Alert archive / Kentucky / River Flood Advisories in 2023

River Flood Advisory 21, NWS Jackson, KY

April 1, 2023Lee County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this river flood advisory at Apr 1, 2023, 8:46 AM EDT for Lee County, Kentucky. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 1, 2023, 8:46 AM EDT (12:46 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 2023, 8:38 AM EDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Lee County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kentucky River at Heidelberg (HLDK2). The gauge peaked at 18.46 ft at Apr 2, 2023, 4:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate1015202504/0104/0204/0304/04
Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03282000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

031 
WGUS83 KJKL 011246
FLSJKL

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Jackson KY
846 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood 
Advisory for the following rivers in Kentucky...

  Kentucky River near Ravenna affecting Estill County.

  Kentucky River at Heidelberg affecting Lee County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternative route.

The next statement will be issued by 8 PM EDT this evening.

&&


KYC065-020100-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.Y.0022.230401T1246Z-230404T1200Z/
/RAVK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.

* WHERE...Kentucky River near Ravenna.

* WHEN...From this morning to Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Low lying areas flood. Red Lick Road, 
  Millers Creek Road, Dark Hollow Road, and Noland Creek Road flood 
  in several places.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 16.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of around
    20.8 feet late tonight or early Sunday morning, before
    beginning to recede.
  - Action stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

KYC129-020100-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.Y.0021.230401T1246Z-230404T0000Z/
/HLDK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.

* WHERE...Kentucky River at Heidelberg.

* WHEN...From this morning to Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Low lying areas flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 15.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of around
    18.7 feet tonight, before beginning to recede.
  - Action stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

JP
5 follow-up statements
120 
WGUS83 KJKL 011836
FLSJKL

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Jackson KY
236 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Kentucky River near Ravenna affecting Estill County.

  Kentucky River at Heidelberg affecting Lee County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternative route.

The next statement will be issued 1130 PM this evening.

&&


KYC065-020645-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-230404T1200Z/
/RAVK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
236 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by runoff from excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Kentucky River near Ravenna.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Low lying areas flood. Red Lick Road, 
  Millers Creek Road, Dark Hollow Road, and Noland Creek Road flood 
  in several places.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 17.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.8
    feet on Sunday, and then begin to recede.
  - Action stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

KYC129-020645-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230404T0000Z/
/HLDK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
236 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by runoff from excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Kentucky River at Heidelberg.

* WHEN...Until Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Low lying areas flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 17.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of around
    18.9 feet on Sunday morning, and then begin to recede.
  - Action stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

JP
011 
WGUS83 KJKL 020310
FLSJKL

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1110 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Kentucky River near Ravenna affecting Estill County.

  Kentucky River at Heidelberg affecting Lee County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternative route.

The next statement will be issued by 11 am EDT.

&&


KYC065-021515-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-230404T0600Z/
/RAVK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...High water caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Kentucky River near Ravenna.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Low lying areas flood. Red Lick Road, 
  Millers Creek Road, Dark Hollow Road, and Noland Creek Road flood 
  in several places.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 19.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.6
    feet early tomorrow afternoon.
  - Action stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

KYC129-021515-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230403T1800Z/
/HLDK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...High water caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Kentucky River at Heidelberg.

* WHEN...Until early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Low lying areas flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 18.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.5
    feet tomorrow morning.
  - Action stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

GREIF
748 
WGUS83 KJKL 021452
FLSJKL

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1052 AM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Kentucky River near Ravenna affecting Estill County.

  Kentucky River at Heidelberg affecting Lee County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternative route.

The next statement will be issued by 11 PM EDT.

&&


KYC065-030330-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-230404T0600Z/
/RAVK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...High water caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Kentucky River near Ravenna.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Low lying areas flood. Red Lick Road, 
  Millers Creek Road, Dark Hollow Road, and Noland Creek Road flood 
  in several places.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 19.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is near crest and will begin to recede
    this afternoon and is expected to continue to recede over the
    next few days.
  - Action stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

KYC129-030330-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230403T1800Z/
/HLDK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...High water caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Kentucky River at Heidelberg.

