Flash Flood Warning 13, NWS Louisville, KY

276 
WGUS53 KLMK 162025
FFWLMK
KYC087-093-099-123-155-179-217-229-162200-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-230216T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Louisville KY
225 PM CST Thu Feb 16 2023

The National Weather Service in Louisville has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northern Green County in central Kentucky...
  Southeastern Hardin County in central Kentucky...
  Hart County in central Kentucky...
  Larue County in central Kentucky...
  Marion County in central Kentucky...
  Central Nelson County in central Kentucky...
  Taylor County in central Kentucky...
  Southwestern Washington County in central Kentucky...

* Until 400 PM CST /500 PM EST/.

* At 225 PM CST /325 PM EST/, Doppler radar and automated rain 
  gauges indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen. 
  Additional rainfall amounts up to 2 inches are possible in the 
  warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Elizabethtown, Bardstown, Campbellsville, Lebanon, Hodgenville, 
  Springfield, Greensburg, Munfordville, Monroe and New Haven.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3766 8611 3787 8527 3784 8526 3735 8518
      3723 8563 3722 8595

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

$$

MCK

263 
WGUS73 KLMK 162142
FFSLMK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
342 PM CST Thu Feb 16 2023

KYC087-093-099-123-155-179-217-229-162152-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FF.W.0013.000000T0000Z-230216T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Green KY-Hardin KY-Hart KY-Larue KY-Marion KY-Nelson KY-Taylor KY-
Washington KY-
342 PM CST Thu Feb 16 2023 /442 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2023/

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN GREEN, SOUTHEASTERN HARDIN, 
HART, LARUE, MARION, CENTRAL NELSON, TAYLOR AND SOUTHWESTERN 
WASHINGTON COUNTIES HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 1200 AM CST Friday/100 AM EST 
Friday for portions of east central Kentucky, north central 
Kentucky, northwest Kentucky and south central Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3766 8611 3787 8527 3784 8526 3735 8518
      3723 8563 3722 8595

$$

KDW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1131 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

.Mesoscale Update...
Issued at 1127 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...Strong to Severe Storms Still Possible This Afternoon...

A broad axis of heavy showers and thunderstorms continues to impact
a good portion of KY. Low pressure is now over the Ohio/Mississippi
River confluence, with strong low-level SW winds funneling rich BL
moisture into the quasi-stationary boundary draped SW to NE near the
Ohio River. Still have excellent jet dynamics aloft with strong
upper level divergence. Robust low-level forcing ahead of and then
along the cold front will continue to support showers and
thunderstorms throughout the afternoon hours. Persistent/training
convection will produce an elevated flash flood threat through the
afternoon, especially south of the Ohio River.

While the flooding risk has increased, the severe risk has
decreased. Widespread convection and clouds will likely continue to
limit airmass recovery and destabilization into the afternoon hours.
Any mixed-layer instability plume will be much narrower and
suppressed further south this afternoon. The "Enhanced Risk" for
severe weather extends northward through Middle TN and perhaps into
south-central KY. Isolated strong to severe storms are still
possible as far north as far southern IN, but the overall severe
risk has decreased.

Isolated strong to severe storms are still a concern across
central and southern KY because it will not take much low-level
destabilization at all for updrafts to intensify. In fact,
currently MLCAPE plume now extends into western KY where deeper
convection is ongoing based on latest radar and satellite trends.
The northern extent of the instability plume is likely to
propagate eastward across central KY. Even if modest clearing
ongoing to our south stays in TN, there still could be sufficient
instability across central/southern KY for severe storms.

Low-level and deep-layer shear will be plenty strong to sustain deep
convection and supercells. Backed SSE or S sfc winds are beginning
to veer S or SSW as the sfc low continues NE and the instability
plume moves in. As mentioned in previous discussions, slightly more
veered sfc flow should help limit the overall tornado threat.
However, brief tornadoes are still possible. The RAP's effective
layer STP peaks around 0.5 across central KY ahead of the cold
front. Effective SRH will likely peak between 200-400 m2/s2, with
rotating storms racing ENE at 45-50 kts.

