weldon Spring, MO
Jan 25, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 0.92 Wsw Weldon Spring, MOAT WFO ST. LOUIS.
Jan 25, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 31 Nne Festus, MO
Jan 25, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 3Salem, IL
Jan 25, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 6Park Hills, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 6:00 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 7.2Modoc, IL
Jan 25, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 81 Ne Farmington, MO
Jan 25, 6:01 AM CSTSNOW 2Sparta, ILVIA SOCIAL MEDIA. TOTAL SO FAR.
Jan 25, 6:03 AM CSTSNOW 0.7Saint Peters, MOSTORM TOTAL SNOWFALL REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 6:03 AM CSTSNOW 6.5Desloge, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA. MEASURED ON A DECK RAILING.
Jan 25, 6:07 AM CSTSNOW 4Belgrade, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA FACEBOOK.
Jan 25, 6:30 AM CSTSNOW 4Saint Rose, ILMEASURED BEFORE END OF SNOW.
Jan 25, 6:45 AM CSTSNOW 2.5Cahokia, ILREPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 6:45 AM CSTSNOW 4Spanish Lake, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 6:45 AM CSTSNOW 5.5High Ridge, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA FACEBOOK. PICTURE OF MEASUREMENT INCLUDED.
Jan 25, 6:47 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 7Farmington, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA. TAKEN ON A WOOD DECK RAILING.
Jan 25, 6:50 AM CSTSNOW 11 Nnw Peerless Park, MOFROM ST. LOUIS COUNTY EOC.
Jan 25, 6:50 AM CSTSNOW 3Arnold, MOLIGHT SNOW STILL FALLING. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 6:59 AM CSTSNOW 2.5De Soto, MOHEAVIEST SNOW HAS PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER. PICTURE OF MEASUREMENT INCLUDED.
Jan 25, 6:59 AM CSTSNOW 5.8Antonia, MOHEAVIEST SNOW HAS PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 0.3Washington, MO
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 21 E Byrnes Mill, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 23 Sw Maryland Heights, MO
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 2.51 Sw Jerseyville, IL
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 3De Soto, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA. ON AN ELEVATED DECK. 1 INCH ON UNTREATED LOT.
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 3Viburnum, MO
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 4Kell, ILVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 4.21 W Kimmswick, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA WITH PICTURE.
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTSNOW 52 E Valmeyer, IL
Jan 25, 7:00 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6.31 Nne Ironton, MOVIA SOCIAL WITH PICTURE. TAKEN IN OPEN YARD.
Jan 25, 7:05 AM CSTSNOW 1.51 E Eureka, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 7:05 AM CSTSNOW 1.51 E Eureka, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 7:10 AM CSTSNOW 32 Ssw Arnold, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 7:11 AM CSTSNOW 5Hillsboro, MOHEAVIEST SNOW IS OVER, LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES.
Jan 25, 7:15 AM CSTSNOW 2.3Crestwood, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 7:15 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6.32 S Otto, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA. AVERAGE OF MULTIPLE MEASUREMENTS.
Jan 25, 7:20 AM CSTSNOW 5Potosi, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA FACEBOOK. PICTURE OF MEASUREMENT INCLUDED.
Jan 25, 7:20 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6.3Richwoods, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA WITH PICTURE.
Jan 25, 7:21 AM CSTSNOW 33 Nnw Walnut Hill, ILVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 25, 7:22 AM CSTSNOW 3Imperial, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA FACEBOOK. PICTURE OF MEASUREMENT INCLUDED.
Jan 25, 7:25 AM CSTSNOW 2.52 Nnw Kimmswick, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA WITH PICTURE.
Jan 25, 7:25 AM CSTSNOW 2.8Cedar Hill, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA WITH PICTURE.
Jan 25, 7:26 AM CSTSNOW 0.8Mascoutah, ILHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 7:26 AM CSTSNOW 2Belleville, ILHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER. PICTURE OF MEASUREMENT INCLUDED.
Jan 25, 7:26 AM CSTSNOW 3Bethalto, ILHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER. PICTURE OF MEASUREMENT INCLUDED.
Jan 25, 7:26 AM CSTSNOW 4De Soto, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA WITH PICTURE.
Jan 25, 7:30 AM CSTSNOW 1.7Brentwood, MO
Jan 25, 7:30 AM CSTSNOW 2Mehlville, MOHEAVIEST SNOW PASSED. REPORTED VIA TWITTER.
Jan 25, 7:30 AM CSTSNOW 2.31 E Chesterfield, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA WITH PICTURE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 240 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2023-01-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2023-01-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 72 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
723 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

