Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2023

Tornado Warning 30, NWS Jackson, MS

March 24, 2023Carroll County, Montgomery County, Webster County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Mar 24, 2023, 9:17 PM CDT for Carroll County, Montgomery County, Webster County, Mississippi. It was in force for 58 min. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 24, 2023, 9:17 PM CDT (02:17 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2023, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Emergency
Tornado emergency
Tornado
Observed
Damage threat
Considerable
Hail
0.75 in

Counties Carroll County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Webster County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 24, 9:32 PM CDTTORNADO2 Ssw Winona, MSCORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 2 SSW WINONA. THERE WAS MAJOR DAMAGE TO HOMES ALONG US HIGHWAY 51, AND A CHURCH OFF OF HWY 51 WAS COMPLETELY DESTROYED.
Mar 24, 9:32 PM CDTTORNADO2 Ssw Winona, MSTHERE WAS MAJOR DAMAGE TO HOMES ALONG US HIGHWAY 51.
Mar 24, 9:33 PM CDTTORNADO1 Ssw Winona, MSCORRECTS TIME AND EVENT TYPE OF PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1 SSW WINONA. A PINE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ACROSS A ROAD 1.3 MILES SOUTH OF WINONA. REPORT AND PICTURE RELAYED VIA TWITTER. LIKELY TORNADO DAMAGE.
Mar 24, 9:34 PM CDTTORNADO2 Sse Winona, MSHOMES ALONG MISSISSIPPI HIGHWAY 407 BETWEEN TOM BIBBS ROAD AND ENTERPRISE DRIVE WERE HEAVILY DAMAGED.
Mar 24, 9:35 PM CDTTORNADO3 E Winona, MSCORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 3 E WINONA. TREES AND POWERLINES WERE BLOWN DOWN. ALSO MAJOR DAMAGE TO HOMES EAST OF WINONA ON US HIGHWAY 82.
Mar 24, 9:52 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw Winona, MSA PINE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ACROSS A ROAD 1.3 MILES SOUTH OF WINONA. REPORT AND PICTURE RELAYED VIA TWITTER. POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE.
Mar 24, 9:53 PM CDTTORNADO3 E Winona, MSTREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. POSSIBLE HOUSE DAMAGE EAST OF WINONA.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 6 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 15 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 24, 5:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2023-03-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 812 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2023-03-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 189 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
812 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1062 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
358 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.7
Supercell composite
7.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

145 
WFUS54 KJAN 250217
TORJAN
MSC015-097-155-250315-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0030.230325T0217Z-230325T0315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
917 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Eastern Carroll County in north central Mississippi...
  Webster County in north central Mississippi...
  Montgomery County in north central Mississippi...

* Until 1015 PM CDT.
        
* At 917 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado
  was located over Black Hawk, moving northeast at 55 mph.

  This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris 
           may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile 
           homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
           businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete 
           destruction is possible.

* The tornado will be near...
  Vaiden around 930 PM CDT.
  Winona around 935 PM CDT.
  Kilmichael around 945 PM CDT.
  Lodi and Sweatman around 950 PM CDT.
  Embry around 1000 PM CDT.
  Eupora and Bellefontaine around 1005 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Walthall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3353 8914 3353 8922 3350 8932 3347 8934
      3347 8936 3344 8941 3344 8945 3342 8945
      3327 8989 3358 8989 3368 8967 3368 8951
      3372 8951 3372 8919 3374 8919
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 242DEG 47KT 3335 8998 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

19
5 follow-up statements
584 
WWUS54 KJAN 250227
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
927 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

MSC015-097-155-250315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-230325T0315Z/
Carroll MS-Webster MS-Montgomery MS-
927 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR WINONA...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
CARROLL...WEBSTER AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...
        
At 926 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near Coila, or 9 miles southwest of Winona, moving northeast at 50
mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for WINONA! This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS 
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Vaiden around 930 PM CDT.
  Winona around 935 PM CDT.
  Kilmichael around 945 PM CDT.
  Lodi and Sweatman around 955 PM CDT.
  Embry around 1005 PM CDT.
  Eupora and Bellefontaine around 1010 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Walthall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. take
immediate tornado precautions. this is an emergency situation.

