Alert archive / Louisiana / Wind Advisories in 2023
Wind Advisory 3, NWS Lake Charles, LA
NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this wind advisory at Jan 17, 2023, 2:50 PM CST for 10 parishes in Louisiana; 4 counties in Texas. It took effect at Jan 18, 2023, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for 15 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 17, 2023, 2:50 PM CST (20:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 18, 2023, 9:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 19, 2023, 12:00 AM CST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Lake Charles, LA
Counties Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Newton County, TX, Tyler County, TX
The radar
The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 592 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 132 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 24 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
714 WWUS74 KLCH 172050 NPWLCH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 250 PM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 LAZ027-028-030-031-041-042-073-074-181400- /O.NEW.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.230118T1500Z-230119T0300Z/ Vernon-Rapides-Beauregard-Allen-Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis- West Cameron-East Cameron- Including the cities of Fort Polk, Pickering, Leesville, Slagle, Alexandria, Pineville, Bundick Lake, De Ridder, Fields, Oretta, Oakdale, Kinder, Lake Charles, Sulphur, Hathaway, Jennings, Topsy, Roanoke, Welsh, Lake Arthur, Johnson Bayou, Hackberry, Grand Lake, Klondike, Cameron, Creole, Grand Chenier, and Rutherford Beach 250 PM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Vernon, Rapides, Beauregard, Allen, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, West Cameron and East Cameron Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ LAZ029-032-033-043>045-052>055-181400- /O.NEW.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.230118T1500Z-230119T0600Z/ Avoyelles-Evangeline-St. Landry-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin- Including the cities of Effie, Marksville, Bunkie, Cottonport, Simmesport, Mansura, Ville Platte, Beaver, St. Landry, Mamou, Reddell, Lawtell, Opelousas, Eunice, Crowley, Rayne, Branch, Church Point, Richard, Lafayette, Breaux Bridge, Cade, St. Martinville, Abbeville, Intracoastal City, Meaux, Forked Island, Kaplan, New Iberia, Morgan City, Burns Point, Centerville, Franklin, Patterson, Berwick, Bayou Vista, and Stephensville 250 PM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Avoyelles, Evangeline, St. Landry, Acadia, Lafayette, Upper St. Martin, Vermilion, Iberia, St. Mary and Lower St. Martin Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to midnight CST Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-181400- /O.NEW.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.230118T1500Z-230118T2200Z/ Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton- Southern Jasper-Southern Newton- Including the cities of Town Bluff, Fred, Hillister, Ivanhoe, Spurger, Warren, Woodville, Lumberton, Silsbee, Beaumont, Sabine Pass, Sea Rim State Park, Orange, Vidor, Bridge City, Holly Springs, Jasper, Kirbyville, Magnolia Springs, Mt. Union, Roganville, Burkeville, Farrsville, Jamestown, Newton, Wiergate, Bleakwood, Call, Gist, Buna, Evadale, and Deweyville 250 PM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 4 PM CST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph expected. * WHERE...Tyler, Hardin, Jefferson, Orange, Northern Jasper, Northern Newton, Southern Jasper and Southern Newton Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 4 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
5 follow-up statements
953 WWUS74 KLCH 181228 NPWLCH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 628 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 LAZ027-028-030-031-041-042-073-074-182200- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.230118T1500Z-230119T0300Z/ Vernon-Rapides-Beauregard-Allen-Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis- West Cameron-East Cameron- Including the cities of Fort Polk, Pickering, Leesville, Slagle, Alexandria, Pineville, Bundick Lake, De Ridder, Fields, Oretta, Oakdale, Kinder, Lake Charles, Sulphur, Hathaway, Jennings, Topsy, Roanoke, Welsh, Lake Arthur, Johnson Bayou, Hackberry, Grand Lake, Klondike, Cameron, Creole, Grand Chenier, and Rutherford Beach 628 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Vernon, Rapides, Beauregard, Allen, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, West Cameron and East Cameron Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ LAZ029-032-033-043>045-052>055-182200- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.230118T1500Z-230119T0600Z/ Avoyelles-Evangeline-St. Landry-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin- Including the cities of Effie, Marksville, Bunkie, Cottonport, Simmesport, Mansura, Ville Platte, Beaver, St. Landry, Mamou, Reddell, Lawtell, Opelousas, Eunice, Crowley, Rayne, Branch, Church Point, Richard, Lafayette, Breaux Bridge, Cade, St. Martinville, Abbeville, Intracoastal City, Meaux, Forked Island, Kaplan, New Iberia, Morgan City, Burns Point, Centerville, Franklin, Patterson, Berwick, Bayou