Alert archive / Nebraska / High Wind Warnings in 2023
High Wind Warning 1, NWS North Platte, NE
NWS North Platte, NE issued this high wind warning at Oct 12, 2023, 2:17 AM MDT for 26 counties in Nebraska. It took effect at Oct 12, 2023, 6:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 21 hr. 30 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 12, 2023, 2:17 AM MDT (08:17 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 12, 2023, 6:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Oct 13, 2023, 2:39 PM MDT
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS North Platte, NE
All 26 counties
Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garden County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Wheeler County, NE
The radar
The North Platte radar (KLNX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 6:00 PM MDT | RAIN 4.4 | 6 S Springview, NE | Storm total rainfall. |
| Oct 12, 6:09 PM MDT | RAIN 4.21 | Chambers, NE | Storm total rainfall from a home weather station. |
| Oct 12, 7:21 PM MDT | RAIN 2.5 | 3 N Anselmo, NE | Total rainfall from a home weather station. |
| Oct 13, 3:53 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 1 Ene Imperial, NE | ASOS station KIML Imperial Airport. |
| Oct 13, 3:53 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 1 Ese Imperial, NE | ASOS station KIML Imperial Airport. |
| Oct 13, 6:00 AM MDT | RAIN 9.72 | 12 S Ewing, NE | 2-day rain total. Cocorahs station NE-WH-2 Ewing 12S. |
| Oct 13, 6:14 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 56 | 2 N Broken Bow, NE | ASOS station KBBW Broken Bow Airport. |
| Oct 13, 7:00 AM MDT | RAIN 2.6 | 9 Sw Amelia, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:00 AM MDT | RAIN 4.2 | Spencer, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 1.3 | 15 S Oneill, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 2 | 13 Ne Bartlett, NE | Two day total of 6.50 inches. |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 2.13 | 7 Ne Bartlett, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 2.27 | 0.5 Ne Chambers, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 2.5 | 18 S Ewing, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 2.5 | Ewing, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 3 | Page, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 3.02 | 0.5 N Anoka, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 4.25 | 6 Se Long Pine, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 4.8 | 3 E Butte, NE | Two Day Total. |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 6.4 | 1.75 W Stuart, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 6.5 | 13 Ne Bartlett, NE | Two Day Total. |
| Oct 13, 7:03 AM MDT | RAIN 6.8 | 12 S Stuart, NE | Two Day Total. |
| Oct 13, 7:07 AM MDT | RAIN 3.4 | 20 Nw Oneill, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:33 AM MDT | RAIN 4.4 | 30 S Valentine, NE | Two day total. |
| Oct 13, 7:50 AM MDT | RAIN 5.1 | Lynch, NE | |
| Oct 13, 7:55 AM MDT | RAIN 1.69 | 6 N Gordon, NE | Storm total for two days. |
| Oct 13, 8:11 AM MDT | RAIN 8.9 | 1.75 W Stuart, NE | Two Day Total. |
| Oct 13, 8:15 AM MDT | RAIN 2.25 | 1 W Ewing, NE | |
| Oct 13, 8:45 AM MDT | RAIN 3.17 | 4 N Valentine, NE | |
| Oct 13, 9:41 AM MDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 1 E Grant, NE |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 801 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -86 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1662 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 179 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.8
The text
As transmitted.