* WHEN...Until early Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Low lying areas flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 18.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is receding and will continue to recede.
  - Action stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

JP
831 
WGUS83 KJKL 030329
FLSJKL

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1129 PM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Kentucky River near Ravenna affecting Estill County.

  Kentucky River at Heidelberg affecting Lee County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternative route.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

The next statement will be issued 11 am EDT.

&&


KYC065-031530-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-230404T0600Z/
/RAVK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1129 PM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...High water caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Kentucky River near Ravenna.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:15 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 18.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 13.0 feet Friday
    morning.
  - Action stage is 17.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3788 8405 3769 8385 3763 8392 3779 8411


$$

KYC129-031530-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230403T1800Z/
/HLDK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1129 PM EDT Sun Apr 2 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...High water caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...Kentucky River at Heidelberg.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 16.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 11.6 feet Friday
    morning.
  - Action stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

GREIF
382 
WGUS83 KJKL 031238
FLSJKL

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Jackson KY
838 AM EDT Mon Apr 3 2023

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Kentucky River at Heidelberg affecting Lee County.

KYC129-031345-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-230403T1238Z/
/HLDK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM EDT Mon Apr 3 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  the Kentucky River at Heidelberg.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM EDT Monday the stage was 16.0 feet.
  - This will be the last statement at Heidelberg for this event.
  - Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 11.6 feet
    Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3769 8385 3757 8366 3750 8373 3763 8392


$$

VORST

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Apr 1, 7:50 AM EDT, 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 1, 7:50 AM EDT, 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
750 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

.UPDATE...
Issued at 750 AM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

Showers and storms have generally ended across Eastern Kentucky
this morning. As such, have removed the mention of thunder and
any lingering showers in the far east will be out within the next
hour. Clear skies are filling in nicely, before lower clouds
return later this afternoon into tonight. Have refined sky grids
to better match the latest satellite trends. Have also loaded and
blended in the latest T/Td/Wind obs for consistency. Updated grids
along with a new set of zones/radio products have been sent out.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 458 AM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

Convection really grew upscale through Central Kentucky early this
morning, forming a QLCS which has tracked through the CWA.
Fortunately, the last of activity will shift out of Eastern Kentucky
this morning with generally isolated thunderstorm chances that could
bring down some gusty winds ahead of the cold frontal boundary
before 12z. In behind this initial front, clearing skies are filling
in across west and Central Kentucky, finding us briefly into mid day.

The next focus becomes strong to damaging environmental winds driven
by a tight pressure gradient and strong LLJ. HREF means suggest 50-
60 mph surface gusts mid morning through mid afternoon for our
northern half of counties along with BUFKIT mean momentum transfer
values as high as 60 kts in some guidance. As such, will continue
the High Wind Warning as is, with a Wind Advisory elsewhere through
this afternoon. Sustained winds of 20-30 mph with gusts up to 60+
mph are expected, with the highest of these values across elevated
and exposed locations in the SE along Virginia into the afternoon.
As the low traverses further north and east today, winds will
slacken into the overnight, becoming light by Sunday morning.
Outside of the wind threat, a secondary cold front is expected to
drop southeast out of the Midwest and Mid Mississippi Valley, where
lingering low level moisture along the base of the upper level
trough could bring isolated shower to sprinkle chances in the north.
Low level clouds will fill back in because of a frontal inversion
setup and sub 700mb moist layer into the afternoon and through the
night.

Given the secondary cold front passing this afternoon, temperatures
are expected to fall the latter half of the day where overnight lows
will be tricky. Given the low clouds hampering in a portion of the
area, lows will likely be fairly uniform for the northeastern two
thirds of the CWA, in the low to mid 30s. More optimistic in the SW,
as coverage won't be as thick and a better opportunity for
ridge/valley splits will present itself. Either way, areas of frost
will be likely into Sunday morning, so sensitive vegetation should
be tended to and covered overnight. Into Sunday, upper level heights
rebound and surface high pressure settles in across the Tennessee
Valley. Mostly sunny skies with near seasonable highs will close out
the weekend.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 443 AM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

The period will start with zonal flow punctuated by a shortwave
trough rippling through to our south. The GFS, NAM, and ECMWF all
have the feature, but show differences in timing and latitude.
Any rain would be minimal, and with the uncertainties, have used a
20% POP on Monday (but it may need to be added to Sunday night).

