Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2023
River Flood Warning 43, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at May 15, 2023, 4:18 AM CDT for Reynolds County, Missouri. It was in force for 52 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 15, 2023, 4:18 AM CDT (09:18 UTC)
- Expired
- May 17, 2023, 8:47 AM CDT
- In force
- 52 hr
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Reynolds County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Black River near Annapolis (ANNM7). The gauge peaked at 12.83 ft at May 16, 2023, 12:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 8 ft
- Moderate stage
- 15 ft
- Major stage
- 25 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07061500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
165
WGUS43 KLSX 150918
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
418 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023
...The National Weather Service in St Louis MO has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as
conditions change.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-162130-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0043.230515T0918Z-000000T0000Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230515T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
418 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...From early this morning until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Annapolis Road on the east bank of the
Black River south of Lesterville begins flooding close to this
height. This is the only road directly connecting Annapolis and
Lesterville.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 3:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 8.3 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 3:15 AM CDT Monday was 8.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 8.3 feet.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 8.3 8.0 MSG MSG MSG MSG
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
Britt9 follow-up statements
791
WGUS83 KLSX 151120
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
620 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as
conditions change.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-162330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230517T0200Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230515T1200Z.230515T2000Z.NO/
620 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...Until late tomorrow evening.
* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, County Road 372 will begin flooding near
this height.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 5:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 8.6 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 5:15 AM CDT Monday was 8.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.7
feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late
this afternoon.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 8.6 6.7 5.7 5.4 5.3 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
Britt854
WGUS83 KLSX 151437
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
937 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as
conditions change.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-170245-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230520T1800Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230517T0000Z.230519T1200Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...Until early Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, County Road 372 will begin flooding near
this height.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 7.9 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
late tonight to a crest of 10.0 feet tomorrow evening. It
will then fall below flood stage Friday morning.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 7.9 8.3 9.5 8.4 8.0 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
Elmore088
WGUS83 KLSX 160051
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
751 PM CDT Mon May 15 2023
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-171300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230518T1912Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230517T0000Z.230517T1312Z.NO/
751 PM CDT Mon May 15 2023
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...Until early Thursday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, County Road 372 will begin flooding near
this height.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 7.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
early tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 10.0 feet tomorrow
evening. It will then fall below flood stage Wednesday
morning.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 7.0 8.2 5.8 5.3 5.2 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
MRM560
WGUS83 KLSX 160830
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
330 AM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-172030-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230518T1912Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230516T1200Z.230517T1312Z.NO/
330 AM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...Until early Thursday afternoon.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 3:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.5
feet this morning.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 9.8 8.2 5.8 5.3 5.2 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
Gosselin730
WGUS83 KLSX 161047
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
547 AM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-172300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230518T1630Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230516T1800Z.230517T1030Z.NO/
547 AM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...Until late Thursday morning.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 10.9 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.0
feet this afternoon.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 10.9 7.7 6.1 5.7 5.6 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
Gosselin442
WGUS83 KLSX 161438
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
938 AM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-180245-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230518T2312Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230516T1800Z.230517T1712Z.NO/
938 AM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...Until Thursday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Flooding begins along County Road 146
Champion Springs Road... the road leading to the gage.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 9:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 12.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.8
feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
early tomorrow afternoon.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 12.5 9.3 6.0 5.6 5.5 5.4
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
Glass168
WGUS83 KLSX 162004
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
304 PM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-180815-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230518T1522Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230516T1645Z.230517T0922Z.NO/
304 PM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...Until late Thursday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Flooding begins along County Road 146
Champion Springs Road... the road leading to the gage.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 2:15 PM CDT Tuesday was 12.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late tonight and continue falling to 5.3 feet early Sunday
afternoon.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 12.3 7.3 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
Glass953
WGUS83 KLSX 170035
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
735 PM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC179-181230-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230518T1227Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230516T1645Z.230517T0627Z.NO/
735 PM CDT Tue May 16 2023
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.
