Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2023
Tornado Warning 31, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this tornado warning at Jun 29, 2023, 11:26 AM CDT for Allen County, Simpson County, Warren County, Kentucky. It was in force for 34 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 29, 2023, 11:26 AM CDT (16:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 29, 2023, 12:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 34 min
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Radar indicated
- Hail
- 1.25 in
Counties Allen County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Warren County, KY
The radar
The Nashville radar (KOHX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 11:30 AM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Sw Bowling Green, KY | Multiple trees down. |
| Jun 29, 11:30 AM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Sw Bowling Green, KY | Multiple trees down. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 7:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 466 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -317 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1302 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 79 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
281
WFUS53 KLMK 291626
TORLMK
KYC003-213-227-291700-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0031.230629T1626Z-230629T1700Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1126 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
Eastern Simpson County in south central Kentucky...
Southwestern Allen County in south central Kentucky...
Southwestern Warren County in south central Kentucky...
* Until noon CDT.
* At 1126 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located near Memphis Junction, moving southeast at 35
mph.
HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
* Locations impacted include...
Bowling Green, Scottsville, Crestmoor, Memphis Junction, Woodburn,
Allen Springs, West Fork, Rich Pond, Clare and Mcelroy Ford.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and
widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest
floor of a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3665 8634 3665 8650 3688 8664 3688 8661
3690 8662 3699 8646 3666 8613 3664 8617
TIME...MOT...LOC 1626Z 326DEG 31KT 3688 8651
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
$$
DM/JDG3 follow-up statements
929
WWUS53 KLMK 291639
SVSLMK
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1139 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
KYC003-213-227-291700-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-230629T1700Z/
Simpson KY-Allen KY-Warren KY-
1139 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR EASTERN
SIMPSON...SOUTHWESTERN ALLEN AND SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES...
At 1139 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 9 miles south of Three Springs, moving southeast at 35
mph.
HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
Locations impacted include...
Scottsville, Woodburn, Allen Springs, West Fork, Clare, Mcelroy Ford,
Alonzo, Butlersville, Trammel and New Roe.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and
widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest
floor of a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3683 8661 3687 8648 3690 8637 3666 8613
3664 8617 3665 8634 3665 8649 3682 8660
TIME...MOT...LOC 1639Z 326DEG 31KT 3679 8643
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
$$
DM596
WWUS53 KLMK 291648
SVSLMK
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1148 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
KYC003-213-227-291700-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-230629T1700Z/
Simpson KY-Allen KY-Warren KY-
1148 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON...SOUTHWESTERN ALLEN AND SOUTH CENTRAL WARREN
COUNTIES...
At 1148 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 9 miles south of Three Springs, moving southeast at 30
mph.
HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
Locations impacted include...
Scottsville, Fleet, Allen Springs, Rodemer, West Fork, Clare, Mcelroy
Ford, Petroleum, Alonzo and Chapel Hill.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and
widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest
floor of a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3667 8650 3678 8644 3688 8643 3689 8638
3679 8626 3666 8613 3664 8617 3665 8634
3665 8649
TIME...MOT...LOC 1648Z 321DEG 19KT 3678 8641
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
$$
DM247
WWUS53 KLMK 291656
SVSLMK
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1156 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
KYC003-213-227-291706-
/O.EXP.KLMK.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-230629T1700Z/
Simpson KY-Allen KY-Warren KY-
1156 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON...SOUTHWESTERN ALLEN
AND SOUTH CENTRAL WARREN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CDT...
The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been
cancelled. However, large hail and damaging winds remain likely and a
Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CDT for
south central Kentucky.
LAT...LON 3667 8650 3678 8644 3688 8643 3689 8638
3679 8626 3666 8613 3664 8617 3665 8634
3665 8649
TIME...MOT...LOC 1656Z 326DEG 31KT 3672 8636
$$
DMWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jun 29, 10:11 AM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 29, 10:11 AM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...DELAYED
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1111 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
.Forecast Update...
Issued at 1107 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been expanded southward to include
Logan, Simpson, Allen, and Barren counties in southern KY. Ongoing
cluster of convection continues to maintain strength as it
propagates southward along elevated instability gradient and moves
into a more surface-based unstable environment across southern KY.
Continued risk of large hail, damaging winds, and a non-zero tornado
threat still exists. CAMs continue to disagree with evolution of
storms through this evening, with NSSL now initializing best, but
overall agreement continues with the potential of a second wave,
possibly a bowing segment of storms, pushing into southern Indiana
and into central KY this afternoon/evening between 4-7pm EDT.