929 
WWUS43 KLSX 232012
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
212 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-MOZ059>065-072>075-084-
085-099-241115-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0001.230125T0000Z-230126T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0001.230125T0000Z-230126T0300Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair-Monroe IL-
Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis
MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds
MO-
Including the cities of Edwardsville, Farmington, Cahokia,
Sparta, Alton, Washington, Sullivan, Saint Louis, Centralia,
Union, Saint Charles, Belleville, Salem, Litchfield, Chester, and
Vandalia
212 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 9 PM CST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 
  10 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and southeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Tuesday to 9 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and 
  Wednesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use 
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

Those planning travel should be advised that visibilities will vary 
greatly across the area, and weather conditions in rural areas will 
be much worse than those in a nearby town or city. Do not be fooled, 
if you are planning travel in an open area, make certain you and 
your car are prepared for the elements. Although treated roads may 
just be wet, untreated surfaces will be ice covered and very 
slippery. Motorists should remain alert for rapid changes in road 
conditions, especially when turning onto lesser travelled roads, 
side streets, or parking lots.

&&

$$

ILZ058-095>099-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>052-241115-
/O.NEW.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.230125T0300Z-230126T0300Z/
Greene IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Mount Sterling, Pittsfield, Bowling
Green, Fulton, Quincy, Columbia, Hannibal, Mexico, and Jefferson
City
212 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 9 PM CST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Illinois. Portions 
  of central, east central, and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From 9 PM Tuesday to 9 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MRB
6 follow-up statements
418 
WWUS43 KLSX 240251
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
851 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-MOZ059>065-072>075-084-
085-099-241800-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0001.230125T0000Z-230126T0300Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair-Monroe IL-
Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis
MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds
MO-
Including the cities of Farmington, Centralia, Litchfield,
Sparta, Alton, Cahokia, Belleville, Vandalia, Chester, Saint
Louis, Saint Charles, Salem, Edwardsville, Union, Washington, and
Sullivan
851 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 9 PM 
CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 
  10 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and southeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Tuesday to 9 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and 
  Wednesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use 
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

Those planning travel should be advised that visibilities will vary 
greatly across the area, and weather conditions in rural areas will 
be much worse than those in a nearby town or city. Do not be fooled, 
if you are planning travel in an open area, make certain you and 
your car are prepared for the elements. Although treated roads may 
just be wet, untreated surfaces will be ice covered and very 
slippery. Motorists should remain alert for rapid changes in road 
conditions, especially when turning onto lesser travelled roads, 
side streets, or parking lots.

&&

$$

ILZ058-095>099-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>052-241800-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.230125T0300Z-230126T0300Z/
Greene IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Quincy, Mexico, Jefferson City, Mount
Sterling, Columbia, Pittsfield, Bowling Green, Hannibal, and
Fulton
851 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 9 
PM CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Illinois. Portions 
  of central, east central, and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From 9 PM Tuesday to 9 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

Gosselin
652 
WWUS43 KLSX 240909
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
309 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

ILZ099-250015-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.230125T0300Z-230126T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KLSX.WS.W.0001.230125T0000Z-230126T0000Z/
Jersey IL-
309 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 
  6 inches.

* WHERE...Jersey IL County.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  evening and Wednesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road 
conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use 
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

Those planning travel should be advised that visibilities will vary 
greatly across the area, and weather conditions in rural areas will 
be much worse than those in a nearby town or city. Do not be fooled, 
if you are planning travel in an open area, make certain you and 
your car are prepared for the elements. Although treated roads may 
just be wet, untreated surfaces will be ice covered and very 
slippery. Motorists should remain alert for rapid changes in road 
conditions, especially when turning onto lesser travelled roads, 
side streets, or parking lots.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-MOZ059>065-072>075-084-
085-099-250015-
/O.EXT.KLSX.WS.W.0001.230125T0000Z-230126T0000Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair-Monroe IL-
Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis
MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-
Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds
MO-
Including the cities of Belleville, Vandalia, Chester, Salem,
Sparta, Saint Charles, Washington, Centralia, Litchfield, Union,
Alton, Farmington, Sullivan, Saint Louis, Cahokia, and
Edwardsville
309 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM 
CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 
  7 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and southeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and 
  Wednesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use 
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

Those planning travel should be advised that visibilities will vary 
greatly across the area, and weather conditions in rural areas will 
be much worse than those in a nearby town or city. Do not be fooled, 
if you are planning travel in an open area, make certain you and 
your car are prepared for the elements. Although treated roads may 
just be wet, untreated surfaces will be ice covered and very 
slippery. Motorists should remain alert for rapid changes in road 
conditions, especially when turning onto lesser travelled roads, 
side streets, or parking lots.

