Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2023

Tornado Warning 9, NWS Jackson, MS

January 3, 2023Clarke County, Jasper County, Jones County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Jan 3, 2023, 10:46 PM CST for Clarke County, Jasper County, Jones County, Mississippi. It was in force for 59 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 3, 2023, 10:46 PM CST (04:46 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2023, 11:45 PM CST
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.5 in

Counties Clarke County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jones County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 3, 10:47 PM CSTTORNADO2 S Sharon, MSCORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 2 S SHARON. AN EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR TOM BEN ROAD AND CLIFTON WALKER ROAD AND MOVED NE. MULTIPLE TREES WERE UPROOTED AND SNAPPED IN THE AREA ALONG WITH MANY BRANCHES BROKEN. ONE HOME SUFFERED MINOR ROOFTOP DAMAGE A
Jan 3, 11:04 PM CSTHAIL 1.253 W Heidelberg, MSLARGER THAN QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED OUTSIDE OF HEIDELBERG. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Jan 3, 11:20 PM CSTTSTM WND DMG1 Sse Harmony, MSTREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED NEAR THE HARMONY COMMUNITY.
Jan 3, 11:20 PM CSTHAIL 14 Nne Harmony, MSREPORTED IN THE ELWOOD COMMUNITY, REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this tornado warning; the first came 1 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 3, 5:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2023-01-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1753 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2023-01-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 135 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1753 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
666 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
273 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.8
Supercell composite
9.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

439 
WFUS54 KJAN 040446
TORJAN
MSC023-061-067-040545-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0009.230104T0446Z-230104T0545Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1046 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern Jasper County in east central Mississippi...
  Clarke County in east central Mississippi...
  Northeastern Jones County in southeastern Mississippi...

* Until 1145 PM CST.
    
* At 1046 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
  tornado was located over Sandersville, or 7 miles northeast of
  Laurel, moving northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Sandersville around 1050 PM CST.
  Heidelberg around 1100 PM CST.
  Stafford Springs around 1105 PM CST.
  Goodwater and Barnett around 1110 PM CST.
  De Soto around 1120 PM CST.
  Quitman around 1125 PM CST.
  Sykes and Crandall around 1135 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Shubuta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 8847 3184 8872 3183 8894 3176 8894
      3170 8909 3179 8918 3220 8868 3201 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0446Z 238DEG 39KT 3177 8908 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$

NF
3 follow-up statements
610 
WWUS54 KJAN 040509
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1109 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSC067-040518-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-230104T0545Z/
Jones MS-
1109 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
southeastern and east central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3193 8847 3184 8871 3182 8898 3191 8904
      3220 8868 3201 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0508Z 237DEG 39KT 3187 8891 

$$

MSC023-061-040545-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-230104T0545Z/
Jasper MS-Clarke MS-
1109 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN JASPER AND CLARKE COUNTIES...
    
At 1108 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Stafford Springs, or 16 miles southwest of Quitman,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  De Soto around 1125 PM CST.
  Quitman around 1130 PM CST.
  Sykes and Crandall around 1140 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Shubuta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 8847 3184 8871 3182 8898 3191 8904
      3220 8868 3201 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0508Z 237DEG 39KT 3187 8891 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

NF
896 
WWUS54 KJAN 040522
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1122 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSC061-040531-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-230104T0545Z/
Jasper MS-
1122 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
east central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3183 8881 3196 8891 3201 8891 3220 8868
      3201 8846 3193 8847 3184 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 0521Z 240DEG 39KT 3192 8874 

$$

MSC023-040545-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-230104T0545Z/
Clarke MS-
1122 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
CLARKE COUNTY...
    
At 1121 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near De Soto, or 8 miles south of Quitman, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  De Soto around 1125 PM CST.
  Quitman around 1130 PM CST.
  Crandall and Sykes around 1140 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Shubuta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3183 8881 3196 8891 3201 8891 3220 8868
      3201 8846 3193 8847 3184 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 0521Z 240DEG 39KT 3192 8874 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

NF
768 
WWUS54 KJAN 040540
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1140 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSC023-040550-
/O.EXP.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-230104T0545Z/
Clarke MS-
1140 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL CLARKE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 1145
PM CST...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
and gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
east central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3183 8881 3196 8891 3201 8891 3220 8868
      3201 8846 3193 8847 3184 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 0540Z 237DEG 34KT 3197 8858 

$$

NF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jan 3, 8:11 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 8:11 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
811 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 748 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

The forecast remains unchanged; a severe thunderstorm watch
remains in effect until midnight for the southeast half of our
CWA,as well as flash flood watch until 2am. The severe
thunderstorm watch had been extended to cover northeast counties.
Across the area 1 to 5 inches of precipitation has fallen so far,
expect this number to increase throughout the night. Localized
flash flooding across the CWA will be possible with such high
rainfall totals. A cold front continues to be in the forecast
pushing storms and showers out of the CWA by midnight to early
morning. Overnight lows are expected to dip into the high 40s in
the west and the mid to high 60s in the east. Tomorrow skies will
be clear with high temperatures climbing into the 60s to low
70s./KP/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 324 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

Tonight and Tomorrow...