Damaging winds remain the primary severe hazard, again with the
greatest risk across south-central KY where deep convection is most
likely to be sfc-based.

&&

.Forecast Update...
Issued at 915 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

A Flash Flood Warning is currently in effect for southern Hancock,
Ohio, Breckinridge, northwestern Grayson, southern Meade, and
northwestern Hardin counties until 1030 AM CST. Between 2 and 4
inches of rain have already fallen in a swath through these counties
due to persistent training convection and moderate to heavy
rainfall.

Earlier, expanded the Flood Watch after coordination with WFOs PAH,
ILN, and JKL. Sfc warm front has been quasi-stationary and draped SW
to NE near the Ohio River. 45-55 kt SW LLJ in the 925-850 mb layer
continues to advect copious low-level moisture into the sfc
boundary. Also have excellent jet dynamics aloft with strong upper
divergence noted in the right entrance region across central KY. A
1.3 to 1.4 inch PW axis now extends SW to NE into central KY. The
12z BNA sounding showed a 1.41 inch PW, which is a record for
February 16th.

Bottom line...concern has increased for flooding concerns today,
especially south of the Ohio River. Based on CAM guidance,
particularly the HRRR, the greatest flooding threat should evolve
from Ohio County ENE through the Bluegrass Region and to the south.
Could see an additional 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, with locally
excessive rainfall likely leading to at least isolated flash
flooding.

As for the severe threat, definitely like SPC's decision to pull the
Enhanced Risk a bit further south. We are not out of the woods by
any means, but the severe risk has decreased for southern Indiana.
Low-level moisture advection will still help fuel increasing MLCAPE
into the afternoon hours ahead of the cold front. The instability
axis may be somewhat suppressed in its footprint and magnitude
compared to previous forecasts, however. For example, latest RAP
forecast shows a 500+ J/kg MLCAPE plume along and west of I-65
around 18-20z (and mainly south of the Ohio River). So think the
greatest severe risk this afternoon and early evening will be across
central KY south of I-64. Isolated to scattered damaging winds are
still on the table, along with brief tornadoes.

Issued at 555 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

A messy cluster of convection is ongoing this morning across the
region, supported by a 50kt low level jet nosing into the Ohio
Valley. As you'd expect, warm sectoring and efficient WAA regime has
resulted in a prominent 925-850mb moisture transport, with PWATs of
1.3-1.5 inches filtering into western Kentucky. Deep moisture
convergence is taking place just along and south of the quasi-
stationary boundary, which is stretching along the Ohio River early
this morning. Though there is some elevated MUCAPE, overall
convection has been somewhat disorganized across central KY and
southern IN this morning.

Within the next several hours, we will likely see NE-SW oriented
convection move into the region. Regional radar shows strong storms
across western Tennessee with a slight NE progression, which is what
will likely be coming our way. This aligns well with what the HRRR
has been suggesting in the last several runs. We'll begin to have
sfc based or near-sfc based instability after daybreak when these
storms are filtering in, though model sounding suggest these storms
will be highly sheared and water-logged, with very skinny CAPE
profiles. These storms will be directed by the 50kt southwesterly
LLJ, pushing repeating rounds of heavy rain and storms from
southwest to northeast through central Kentucky. Flood Watch is out
now for our SE CWA, which is initially believed to be where the best
chances for training convection and highest QPF would take place.
This still appears to be in decent shape, though would not be
surprised if the Watch needs to be expanded later this morning to
cover a northwestern trend.

WPC has highlighted our region as an area to watch for flash
flooding potential through the morning hours. The scenarios the HRRR
has been playing out in recent runs, which is aligned with current
radar trends, would support a flash flood potential through much of
the morning hours. This trend could play a significant limiting
factor into verifying the Enhanced Risk for later today, as
mentioned in the AFD. While the NAM continues to hold on to the
thinking of clearing out precip before the afternoon wave, the HRRR
and RAP appear to be initializing better off of the current trends.
Leaning on these two solutions, NE-SW oriented convection bisecting
the region will cut off ample moisture transport north of the Ohio
River, and overall CAPE profiles appear much weaker the further
north of the Kentucky Parkways you go this afternoon. Model
soundings do not look all that great for severe weather north of the
Ohio River this afternoon. Greatest CAPE values will likely be
observed west of I-65, though we'll still have some instability to
work with towards the east.