Vista, and Stephensville 628 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Avoyelles, Evangeline, St. Landry, Acadia, Lafayette, Upper St. Martin, Vermilion, Iberia, St. Mary and Lower St. Martin Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to midnight CST Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-182200- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.230118T1500Z-230118T2200Z/ Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton- Southern Jasper-Southern Newton- Including the cities of Town Bluff, Fred, Hillister, Ivanhoe, Spurger, Warren, Woodville, Lumberton, Silsbee, Beaumont, Sabine Pass, Sea Rim State Park, Orange, Vidor, Bridge City, Holly Springs, Jasper, Kirbyville, Magnolia Springs, Mt. Union, Roganville, Burkeville, Farrsville, Jamestown, Newton, Wiergate, Bleakwood, Call, Gist, Buna, Evadale, and Deweyville 628 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph expected. * WHERE...Tyler, Hardin, Jefferson, Orange, Northern Jasper, Northern Newton, Southern Jasper and Southern Newton Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 4 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
040 WWUS74 KLCH 181916 NPWLCH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 116 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 LAZ027-028-030-031-041-042-073-074-190300- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230119T0300Z/ Vernon-Rapides-Beauregard-Allen-Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis- West Cameron-East Cameron- Including the cities of Fort Polk, Pickering, Leesville, Slagle, Alexandria, Pineville, Bundick Lake, De Ridder, Fields, Oretta, Oakdale, Kinder, Lake Charles, Sulphur, Hathaway, Jennings, Topsy, Roanoke, Welsh, Lake Arthur, Johnson Bayou, Hackberry, Grand Lake, Klondike, Cameron, Creole, Grand Chenier, and Rutherford Beach 116 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Vernon, Rapides, Beauregard, Allen, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, West Cameron and East Cameron Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ LAZ029-032-033-043>045-052>055-190600- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230119T0600Z/ Avoyelles-Evangeline-St. Landry-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin- Including the cities of Effie, Marksville, Bunkie, Cottonport, Simmesport, Mansura, Ville Platte, Beaver, St. Landry, Mamou, Reddell, Lawtell, Opelousas, Eunice, Crowley, Rayne, Branch, Church Point, Richard, Lafayette, Breaux Bridge, Cade, St. Martinville, Abbeville, Intracoastal City, Meaux, Forked Island, Kaplan, New Iberia, Morgan City, Burns Point, Centerville, Franklin, Patterson, Berwick, Bayou Vista, and Stephensville 116 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Avoyelles, Evangeline, St. Landry, Acadia, Lafayette, Upper St. Martin, Vermilion, Iberia, St. Mary and Lower St. Martin Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to midnight CST Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-182200- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230118T2200Z/ Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton- Southern Jasper-Southern Newton- Including the cities of Town Bluff, Fred, Hillister, Ivanhoe, Spurger, Warren, Woodville, Lumberton, Silsbee, Beaumont, Sabine Pass, Sea Rim State Park, Orange, Vidor, Bridge City, Holly Springs, Jasper, Kirbyville, Magnolia Springs, Mt. Union, Roganville, Burkeville, Farrsville, Jamestown, Newton, Wiergate, Bleakwood, Call, Gist, Buna, Evadale, and Deweyville 116 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph expected. * WHERE...Tyler, Hardin, Jefferson, Orange, Northern Jasper, Northern Newton, Southern Jasper and Southern Newton Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 4 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
948 WWUS74 KLCH 182155 NPWLCH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 355 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-182300- /O.EXP.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230118T2200Z/ Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton- Southern Jasper-Southern Newton- Including the cities of Town Bluff, Fred, Hillister, Ivanhoe, Spurger, Warren, Woodville, Lumberton, Silsbee, Beaumont, Sabine Pass, Sea Rim State Park, Orange, Vidor, Bridge City, Holly Springs, Jasper, Kirbyville, Magnolia Springs, Mt. Union, Roganville, Burkeville, Farrsville, Jamestown, Newton, Wiergate, Bleakwood, Call, Gist, Buna, Evadale, and Deweyville 355 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... $$ LAZ027-028-030-031-041-042-073-074-190300- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230119T0300Z/ Vernon-Rapides-Beauregard-Allen-Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis- West Cameron-East Cameron- Including the cities of Fort Polk, Pickering, Leesville, Slagle, Alexandria, Pineville, Bundick Lake, De Ridder, Fields, Oretta, Oakdale, Kinder, Lake Charles, Sulphur, Hathaway, Jennings, Topsy, Roanoke, Welsh, Lake Arthur, Johnson Bayou, Hackberry, Grand Lake, Klondike, Cameron, Creole, Grand Chenier, and Rutherford Beach 355 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Vernon, Rapides, Beauregard, Allen, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, West Cameron and East