River Flood Warning 3, NWS North Platte, NE

398 
WGUS83 KLBF 261308
FLSLBF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
808 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Nebraska...

  Frenchman Creek near Palisade affecting Hayes County.

.Heavy rainfall has resulted in flooding along the Frenchman 
Creek near Palisade.

For the Frenchman Creek...including Palisade...Major flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 815 PM CDT.

&&


NEC085-270115-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230527T2327Z/
/PALN1.3.ER.230526T1002Z.230526T1200Z.230526T2326Z.NR/
808 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Frenchman Creek near Palisade.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 11.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:45 AM CDT Friday was 11.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.0
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage this
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4042 10136 4037 10110 4035 10106 4035 10117
      4040 10137


$$

Roberg

470 
WGUS83 KLBF 270143
FLSLBF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
843 PM CDT Fri May 26 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Nebraska...

  Frenchman Creek near Palisade affecting Hayes County.

.Water levels remain high along the Frenchman Creek 
near Palisade due to earlier heavy rainfall. The creek level is 
expected to continue to fall tonight.

For the Frenchman Creek...including Palisade...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&


NEC085-271345-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230527T2327Z/
/PALN1.3.ER.230526T1002Z.230526T1245Z.230527T1200Z.NR/
843 PM CDT Fri May 26 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is 
  forecast as the creek level continues to fall.

* WHERE...Frenchman Creek near Palisade.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding begins 
  between Wauneta and Palisade. Some areas of Palisade near Kotter 
  Park will be flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 8.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Friday was 11.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue falling to 3.1 feet Wednesday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4042 10136 4037 10110 4035 10106 4035 10117
      4040 10137


$$

Brown

281 
WGUS83 KLBF 271140
FLSLBF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
640 AM CDT Sat May 27 2023

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Nebraska...

  Frenchman Creek near Palisade affecting Hayes County.

For the Frenchman Creek...including Palisade...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 630 PM CDT.

&&


NEC085-272330-
/O.CON.KLBF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230527T2327Z/
/PALN1.1.ER.230526T1002Z.230526T1245Z.230527T1200Z.NR/
640 AM CDT Sat May 27 2023

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is 
  forecast. This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Frenchman Creek near Palisade.

* WHEN...Until this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 7.0 feet, Flood stage. Agricultural areas along 
  Frenchman Creek flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Friday was 11.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this morning and continue falling to 3.1 feet Wednesday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    8.5 feet on 05/31/1996.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4042 10136 4037 10110 4035 10106 4035 10117
      4040 10137


$$

Roberg

149 
WGUS83 KLBF 271447
FLSLBF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
947 AM CDT Sat May 27 2023

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Nebraska...

  Frenchman Creek near Palisade affecting Hayes County.

For the Frenchman Creek...including Palisade...Minor flooding is 
occurring and is forecast to continue through Saturday evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&


NEC085-280300-
/O.EXT.KLBF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230528T0327Z/
/PALN1.1.ER.230526T1002Z.230526T1245Z.230527T1200Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Sat May 27 2023

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.

* WHERE...Frenchman Creek near Palisade.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 7.0 feet, Flood stage. Agricultural areas along 
  Frenchman Creek flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Friday was 11.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain above flood stage
    through Saturday evening and gradually fall on Sunday.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4042 10136 4037 10110 4035 10106 4035 10117
      4040 10137


$$

Snively

070 
WGUS83 KLBF 280026
FLSLBF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
726 PM CDT Sat May 27 2023

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Nebraska...

  Stinking Water Creek at Palisade 2NW affecting Hayes County.

  Frenchman Creek near Palisade affecting Hayes County.

.Mainstem waterways continue to recede and are below flood stage.

However, additional showers and thunderstorms are possible tonight 
and Sunday. Any additional rainfall may cause waters to rise quickly.