Have updated weather grids with inclusion of expanded watch. Updated
products forthcoming.
&&
.Mesoscale Update...
Issued at 925 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued in collaboration with
PAH and SPC for a portion of our western CWA including Dubois,
Crawford, Perry counties in Indiana and Hancock, Breckinridge,
Meade, Hardin, Grayson, Ohio, Butler, Edmonson, Hart, and Warren
counties in KY.
A belt of increased westerlies aloft between high pressure over
south central US and low pressure over central Canada has helped
trigger convection across NE/IA/MO and a cluster of storms in
western IL, which has now moved into SW Indiana and moving towards
KY. Initially, storms appear to be moving along an elevated
instability gradient that puts storms on a trajectory towards the
aforementioned KY counties within the Watch. Main hazards will be
large damaging hail and possible damaging winds, with several
reports of 2-3 inch hail having been observed upstream.
Diurnal heating and further destabilization should see storms become
more surface based as we move into the later morning hours and into
the afternoon. CAMs vary widely in their evolution of storms today.
The HRRR appears to be initializing best, which advertises another
round of severe storm potential this afternoon when more impressive
CAPE and shear values become realized across central KY. This will
lead to a greater damaging wind threat along with large hail and a
non-zero tornado threat within a potential bowing line of
thunderstorms that could affect the Louisville Metro and other
portions of southern Indiana and central KY from 29/20Z through
30/00Z.
&&
.Short Term...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 325 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
...Increasing Risk of Strong to Severe Storms Possible Today with
Still a Fair Amount of Uncertainty...
Summary...The potential for multiple rounds of strong to severe
storms has increased for today. The strongest storms could be
capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and a couple of
tornadoes.
Synopsis...The combination of an upper high over the lower
Mississippi valley and tight Canadian shortwave clipping the Upper
Midwest will allow a corridor of enhanced westerlies and vorticity
advection over the western Ohio Valley today. Simultaneously, a warm
and moist airmass will be present at the surface with a well-defined
instability gradient draped across the western half of the CWA right
at the leading edge of notable low-level warm air advection.
Model Confidence/Evaluation...It is important to keep highlighting
the substantial amount of uncertainty regarding the convective
coverage, timing, and evolution of today's weather event. Therefore,
there is still low confidence on specific mesoscale details 1)as
convection has barely started (29/7Z) to manifest, 2)convective
evolution will depend on outflows and boundary interactions, and
3)best available model guidance is far from agreement. Some models
depict supercellular storms firing up along a north-to-south
oriented boundary right after sunrise over IL, or IN, with a later
upscale growth towards one or several bowing segments. Other models
indicate a linear, bowing MCS since the beginning and quieter
weather (although cloudy) during the afternoon and evening. The
official forecast is more in line with the first scenario but
recognizes the need of frequent meso-updates to account for latest
trends.
Weather Hazards...Taking into account mean thermodynamic profiles
throughout the day and the intermittent bursts of better shear values
and hodograph shapes, it seems that the main weather hazards for
today will be large hail and sub-severe winds during the first part
of the morning (29/12-15Z) which then could migrate more to a
damaging wind and isolated tornado threat as daytime heating erodes
the surface inversion. Given the hodograph shape evolution and the
fact that cellular convection actually materializes, left-moving
supercells are favored during the early morning period (hail threat)
with a transition to a splitting profile by late morning (combined
hail/tornado threat). Cold pool interactions and strengthening low
to mid level winds can also boost the damaging wind threat as bowing
segments will be more likely during the late morning/early afternoon
period.
Last but not least, there is a non-negligible risk of isolated flash
flooding where the heaviest rainfall tracks given the possibility
for convective training, highly-efficient rain rates, and wet
antecedent conditions over the western half of the CWA where today's
storms should concentrate. In addition, it is very likely that the
ongoing Heat Advisory is canceled as the rain and clouds will limit
the temperature increase to below advisory criteria.
.Long Term...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 316 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 203
========================================
Key Messages
========================================
- Conditionally hot/humid conditions into the weekend
- Rounds of strong/severe storms through the weekend
- Large uncertainty in timing and tracks of storm clusters
- Excessive rainfall will be possible in some areas
========================================
Synoptic Overview
========================================
Broad upper level ridge will be centered over AR/LA at the beginning
of the period on Friday. The Ohio Valley will be on the
northeastern periphery of this ridge with multiple perturbations
moving along the ridge axis producing episodic bouts of
strong/severe convection and heavy rainfall. The latest guidance
suggests this ridge axis will flatten out a bit by Sunday with a
slow moving upper trough coming into the region from the west. This
upper level trough will be slow moving, so additional rounds of
convection with heavy rainfall will be possible into early next
week. For the later period, the upper level pattern may relax a
bit, though diurnally driven convection may continue across the
region.