As the shortwave passes by, larger scale changes will be taking
place, with the flow aloft starting to buckle. A western CONUS
trough is expected to be in place by Tuesday, inducing ridging
further east. Warm air advection will be occurring on the east
side of the trough, bringing moisture north off the gulf. A potent
upper low lifting northeast from the central Rockies will support
another intense surface low which will track across the upper
Midwest at midweek. Its trailing cold front should pass through KY
on Wednesday and Wednesday evening. The open gulf, upper level
support of the approaching upper trough, and the cold front will
all work to support precip for our area. The POP will increase
Tuesday into Wednesday, with thunderstorms also a possibility as
instability builds in the warm sector ahead of the cold front.

A break in precip is forecast behind the cold front from late
Thursday into Thursday night. However, the front will stall across
the Deep South, with moisture overrunning its north side. At this
longer time range, model agreement begins to degrade, but both the
ECMWF and GFS show a northern stream impulse aloft heading
southeast across the Midwest and possibly reacting with a weak
southern stream perturbation aloft closer to the front. This could
draw deep moisture back north over KY, and chance POPs were used
to finish the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
ISSUED AT 750 AM EDT SAT APR 1 2023

VFR conditions will begin as of TAF issuance, as clear skies build
in from west to east through the morning. Winds will significantly
pick up during this time out of the southwest to west, blowing
between 15 and 25 kts with gusts of 35 to 45 kts late morning
through the afternoon. Low clouds will also begin filling back in
as a secondary cold front passes through today. The post frontal
inversion will lock in low level moisture, and reduced ceilings in
the MVFR category should be expected for all but SME and possibly
LOZ this evening into tonight. Winds will also begin to slacken
during this time, generally blowing at less than 10 kts after 5z
Sunday. As drier air sinks into the lower levels, ceilings should
scatter out, returning to the VFR category by periods end.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for KYZ044-050>052-059-
060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120.

High Wind Warning until 6 PM EDT this evening for KYZ044-050>052-
059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120.

Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for KYZ058-068-069-079-
080-083>088-111-114>117.

&&

UPDATE...BB
SHORT TERM...BB
LONG TERM...HAL
AVIATION...BB
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 1, 8:17 AM EDT, 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
817 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-112-113-118>120-021230-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-
Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City,
Pikeville, and South Williamson
817 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Wind gusts of 40 to 55 mph are expected, especially behind a cold
front, which will pass during the late morning and early afternoon.
Gusts to around 60 mph are possible, mainly in areas of more open
terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Winds will diminish early this
evening.

The threat of frost will return late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Frost is possible early on Sunday morning.

Warmer and more unsettled weather returns next week, with a renewed
threat for thunderstorms Tuesday through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any wind damage that occurs today.

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-114>117-021230-
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-
Bell-Harlan-Lee-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon,
McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro,
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Beattyville, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, and Hyden
817 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected, especially behind a cold
front, which will pass during the late morning and early afternoon.
Locally higher gusts will be possible, mainly in areas of more open
terrain and on the higher ridgetops. Winds will diminish early this
evening.

The threat of frost will return late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Frost is possible early on Sunday morning.

Warmer and more unsettled weather returns next week, with a renewed
threat for thunderstorms Tuesday through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any wind damage that occurs today.

BB/HAL/JP

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 1, 3:57 AM EDT, 4 hours 49 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
357 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ112>117-010845-
Clay KY-Breathitt KY-Perry KY-Knott KY-Owsley KY-Leslie KY-
357 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Owsley,
northern Leslie, Perry, Knott, southwestern Breathitt and
northeastern Clay Counties through 445 AM EDT...