&&

$$

ILZ058-095>098-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>052-250015-
/O.EXT.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.230125T0300Z-230126T0000Z/
Greene IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-
Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-Audrain
MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-Lincoln
MO-
Including the cities of Jefferson City, Pittsfield, Mexico, Mount
Sterling, Columbia, Bowling Green, Fulton, Quincy, and Hannibal
309 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 
PM CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Illinois. Portions 
  of central, east central, and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

Elmore
794 
WWUS43 KLSX 242013
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
213 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-099>102-MOZ059>065-072>075-084-
085-099-251415-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0001.230125T0000Z-230126T0000Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair-Monroe
IL-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint
Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington
MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-
Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Salem, Saint Louis, Sullivan,
Edwardsville, Union, Sparta, Farmington, Saint Charles, Cahokia,
Alton, Litchfield, Washington, Vandalia, Chester, Belleville, and
Centralia
213 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 
6 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 
  9 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and southeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and 
  Wednesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use 
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

Those planning travel should be advised that visibilities will vary 
greatly across the area, and weather conditions in rural areas will 
be much worse than those in a nearby town or city. Do not be fooled, 
if you are planning travel in an open area, make certain you and 
your car are prepared for the elements. Although treated roads may 
just be wet, untreated surfaces will be ice covered and very 
slippery. Motorists should remain alert for rapid changes in road 
conditions, especially when turning onto lesser travelled roads, 
side streets, or parking lots.

Remember that shoveling snow is hard work, even for those in good 
physical condition. Be certain to take frequent breaks, and dress 
warmly.

&&

$$

ILZ058-095>098-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>052-251415-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.230125T0300Z-230126T0000Z/
Greene IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-
Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-Audrain
MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-Lincoln
MO-
Including the cities of Pittsfield, Hannibal, Jefferson City,
Fulton, Mexico, Bowling Green, Columbia, Mount Sterling, and
Quincy
213 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING 
TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Illinois. Portions 
  of central, east central, and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MRB
264 
WWUS43 KLSX 250319
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
919 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-099>102-MOZ059>065-072>075-084-
085-099-251800-
/O.EXT.KLSX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230125T1800Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair-Monroe
IL-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint
Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington
MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-
Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Washington, Saint Louis, Union, Sullivan,
Vandalia, Litchfield, Belleville, Saint Charles, Centralia,
Cahokia, Edwardsville, Farmington, Chester, Alton, Salem, and
Sparta
919 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 8 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and southeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until Noon CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use 
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

Those planning travel should be advised that visibilities will vary 
greatly across the area, and weather conditions in rural areas will 
be much worse than those in a nearby town or city. Do not be fooled, 
if you are planning travel in an open area, make certain you and 
your car are prepared for the elements. Although treated roads may 
just be wet, untreated surfaces will be ice covered and very 
slippery. Motorists should remain alert for rapid changes in road 
conditions, especially when turning onto lesser travelled roads, 
side streets, or parking lots.

Remember that shoveling snow is hard work, even for those in good 
physical condition. Be certain to take frequent breaks, and dress 
warmly.

&&

$$

MOZ034-041-042-047>051-251800-
/O.EXT.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230125T1800Z/
Monroe MO-Boone MO-Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-
Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Including the cities of Jefferson City, Columbia, Mexico, and
Fulton
919 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until Noon CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

ILZ058-095>098-MOZ018-019-026-027-035-036-052-251830-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230126T0000Z/
Greene IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-
Shelby MO-Marion MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Pittsfield, Bowling Green, Mount
Sterling, Quincy, and Hannibal
919 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

&&

$$

Gosselin
264 
WWUS43 KLSX 250913
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
313 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

ILZ059-099-100-MOZ060-061-063-064-260000-
/O.CAN.KLSX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230125T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230126T0000Z/
Macoupin IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint
Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Edwardsville, Saint Louis, Alton, and
Saint Charles
313 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Illinois. Portions of east central 
  Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

&&

$$

ILZ060-064-065-069-070-074-079-101-102-MOZ059-062-065-072>075-084-
085-099-251800-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230125T1800Z/
Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington
IL-Randolph IL-Saint Clair-Monroe IL-Gasconade MO-Franklin MO-
Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte
Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Salem, Chester, Washington, Litchfield,
Centralia, Farmington, Sparta, Belleville, Cahokia, Sullivan,
Vandalia, and Union
313 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and southeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until Noon CST today.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use 
extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.