========================================
Meteorological Discussion and
Sensible Weather Impacts
========================================
Friday through Saturday Night...
Generally speaking, the forecast for Friday remains highly uncertain
due to uncertainties in where convective complexes may be located or
moving during the day. Spatial and temporal spread among the
mesoscale models remains high, which is quite common in these
situations with the CAMs. It is possible that we may be dealing
with a convective complex at the start of the period, which some
models show. Other solutions suggest a dry start to the day with
another convective complex moving through at some point. The timing
and placement of convection also results in low confidence on
temperatures for Friday.
Two scenarios are possible here. In the first case, if morning
convection occurs and is slow to clear, highs could only reach the
lower-mid 80s. On the other hand, if convection holds off until
later in the day, we could have temperatures in the lower-mid 90s.
The NBM continues to show temps across southern KY in the mid-upper
90s Friday afternoon. I have my doubts here for a couple of
reasons. First, we have quite a bit of damp ground from earlier
rainfall in the week. Second, given the recent rainfall, we have
quite lush/green vegetation which could hold back temperatures. For
now, I have undercut temps for Friday a bit, in anticipation of some
convection coming through and augmenting highs. I do not think
we'll have a convection free day allowing for full insolation. As
far as the Heat Advisory is concerned, it still is possible for the
current advisory area to reach criteria, but admittingly it is a
very low confidence advisory here. Rather than yank an advisory and
possibly have to re-issue it, I'm going to leave it in the forecast
now, but if convective trends become more clear and suggest lower
temp scenarios, we could drop that advisory in subsequent forecasts.
In terms of convective risks for Friday, this really comes down to
when storms will be coming through and the effects of convective
overturning. The morning convection scenario outlined above would
feature heavy rainfall, damaging winds, and plenty of lightning.
Model soundings do show 35-45 kts of bulk shear across the region
which would support organized convection. If convection ends up
developing later in the day, kinematic and thermodynamic profiles
would be supportive of supercellular and multicellular convection in
the initial stage, later congealing into a wind driven MCS. Given
the model profiles, the SPC slight risk for Friday is reasonable
given the high amount of convective uncertainty.
For Saturday into Saturday night, we'll see the ridge axis compact a
little bit as a mid-level trough axis moves in from the west. A
stalled out frontal boundary will be in place across the region.
With the upper level trough axis coming in, additional rounds of
strong/severe convection will be possible. However, timing these at
this forecast period remains a low confidence forecast. Again
temperatures for Saturday will be subject to convective trends, but
a general high in the upper 80s to the lower 90s seems most
reasonable here.
Sunday through Wednesday...
Not much change in the overall pattern is expected for Sunday as
wavy surface frontal boundary will remain in the vicinity of the
Ohio and Tennnesse valleys. With the upper level trough axis still
to our west, more rounds of convection will be possible through
Sunday night. Excessive rainfall may become an issue by the late
weekend depending on where convection tracks. It's hard to say
exactly how much rainfall will occur, but a broad band of 2-4 inches
with locally higher amounts will be possible. Highs on Sunday are
likely to be near normal with readings in the upper 80s to around 90.
Moving into next week, the pattern looks to calm down a bit as the
upper level flow looks to revert to a zonal flow with the
aforementioned frontal boundary settling further south and east. The
deamplification of the flow aloft will result in less overall bulk
shear which would suggest that at least a downturn in organized
convection looks more likely than not. Climatological PoPs are
forecast by the NBM and for now those will be accepted. Based on
the latest Euro and Euro ensembles, we may be able to lower those a
bit more next week in subsequent forecasts. As for temps, more
seasonal readings are expected with afternoon highs in the upper 80s
to the very low 90s with overnight lows in the upper 60s to the
lower 70s.
========================================
Forecast Confidence
========================================
In terms of forecast confidence, we're highly confident that we'll
see unsettled weather through the long term period. So our
precipitation forecast confidence is high. Given the convective
uncertainties, our confidence on timing and severity of convection
remains low. With temperatures depending on convective evolution,
our confidence remains low on temperatures for Friday/Saturday and
generally medium for Sunday through Wednesday.