At 356 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Brutus, or 12 miles northwest of Hyden, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Saul, Dalesburg and Morris Fork around 400 AM EDT.
  Buckhorn, Shoal, Buckhorn Lake S.P., Confluence, Kaliopi, Gays
  Creek, Dryhill, Beech and Thousandsticks around 405 AM EDT.
  Krypton, Mosley Bend, Toulouse, Chavies, Lamont, Barwick, Bush
  Branch, Altro, Wolf Coal and Wooton around 410 AM EDT.
  Hazard, Dice, Avawam and Ned around 415 AM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for southeastern
Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3705 8386 3746 8351 3750 8294 3748 8292
      3747 8284 3727 8281 3725 8287 3720 8291
      3719 8296 3718 8298 3719 8301 3718 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 0756Z 259DEG 49KT 3726 8356

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Apr 1, 4:01 AM EDT, 4 hours 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
401 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ086-115>117-010845-
Clay KY-Knox KY-Perry KY-Leslie KY-
401 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Knox,
Leslie, southeastern Perry and southern Clay Counties through 445 AM
EDT...

At 401 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fount, or 9 miles northeast of Barbourville, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Salt Gum, Ogle and Scalf around 405 AM EDT.
  Ice Cliff, Brightshade, Lipps, Erose, Mills, Plank, Botto and
  Goose Rock around 410 AM EDT.
  Skidmore, Ashers Fork, Queendale, Gardner, Spring Creek,
  Creekville, Sandy Fork and Marcum around 415 AM EDT.
  Roark, Essie, Warbranch and Spruce Pine around 420 AM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
and southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3703 8390 3705 8387 3707 8388 3722 8303
      3720 8300 3712 8306 3708 8304 3705 8307
      3702 8306 3700 8310 3702 8318 3691 8340
      3690 8350 3692 8349 3694 8351 3695 8359
      3694 8357 3691 8358 3689 8362 3686 8386
TIME...MOT...LOC 0801Z 259DEG 49KT 3697 8379

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Apr 1, 4:15 AM EDT, 4 hours 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
415 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ084>088-115-117-118-010900-
McCreary KY-Whitley KY-Knox KY-Perry KY-Bell KY-Harlan KY-Letcher KY-
Leslie KY-
415 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Harlan, Bell, Knox,
southwestern Letcher, southern Leslie, southern Perry, southeastern
McCreary and Whitley Counties through 500 AM EDT...

At 415 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Wilton, or 8 miles west of Barbourville, moving east at 70 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Emmanuel, Lowell, Bentley Station, Baileys Switch, Swanpond,
  Garrich and Hubbs around 420 AM EDT.
  Barbourville, Hinkle, Yeager, Bimble, Cannon, Heidrick, Girdler,
  Baughman, Boone Heights and Green Road around 425 AM EDT.
  Barnyard, Scalf, Salt Gum, Hammond, Walker and Dewitt around 430
  AM EDT.
  Erose, Mills, Field and Rella around 435 AM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for south central
and southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 8463 3692 8416 3698 8367 3694 8351
      3700 8352 3707 8286 3688 8289 3685 8301
      3685 8307 3674 8314 3667 8343 3667 8353
      3658 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0815Z 255DEG 60KT 3686 8404

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Apr 1, 4:16 AM EDT, 4 hours 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
416 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ107-109-110-112-113-119-120-010900-
Breathitt KY-Martin KY-Floyd KY-Pike KY-Knott KY-Johnson KY-
Magoffin KY-
416 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Martin, Johnson,
northwestern Knott, Floyd, central Breathitt, northwestern Pike and
Magoffin Counties through 500 AM EDT...

At 416 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Foraker, or 9 miles southwest of Salyersville, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Carver Station, Tiptop and Lakesville around 420 AM EDT.
  Mason, Swampton, Royalton, Carver, Conley Station, Marshallville,
  Sublett, West Royalton Station, Skaggs and Duco around 425 AM EDT.
  Brainard, Gypsy, Gapville, Riceville, Swamp Branch, Orchard,
  Pyramid and Gunlock around 430 AM EDT.
  Dotson, Blue River, Bonanza, Dock, Dobson, Leander and Patrick
  around 435 AM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3752 8223 3744 8346 3788 8308 3786 8301
      3790 8299 3789 8296 3797 8299 3800 8296
      3788 8262 3789 8260 3795 8258 3796 8253
      3790 8247 3791 8247 3788 8242 3781 8240
      3776 8231 3774 8233 3767 8230 3764 8222
TIME...MOT...LOC 0816Z 264DEG 50KT 3763 8315

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Apr 1, 4:26 AM EDT, 4 hours 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
426 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ088-113-118-120-010915-
Pike KY-Knott KY-Harlan KY-Letcher KY-
426 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Harlan, Letcher,
southern Knott and southern Pike Counties through 515 AM EDT...