Those planning travel should be advised that visibilities will vary 
greatly across the area, and weather conditions in rural areas will 
be much worse than those in a nearby town or city. Do not be fooled, 
if you are planning travel in an open area, make certain you and 
your car are prepared for the elements. Although treated roads may 
just be wet, untreated surfaces will be ice covered and very 
slippery. Motorists should remain alert for rapid changes in road 
conditions, especially when turning onto lesser travelled roads, 
side streets, or parking lots.

Remember that shoveling snow is hard work, even for those in good 
physical condition. Be certain to take frequent breaks, and dress 
warmly.

&&

$$

ILZ058-095>098-MOZ018-019-026-027-035-036-052-260000-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230126T0000Z/
Greene IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-
Shelby MO-Marion MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Pittsfield, Bowling Green, Hannibal,
Quincy, and Mount Sterling
313 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

&&

$$

MOZ034-041-042-047>051-251800-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230125T1800Z/
Monroe MO-Boone MO-Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-
Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Including the cities of Fulton, Columbia, Jefferson City, and
Mexico
313 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until Noon CST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Wednesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

Elmore
692 
WWUS43 KLSX 251514
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
914 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

ILZ060-064-065-069-070-074-079-101-102-MOZ059-062-065-072>075-084-
085-099-251615-
/O.CAN.KLSX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230125T1800Z/
Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington
IL-Randolph IL-Saint Clair-Monroe IL-Gasconade MO-Franklin MO-
Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte
Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Centralia, Chester, Sparta, Washington,
Litchfield, Salem, Belleville, Cahokia, Farmington, Union,
Vandalia, and Sullivan
914 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Snow is tapering off...or has ended across the warning area.  
Additionally, temperatures will continue to rise slowly into the mid 
30s this morning, which will make any additional accumulation on 
roadways highly unlikely.  Therefore the Winter Storm Warning is 
cancelled.

$$

MOZ034-041-042-047>051-251615-
/O.CAN.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230125T1800Z/
Monroe MO-Boone MO-Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-
Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Including the cities of Fulton, Mexico, Columbia, and Jefferson
City
914 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Snow is tapering off...or has ended across the advisory area.  
Additionally, temperatures will continue to rise slowly into the mid 
30s this morning, which will make any additional accumulation on 
roadways highly unlikely.  Therefore the Winter Weather Advisory is 
cancelled.

$$

ILZ058-059-095>100-MOZ018-019-026-027-035-036-052-060-061-063-064-
260000-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-230126T0000Z/
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-Jersey
IL-Madison IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Ralls MO-Pike
MO-Lincoln MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint
Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Mount Sterling, Alton, Edwardsville,
Hannibal, Saint Charles, Bowling Green, Pittsfield, Quincy, and
Saint Louis
914 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional light snow accumulations remain possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Illinois. Portions 
  of east central and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Continue to be cautious on area roads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

&&

$$

Carney

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 23, 11:51 AM CST, 2 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 11:51 AM CST, 2 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
1151 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

.SHORT TERM... (Through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 342 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

Key Messages:
1) Confidence is high (>90%) that a winter storm will
produce accumulating snow and impact the region Tuesday night into
Wednesday evening.

2) Impacts to travel are expected area-wide, especially during the
Wednesday morning commute for areas along and south of I-44 in
Missouri and I-70 in Illinois.

Current water vapor imagery shows an upper-level trough over the
Midwest pushing eastward, with northwest flow on the backside of the
trough moving over the CWA. At the surface, an area of high pressure
centered over the Central Plains has the CWA in weak northwesterly
flow at the surface. Through the day, the surface high will quickly
move eastward, causing winds to gradually shift to out of the
southwest through the day. Depending on how soon this occurs, we
may see temperatures rise above what is currently forecast due to
downsloping off the Ozarks.

Upper-level ridging will briefly move over the Middle Mississippi
Valley tomorrow ahead of a trough digging across the Desert
Southwest. This, and sustained southerly to southwesterly flow will
help temperatures rise by a couple of degrees over what is expected
today.