* WHEN...Until Thursday morning.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday was 12.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 5.3 feet
Sunday evening.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 9.9 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
MRM825
WGUS83 KLSX 171347
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
847 AM CDT Wed May 17 2023
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Black River near Annapolis.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
MOC179-171500-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-230517T1347Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.230515T0705Z.230516T1645Z.230517T1145Z.NO/
847 AM CDT Wed May 17 2023
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Black River near Annapolis.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 7.9 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.3 feet Sunday
evening.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Black River
Annapolis 8.0 7.9 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 MSG
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9087 3745 9078 3724 9074 3724 9079
$$
GlassWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 15, 3:31 AM CDT, 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 15, 3:31 AM CDT, 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 331 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023 .SHORT TERM... (Through Late Tuesday Afternoon) Issued at 324 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023 The location of the west-east oriented backdoor cold front is a bit difficult to discern early this morning, but is likely near the I-70 corridor as of 0700 UTC. The boundary continues to slowly ooze equatorward, with pressure rises observed just to the north in parts of northeast Missouri and west-central Illinois. By mid morning, the front is expected to stall out across far southern sections of the area. Along and south of the front, moderate instability is forecast with surface-based CAPE values likely in the 1500-2000+ J/kg range. A midlevel impulse late this afternoon is forecast to enter southwest Missouri, helping to provide increasing forcing for ascent downstream and a bump up in deep-layer shear. At least scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop by late afternoon, mainly in parts of southeast Missouri. A few storms may be strong to severe, mainly in/around Reynolds/Iron/Madison counties in southeast Missouri between 3-8 PM. Large hail is the main threat with steep midlevel lapse rates and ample CAPE within the hail-growth zone. Locally heavy rainfall is also a threat in these same locations due to precipitable water values above 1.50" (~95th percentile of climatology) and deep warm cloud depths. The latest HREF localized probability- matched mean also shows the potential well, with spots of 2-3" of rain. Weakening convection is forecast after dusk this evening as instability begins to wane nocturnally. However, the coverage of precipitation is expected to increase late this evening into the overnight hours as a stronger midlevel shortwave trough approaches from the west. This induces a surface low to track through the bootheel of Missouri into the lower Ohio Valley through early Tuesday. Mid/upper level forcing for ascent also increases across the mid-Mississippi Valley due to enhanced divergence beneath the right-entrance region of a jet streak. The end result should be widespread, persistent light to occasionally moderate rainfall with a few embedded thunderstorms on the southeastern flank of the precipitation shield. The widespread rain will move from west/southwest to east/northeast late tonight into Tuesday morning before it departs. Rainfall totals of 0.50-0.75" are forecast through Tuesday morning, which will be beneficial given most of the area being quite dry since the beginning of meteorological spring. The axis of higher totals are a bit uncertain, with some of the CAMs (HRRR/RAP) focusing more into southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. However, the track of the shortwave trough argues for a further northwest placement, more in line with the GFS/ECMWF and other CAM guidance (FV3/ARW). The other noticeable change for today is the much cooler temperatures for areas north of the boundary. The combination of persistent low stratus and east/northeast surface winds will help yield low diurnal ranges with respect to temperatures. Highs are only forecast to reach the low 60s to low 70s for much of the area. The exception is far southern counties where upper 70s to near 80 degrees are likely near or just south of the cold front this afternoon. Tuesday will also be on the cool side, with mid 60s to low 70s forecast for much of the region. Coolest locations are likely to be in southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois where the low stratus won't exit until around 2100 UTC. Gosselin .