&&

.Short Term (Now through Thursday Night)...
Issued at 320 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather Today...

Key Messages:

- Strong to Severe Storms Ongoing This Morning

- Additional Round of Strong to Severe Storms This Afternoon

- The main threat will be damaging winds, but isolated instances for
large hail and a few tornadoes also possible

Multiple hazards are expected today, read their individual
discussions below.

===== Severe Weather Discussion for After 12z =====

As daybreak arrives, most of our main convection cluster will be
focused on the nose of the 40-50kt LLJ. In response to the sfc low
track progressing from Texas/Oklahoma to the Ozarks, we'll likely
see most of the convection shift off to our north and east as the
core of the jet extends further north over our area. As mentioned in
the previous discussion, as our region become more pronounced within
the warm sector, our chances of realizing sfc based instability will
grow as well. While some of the region will still likely see a lull
in activity after the morning wave, we will continue to see 40-50kt
low level winds across south-central Kentucky through the morning
hours, ultimately supporting continued convection and possibly
seeing training storms for at least some of the region. This would
pose an increased risk for flooding issues.

Guidance on instability has come into better agreement, and the CAMs
have backed off quite a bit since yesterday. Cloud cover will remain
quite thick over the region today, and with any training convection
stretching across the region by late morning, it would likely hinder
the low level warm air advection and moisture transport from getting
further north than initially expected, and likely resulting in our
sfc dewpoints struggling to rise beyond 60-62F later today. This
would also limit our overall SBCAPE potential some, though we still
expect our region to see somewhere between 400-600 J/kg by this
afternoon, with the greatest instability west of the I-65 corridor.
Overall buoyancy is not very impressive, with most forecast
soundings showing a relatively tall and skinny profile, though
forcing from an upper level jet and the approaching cold front will
be enough to fire off a second round of storms for the afternoon.
This line of storms will be more north-south oriented along the
front.

Given the dynamics with this system, strong shear profiles remain
favorable for bowing segments and supercells during the afternoon.
Sfc winds will become a bit more south to southwesterly ahead of the
front, which will lower our SRH values some. However, we're still
looking at SRH values in the lowest km between 100-300 m2/s2. This
is enough to still get those long looping hodographs, and mid level
backing of the winds could result in some left movers or splitting
cells with the afternoon convection line. Though given that sfc
winds will be veering to a more south to southwesterly flow ahead of
the front, the SRH values expected still give a notable threat for a
few tornadoes. Besides that, damaging winds will be the primary
severe hazard for today, especially in any bowing segments.

Guidance has trended a bit slower with the frontal passage, so we
will likely see convection end from west to east a bit later. Areas
west of I-65 will likely be given the all clear sometime between 00-
03z tonight. Areas closer to the I-75 corridor, including LEX, could
see convection last until possibly 05-07z.

===== Flood Potential Increasing =====

Confidence is increasing on seeing some flooding issues through
today as we could see some training thunderstorms. General storm
total QPF through today will be between 1-2 inches, though our far
southeast CWA may not see much of break in convection through this
morning as training thunderstorms may set up over that area. The
Lake Cumberland region could see rainfall amounts exceed 2-3+ inches
when all is said and done. Best chances for flood (besides nuisance
issues and common flood-prone areas) issues will be mainly south of
the Western Kentucky and Bluegrass Parkways. After collaborating
with JKL, decided to issue a Flash Flood Watch for most of this
area, though a northward expansion may be necessary in future
updates.