708 WWUS73 KLBF 120817 NPWLBF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service North Platte NE 317 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 NEZ004>006-022>025-035>037-056>059-069>071-094-122100- /O.UPG.KLBF.HW.A.0001.231013T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KLBF.HW.W.0001.231013T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Garden-Grant-Hooker-Thomas- Arthur-McPherson-Logan-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes- Frontier-Western Cherry- Including the cities of Gordon, Rushville, Valentine, Springview, Oshkosh, Lewellen, Hyannis, Mullen, Thedford, Halsey, Arthur, Tryon, Ringgold, Stapleton, Chappell, Big Springs, Ogallala, Paxton, Grant, North Platte, Champion, Enders, Imperial, Wauneta, Hayes Center, Curtis, Eustis, Maywood, Cody, Eli, Merriman, and Kilgore 317 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 /217 AM MDT Thu Oct 12 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, gusts 50 to 60 mph possible * WHERE...Portions of western and southwestern Nebraska. * WHEN...Thursday evening through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect periods of reduced visibility during heavier precipitation especially over north central Nebraska and the northeastern Nebraska Panhandle where rain may mix with snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NEZ008-009-026-027-038-122100- /O.UPG.KLBF.HW.A.0001.231013T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KLBF.HW.W.0001.231013T0600Z-231014T0000Z/ Brown-Rock-Blaine-Loup-Custer- Including the cities of Ainsworth, Bassett, Rose, Dunning, Purdum, Brewster, Taylor, and Broken Bow 317 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, gusts 50 to 60 mph possible * WHERE...Portions of north central and central Nebraska. * WHEN...Thursday evening through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect periods of reduced visibility during heavier precipitation especially over north central Nebraska and the northeastern Nebraska Panhandle where rain may mix with snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NEZ007-010-028-029-122100- /O.UPG.KLBF.HW.A.0001.231013T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KLBF.HW.W.0001.231013T0900Z-231014T0000Z/ Boyd-Holt-Garfield-Wheeler- Including the cities of Spencer, Butte, Lynch, O'Neill, Atkinson, Burwell, Bartlett, and Ericson 317 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, gusts 50 to 60 mph possible * WHERE...Portions of north central Nebraska. * WHEN...Thursday evening through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect periods of reduced visibility during heavier precipitation especially over north central Nebraska and the northeastern Nebraska Panhandle where rain may mix with snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$
3 follow-up statements
910 WWUS73 KLBF 121846 NPWLBF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service North Platte NE 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 NEZ004>006-022>025-035>037-056>059-069>071-094-130900- /O.CON.KLBF.HW.W.0001.231013T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Garden-Grant-Hooker-Thomas- Arthur-McPherson-Logan-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes- Frontier-Western Cherry- Including the cities of Gordon, Rushville, Valentine, Springview, Oshkosh, Lewellen, Hyannis, Mullen, Thedford, Halsey, Arthur, Tryon, Ringgold, Stapleton, Chappell, Big Springs, Ogallala, Paxton, Grant, North Platte, Champion, Enders, Imperial, Wauneta, Hayes Center, Curtis, Eustis, Maywood, Cody, Eli, Merriman, and Kilgore 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 /1246 PM MDT Thu Oct 12 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, gusts 50 to 60 mph possible * WHERE...Portions of western and southwestern Nebraska. * WHEN...Thursday evening through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NEZ008-009-026-027-038-130900- /O.CON.KLBF.HW.W.0001.231013T0600Z-231014T0000Z/ Brown-Rock-Blaine-Loup-Custer- Including the cities of Ainsworth, Bassett, Rose, Dunning, Purdum, Brewster, Taylor, and Broken Bow 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, gusts 50 to 60 mph possible * WHERE...Portions of north central and central Nebraska. * WHEN...Thursday night through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NEZ007-010-028-029-130900- /O.CON.KLBF.HW.W.0001.231013T0900Z-231014T0000Z/ Boyd-Holt-Garfield-Wheeler- Including the cities of Spencer, Butte, Lynch, O'Neill, Atkinson, Burwell, Bartlett, and Ericson 146 PM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, gusts 50 to 60 mph possible * WHERE...Portions of north central Nebraska. * WHEN...Early Friday morning through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$
421 WWUS73 KLBF 130913 NPWLBF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service North Platte NE 413 AM CDT Fri Oct 13 2023 NEZ004>006-022>025-035>037-056>059-069>071-094-131715- /O.CON.KLBF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Garden-Grant-Hooker-Thomas- Arthur-McPherson-Logan-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes- Frontier-Western Cherry- Including the cities of Gordon, Rushville, Valentine, Springview, Oshkosh, Lewellen, Hyannis, Mullen, Thedford, Halsey, Arthur, Tryon, Ringgold, Stapleton, Chappell, Big Springs, Ogallala, Paxton, Grant, North Platte, Champion, Enders, Imperial, Wauneta, Hayes Center, Curtis, Eustis, Maywood, Cody, Eli, Merriman, and Kilgore 413 AM CDT Fri Oct 13 2023 /313 AM MDT Fri Oct 13 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, with gusts 50 to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of western and