&&
.Aviation...(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 647 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
Impacts/Confidence:
- Medium to high confidence in short period of MVFR VIS through
sunrise due to haze. Then, VFR for all terminals.
- Medium confidence in thunderstorm chances by sunrise and later
this morning. There is a fairly good chance that storms last through
the afternoon.
Discussion...Regional radar imagery shows some pretty healthy storm
cores over Illinois and Indiana this morning, also providing some
initial evaluation of previous hi-res model guidance. The mean storm
motion today is roughly from north to south, so expect this activity
to filter in a few hours or less and possibly lasts through the
afternoon due to repeated storm propagation. However, confidence in
specific weather impacts to terminals is not as high; therefore,
only VCTS is mentioned in the code for now. Be aware that any heavy
shower/storm will be capable of brief periods of MVFR/IFR VIS due to
intense rain rates. Furthermore, there is a risk of strong to severe
storms with large hail and damaging winds being the main weather
hazards. As a result, be ready for quick TAF AMD as needed.
Extended Outlook...Another round of storms and heavy rain might be
plausible Thursday night into Friday morning, but coverage and
timing uncertainty preclude any PROB30 mention at this point.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...Heat Advisory from 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ to 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
Friday for KYZ023>028-061>063-070>076.
IN...Heat Advisory from 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ to 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
Friday for INZ083-084-089.
&&
Mesoscale...CG
Update...CG
Short Term...ALL
Long Term...MJ
Aviation...ALLHazardous weather outlook, Jun 29, 8:38 AM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Louisville KY 938 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023 INZ076>079-090>092-KYZ029>043-045>049-053>057-064>067-077-078-081- 082-292100- Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Harrison IN-Floyd- Clark IN-Bullitt-Jefferson KY-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin- Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon- Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion- Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Adair-Russell- Cumberland-Clinton- Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany 938 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023 /838 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central Indiana and Central Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Scattered strong to severe storms are possible, and will come in three waves. The first wave will be this morning through early afternoon. The second wave will be from late afternoon through mid evening, and the third wave will be overnight tonight. The main weather hazards this morning are hail, heavy rain and lightning. The second wave hazards will be strong damaging winds, lightning and heavy rain. Isolated tornadoes are possible during the late afternoon into the evening with the second wave of storms. The third wave hazards include heavy rain and lightning. There are indications of bowing line of storms between 4 and 8 pm which could produce some very strong damaging winds. Isolated flash flooding cannot be ruled out with prolonged periods of heavy rain. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected across the outlook area for Friday and Saturday. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main threats will be torrential rainfall and damaging winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: Storms will generally move from the NW to the SE at 20 to 30 mph Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity can be erratic and constantly evolving. Please use this with caution and be prepared for changing conditions. && More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville. INZ083-084-089-KYZ023>028-061>063-071-292100- Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin- Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Warren- Including the cities of Jasper, English, Tell City, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, and Bowling Green 938 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023 /838 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023/ ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 414 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ FRIDAY... This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central Indiana and Central Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Scattered strong to severe storms are possible, and will come in three waves. The first wave will be this morning through early afternoon. The second wave will be from late afternoon through mid evening, and the third wave will be overnight tonight. The main weather hazards this morning are large hail, heavy rain and lightning. The second wave hazards will be strong damaging winds, lightning and heavy rain. Isolated tornadoes are possible during the late afternoon into the evening with the second wave of storms. The third wave hazards include heavy rain and lightning. There are indications of bowing line of storms between 4 and 8 pm which could produce some very strong damaging winds. Isolated flash flooding cannot be ruled out with prolonged periods of heavy rain. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected across the outlook area for Friday and Saturday. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main threats will be torrential rainfall and damaging winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: Storms will generally move from the NW to the SE at 25 to 30 mph Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity can be erratic and constantly evolving. Please use this with caution and be prepared for changing conditions. && More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville. KYZ070-072>076-292100- Logan-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe- Including the cities of Russellville, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, and Edmonton 838 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY... This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central Indiana and Central Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Scattered strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon and evening. The main weather hazards associated with the strongest storms will be large hail, damaging wind, and to a lesser extent a couple of tornadoes. Isolated flash flooding cannot be ruled out with prolonged periods of heavy rain. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected across the outlook area for Friday and Saturday. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main threats will be torrential rainfall and damaging winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: Storms will generally move from the NW to the SE at 15 to 25 mph Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity can be erratic and constantly evolving. Please use this with caution and be prepared for changing conditions. && More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville. JDG/ALL/MJ
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 29, 10:17 AM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1017 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
KYZ023-024-026-027-291530-
Grayson KY-Hancock KY-Ohio KY-Breckinridge KY-
1017 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Hancock,
northwestern Grayson, southwestern Breckinridge and northern Ohio
Counties through 1030 AM CDT...