===== Gusty Winds Near Advisory Levels Possible =====

Surface winds outside of any storms will be fairly gusty today,
especially if we are able to mix the boundary layer out as much as
some of the CAMs are suggesting. Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of 30-
40 mph will be possible today, though could see a few localized
gusts closer to 45 mph through the late morning in areas that get a
break from the convective activity. Difficult driving conditions for
large profile vehicles should be expected on east-west oriented
roads, and some isolated power outages may be possible. Winds will
eventually begin to relax by tonight after FROPA.

.Long Term (Friday through Wednesday)...
Issued at 250 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

Cold air advects in over the Ohio Valley Friday associated with a
north-northwesterly flow. Model soundings show a narrow saturation
layer between 800-900mb just below the inversion for most of the
day. It will be mostly cloudy and I'm not going to rule out some
isolated flurries as temperatures in the saturation layer drop below
-10 degrees Celsius promoting some but limited ice growth in the
layer. Temperatures will remain in the 30s for most of the day with
highs 10 degrees below normal topping out in the mid/upper 30s with
just a few places touching 40, mainly to the south closer to the
KY/TN border. Winds will be brisk out of the northwest with gust
between 15-20 mph making wind chills feel like the mid/upper 20s.
Clouds will slowly clear from west to east starting late afternoon
into the evening becoming clear to mostly Friday night. With winds
diminishing and clear skies, temperatures Saturday morning will be
cold, bottoming out in the low 20s.

With weak ridging aloft and sfc high pressure building in over the
Ohio Valley to start the weekend, Saturday will be mostly sunny and
after the cold start, highs will moderate closer to normal topping
out in the mid/upper 40s. Weak shortwave trough will work across the
Ohio Valley Saturday night into Sunday. This will flatten out the
pattern but will only result in increased clouds Saturday night
across the region. Sfc high will drift off to our southeast as a sfc
low and associated shortwave trough track across the US/Canadian
border from the Dakotas to the Great Lakes Sunday and Sunday night.
Tightening pressure gradient and return flow on the back side of the
high will result in gusty south-southwesterly winds of 25 to near 30
mph and boosting temperatures into the mid 50s.

Next week will start off with zonal flow aloft with a series of
embedded shortwave troughs working across the Ohio Valley Monday and
again on Tuesday. The pattern looks to turn more amplified Wednesday
and Thursday with a deepening trough across the Pacific Northwest
and ridging over the southeastern US. This will eject a sfc low out
of central TX and into the Ohio Valley Wednesday night into
Thursday. There remains plenty of spatial and temporal differences
in the deterministic models when it comes to these features next
week. Given the uncertainty, will carry PoP chances into next week.
Temperatures also look to be mild and unseasonably warm with
temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal with highs in the 50s and
in some places the 60s.

&&

.Aviation (12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 630 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

IMPACTS:

* Showers and storms, some of which may be strong to severe,
  expected from this morning through late this afternoon

* MVFR to IFR ceilings & visibilities will persist through much of
  the period

DISCUSSION:

Showers and storms are progressing north-northeastward through the
region this morning, resulting in drops to MVFR vis and ceilings.
Expect impacts to flight cats to continue through most of the day as
scattered showers and storms remain in the forecast through this
evening. S to SSW winds will increase across the region, likely
seeing gusts in the 22-27kt range through the late morning and
afternoon. Another wave of storms is then expected just ahead of a
strong cold front from around midday into the late afternoon (and
potentially early evening near LEX). Some of these storms could be
strong to severe. After the cold front passes through, drier and
cooler air filters in, though clouds will stick around and gusty
northwest winds will prevail. However, should see ceilings improve
by this evening and tonight.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...Flood Watch through late tonight for KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-
     061>067-070>078-081-082.

IN...Flood Watch through late tonight for INZ079-090>092.&&

Mesoscale...EBW
Update...EBW/CJP
Short Term...CJP
Long Term...BTN
Aviation...CJP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
347 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053-061-062-070>072-
170900-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Butler-
Edmonson-Logan-Warren-Simpson-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper,
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport,
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield,
Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford,
Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester,
Hodgenville, Morgantown, Brownsville, Russellville, Bowling Green,
Franklin, and Providence
347 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023 /247 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2023/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Strong to severe storms will continue to be possible across the
region today ahead of a strong cold front. All severe hazards are
possible, with damaging winds posing the greatest threat. All
interests in the outlook area should continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.