southwestern Nebraska. * WHEN...Thursday evening through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NEZ008-009-026-027-038-131715- /O.CON.KLBF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ Brown-Rock-Blaine-Loup-Custer- Including the cities of Ainsworth, Bassett, Rose, Dunning, Purdum, Brewster, Taylor, and Broken Bow 413 AM CDT Fri Oct 13 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, with gusts 50 to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and central Nebraska. * WHEN...Thursday night through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ NEZ007-010-028-029-131715- /O.CON.KLBF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ Boyd-Holt-Garfield-Wheeler- Including the cities of Spencer, Butte, Lynch, O'Neill, Atkinson, Burwell, Bartlett, and Ericson 413 AM CDT Fri Oct 13 2023 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Northerly winds of 30 to 40 mph, with gusts 50 to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central Nebraska. * WHEN...Early Friday morning through Friday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds may blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile and lightweight vehicles. Unsecured outdoor decorations and furniture may be blown around or away. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$
589 WWUS73 KLBF 132039 NPWLBF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service North Platte NE 339 PM CDT Fri Oct 13 2023 NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-132145- /O.CAN.KLBF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-231014T0000Z/ Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden- Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson- Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier- Western Cherry- Including the cities of Gordon, Rushville, Valentine, Springview, Spencer, Butte, Lynch, Ainsworth, Bassett, Rose, O'Neill, Atkinson, Oshkosh, Lewellen, Hyannis, Mullen, Thedford, Halsey, Dunning, Purdum, Brewster, Taylor, Burwell, Bartlett, Ericson, Arthur, Tryon, Ringgold, Stapleton, Broken Bow, Chappell, Big Springs, Ogallala, Paxton, Grant, North Platte, Champion, Enders, Imperial, Wauneta, Hayes Center, Curtis, Eustis, Maywood, Cody, Eli, Merriman, and Kilgore 339 PM CDT Fri Oct 13 2023 /239 PM MDT Fri Oct 13 2023/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... Winds have diminished below high wind warning criteria and the high wind warning has been cancelled. Northerly winds may continue to gust from 40 to 50 MPH through sunset, diminishing further this evening. $$ CLB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Oct 11, 11:36 PM MDT, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 11:36 PM MDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 1236 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 ...Updated Aviation Forecast Discussion... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 300 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 Key Messages: - An anomalous storm system will begin to impact the area tonight, continuing through Friday bringing strong winds, heavy rainfall, strong to severe storms, and wintry precipitation. - Calm, seasonable weather through weekend and early next week. Recent GOES-16 WV and RAP 500-mb analysis showed a cut off low pressure system centered on the Ontario/Quebec border with a trough extending south across the northeastern CONUS. Further west of this feature, a deep low pressure system was centered over the state of Washington with a negatively tilted trough extending southeast across the Great Basin. A rapidly decaying ridge was noted across the northern Plains between the two low pressure systems. All of these features combined has resulted in southwesterly flow aloft across western and north central Nebraska. At the surface, low pressure was apparent across eastern Colorado with a weak warm front extending across northern Kansas and a stationary front on the lee side of the Rockies, extending into the Nebraska Panhandle. At 3P CT, temperatures ranged from 69 degrees at O'Neill to 74 degrees at Imperial. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday) Issued at 300 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 The main concern in the short-term period surrounds the significant fall system that will begin to impact the area tonight, continuing through Friday. With multiple weather hazards expected, make sure to continue the forecast for the most up to date information. The focus for tonight revolves around the potential for strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail, gusty winds, and locally heavy rainfall for portions of central and north central Nebraska. The aforementioned surface low will continue to deepen and push eastward along the Nebraska/Kansas border tonight with a warm from lifting northward across the area. As this occurs, widespread thunderstorm development is expected along and ahead of the frontal boundary. On the eastern periphery of the intensifying cyclone, a 30-50kts LLJ combined with 1,000+ J/kg MUCAPE and 30-40kts 0-6km Bulk Shear will create an environment that will be supportive of isolated to scattered strong to severe storms capable of producing large hail and gusty winds. This round of convection will be isolated to widely scattered due to continued mid-level WAA creating a cap thus lowering forecaster confidence. The greatest severe threat timing is from 9P to 3A CT across central and north central Nebraska with general thunderstorms expected to continue beyond 3A CT for all of western and north central Nebraska. As we head into Thursday afternoon, focus quickly shifts