At 426 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Daisy, or 9 miles south of Hazard, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Vicco, Ulvah, Bluefield, Banks, Sassafras, Wiscoal and Anco around
  430 AM EDT.
  Letcher, Blackey, Elko, Indian Bottom, Red Star, Carcassonne,
  David, Roxana, Arminta and Gander around 435 AM EDT.
  Bath, Hot Spot, Premium, Van, Trailer, Jeremiah, Oscaloosa, Isom,
  Ice and Tillie around 440 AM EDT.
  Whitesburg, Bellcraft, Southdown, Marlowe, Crown, Colly, Ermine,
  Whitco, Polly and Dongola around 445 AM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3694 8333 3700 8323 3700 8310 3703 8305
      3712 8306 3720 8300 3724 8313 3732 8311
      3736 8276 3729 8270 3737 8266 3743 8212
      3727 8235 3712 8272 3705 8272 3698 8287
      3688 8289 3685 8307 3674 8314 3670 8336
TIME...MOT...LOC 0826Z 264DEG 49KT 3712 8313

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF
Special weather statement, Apr 1, 4:41 AM EDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
441 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

KYZ110-113-120-010945-
Floyd KY-Pike KY-Knott KY-
441 AM EDT Sat Apr 1 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Knott,
southern Floyd and Pike Counties through 545 AM EDT...

At 440 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mousie, or 8 miles northeast of Hindman, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Demo, Dry Creek and Halo around 445 AM EDT.
  Wheelwright, Orkney, East McDowell, Craynor, Price, McDowell, Hi
  Hat, Buckhorn Hollow, Minnie and Drift around 450 AM EDT.
  Galveston, Beaver, Osborn, Grethel, Boldman, Aluba, Harold and
  Virgie around 455 AM EDT.
  Pikeville, Coal Run Village and Coal Run around 500 AM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3726 8236 3731 8294 3749 8297 3749 8293
      3750 8291 3765 8222 3762 8221 3762 8219
      3765 8218 3762 8218 3758 8213 3757 8214
      3755 8213 3756 8208 3753 8205 3755 8204
      3754 8202 3754 8197
TIME...MOT...LOC 0840Z 264DEG 49KT 3741 8286

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

GREIF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 1, 1:58 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLFleming, Rowan47 min
Apr 1, 2:05 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBath, Menifee, Montgomery55 min
Apr 1, 2:08 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLMcCreary, Pulaski, Wayne67 min
Apr 1, 2:10 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLEstill, Jackson, Menifee, Powell, Rockcastle65 min
Apr 1, 2:42 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne33 min
Apr 1, 2:45 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBath, Elliott, Rowan60 min
Apr 1, 2:50 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMcCreary, Pulaski, Wayne, Whitley25 min
Apr 1, 3:01 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLElliott, Johnson, Menifee, Morgan59 min
Apr 1, 3:09 AM EDTTornado WarningJKLKnox, Laurel, McCreary, Wayne, Whitley36 min
Apr 1, 3:16 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBell, Clay, Knox, Laurel, Leslie, McCreary and 1 more59 min
Apr 1, 3:18 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBreathitt, Clay, Estill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley and 3 more57 min
Apr 1, 3:38 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKLLaurel, Pulaski3 hr
Apr 1, 3:45 AM EDTTornado WarningJKLClay, Knox, Laurel30 min
Apr 1, 3:57 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLClay, Knott, Perry48 min
Apr 1, 4:01 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLKnox, Leslie44 min
Apr 1, 4:08 AM EDTTornado WarningJKLClay, Leslie, Letcher, Perry37 min
Apr 1, 4:15 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBell, Harlan, Knox, Whitley45 min
Apr 1, 4:16 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Martin44 min
Apr 1, 4:26 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLHarlan, Letcher49 min
Apr 1, 4:33 AM EDTTornado WarningJKLFloyd, Knott, Letcher, Perry, Pike17 min
Apr 1, 4:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKLPike64 min
Apr 1, 8:46 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKLEstill54 hr

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in Kentucky, 2023Every river flood advisory in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.