&&

LAT...LON 3353 8914 3353 8922 3350 8932 3347 8934
      3347 8936 3344 8941 3344 8945 3342 8945
      3327 8989 3358 8989 3368 8967 3368 8951
      3372 8951 3372 8919 3374 8919
TIME...MOT...LOC 0226Z 243DEG 43KT 3341 8986 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

19
742 
WWUS54 KJAN 250232
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
932 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

MSC015-097-155-250315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-230325T0315Z/
Carroll MS-Webster MS-Montgomery MS-
932 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR WINONA...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
CARROLL...WEBSTER AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...
        
At 932 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Winona, moving northeast at 60 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for WINONA! This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS 
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Kilmichael around 940 PM CDT.
  Lodi and Sweatman around 945 PM CDT.
  Eupora, Bellefontaine and Embry around 1000 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Walthall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. take
immediate tornado precautions. this is an emergency situation.

&&

LAT...LON 3353 8914 3353 8922 3350 8932 3347 8934
      3347 8936 3344 8941 3344 8945 3342 8945
      3327 8989 3358 8989 3368 8967 3368 8951
      3372 8951 3372 8919 3374 8919
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 242DEG 50KT 3346 8975 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

19
917 
WWUS54 KJAN 250243
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
943 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

MSC015-097-155-250315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-230325T0315Z/
Carroll MS-Webster MS-Montgomery MS-
943 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN CARROLL...WEBSTER AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...
        
At 942 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Lodi, or 10 miles northeast of Winona, moving northeast
at 65 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Embry around 955 PM CDT.
  Bellefontaine around 1000 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Walthall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3353 8914 3353 8922 3350 8932 3335 8989
      3358 8989 3368 8967 3368 8951 3372 8951
      3372 8919 3374 8919
TIME...MOT...LOC 0242Z 242DEG 56KT 3355 8957 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

19
115 
WWUS54 KJAN 250257
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
957 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

MSC015-250307-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-230325T0315Z/
Carroll MS-
957 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for central and
north central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3353 8914 3353 8922 3340 8970 3340 8971
      3342 8972 3342 8978 3363 8979 3368 8967
      3368 8951 3372 8951 3372 8919 3374 8919
TIME...MOT...LOC 0257Z 241DEG 42KT 3363 8940 

$$

MSC097-155-250315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-230325T0315Z/
Webster MS-Montgomery MS-
957 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR WEBSTER
AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...
    
At 957 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Embry, or 21 miles northeast of Winona, moving
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Bellefontaine around 1005 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Walthall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3353 8914 3353 8922 3340 8970 3340 8971
      3342 8972 3342 8978 3363 8979 3368 8967
      3368 8951 3372 8951 3372 8919 3374 8919
TIME...MOT...LOC 0257Z 241DEG 42KT 3363 8940 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

19
405 
WWUS54 KJAN 250300
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1000 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

MSC097-155-250315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-230325T0315Z/
Webster MS-Montgomery MS-
1000 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN WEBSTER AND NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...
    
At 1000 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Bellefontaine, or 22 miles west of Montpelier,
moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Webster and northwestern Montgomery Counties, including
the following locations... Walthall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3345 8978 3363 8979 3368 8951 3372 8941
      3372 8919 3374 8919 3358 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 0300Z 243DEG 50KT 3365 8933 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

19

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 24, 6:43 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 24, 6:43 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
643 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 359 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

Tonight and Tomorrow...

High pressure centered over Florida has yielded strong return
flow ahead of a potent system currently over eastern TX. A low
pressure system over the ArkLaTex will deepen amid upper level
difluence and strengthening mid level jet. The associated low
level jet will strengthen as it approaches the ArkLaMiss region,
with wind speeds in the 55-65 kts range. Ample moisture is denoted
by mid to upper 60s dewpoints across Louisiana and southwestern
Mississippi, which are advecting northward into central
Mississippi and southeast Arkansas. SBCAPE values have increased
200-400 J/Kg across the forecast area the past 3 hours and low
level lapse rates have steepened 1-2 degrees C. Instability should
continue to increase this afternoon amid moisture advection and
daytime heating. This very unstable airmass coupled with ample
deep layer shear, should lead to robust storm development late
this afternoon and into the evening hours.