to a potentially more impactful second round of strong to severe thunderstorms expected to effect portions of central and north central Nebraska. Though some discrepancies amongst model solutions exist on exact location, the previously mentioned surface low will push northeast into north central Nebraska Thursday afternoon with a triple point and sharpening warm front just ahead of the low. The southerly LLJ quickly increases to 40-50kts combined with steepening mid-level lapse rates (8+ C/km) due to cooling aloft, modest destabilization (MLCAPE ~1,500+ J/kg) and increasing 0-6km Bulk Shear (40kts+) will create an environment supportive of organized thunderstorm development. The main threat is large hail, but severe wind and a couple of tornadoes are also possible. The greatest tornado threat lies across portions of central and north central Nebraska where the low-level shear will become enhanced near the triple point and locally backed winds are expected. This is in line with similar thinking of the previous shift and SPC's westward expansion of the Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms. This will need to be closely monitored as we head into the near-term and details become more fine scale. Initiation is expected by early-afternoon with the severe threat increasing after 1P CT and the threat exiting the forecast area around 8P CT. Make sure to take the necessary precautions to prepare for this event by having an emergency kit ready and multiple way to receive warning information (weather radio, TV, cell phone, radio, etc.). Heading into Thursday night and Friday we begin to shift focus to strong winds across all of western and north central Nebraska and possibly the first taste of winter across northwest Nebraska. As the surface low begins to exit northeast out of the area Thursday night into Friday, the SPG will tighten on the backside of the departing system. Though wind gusts have trended down somewhat from the inherited forecast, it will be a gusty and chilly day across western and north central Nebraska. With high temperatures in the 40s and northerly wind gusts of 50+ mph, wind chill values will struggle to climb out of the 30s. Combining these conditions with continued precipitation on Friday, it will be quite the gloomy fall day for the area. Make sure to store or secure loose items such as holiday decoration and patio furniture before these strong winds encompass the area late Thursday into Friday. On the backside of the departing system, wraparound precipitation will develop with deep forcing for ascent occurring and dynamic cooling aloft. Model guidance continues to hint at the snow potential for northwestern Nebraska, however, forecast confidence continues to remain low on a complete transition to snow. Any snow that does fall will be heavy and wet with accumulations nearing an inch or two possible. Further east towards Highway 83, some locations may see a rain/snow mix with no accumulations expected. The primary concern with this period of winter weather is the potential for reduced visibilities as the strong winds combine with the precipitation, especially in the Friday morning commute timeframe. In regards to storm total precipitation amounts for this system, we are beginning to see a more northward trend in the QPF amounts. A swath of 1-2"+ total are expected through Friday afternoon for areas north of Highway 2, with amounts tapering off to the south. This is highlighted by the EFI (Extreme Forecast Index) for QPF which is continuing to suggest increased confidence of an anomalous event, such that the SoT (Shift of Tails) is greater than 2 across portions of the northern Sandhills. As usual with thunderstorms, locally higher amounts will be possible and could lead to localized flooding. .LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 300 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 As the surface low moves out of the area, wrap around precipitation remains in the area early Saturday morning, but mostly clears out by Noon. The upper level trough moves further east as well, settling western and north central Nebraska under upper-level convergence. Guidance is pointing to a fairly short lived Omega block setting up at 500-mb over the region this weekend. As the Omega block collapses, the area remains along an upper level ridge on Monday. There is a bit of uncertainty with the amplitude of the trough/ridge pattern, but in general the area stays under or just to the north of the upper-level jet stream, which will contribute to keeping temperatures this weekend and early next week feeling more like fall weather. As the upper pattern continues to evolve, a shortwave trough begins to develop over Montana on Tuesday, though there is disagreement on timing of the set up, with the European solutions being quicker and more aggressive compared to GEFS solutions. This is further reinforced in cluster analysis for next Wednesday, with the more heavily weighted European solutions progressing the shortwave over western and north central Nebraska, indicating potential for precipitation. Solutions more heavily influenced by the GEFS and Canadian ensembles are a bit slower with the progression and intensity of this shortwave, and are less optimistic on precipitation. Either way, this will merit watching as further ensemble runs may give a better idea on timing and potential for precipitation. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night) Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023 Conditions continue to deteriorate across western and north central Nebraska, with low end MVFR CIGs quickly expanding across northern Nebraska currently. Lowered CIGs will continue to expand across much of the area this morning, with widespread IFR/MVFR expected through much of the day today. Widespread thunderstorm development will continue across the Sandhills and north central Nebraska this morning, with further expansion southwest in coverage with time this afternoon. Winds remain strong from the east and southeast this morning before switching northerly and strengthening late this afternoon, with widespread gusts in excess of 40kts anticipated for all area terminals tonight. Widespread SHRA develops tonight, with the potential for periods of RASN for western Nebraska terminals and lowered visibilities. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... High Wind Watch from this evening through Friday evening for NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094. && SYNOPSIS...Viken SHORT TERM...Viken LONG TERM...Richie/Viken AVIATION...Brown
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 2:22 PM MDT, 11 hours 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service North Platte NE 322 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-122030- Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant- Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan- Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier- Western Cherry- 322 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 /222 PM MDT Wed Oct 11 2023/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central Nebraska. .DAY ONE...Tonight. A few thunderstorms will be capable of large hail and gusty winds late this evening and overnight for parts of central and north central Nebraska. The main area of concern is generally north of a line from Tryon to Ansley and east of a line from Tryon to Cody. The greatest threat for severe storms is between 9 PM and 3 AM CDT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. A powerful storm system continues to present multiple hazards to the forecast area Thursday through Friday. Additional strong to severe storms are possible on Thursday, with a threat for a brief tornado, large hail, and strong winds. The primary threat area will be across central and north central Nebraska, mainly east of a Curtis, to Tryon, to Valentine line. Prolonged rain will be possible across the Sandhills and north central Nebraska Thursday into Friday, including the potential for 1 to 3 inches. Locally higher amounts are possible along the South Dakota and Nebraska border. Colder air arriving Thursday night into early Friday may result in a wintry mix of rain and snow. The main threat for a wintry mix is west of a line from Cody to Big Springs. Snow accumulations of up to an inch are possible, mainly over the Pine Ridge of northern Sheridan County. Northerly winds gusting 50 to 60 MPH Thursday night through Friday afternoon across the area, will produce strong crosswinds on east to west routes. Winds combined with precipitation and cold temperatures may be hazardous to young livestock. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed Thursday afternoon over portions of central Nebraska, mainly east and south of a line from Arnold, to Dunning, to Bassett and O'Neill.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 11, 9:38 PM MDT, 4 hours 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service North Platte NE 1038 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 NEZ005-006-120430- Eastern Cherry NE-Keya Paha NE- 1038 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN CHERRY AND NORTHWESTERN KEYA PAHA COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM CDT... At 1038 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles southeast of Littleburg, or 9 miles northeast of Valentine, moving north at 15 mph. HAZARD...Nickel size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible. Locations impacted include... Sparks. This includes Highway 12 between mile markers 8 and 22. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. && LAT...LON 4290 10020 4291 10045 4300 10050 4300 10020 TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 178DEG 15KT 4294 10037 MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH CDC
Special weather statement, Oct 11, 9:42 PM MDT, 4 hours 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service North Platte NE 1042 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 NEZ010-028-029-120430- Wheeler NE-Holt NE-Garfield NE- 1042 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN GARFIELD...SOUTH CENTRAL HOLT AND NORTHWESTERN WHEELER COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM CDT... At 1042 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9 miles south of Chambers, or 27 miles northeast of Burwell, moving north at 15 mph. HAZARD...Penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible. Locations impacted include... Chambers. This includes Highway 281 between mile markers 156 and 170. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 4197 9866 4199 9881 4227 9889 4227 9861 TIME...MOT...LOC 0342Z 178DEG 14KT 4207 9876 MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH CDC
Local storm report, Oct 11, 10:16 PM MDT, 4 hours 1 minute before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1116 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1111 PM Rain 14 S Ewing 42.06N 98.32W
10/11/2023 M4.04 inch Wheeler NE Public
Since about 8 pm.
&&Local storm report, Oct 11, 10:24 PM MDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1124 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1123 PM Rain Chambers 42.21N 98.75W
10/11/2023 M2.23 inch Holt NE Public
Since about 8 pm.