Heading into tonight, a few areas could see some lingering showers
and thunderstorms as this remaining convection continues to track
east towards Alabama. With this in mind, models have highlighted
possible redevelopment with these storms across the Pine Belt with
some of these storms dropping around 2-4 inches of additional
rainfall. In response to this, we have decided to continue to
advertise a "Elevated" threat for localized flashing flooding across
the Pine Belt. Guidance continues to highlight an approaching cold
front making its way across the region as we head into the overnight
hours. This combined with the ongoing overcast conditions should
cause overnight lows to dip into the mid to upper 50s across most of
the region. Quiet conditions should prevail heading into tomorrow as
skies begin to clear heading into the afternoon. With skies expected
to clear around this time frame, daytime heating should allow for
afternoon temperatures to peak into the upper 60s and low 70s across
our CWA. /CRJ/

Wednesday night through Monday: Come Wednesday evening the closed
low will still be spinning over the Great Lakes region and a
shortwave rounding its base wl be shifting east across our CWA. This
shortwave will have little moisture to work with and dry weather
Wednesday night is expected to continue through Friday night.
Although the shortwave trough wl continue shifting east of
Mississippi Thursday, it will take until midday Friday for the
closed low to shift over the New England states. In the meantime, a
>1024mb surface high will become centered over our CWA from the west
by Friday morning. This will help result in the coldest night of the
forecast period, Thursday night with low temperatures bottoming out
near normal in the mid to upper 30s. This surface high will shift
east through Friday night as a shortwave drops over the central
CONUS and helps develop a surface low over the central Plains. This
weak surface low will slide east to the Tennessee valley by Saturday
evening and drop a weak cold front toward our northwest zones. The
chance for light showers will develop Saturday morning in the west
ahead of the approaching cold front and rain chances will continue
across our CWA until Monday. There are differences in the models
with the surface low but consensus has the front nearly along the
Natchez Trace by Sunday morning. Another shortwave trough will help
develop a surface low that will track southwest to northeast across
our CWA along the nearly stationary cold front Sunday. This system
is expected to finally push the cold front through our CWA Sunday
night. Dry weather looks to return Monday and continue through
Monday night. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 511 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

A resurgence of showers and storms will cause sites PIB, MEI and
HBG to bounce from VFR to MVFR cigs and vis. For a brief period
from 4z to 7z cigs and vis will drop to IFR conditions. Storms
will move from west to east being pushed out of the area or dying
out by 12z to 15z tomorrow at which point all TAF sites will be
in VFR conditions. Winds will shift from southerly to westerly as
the front moves through. Winds will be mild overnight with 5-10kt
sustained winds and 12-17kt gusts. A period of low to moderate
low-level wind shear will be possible through 9z at far east TAF
sites./KP/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       52  69  43  61 /  70   0   0   0
Meridian      56  70  44  62 /  90  10   0   0
Vicksburg     50  69  41  62 /  20   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   59  73  46  66 /  90  10   0   0
Natchez       51  70  43  63 /  40   0   0   0
Greenville    49  62  40  58 /  10   0   0   0
Greenwood     51  64  40  58 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flood Watch until 10 PM CST this evening for MSZ063>066-072>074.

LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

CR/22/NF/KP
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 3, 1:13 PM CST, 9 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-MSZ018-019-034-041915-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Bolivar-Sunflower-
Washington-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

MSZ028-029-032-037-042-047-041915-
Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-Attala-Yazoo-Warren-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, severe storms are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 60
mph and large hail up to golf ball size. A brief tornado or two
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ026-MSZ030-031-033-038-039-043>046-048>062-041915-
Concordia-Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Madison MS-Leake-
Neshoba-Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-
Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, severe storms are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to 60
mph and large hail up to golf ball size. A brief tornado or two
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, additional heavy rain
fall in a short amount of time will make localized flash flooding
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ009-016-023-MSZ025>027-035-036-040-041-041915-
East Carroll-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, isolated severe
thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ024-025-041915-
Catahoula-Tensas-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, isolated severe
thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, additional heavy rain
fall in a short amount of time will make localized flash flooding
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ063>065-041915-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, severe thunderstorms
and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Additional heavy rainfall of several inches in a short amount of
time this afternoon through this evening will likely lead to
areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ066-072>074-041915-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
113 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

The rest of this afternoon through this evening, severe
thunderstorms are likely. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds to 60 mph and hail up to golf balls. A brief
tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Additional heavy rainfall of several inches in a short amount of
time this afternoon through this evening will likely lead to
areas of flash flooding and some roads could be flooded or
closed. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high
water. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

0

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 3, 8:14 PM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
814 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSZ039-040245-
Noxubee MS-
814 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Noxubee
County through 845 PM CST...