Notably, the best storm relative helicity (SRH) will likely be
confined below 1 km. With any rightward deviating supercells or
embedded structures, 300+ M^2/S^2 of 0-1 km SRH with values somewhat
higher in storm-modified inflow environments could be realized.
These parameters could support tornadoes that may be strong and
possibly long tracked, primarily with any discrete or semi discrete
storms ahead of the primary squall/band.

Some limiting factors may preclude the worst-case scenario of
several long track, strong tornadoes (though that possibility will
exist). A relative weakness in the flow above 850 mb to near 500 mb
with limited veering minimal velocity increases with height in that
level may result in mid level updrafts struggling to remain
vertically tilted and robust. This, along with a modeled relatively
warm layer near 700 mb could hinder individual updraft longevity.

Consistently falling heights, increasing diffluence aloft, and
continued warm air advection coupled with very robust low level
dynamics suggest that these limiting factors will likely be overcome
at least for some of the strongest storms of the evening. Forecast
confidence has increased this afternoon and a potent severe weather
event with several tornadoes, some strong and/or long tracked, is
likely. The best combination of severe weather parameters appears to
be in southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and portions of
Mississippi for areas that are both roughly along and west of I-55
and along and north of I-20. This includes the Jackson, Mississippi
metro area and areas north and west. In this area, a "Moderate"
(4/5) risk for severe weather is currently highlighted in ongoing
graphics and forecast packages. Hail to golf ball size and wind
gusts that could reach 70-80 mph are also possible.

It's important to note that the overall risk area includes all of
the forecast area: The "Enhanced" (3/4) area includes much of
northeast Louisiana south of I-20, southwest Mississippi, and
northeastward into the Golden Triangle. A "Slight" (2/5) risk area
is in place for much of the remainder of our forecast area. In these
areas, large hail and damaging winds 60+ mph will be possible.
Tornadoes are possible in this area as well, and a strong tornado
can't be ruled out particularly in areas within the "Enhanced" risk.

In addition to storm potential, tight pressure gradient (about 8 mb)
is also observed across the area and should lead to strong gradient
winds ahead of the front. For this reason, a wind advisory was
issued for areas along and north of the I-20 corridor.

Storms clear from northwest to southeast overnight. Behind the
front, temperatures will be a bit cooler but the most noticeable
change will be the end of rain and storms and lowering humidity.
Lows tonight fall into upper 50s F in the northwest and the middle
60s F southeast.

The drier airmass behind the cold front will allow for rapid warming
under full sun Saturday and highs will likely still reach into the
upper 70s and lower 80s F by afternoon. /SAS/86/

Saturday night through late next week (next Thursday)...

This weekend-early next week (Saturday-next Monday): A brief
reprieve from severe storms is expected to start the weekend as
slightly cooler thermo profiles settle in Sat to early Sun. SW flow
aloft will persist, so expect a slight cool down into the upper 70s-
low 80s into the weekend. However, a warm front is progged to lift
ENE into the weekend & help increased moisture with Tds into the mid-
upper 60s, steep mid-level lapse rates & strong but mostly
unidirectional 45-50kts 0-6km bulk shear. With nearly mid 20s
vertical totals & 6.5-7 degree C mid-level lapse rates, sufficient
destabilization near 1000 J/kg MLCAPE & +1500 J/kg SBCAPE will be
supported of large hail, at least the size of quarters & likely
potential for larger hail. Keeping the messaging the same in the
HWO for now but mentioned large hail to indicate the higher end
hail potential.

Pattern will remain stagnant with SW flow, low-level WAA & deep
shear with high sfc Tds in low-mid 60s could support some
low end potential of isolated strong-severe convection into Mon,
but it becomes more shunted to the S than Sun. For now, keeping
the HWO clear here. Rain & storm chances will persist Sun-Mon &
early Tues, before drier air & mid-level ridge axis builds across
to the N, with 1025-1030mb high over the Mid-MS Valley. This will
help drier conditions to settle in Tues aftn & persist through
late week.