Besides the thunderstorms chances, non-thunderstorm wind gusts will
be between 30-40 mph today, with locally higher gusts possible.
Large profile vehicles may have difficult driving conditions on
east- west roads, and isolated power outages may be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Storms late tonight will generally travel southwest to northeast
around 60 mph.

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

KYZ054>057-063>067-073>078-081-082-170900-
Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Allen-
Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond,
Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford,
Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown,
Burkesville, and Albany
347 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023 /247 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2023/

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Strong to severe storms will continue to be possible across the
region today ahead of a strong cold front. All severe hazards are
possible, with damaging winds posing the greatest threat. All
interests in the outlook area should continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.

Besides the thunderstorms chances, non-thunderstorm wind gusts will
be between 30-40 mph today, with locally higher gusts possible.
Large profile vehicles may have difficult driving conditions on
east- west roads, and isolated power outages may be possible.

A Flood Watch is in effect for this area, which could see repeating
rounds of thunderstorms throughout today, resulting in rainfall
amounts of 2 to 3+ inches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Storms late tonight will generally travel southwest to northeast
around 60 mph.

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

CJP/BTN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1025 AM EST THU FEB 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW CLERMONT           37.93N 85.67W
02/16/2023                   BULLITT            KY   911 CALL CENTER

            CHAPEZE LANE IS BEING BLOCKED OFF AT BOTH
            ENDS DUE TO HIGH WATER. OTHER LOCATIONS IN
            THE COUNTY HAVE STANDING WATER, BUT NO OTHER
            ROAD CLOSURES.

&&

BJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1038 AM EST THU FEB 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     FLOOD            4 SSW MITCHELLSBURG     37.55N 84.97W
02/16/2023                   BOYLE              KY   911 CALL CENTER

            A BRIDGE AT A LOW WATER CROSSING IS FLOODED
            ON MINORS BRANCH ROAD. NO ROADS CLOSED.

&&

BJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1106 AM EST THU FEB 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     FLOOD            1 SE JASPER             38.38N 86.92W
02/16/2023                   DUBOIS             IN   911 CALL CENTER

            14 ROADS HAD TO BE CLOSED IN DUBOIS COUNTY
            FROM JUST AFTER 6 AM EST THROUGH THE EARLY
            MORNING. ONLY 1 ROAD HAD FLOWING WATER, AND
            13 OTHER ROADS HAD STANDING WATER. TIME IS
            FROM FIRST ROAD CLOSURE.

&&

BJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1148 AM EST THU FEB 16 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1138 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LAWRENCEBURG            38.04N 84.90W
02/16/2023                   ANDERSON           KY   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA PICTURE OF WATER OUT OF HAMMOND
            CREEK OVERFLOWING A BRIDGE ON MUSTANG TRAIL.

&&

BJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1150 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

KYZ024-027-028-161715-
Grayson KY-Hardin KY-Breckinridge KY-
1150 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Grayson,
southwestern Hardin and southeastern Breckinridge Counties through
1215 PM EST/1115 AM CST/...

At 1150 AM EST/1050 AM CST/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 15 miles west of Leitchfield, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Leitchfield around 1105 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Louisville.

&&

LAT...LON 3755 8665 3757 8664 3757 8663 3755 8661
      3754 8661 3754 8660 3755 8658 3758 8661
      3775 8616 3752 8608 3748 8662 3756 8666
TIME...MOT...LOC 1650Z 254DEG 44KT 3753 8657

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1117 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2023

KYZ061-070-161800-
Logan KY-Butler KY-
1117 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of western Logan and
southwestern Butler Counties through NOON CST...

At 1116 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Pembroke to near Clarksville. Movement was
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Russellville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3676 8705 3679 8706 3695 8706 3708 8676
      3679 8677 3667 8706 3674 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 1716Z 240DEG 40KT 3677 8733 3663 8736

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RJS