At 814 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Prairie Point, or 11 miles southwest of Pickensville, moving
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Bigbee Valley around 825 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
northeastern and east central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3298 8834 3293 8854 3317 8864 3329 8831
      3328 8831
TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 233DEG 42KT 3312 8842

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

22
Local storm report, Jan 3, 8:26 PM CST, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
826 PM CST TUE JAN 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 NE GLADE              31.66N 89.10W
01/03/2023                   JONES              MS   PUBLIC

            FUNNEL SPOTTED JUST SOUTH OF LAUREL ALONG
            HWY 15.

&&

SS
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 8:51 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
851 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSZ057-058-040315-
Clarke MS-Jasper MS-
851 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Jasper
and northwestern Clarke Counties through 915 PM CST...

At 851 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Orange, or 12 miles west of Quitman, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Orange around 855 PM CST.
  Stonewall around 910 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Pachuta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
east central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3198 8895 3203 8904 3223 8887 3223 8873
      3210 8872
TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 231DEG 31KT 3204 8894

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CME
Local storm report, Jan 3, 9:52 PM CST, 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
952 PM CST TUE JAN 3 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0933 PM     HAIL             5 NE FOREST GROVE       32.77N 89.65W
01/03/2023  E0.88 INCH       LEAKE              MS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

CE
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 9:56 PM CST, 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
956 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSZ050-051-040445-
Scott MS-Newton MS-
956 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Newton
and central Scott Counties through 1045 PM CST...

At 955 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Morton, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Forest around 1010 PM CST.
  Hillsboro around 1015 PM CST.
  Steele around 1025 PM CST.
  Conehatta around 1035 PM CST.
  Prospect around 1040 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
central and east central Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3224 8964 3241 8971 3257 8927 3236 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 246DEG 29KT 3234 8964

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

22
Special weather statement, Jan 3, 10:09 PM CST, 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1009 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

MSZ072-073-040445-
Lamar MS-Marion MS-
1009 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Marion
and southwestern Lamar Counties through 1045 PM CST...

At 1009 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sandy Hook, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Pinebur around 1020 PM CST.
  Baxterville around 1025 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CST for
south central and southeastern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3103 8984 3125 8966 3107 8942 3101 8950
      3101 8955 3100 8955 3100 8983
TIME...MOT...LOC 0409Z 227DEG 34KT 3099 8972

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

NF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 3, 6:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Scott59 min
Jan 3, 6:10 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar65 min
Jan 3, 6:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams61 min
Jan 3, 6:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston43 min
Jan 3, 6:40 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANKemper50 min
Jan 3, 7:00 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANNeshoba45 min
Jan 3, 7:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha32 min
Jan 3, 7:10 PM CSTTornado WarningJANJones41 min
Jan 3, 7:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams57 min
Jan 3, 7:38 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah52 min
Jan 3, 7:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln59 min
Jan 3, 7:57 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWilkinson33 min
Jan 3, 8:11 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANHinds34 min
Jan 3, 8:14 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANNoxubee31 min
Jan 3, 8:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson42 min
Jan 3, 8:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw53 min
Jan 3, 8:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Lincoln24 min
Jan 3, 8:51 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke24 min
Jan 3, 9:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis53 min
Jan 3, 9:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake, Neshoba, Winston48 min
Jan 3, 9:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jasper, Jones58 min
Jan 3, 9:56 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANScott49 min
Jan 3, 10:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNoxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston58 min
Jan 3, 10:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Smith41 min
Jan 3, 10:09 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLamar36 min
Jan 3, 10:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha56 min
Jan 3, 10:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston52 min
Jan 3, 10:30 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANOktibbeha2 hr
Jan 3, 10:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Jones46 min
Jan 3, 10:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes, Noxubee33 min
Jan 3, 11:57 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke33 min
Jan 4, 12:00 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANForrest15 min
Jan 4, 10:37 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba69 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2023Every tornado warning in 2023Tornadoes in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.