Cameron Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ LAZ029-032-033-043>045-052>055-190600- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230119T0600Z/ Avoyelles-Evangeline-St. Landry-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin- Including the cities of Effie, Marksville, Bunkie, Cottonport, Simmesport, Mansura, Ville Platte, Beaver, St. Landry, Mamou, Reddell, Lawtell, Opelousas, Eunice, Crowley, Rayne, Branch, Church Point, Richard, Lafayette, Breaux Bridge, Cade, St. Martinville, Abbeville, Intracoastal City, Meaux, Forked Island, Kaplan, New Iberia, Morgan City, Burns Point, Centerville, Franklin, Patterson, Berwick, Bayou Vista, and Stephensville 355 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Avoyelles, Evangeline, St. Landry, Acadia, Lafayette, Upper St. Martin, Vermilion, Iberia, St. Mary and Lower St. Martin Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to midnight CST Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
100 WWUS74 KLCH 190350 NPWLCH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 950 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 LAZ029-032-033-043>045-052>055-190600- /O.CON.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230119T0600Z/ Avoyelles-Evangeline-St. Landry-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin- Including the cities of Effie, Marksville, Bunkie, Cottonport, Simmesport, Mansura, Ville Platte, Beaver, St. Landry, Mamou, Reddell, Lawtell, Opelousas, Eunice, Crowley, Rayne, Branch, Church Point, Richard, Lafayette, Breaux Bridge, Cade, St. Martinville, Abbeville, Intracoastal City, Meaux, Forked Island, Kaplan, New Iberia, Morgan City, Burns Point, Centerville, Franklin, Patterson, Berwick, Bayou Vista, and Stephensville 950 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected. * WHERE...Avoyelles, Evangeline, St. Landry, Acadia, Lafayette, Upper St. Martin, Vermilion, Iberia, St. Mary and Lower St. Martin Parishes. * WHEN...From 9 AM Wednesday to midnight CST Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ 25
773 WWUS74 KLCH 190601 NPWLCH URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1201 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2023 LAZ029-032-033-043>045-052>055-190715- /O.EXP.KLCH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-230119T0600Z/ Avoyelles-Evangeline-St. Landry-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin- Including the cities of Effie, Marksville, Bunkie, Cottonport, Simmesport, Mansura, Ville Platte, Beaver, St. Landry, Mamou, Reddell, Lawtell, Opelousas, Eunice, Crowley, Rayne, Branch, Church Point, Richard, Lafayette, Breaux Bridge, Cade, St. Martinville, Abbeville, Intracoastal City, Meaux, Forked Island, Kaplan, New Iberia, Morgan City, Burns Point, Centerville, Franklin, Patterson, Berwick, Bayou Vista, and Stephensville 1201 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... Observations from across the advised area show that winds have diminished with the passage of a cold front...thus the wind advisory issued earlier has been allowed to expire. $$ 25
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 17, 11:23 AM CST, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 11:23 AM CST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1123 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023
...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...
.UPDATE...
Wx map shows high pressure ridging across the Gulf of Mexico,
keeping southwest winds across the Northern Gulf and inland areas.
Warm southerly flow over relatively cooler shelf waters continues
to provide dense marine fog over the nearshore coastal waters,
inland lakes and bays west of Intracoastal City through Wednesday
morning, where a Dense Fog Advisory continues. For inland areas,
have extended the Dense Fog Advisory through Noon for Jefferson
County and Cameron Parish. Most of the fog across inland area
expected to lift to an low cloud deck with some breaks expected.
Once this occurs, highs in the upper 70s to near 80 looks good in
the forecast. Will address the needs for additional Inland Dense
Fog Advisory possibly along the coastal parishes/counties in the
afternoon package.
08/DML
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 400 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023
Another warm and humid night is ongoing, with temperatures and
dewpoints currently in the mid to upper 60s across the region. A
few light showers still linger over Acadiana this morning, but
this activity should clear out by sunrise. Elsewhere, visibilities
continue to gradually decline as patchy, dense fog continues,
with VIS ranging from .5SM to 6SM across SETX/CENLA/SWLA. Dense
Fog Advisory for SETX and SWLA remains unchanged at this time, as
it has correctly en-captured the "bulls-eye" for fog development
up until this point. Fog will likely continue to gradually worsen
through the next few hours prior to sunrise, with improvements
expected thereafter. Fog should then lift completely by roughly
9-10AM, leaving partly to mostly cloudy skies overhead. Onshore
flow will continue to pump warm, moist air inland today, and
although shower activity is not expected it will result in another
unseasonable warm afternoon with highs expected to top out in the
upper 70s.