At 1017 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 14 miles southeast of Whitesville to near
Livermore. Movement was southeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
These storms will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern
Grayson, southeastern Hancock, northern Ohio and southwestern
Breckinridge Counties, including the following locations... Taffy,
Ralph, Shreve, Magan, Pleasant Ridge, Heflin, Vanzant, Ellmitch,
Sulphur Springs and Dempster.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CDT for
central Kentucky.
&&
LAT...LON 3749 8712 3748 8711 3749 8710 3755 8705
3758 8701 3761 8698 3770 8658 3758 8648
3747 8707 3746 8710 3747 8712 3748 8713
TIME...MOT...LOC 1517Z 337DEG 44KT 3757 8665 3747 8707
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JMLLocal storm report, Jun 29, 10:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1121 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1045 AM Flash Flood 1 W Lewisport 37.93N 86.91W
06/29/2023 Hancock KY 911 Call Center
Flash flooding identified around Riverview
Dr and Holland Ave as well as along US60
about 1 mile East of Lewisport.
&&
DJGLocal storm report, Jun 29, 10:25 AM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1125 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM Flash Flood Hawesville 37.90N 86.75W
06/29/2023 Hancock KY Public
&&
DJGSpecial weather statement, Jun 29, 10:52 AM CDT, 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
KYZ026-027-061-062-071-291615-
Grayson KY-Warren KY-Edmonson KY-Butler KY-Ohio KY-
1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northeastern Butler,
southwestern Grayson, north central Warren, southeastern Ohio and
northern Edmonson Counties through 1115 AM CDT...
At 1051 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles southwest of Leitchfield to 9 miles
north of Morgantown. Movement was southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Brownsville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CDT for
south central and central Kentucky.
&&
LAT...LON 3721 8612 3711 8648 3729 8656 3726 8675
3741 8678 3748 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 1551Z 315DEG 25KT 3741 8641 3736 8670
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
JMLLocal storm report, Jun 29, 10:56 AM CDT, 30 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1156 AM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1155 AM Hail 1 ENE Morgantown 37.22N 86.69W
06/29/2023 E0.70 inch Butler KY Emergency Mngr
&&
DJGLocal storm report, Jun 29, 11:04 AM CDT, 22 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1204 PM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 AM Tstm Wnd Dmg Caneyville 37.42N 86.49W
06/29/2023 Grayson KY Public
Trees down along Hwy 62 in Caneyville.
&&
RJSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 8:06 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock | 39 min |
| Jun 29, 8:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock | 51 min |
| Jun 29, 9:10 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Ohio | 50 min |
| Jun 29, 9:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Ohio | 46 min |
| Jun 29, 9:31 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Hancock | 29 min |
| Jun 29, 9:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Hancock | 3 hr |
| Jun 29, 10:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Grayson, Ohio | 32 min |
| Jun 29, 10:17 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Ohio | 13 min |
| Jun 29, 10:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Logan, Warren | 40 min |
| Jun 29, 10:36 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock, Ohio | 3 hr |
| Jun 29, 10:52 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Edmonson | 23 min |
| Jun 29, 11:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Butler, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 34 min |
| Jun 29, 11:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 31 min |
| Jun 29, 11:54 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 3 hr |
| Jun 29, 12:27 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Logan, Simpson, Warren | 63 min |
| Jun 29, 1:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Logan | 3 hr |
| Jun 29, 3:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock, Meade | 47 min |
| Jun 29, 3:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Grayson, Hancock, Hardin, Meade, Ohio | 33 min |
| Jun 29, 3:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Bullitt, Henry, Jefferson, Oldham, Shelby, Trimble | 30 min |
| Jun 29, 4:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Anderson, Barren, Butler, Edmonson, Franklin, Green and 12 more | 26 min |
| Jun 29, 4:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Hart | 35 min |
| Jun 29, 4:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Allen, Logan, Monroe, Simpson | 26 min |
| Jun 29, 5:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Butler, Grayson, Ohio | 32 min |
| Jun 29, 5:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Allen | 24 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2023Every tornado warning in 2023Tornadoes in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.