Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2023

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Jackson, KY

July 18, 2023Breathitt County, Magoffin County, Wolfe County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 18, 2023, 4:48 PM EDT for Breathitt County, Magoffin County, Wolfe County, Kentucky. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2023, 4:48 PM EDT (20:48 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2023, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Breathitt County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Wolfe County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 168 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
168 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-208 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1106 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 18, 3:51 PM EDT, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 3:51 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 3:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
301 PM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-080-085>088-104-106>120-191200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-
Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville,
Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
301 PM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible at times through tonight, some of which
could bring gusty winds, hail, and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are expected at times Wednesday through Friday
evening. There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms over eastern
Kentucky on Saturday afternoon, and area wide on Monday afternoon.
Locally heavy rainfall is possible Wednesday through Thursday night.
Some storms may also contain strong winds or hail on Thursday and
Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of storm damage,
hail, or flooding today.

KYZ079-083-084-191200-
Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, Monticello, Stearns,
and Whitley City
301 PM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 511 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible at times through tonight, some of which
could bring damaging winds, large hail, and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible at times Wednesday through Friday
evening. There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms over eastern
Kentucky on Saturday afternoon, and area wide on Monday afternoon.
Locally heavy rainfall is possible Wednesday through Thursday night.
Some storms may also contain strong winds or hail on Thursday and
Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of storm damage,
hail, or flooding today.

VORST/GEERTSON

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 3:05 PM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
305 PM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

KYZ068-069-079-080-181945-
Jackson KY-Rockcastle KY-Laurel KY-Pulaski KY-
305 PM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Laurel, north central Pulaski, western Jackson and Rockcastle
Counties through 345 PM EDT...

At 305 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northwest of Bee Lick, or 15 miles east of Liberty, moving east
at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Bandy around 315 PM EDT.
  Indian Lakes Park, Gum Sulphur, Ottowa, Bee Lick, Quail and
  Willailla around 320 PM EDT.
  Maretburg, Spiro, Bromo and Wabp around 325 PM EDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Hiatt, Lake
Linville, Renfro Valley, Sand Springs, Mount Vernon, Hummel, Wildie,
Muellersville, Roundstone, Orlando, Flat Rock, Burr, Conway, Pine
Hill, Bummer, Dudley Station, Climax, Donaro, Withers, Sinks,
Disputanta, Gauley, Johnetta, Goochland, Cooksburg, Loam, Robinet,
Threelinks, Eglon, Jep Hill, Dango and Horse Lick.

THIS INCLUDES Interstate 75 in east central Kentucky between mile
markers 54 and 71.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
south central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3736 8456 3733 8451 3734 8450 3748 8444
      3747 8438 3750 8435 3751 8436 3751 8426
      3752 8425 3755 8401 3728 8398 3728 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 265DEG 35KT 3738 8466

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CMC
Special weather statement, Jul 18, 3:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
336 PM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

KYZ044-050-051-058-059-182000-
Montgomery KY-Estill KY-Bath KY-Fleming KY-Powell KY-
336 PM EDT Tue Jul 18 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Powell,
Montgomery, western Bath, northwestern Estill and central Fleming
Counties through 400 PM EDT...

At 336 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles east of Paris to near Winchester to
near Richmond. Movement was east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Klondike, Prewitt, Wades Mill, Levee, Grassy Lick and Sideview
  around 345 PM EDT.
  Mount Sterling, Camargo, Sharpsburg, Gatewoods Station, Palmer,
  Fox and Judy around 350 PM EDT.
  Jeffersonville, Howards Mill, Cressy, Upper Spencer, Coons
  Station, Lower Spencer, Bethel, Iron Mound, Oggs Station and
  Ewington around 355 PM EDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Owingsville, Clay
City, Sherburne, Peeled Oak, Virden, Powell Valley, Crooks, Kendall
Springs, Preston and Waltersville.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 13 and 18.
 Interstate 64 in eastern Kentucky between mile markers 105 and 123.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3809 8370 3770 8405 3770 8409 3775 8408
      3778 8411 3781 8408 3781 8412 3784 8410
      3784 8408 3782 8407 3785 8406 3783 8400
      3787 8403 3787 8402 3793 8397 3812 8408
      3830 8385 3835 8386 3835 8387 3839 8375
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 249DEG 40KT 3820 8414 3798 8411 3777 8429

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

VORST
Special weather statement, Jul 18, 4:08 PM EDT, 40 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 10:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBath, Fleming, Rowan45 min
Jul 17, 11:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBath, Elliott, Fleming, Menifee, Rowan34 min
Jul 18, 3:33 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLWolfe27 min
Jul 18, 4:48 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne27 min
Jul 18, 5:14 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLaurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle46 min
Jul 18, 5:56 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLWhitley34 min
Jul 18, 6:29 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLWhitley16 min
Jul 18, 3:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJackson, Rockcastle40 min
Jul 18, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley, Rockcastle43 min
Jul 18, 3:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBath, Montgomery24 min
Jul 18, 3:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell and 1 more34 min
Jul 18, 4:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Estill, Jackson, Lee, Menifee, Montgomery and 4 more42 min
Jul 18, 4:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBath, Fleming, Montgomery, Rowan37 min
Jul 18, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJohnson, Magoffin30 min
Jul 18, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatJKLBreathitt, Lee, Owsley, Wolfe21 min
Jul 18, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Leslie, Owsley, Perry26 min
Jul 18, 4:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan and 1 more43 min
Jul 18, 4:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLLeslie, Perry35 min
Jul 18, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Johnson, Knott, Magoffin, Martin and 1 more39 min
Jul 18, 5:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLJohnson36 min
Jul 18, 5:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJohnson, Magoffin, Martin, Morgan28 min
Jul 18, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Martin, Pike24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2023Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.