&&Special weather statement, Oct 11, 10:49 PM MDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1149 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023
NEZ038-059-120545-
Custer NE-Lincoln NE-
1149 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2023
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN LINCOLN AND SOUTHWESTERN
CUSTER COUNTIES THROUGH 1245 AM CDT...
At 1148 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles southwest of Lake Maloney State
Recreation Area to 7 miles southwest of Gothenburg. Movement was
northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
North Platte, Brady, Maxwell, Lake Maloney, North Platte Airport,
Keith, Cottonwood Canyon, Jeffrey Canyon and Vroman.
This includes the following highways...
Highway 97 between mile markers 1 and 5.
Interstate 80 in Nebraska between mile markers 171 and 208.
Highway 83 between mile markers 69 and 102.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 4098 10097 4136 10074 4137 10027 4123 10024
4079 10022
TIME...MOT...LOC 0448Z 217DEG 22KT 4098 10091 4083 10023
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
CDCSpecial weather statement, Oct 11, 11:58 PM MDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1258 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023
NEZ038-120645-
Custer NE-
1258 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2023
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CUSTER COUNTY
THROUGH 145 AM CDT...
At 1258 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sumner, or 22 miles northeast of Lexington, moving north at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Mason City, Block Hill Basin, Gavin Siding, Intersection of Highway
183 and Cumro Road, and Cumro.
This includes the following highways...
Highway 183 between mile markers 73 and 88.
Highway 2 between mile markers 297 and 307.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4105 9954 4127 9939 4127 9920 4105 9921
TIME...MOT...LOC 0558Z 201DEG 22KT 4100 9943
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
BrownThe office that day
Everything else NWS North Platte, NE issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 7:00 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Wheeler | 60 min |
| Oct 11, 7:30 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Holt | 60 min |
| Oct 11, 7:40 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Rock | 50 min |
| Oct 11, 7:59 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Brown | 61 min |
| Oct 11, 8:01 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Wheeler | 29 min |
| Oct 11, 8:25 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Keya Paha | 35 min |
| Oct 11, 8:42 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Wheeler | 18 min |
| Oct 11, 8:46 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Holt | 29 min |
| Oct 11, 8:49 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Keya Paha | 56 min |
| Oct 11, 8:58 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Holt | 4 hr |
| Oct 11, 9:02 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Holt, Wheeler | 54 min |
| Oct 11, 9:42 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Garfield | 48 min |
| Oct 11, 9:56 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | LBF | Holt, Wheeler | 2 hr |
| Oct 11, 10:37 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Holt, Rock | 3 hr |
| Oct 11, 10:49 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Lincoln | 56 min |
| Oct 11, 11:58 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Sherman | 47 min |
| Oct 12, 12:04 AM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Holt, Wheeler | 2 hr |
| Oct 12, 2:45 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | McPherson | 45 min |
| Oct 12, 10:35 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Rock | 40 min |
| Oct 12, 11:26 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Frontier | 49 min |
| Oct 12, 11:49 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Frontier | 24 min |
| Oct 12, 11:51 AM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Custer | 6 hr |
| Oct 12, 12:12 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Lincoln | 48 min |
| Oct 12, 12:39 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Lincoln | 51 min |
| Oct 12, 12:41 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Lincoln | 49 min |
| Oct 12, 12:42 PM MDT | Winter Weather Advisory | LBF | Sheridan | 13 hr |
| Oct 12, 12:51 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Blaine, Custer, Loup | 6 hr |
| Oct 12, 1:46 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Blaine, Custer, Loup | 5 hr |
| Oct 12, 1:57 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | LBF | Blaine, Custer, Loup | 9 hr |
| Oct 12, 2:25 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Custer, Garfield, Loup | 5 hr |
| Oct 12, 2:35 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Garfield, Holt, Loup, Rock | 6 hr |
| Oct 12, 2:39 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Boyd, Brown, Holt, Keya Paha, Rock | 6 hr |
| Oct 12, 2:58 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | LBF | Garfield | 47 min |
| Oct 12, 4:17 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LBF | Brown, Cherry, Keya Paha | 6 hr |
Nearby
High Wind Warnings in Nebraska, 2023Every high wind warning in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.