Temperatures through the long term will be warmer than normal in
the mid-upper 70s to near 80 degrees Sun-Mon, with low-mid 50s NW
of the Natchez Trace to low 60s to the SE, especially Sun night.
In the wake of the rain, temps will be near climatological
norms in the upper 60s NW to low 70s SE. Low-level return flow
will help WAA & increased deep moisture build back in Thurs, with
increased WAA showers & storm potential Thurs, with above normal
highs back into the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. /DC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

Flying conditions wl vary across the area tonight as scattered to
numerous +TSRA occur ahead of a cold front that wl move through
the area by 18Z Sat. Away from TSRA activity a gusty s-sw wind
30-35kts wl continue ahead of the cold front. Conditions wl
improve from the west in the wake of the cold front and VFR
conditions are expected areawide by 16Z. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       62  81  54  78 /  90   0   0  50
Meridian      63  84  56  80 /  90   0  10  50
Vicksburg     62  81  54  78 /  90   0   0  50
Hattiesburg   66  86  61  80 /  60   0  20  60
Natchez       63  82  55  78 /  80   0   0  60
Greenville    58  76  51  75 / 100   0   0  30
Greenwood     61  77  52  78 / 100   0   0  30

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 3 AM CDT Saturday for MSZ018-019-025>052.

LA...Wind Advisory until 3 AM CDT Saturday for LAZ007>009-015-016.

AR...Wind Advisory until 3 AM CDT Saturday for ARZ074-075.

&&

LP/SAS20/DC/22
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 24, 4:05 PM CDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
405 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

ARZ074-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ026>029-036-037-040-042-043-
047-048-252115-
Ashley-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-
Franklin LA-Tensas-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Holmes-
Attala-Issaquena-Yazoo-Madison MS-Warren-Hinds-
405 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight
Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely into
this evening with strong, long track tornadoes possible. These
thunderstorms could also produce damaging winds 70 to 80 mph and
large hail up to the size of golfballs.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Tonight, a few downed trees and power lines are possible this
afternoon and evening, due to sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph and
wind gusts over 40 mph before thunderstorms arrive. Travel may
also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday across
portions of northeast Louisiana as well as southern and central
Mississippi. At this time, the primary expected hazards with any
severe thunderstorms will be damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Sunday through Sunday
night.

ARZ075-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-041-252115-
Chicot-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Washington-Humphreys-Sharkey-
405 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely into
this evening with strong, long track tornadoes possible. These
thunderstorms could also produce damaging winds 70 to 80 mph and
large hail up to the size of golfballs.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible this afternoon
and evening, due to sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph and wind gusts
over 40 mph before thunderstorms arrive. Travel may also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ030-032-033-038-044-045-049-050-252115-
Clay-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Winston-Leake-Neshoba-Rankin-Scott-
405 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

This evening into tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes are possible. Some tornadoes could be strong. These
thunderstorms could also produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and
large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible this afternoon
and evening, due to sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph and wind gusts
over 40 mph before thunderstorms arrive. Travel may also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday across
portions of northeast Louisiana as well as southern and central
Mississippi. At this time, the primary expected hazards with any
severe thunderstorms will be damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Sunday through Sunday
night.

MSZ031-039-046-051-052-252115-
Lowndes-Noxubee-Kemper-Newton-Lauderdale-
405 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible late this evening
into tonight. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds of
60 mph and hail up to the size of golf balls.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible this afternoon
and evening, due to sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph and wind gusts
over 40 mph before thunderstorms arrive. Travel may also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday across
portions of northeast Louisiana as well as southern and central
Mississippi. At this time, the primary expected hazards with any
severe thunderstorms will be damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Sunday through Sunday
night.

LAZ024-026-MSZ053>055-059>062-252115-
Catahoula-Concordia-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Jefferson-Adams-
Franklin MS-Lincoln-
405 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and
southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

This evening into tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and
tornadoes are possible. Some tornadoes could be strong. These
thunderstorms could also produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and
large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to wind gusts over 35
mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday across
portions of northeast Louisiana as well as southern and central
Mississippi. At this time, the primary expected hazards with any
severe thunderstorms will be damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Sunday through Sunday
night.