NEC085-280130-
/O.CAN.KLBF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-230528T0026Z/
/PALN1.1.ER.230526T1002Z.230526T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
726 PM CDT Sat May 27 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Frenchman Creek near Palisade.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 5.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below action stage
    this evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4042 10136 4037 10110 4035 10106 4035 10117
      4040 10137


$$

NEC085-280130-
/O.CAN.KLBF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230528T0026Z/
/PASN1.N.ER.230526T1119Z.230526T1345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
726 PM CDT Sat May 27 2023

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Stinking Water Creek at Palisade 2NW.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 8.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The creek is expected to fall below action stage
    early tonight.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location            Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Stinking Water Creek
Palisade 2NW        10.0  8.7   Sat 6 pm CDT 4.4   4.1   3.9


&&

LAT...LON 4049 10134 4052 10135 4037 10109 4036 10110
      4036 10113


$$

MBS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
340 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 340 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023

Key Messages:

- Locally heavy rainfall will continue through mid morning for
  areas near and south of I80 with localized flooding possible.

- Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms are forecast through
  Thursday of next week.

SYNOPSIS...

A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) is currently located over far
southwest Nebraska. Meanwhile a mid level disturbance continues
to lift northeast from near Scottsbluff through Atwood Kansas.
This is resulting in some excessive rainfall across Dundy and
Chase County. As these features continue to lift northeast,
locally heavy rainfall will continue for areas near and south of
I80 through mid morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 340 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023

Locally heavy rainfall is underway across portions of southwest
into west central Nebraska this morning with likely POPS. Due to
the slow movement of the MCV and mid level disturbance, rainfall
amounts from a quarter to half inch should be fairly widespread,
with locally heavy rainfall from a inch or more possible. Areas
east of Highway 183 are expected to remain mostly dry today.
Breezy south southeast winds today with mainly cloudy skies. Highs
will be coolest across the southwest and western Sandhills near
70 where cloudy skies and showers and a few thunderstorms will be
the more persistent.

Tonight through Saturday, an upper trough will remain in place
across the Great Basin in the western U.S. as blocking upper
ridge remains in place across the Great Lakes and Midwest.
Southwest flow aloft will exist from the Front Range and High
Plains. The 00Z CAMs forecast thunderstorms to develop along the
Front Range of Wyoming and Colorado early this afternoon and will
move eastward into the western panhandle and northeast Colorado
by early evening. This activity is forecast to move into western
Nebraska this evening and eventually weaken as they reach Highway
83 by midnight. Areas near and east of Highway 183 should once
again remain dry. A marginal risk for excessive rainfall is
forecast across the western Sandhills and Southwest. This will be
dependent on how well the evening convection holds together.
While lingering showers are possible across the west Saturday
morning. Due to PWATS remaining near an inch, and mid level lapse
rates near 7C/KM, afternoon development of isolated to scattered
showers or storms is possible. Highs Saturday will be slightly
warmer from near 75 to 80. Windy with a south southeast wind 20 to
30 mph.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 340 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023

For the remainder of Memorial Day weekend, the Gulf moisture axis
will remain in place across the Central High Plains...with PWATS
from 1 to 1.20 inches through Sunday evening). Likely POPs across
the west and southwest Saturday night, will mainly a slight
chance Sunday morning, followed by a 30 to 50 percent chance
Sunday afternoon and evening as a mid and upper level trough
lifts through the Northern and Central Plains. There is a marginal
Risk for severe storms Sunday afternoon and evening west of
Highway 183.

Memorial Day through Thursday of next week, an upper trough will
continue to persist across the Western U.S. as the upper ridge
becomes better established across the Central and Eastern U.S.
With deep moisture still available across the Plains, daily
chances for afternoon and evening thunderstorm. Highs in the low
80s Memorial Day (Monday) should warm into the mid 80s by Tuesday
and Wednesday of next week. The threat for any severe storms
should remain low, with heavy rain to main concern.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 107 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023

Scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms across southwest
Nebraska will become more numerous over the next several hours.
Majority of precipitation will remain across southwest Nebraska,
impacting KLBF with periods of heavy rainfall, lightning, and
reductions in visibility. KVTN may see an isolated shower or
thunderstorm late this afternoon, but any impacts should be minimal.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Roberg
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Kulik

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
434 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-270945-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
434 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023 /334 AM MDT Fri May 26 2023/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms across southwestern into central
Nebraska are expected through today. Isolated showers and a low
threat of severe thunderstorms are possible across north central
Nebraska through the evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Periodic showers and thunderstorms are expected through early next
week with near daily rain chances. Some storms may be capable of
producing locally heavy rainfall through Sunday. The severe threat
remains low across much of the area with increased potential across
the Panhandle.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.