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through Sunday) Issued at 324 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023 (Tuesday Night - Thursday) Dry and tranquil weather is forecast for the middle of the work week as a surface ridge is draped from the Great Lakes into the mid- Mississippi Valley. A subtle backdoor cold front is forecast to move through at least parts of the region late Tuesday night into early Wednesday, but is expected to pass through dry. The GFS shows some light rain shower activity, but the percentage of total members from the grand ensemble showing measurable rainfall within this time frame is quite low (10-20%). A further inspection shows nearly all of those are GEFS members. Given that the GFS/GEFS has a wet bias and has little/no support from the EPS/CMCE membership, left the forecast dry for Tuesday night and Wednesday. After a seasonably cool night Tuesday night, moderating temperatures are expected as highs get back to near or slightly above normal for mid/late May. There is some uncertainty on both the strength of the backdoor cold front and how far west it gets on Wednesday. Regardless, there should be some type of gradient from east to west, with cooler values across the river into Illinois and warmest temperatures further to the west in central Missouri. (Thursday Night - Sunday) Ensemble guidance remains in good agreement showing a strong midlevel shortwave trough moving across the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes Thursday night into Friday. What has changed a bit is the timing, generally about 6-12 hours later compared to a couple of days ago. This in turn means a slower passage of the cold front through our area, more in the Friday/Friday night time frame. The slower cold frontal passage has a couple of ramifications, including higher PoPs/chances of showers and thunderstorms due to more time for low-level moisture return and associated instability ahead of the front. In addition, Friday's forecast highs have been warmed by several degrees, with strong low-level warm air advection ahead of the boundary. Friday looks like it probably will be the warmest day of the week now, with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s. Behind the front, a return to below normal temperatures is in store as mean 850-hPa temperatures on the GEFS/EPS drop back closer to +5C. High temperatures next weekend are likely to be in the 70s, with lows Saturday night in the upper 40s to mid 50s. If the timing of the surface ridge is favorable Saturday night, wouldn't be surprised to see some mid 40s across parts of the CWA. Gosselin && .AVIATION... (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Monday Night) Issued at 1107 PM CDT Sun May 14 2023 Precipitation trends are the most challenging part of this TAF package. From a large scale perspective there is at least a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms for the entire period, however for specific points like the terminals it is hard to gage when the impacts will occur. In the short term I think KCOU/KJEF and KUIN will see some showers overnight. Otherwise stratus will become widespread overnight resulting in flight conditions lowering to MVFR and IFR. The stratus will persist through the end of the valid TAF period. Glass && .LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...None. IL...None. && WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 3:36 AM CDT, 42 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service St Louis MO 336 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-160845- Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL- Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL- Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO- Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO- Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO- Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO- Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO- Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO- Madison MO-Reynolds MO- 336 AM CDT Mon May 15 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Thunderstorms are likely late this afternoon and early evening across parts of southeast Missouri. A few of these storms may be strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds possible. There is also the potential for locally heavy rainfall in these same locations. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Another chance of thunderstorms exists across the area Thursday night through Friday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any hail or damaging winds to the National Weather Service. Gosselin
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 14, 10:54 PM CDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1054 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0857 PM FLOOD 2 SW IRVING 39.19N 89.43W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY AT IL 16 AND THE
BRIDGE. LOCATION IS APPROXIMATE.
&&
MMGLocal storm report, May 14, 10:55 PM CDT, 5 hours 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1055 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM FLOOD MOUNT OLIVE 39.08N 89.72W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE ALONG NORTH OAK
STREET IN MOUNT OLIVE.
&&
MRMLocal storm report, May 14, 10:56 PM CDT, 5 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1056 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM FLOOD 1 SW ROYAL LAKES 39.10N 89.98W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD WASHED OUT AT PRAIRIE DELL ROAD AND
HUCKELBRIDGE ROAD.
&&
MRMLocal storm report, May 14, 11:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1100 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0952 PM FLOOD 1 NE NOKOMIS 39.31N 89.27W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY EAST OF NAKOMIS, NEAR
IL 16 AND 23RD ROAD.
&&
MMGLocal storm report, May 14, 11:02 PM CDT, 5 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1102 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0834 PM FLOOD 1 NE WITT 39.26N 89.34W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY NEAR IL 16 AND E IL
AVE.
&&
MMGLocal storm report, May 15, 12:27 AM CDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1227 AM CDT MON MAY 15 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW FLORENCE 38.91N 91.45W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY MO PUBLIC
BROKEN POWER POLES AND SHINGLES OFF OF
HOUSES. TIME ESTIMATE FROM RADAR.