MSZ056>058-063>066-072-073-252115-
Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-
405 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible late this evening
into tonight. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds of
60 mph and hail up to the size of golf balls.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through tonight, weak trees and limbs
may break and fall due to wind gusts over 35 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday across
portions of northeast Louisiana as well as southern and central
Mississippi. At this time, the primary expected hazards with any
severe thunderstorms will be damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Sunday through Sunday
night.

MSZ074-252115-
Forrest-
405 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms
could produce damaging wind gusts. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to wind gusts over 35
mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday across
portions of northeast Louisiana as well as southern and central
Mississippi. At this time, the primary expected hazards with any
severe thunderstorms will be damaging wind gusts and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight and Sunday through Sunday
night.

86

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 24, 8:55 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
855 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     TORNADO          3 SE MAYERSVILLE        32.87N 91.00W
03/24/2023                   ISSAQUENA          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A TORNADO WAS SEEN NEAR WILLETT ROAD.

&&

NF
Local storm report, Mar 24, 8:56 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
856 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0837 PM     TORNADO          SILVER CITY             33.10N 90.50W
03/24/2023                   HUMPHREYS          MS   STORM CHASER

            A HOME WAS DAMAGED IN SILVER CITY. REPORT
            WITH PICTURE RELAYED VIA TWITTER.

&&

NF
Local storm report, Mar 24, 8:59 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
859 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     TORNADO          ROLLING FORK            32.91N 90.87W
03/24/2023                   SHARKEY            MS   AMATEUR RADIO

            *** 1 INJ ***
            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 1 NE
            ROLLING FORK. INDIVIDUALS WERE TRAPPED IN
            THE FAMILY DOLLAR IN ROLLING FORK AFTER A
            TORNADO MOVED THROUGH THE TOWN. AT LEAST ONE
            INJURY AT THE LOCATION.

&&

NF
Local storm report, Mar 24, 9:07 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
907 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0837 PM     TORNADO          SILVER CITY             33.10N 90.50W
03/24/2023                   HUMPHREYS          MS   STORM CHASER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM SILVER
            CITY. STRUCTURES AND A TRACTOR TRAILER WERE
            DAMAGED IN SILVER CITY. REPORTS WITH
            PICTURES RELAYED VIA TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

&&

NF
Special weather statement, Mar 24, 9:07 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
907 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

ARZ075-MSZ018-019-034-250245-
Chicot AR-Washington MS-Sunflower MS-Bolivar MS-
907 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of eastern Chicot,
central Sunflower, Washington and southeastern Bolivar Counties
through 945 PM CDT...

At 907 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Metcalfe to Eudora. Movement was east at 35
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Indianola, Leland, Hollandale, Lake Village, Eudora,
Shaw, Avon, Metcalfe, Wayside, Lamont, Estill, Tribbett, Chicot
Junction, Holly Ridge, Winterville and Arcola.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for southeastern
Arkansas...and northwestern Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3366 9050 3315 9086 3309 9137 3353 9111
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 254DEG 32KT 3346 9103 3312 9129

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

DL
Local storm report, Mar 24, 9:08 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
908 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TORNADO          ROLLING FORK            32.91N 90.87W
03/24/2023                   SHARKEY            MS   STORM CHASER

            VARIOUS REPORTS OF CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE IN
            AND AROUND ROLLING FORK, MS.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANScott43 min
Mar 24, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower62 min
Mar 24, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena42 min
Mar 24, 7:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton25 min
Mar 24, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WarningJANSunflower25 min
Mar 24, 7:45 PM CDTTornado WarningJANIssaquena23 min
Mar 24, 7:53 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyJANHumphreys, Sharkey67 min
Mar 24, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Neshoba, Newton49 min
Mar 24, 8:32 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore58 min
Mar 24, 8:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeflore, Sunflower40 min
Mar 24, 9:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSunflower, Washington38 min
Mar 24, 9:56 PM CDTTornado WarningJANClay, Webster41 min
Mar 24, 10:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Montgomery, Webster2 hr
Mar 24, 10:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala, Choctaw39 min
Mar 24, 11:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLowndes25 min
Mar 25, 12:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison24 min
Mar 25, 12:48 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeake, Rankin, Scott42 min
Mar 25, 9:42 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes6 days

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2023Every tornado warning in 2023Tornadoes in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.