Our primary focus remains on a winter storm that is set to move
into the area Tuesday night with impacts expected through
Wednesday. As the aforementioned trough ejects out into the
Southern Plains, the right entrance and left exit regions of two
jet streaks will combine to deepen a surface low as the low enters
the Mid South. As it does so, isentropic lift will lead to
precipitation overspreading the CWA from the south/southwest to
the north/northeast. This precipitation is expected to fall
primarily as snow, as the consensus among model soundings is that
the DGZ will be fully saturated, leading to ice crystal
development and growth. Additionally, temperatures through the
middle and lower atmosphere are expected to be below freezing, so
melting aloft is not expected. Lift focused in the DGZ and weak
winds through the lower atmosphere support SLRs generally at to
just above climatology. While temperatures for locations mainly
across southeastern Missouri and southwestern Illinois will
initially be just above freezing at the surface, high snow rates
(approaching 1" an hour at times) in this portion of the area will
overcome these temperatures to produce accumulating snowfall. In
fact, snowfall will likely cause temperatures to drop by a few
degrees thanks to dynamic and evaporative cooling. The snowfall
rates are expected to be highest leading up to sunrise and the
Wednesday morning commute.

Given the expected trajectory of the surface and 850mb low,
climatology favors locations along and south of I-44 in Missouri and
I-70 in Illinois seeing the greatest snowfall, with accumulations
here toping out roughly 6-8". For these locations, a Winter Storm
Watch is in effect and was expanded slightly to account for a bump
in totals a little further northward. North of the Watch area,
totals are expected to be generally 3-5". There is still enough
spread among ensembles that leads me to believe that there could
still be a slight shift in where the heaviest snowfall occurs. A
slight adjustment of the system to the north could center the axis
of greatest accumulation along the I-44 MO/I-70 IL corridor.

While the heavier snow is expected to taper off through late
Wednesday morning and early afternoon, the chance for light snow
capable of roughly another 0.5" of accumulation will continue into
the evening as the deformation zone lingers across the area.

Elmore

.LONG TERM... (Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 342 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

As the mid-week trough pushes eastward on Thursday, northwesterly
flow aloft will move over the Middle Mississippi Valley. Weak
shortwaves within this flow will pass over and near the CWA, and
while I have maintained a dry forecast for Thursday, I can't rule
out these shortwaves squeezing out some flurries to light snow
through the day.

There remains much uncertainty in the phasing of the upper-level
pattern as we get into the weekend. The general consensus is that
the trough responsible for our mid-week weather will push off of the
East Coast, and the upper-level flow across much of the CONUS will
deamplify and become quasi-zonal.

To what degree this flow becomes quasi-zonal is questionable, as
some ensemble members suggest flow becoming increasingly
southwesterly across the Middle Mississippi Valley through the
weekend, while others keep the flow more westerly. The significance
of this dictates the magnitude and trajectory of a shortwave set to
pass through the central CONUS. Most ensembles have precipitation
occurring over the CWA during the latter half of the weekend into
early next week, but understandably differ on timing given the
spread in the evolution of the upper-level pattern. Regardless,
those members that do have precipitation have relatively light
amounts. Depending on the timing of this precipitation, some of it
may fall as snow.

Elmore

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1136 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

Flight conditions will continue to improve today amidst dry
southwest winds aiding to scatter out the low stratus. While there
may be some redevelopment of MVFR clouds at KUIN tonight,
confidence is not high in that scenario. Otherwise, dry VFR
conditions are expected until Tuesday night, when a winter storm
will impact the region.

MRB

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Winter Storm Watch from Tuesday evening through Wednesday
     afternoon for Crawford MO-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-Iron MO-
     Jefferson MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint
     Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-Sainte
     Genevieve MO-Warren MO-Washington MO.

IL...Winter Storm Watch from Tuesday evening through Wednesday
     afternoon for Bond IL-Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Macoupin IL-
     Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-Randolph IL-
     Saint Clair-Washington IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 23, 3:55 AM CST, 10 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
355 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-241000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
355 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A winter storm is expected to traverse the region Tuesday night into Wednesday,
bringing widespread accumulating snow. A Winter Storm Watch has been
issued for locations generally along and south of Interstate 44 in
Missouri and Interstate 70 in Illinois where the heaviest snowfall
will occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Elmore

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 23, 2:12 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSXAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin and 2 more45 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Missouri, 2023Winter Storm Warnings in Illinois, 2023Every winter storm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.