0350 PM HAIL 1 WSW NEW FLORENCE 38.90N 91.46W
05/14/2023 E0.70 INCH MONTGOMERY MO PUBLIC
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0452 PM HAIL 4 SSW SHILOH 38.51N 89.93W
05/14/2023 E1.00 INCH ST. CLAIR IL PUBLIC
0513 PM HAIL 4 N HARVEL 39.42N 89.57W
05/14/2023 M1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY IL TRAINED SPOTTER
.
0513 PM HAIL 4 N HARVEL 39.42N 89.57W
05/14/2023 M1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY IL TRAINED SPOTTER
0515 PM HAIL 4 N HARVEL 39.41N 89.54W
05/14/2023 M1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY IL TRAINED SPOTTER
0518 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW MASCOUTAH 38.50N 89.83W
05/14/2023 ST. CLAIR IL AMATEUR RADIO
6IN DIAMETER TREE LIMB OFF TREE. MULTIPLE
TREE LIMBS DOWN. WEST OF MASCOUTAH, IL.
0525 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW MELLE 38.71N 90.88W
05/14/2023 ST. CHARLES MO PUBLIC
IMAGE FROM SOCIAL MEDIA OF A TREE SNAPPED.
0525 PM HAIL 1 W FREEBURG 38.43N 89.92W
05/14/2023 M1.25 INCH ST. CLAIR IL PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: HALF DOLLAR (1.25 IN.).
0525 PM HAIL 1 W FREEBURG 38.43N 89.92W
05/14/2023 U1.25 INCH ST. CLAIR IL PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: HALF DOLLAR (1.25 IN.).
0526 PM HAIL 1 WNW FREEBURG 38.43N 89.92W
05/14/2023 U1.50 INCH ST. CLAIR IL PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: PING PONG BALL (1.50
IN.).
0530 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE WASHINGTON 38.54N 90.99W
05/14/2023 FRANKLIN MO TRAINED SPOTTER
MULTIPLE FALLEN TREES INCLUDING AN UPROOTED
PINE TREE. TIME IS ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0530 PM HAIL NOKOMIS 39.30N 89.29W
05/14/2023 E1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY IL PUBLIC
TIME ESTIMATE FROM RADAR.
0600 PM FLASH FLOOD AFFTON 38.55N 90.32W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS MO PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.
0615 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE WASHINGTON 38.54N 90.99W
05/14/2023 M3.06 INCH FRANKLIN MO TRAINED SPOTTER
CORRECTS PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN REPORT FROM 2
SE WASHINGTON. 3.06 MEASURED RAINFALL IN
APPROXIMATELY 1 HOUR WITH THE STORMS. THE
DURATION IS ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0623 PM FLASH FLOOD CRESTWOOD 38.55N 90.38W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS MO PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.
0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE LEMAY 38.55N 90.26W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS CITY MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
REPORTS OF MULTIPLE VEHICLES TRAPPED IN
STANDING WATER IN THE CARONDELET
NEIGHBORHOOD OF ST. LOUIS CITY.
0630 PM FLOOD DUPO 38.52N 90.21W
05/14/2023 ST. CLAIR IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING ON ROADWAYS REPORTED IN DUPO,
INCLUDING SOME VEHICLES STUCK IN STANDING
WATER. TIME AND LOCATION APPROXIMATE.
0632 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 E SHREWSBURY 38.59N 90.27W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS CITY MO PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.
0642 PM FLOOD 2 NNE LEMAY 38.55N 90.28W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS CITY MO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
I-55 NB LANE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING PER
MODOT. TIME IS APPROXIMATE.
0649 PM FLOOD 1 NNE AFFTON 38.57N 90.32W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS MO PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: RIVER/CREEK OVERFLOWING;
CROPLAND/YARD/BASEMENT FLOODING.
0703 PM HAIL 4 WSW STAUNTON 39.00N 89.86W
05/14/2023 E1.00 INCH MADISON IL PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORT HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS.