Heading into tomorrow, we turn our attention to the next storm
system taking shape out west, with a deepening mid/upper low
expected to eject out of the Southern Rockies and across the
Central Plains by early Wed. At the same time, a strengthening surface
low will be taking shape over E CO/W KS, with a stationary
boundary draped across AR/TN and a cold front over TX. Both the
mid level and surface lows will track east-northeastward
through the day tomorrow, bringing the cold front across the
forecast area tomorrow evening into tomorrow night. Before this
front arrives, strengthening southerly flow will allow moisture
to rapidly increase overhead which in combination with modest lift
will result in scattered warm-sector development through the late
morning into the afternoon. Convection will then begin to
increase in both coverage and intensity through the later half of
the day into the evening hours, with a squall line expected to move
across the region along the cold front. SPC has outlined an area
generally along and north of I-10 in a Slight Risk (2 of 5) for
severe weather, with a Marginal Risk (1 of 5) closer to the coast.
All modes of severe weather will be possible however, damaging
winds continue to be the primary threat, especially within the
squall line. A Marginal Risk (1 of 4) for Excessive Rainfall is
also in effect for the entire region, with localized urban
flooding possible within stronger storms. Both the heavy rain and
severe threats will come to an end quickly behind the front
tomorrow evening/night.
As showers and storms clear out of the region by early Thursday,
winds will shift west and northwest and begin to advect a drier
and slightly cooler airmass into the region. Dewpoints will fall
into the 40s through Thursday morning, while skies will clear. As
a result, a pleasant and more seasonal day looks to be on tap,
with afternoon highs topping out in the mid-60s to low 70s.
17
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 400 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023
On Friday, winds will turn more from the NE/E with cooler daytime
highs. Highs will be in the lower 60s, which is near seasonal
normals. Clouds will also be on the increase as another storm system
begins to emerge across the southern plains as well as surface low
development in the vicinity of the western gulf.
For the weekend, moisture will increase across the region as a warm
front may lift north across the area Saturday morning. At the same
time, sfc low pressure may develop and track from SW to NE across or
just offshore of southern LA. This will open the door to increased
moisture and widespread showers/storms developing across the region.
With the lifting/trajectory of the warm front and the progression of
the sfc low, there could be a shorter window for precip compared to
previous guidance. It is also possible the warm front stays south of
the area or stalls as a stationary bndry and the sfc low stays south
as the NBM suggests. Regardless of those specifics, the upper level
low/trof may quickly eject/fill as it moves into the Midwest. This
would help push everything through the area quicker. The storm
system may still linger into/through Sunday, but trends suggest
higher precip chances for the eastern third of the CWA on Sunday
rather than most of the CWA.
The pattern stays progressive with the possibility of another storm
system moving across the region Tuesday/Wednesday. Daytime highs
during the weekend and into early next week range from the upper 50s
to lower 60s.
78
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Expect IFR ceilings to lift to MVFR/intermittent VFR this
afternoon with winds becoming more south-southwest to south during
the afternoon hours at 10-13 kts with gusts near 20 kts. Ceilings
expected to fall to IFR by 06z at most locations, with intermittent
LIFR ceilings/visibilities between 06-10z at BPT/LCH. After 10z,
the pressure gradient ramps up along with the winds of 10-15 kts
expected to keep enough mixing to inhibit the fog and keep
LIFR/IFR ceilings through 15z. After 15z, VCSH/VCTS expected with
prob30 groups from 16-18z for TSRA. Also, winds will pick up near
17-18kts with gusts 27-28 kts at all sites.
08/DML
&&
.MARINE...
Warm southerly flow over relatively cooler shelf waters
continues the marine fog over the nearshore coastal waters,
inland lakes and bays west of Intracoastal City through Wednesday
morning. With latest visibility guidance showing this to continue
this evening through daybreak Wednesday, extended the Dense Fog
Advisory through 6 AM Wednesday.
Otherwise, onshore flow will continue across the eastern zones
through the morning hours gradually tapering off by the midday,
with light to moderate onshore flow elsewhere. A strong upper
level disturbance will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms
to the area Wednesday afternoon and evening, along with strong
gusty winds and building seas. Conditions will begin to improve by
early Thursday with the passage of a cold front.