0704 PM HAIL 1 E WHITE OAK 39.51N 89.55W
05/14/2023 E1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY IL PUBLIC
.
0704 PM HAIL 1 E WHITE OAK 39.51N 89.55W
05/14/2023 E1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY IL PUBLIC
0706 PM FLOOD AFFTON 38.55N 90.33W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS MO PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA A
NEIGHBORHOOD ROAD WITH CARS ALMOST
COMPLETELY SUBMERGED.
0707 PM FLOOD 2 WSW SAINT LOUIS 38.62N 90.28W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS CITY MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED VEHICLE
STRANDED/TRAPPED IN FLOOD WATER AT
MANCHESTER AND PIERCE.
0711 PM HAIL 2 SE SAINT PAUL 38.83N 88.94W
05/14/2023 E1.25 INCH FAYETTE IL PUBLIC
0713 PM HEAVY RAIN MEHLVILLE 38.50N 90.32W
05/14/2023 M3.60 INCH ST. LOUIS MO PUBLIC
0721 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 E SHREWSBURY 38.58N 90.29W
05/14/2023 M4.00 INCH ST. LOUIS CITY MO PUBLIC
3-4 HOURS OF RAIN IN PRINCETON HEIGHTS, ST.
LOUIS CITY.
0721 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 E SHREWSBURY 38.58N 90.29W
05/14/2023 M4.00 INCH ST. LOUIS CITY MO PUBLIC
3-4 HOURS OF RAIN IN PRINCETON HEIGHTS, ST.
LOUIS CITY.
0721 PM FLOOD 1 SSW SAINT LOUIS 38.63N 90.25W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS CITY MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
VEHICLE STRANDED/TRAPPED IN FLOOD WATER AT
S. VANDEVENTER AND CHOUTEAU.
0728 PM FLOOD 2 SE SHREWSBURY 38.57N 90.30W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS CITY MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
WATER RESCUE AT THE 7700 BLOCK OF OLDE
ENGLISH ROAD.
0728 PM HAIL 5 SSE WHITE OAK 39.44N 89.53W
05/14/2023 E1.75 INCH MONTGOMERY IL PUBLIC
0730 PM FLOOD 2 NNE LEMAY 38.56N 90.27W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS CITY MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
VEHICLE STRANDED/TRAPPED IN FLOOD WATER.
0740 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NW LEMAY 38.54N 90.30W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS MO PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.
0740 PM HAIL LITCHFIELD 39.18N 89.65W
05/14/2023 M1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY IL TRAINED SPOTTER
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. MOSTLY PENNY AND
NICKEL SIZED HAIL, BUT A FEW QUARTER SIZED
PIECES.
0755 PM FLASH FLOOD STAUNTON 39.02N 89.78W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.
0809 PM HEAVY RAIN STAUNTON 39.01N 89.79W
05/14/2023 M2.70 INCH MACOUPIN IL PUBLIC
2.70 INCHES OF RAIN AND STILL RAINING.
0814 PM FLOOD 1 NW BENLD 39.10N 89.81W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL PUBLIC
REPORT FROM MPING: RIVER/CREEK OVERFLOWING;
CROPLAND/YARD/BASEMENT FLOODING.
0818 PM FLOOD 1 NE KINMUNDY 38.78N 88.83W
05/14/2023 MARION IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY NORTH ON KINMUNDY ON
37.
0818 PM FLOOD 2 ENE TONTI 38.68N 88.94W
05/14/2023 MARION IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY AT BASOM ROAD AND
STATE ROUTE 37.
0818 PM FLOOD 3 SW ALMA 38.69N 88.94W
05/14/2023 MARION IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY AT BRUBAKER ROAD AND
STATE ROUTE 37.
0818 PM FLOOD 1 SW ALMA 38.71N 88.92W
05/14/2023 MARION IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY.
0827 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW OAKVILLE 38.43N 90.33W
05/14/2023 ST. LOUIS MO PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED INTERSTATE 55 CLOSED AND
TRAFFIC DIVERTED DUE TO FLOODING.