08/DML
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 400 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023
Dense marine fog is expected to linger through much, if not all,
of the day today, and a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect through
this evening. Some clearing is possible through the afternoon but
redevelopment is likely by this evening and the advisory will
likely need to be extended. Tomorrow, a strong upper level
disturbance will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to the
area, along with strong gusty winds and building seas. Winds and
seas will begin to pick up through the early morning hours, with
showers and storms expected to arrive a bit later in the day
continuing into the overnight hours. Conditions will begin to
improve by early Thursday with the passage of a cold front.
17
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX 79 64 78 50 / 0 10 90 30
LCH 77 64 76 52 / 0 10 90 30
LFT 78 65 79 54 / 10 10 60 70
BPT 79 65 78 51 / 0 10 90 10
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for LAZ073-074.
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for TXZ215.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 6 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ430-432-450-
452.
&&
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....78
AVIATION...08Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 17, 4:12 AM CST, 10 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 412 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 LAZ041-073-074-TXZ201-215-216-261-262-181015- Calcasieu-West Cameron-East Cameron-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange- Southern Jasper-Southern Newton- 412 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Dense Fog Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Dense Fog Advisory. Dense fog will linger through the morning hours, burning off by 10AM. There is a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather for most of the region on Wednesday. Storms will begin to develop late Wednesday morning across Southeast Texas, spreading east and southeast through the afternoon into Wednesday night. There is also a Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 4) for Excessive Rainfall on Wednesday with these storms. The greatest potential with these storms will be damaging winds however, brief tornadoes, hail, frequent lightning, and isolated flooding will also be possible. Quiet weather is expected Thursday and Friday. Another upper level disturbance expected to bring high precipitation chances Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LAZ027>033-042>045-052>055-TXZ180-259-260-181015- Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry- Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-Vermilion-Iberia- St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-Tyler-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton- 412 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west central Louisiana and southeast Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Patchy fog will be possible through the morning hours. Otherwise, the probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. There is a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather for most of the region on Wednesday. Storms will begin to develop late Wednesday morning across Southeast Texas, spreading east and southeast through the afternoon into Wednesday night. There is also a Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 4) for Excessive Rainfall on Wednesday with these storms. The greatest potential with these storms will be damaging winds however, brief tornadoes, hail, frequent lightning, and isolated flooding will also be possible. Quiet weather is expected Thursday and Friday. Another upper level disturbance expected to bring high precipitation chances Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ470-472-475-181015- Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM- Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM- Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from 20 to 60 NM- 412 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. Breezy onshore flow will continue through the next few hours, gradually tapering down through the morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. For Wednesday and Wednesday night, moderate to strong onshore winds and rough seas are expected, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms. Expect gusty winds in excess of 30kts and frequent cloud to water lightning through this period, especially near stronger storms. A cold front will then bring a moderate offshore flow through the end of the week. Winds and seas will begin to ramp up again by late Friday as another upper level disturbance and surface low approach the region. Elevated winds and seas will persist through the weekend, along with an increased chances of showers and thunderstorms. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ430-432-450-452-181015- Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake- Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM- 412 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico and the coastal lakes and bays of the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Dense Fog Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Dense Fog Advisory. Patchy dense fog will persist through the daytime hours today, especially near the coast. Although a bit of clearing is possible through the afternoon it will be brief, and redevelopment is expected overnight. For Wednesday and Wednesday night, moderate to strong onshore winds and rough seas are expected, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms. Expect gusty winds in excess of 30kts and frequent cloud to water lightning through this period, especially near stronger storms. A cold front will then bring a moderate offshore flow through the end of the week. Winds and seas will begin to ramp up again by late Friday as another upper level disturbance and surface low approach the region. Elevated winds and seas will persist through the weekend, along with an increased chances of showers and thunderstorms. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ435-455-181015- Vermilion Bay- Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA out 20 NM- 412 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico and the coastal lakes and bays of the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...Tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. For Wednesday and Wednesday night, moderate to strong onshore winds and rough seas are expected, along with scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms. Expect gusty winds in excess of 30kts and frequent cloud to water lightning through this period, especially near stronger storms. A cold front will then bring a moderate offshore flow through the end of the week. Winds and seas will begin to ramp up again by late Friday as another upper level disturbance and surface low approach the region. Elevated winds and seas will persist through the weekend, along with an increased chances of showers and thunderstorms. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2:50 PM CST | Small Craft Advisory | LCH | 33 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Louisiana, 2023Wind Advisories in Texas, 2023Every wind advisory in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.