0834 PM FLOOD 1 NE WITT 39.26N 89.34W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY NEAR IL 16 AND E IL
AVE.
0835 PM HEAVY RAIN CRESTWOOD 38.56N 90.38W
05/14/2023 M1.67 INCH ST. LOUIS MO PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTED 1.67 INCHES OF RAIN AT THE
INTERSECTION OF WATSON AND SAPPINGTON IN
CRESTWOOD.
0839 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 E RICHMOND HEIGHTS 38.63N 90.29W
05/14/2023 M3.02 INCH ST. LOUIS CITY MO PUBLIC
3.02 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST 4 HOURS AT
TAMM AND INTERSTATE 64.
0857 PM FLOOD 2 SW IRVING 39.19N 89.43W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY AT IL 16 AND THE
BRIDGE. LOCATION IS APPROXIMATE.
0859 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NW GREENVILLE 38.91N 89.44W
05/14/2023 BOND IL PUBLIC
0921 PM FLOOD 2 ESE WITT 39.25N 89.31W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING ON ROADWAY AT 17TH AVE AND 21ST.
0925 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNE LEMAY 38.56N 90.27W
05/14/2023 M3.30 INCH ST. LOUIS CITY MO PUBLIC
3.30 IN OF RAIN IN APPROXIMATELY 4 HOURS
NEAR CARONDELET PARK THIS AFTERNOON.
DURATION IS ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
0927 PM HEAVY RAIN FREEBURG 38.43N 89.91W
05/14/2023 M1.22 INCH ST. CLAIR IL EMERGENCY MNGR
1.22 IN OF RAIN SINCE 5:25 PM.
0927 PM FLOOD COALTON 39.29N 89.30W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY AT N 20TH AVE AND IL
16.
0930 PM FLOOD SHIPMAN 39.12N 90.05W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD WASHED OUT AT RAILROAD AND ROUTE 16.
0930 PM FLOOD 1 SW ROYAL LAKES 39.10N 89.98W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD WASHED OUT AT PRAIRIE DELL ROAD AND
HUCKELBRIDGE ROAD.
0930 PM FLOOD MOUNT OLIVE 39.08N 89.72W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE ALONG NORTH OAK
STREET IN MOUNT OLIVE.
0930 PM FLOOD 2 ENE STAUNTON 39.03N 89.75W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE ALONG EAST
FRONTAGE ROAD IN STAUTON.
0930 PM FLOOD 3 NNE DORCHESTER 39.12N 89.87W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD WASHED OUT ALONG ADAMS SCHOOL ROAD IN
GILLESPIE.
0930 PM FLOOD 1 N WILSONVILLE 39.08N 89.85W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY ALONG ROUTE 138.
0952 PM FLOOD 1 NE NOKOMIS 39.31N 89.27W
05/14/2023 MONTGOMERY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OVER ROADWAY EAST OF NAKOMIS, NEAR
IL 16 AND 23RD ROAD.
0953 PM FLOOD 2 ESE PLAINVIEW 39.15N 89.96W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD WASHED OUT AT THE 900 BLK OF PLEASANT
GROVE ROAD.
0953 PM FLOOD 2 ESE PLAINVIEW 39.15N 89.96W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD WASHED OUT AT THE 900 BLK OF PLEASANT
GROVE ROAD.
0953 PM FLOOD 2 ESE PLAINVIEW 39.15N 89.96W
05/14/2023 MACOUPIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD WASHED OUT AT THE 900 BLK OF PLEASANT
GROVE ROAD.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2:07 PM CDT | Flood Watch | LSX | Crawford, Franklin, Iron, Jefferson, Madison, Reynolds and 5 more | 16 hr |
| May 15, 3:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Reynolds | 24 min |
| May 15, 3:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Iron, Reynolds | 19 min |
| May 15, 3:51 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Reynolds | 3 hr |
| May 15, 4:51 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Reynolds | 100 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2023Every river flood warning in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.