Wind Advisory 5, NWS Indianapolis, IN

Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN

708 
WWUS73 KIND 030256
NPWIND

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
956 PM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-031100-
/O.CON.KIND.WI.Y.0005.230303T1500Z-230304T0300Z/
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-
Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-
Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, 
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, 
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, 
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, 
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, 
Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, 
Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, 
New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Martinsville, 
Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, 
Sullivan, Carlisle, Shelburn, Farmersburg, Linton, Bloomfield, 
Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, 
Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, 
Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon
956 PM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  south central, southeast, southwest and west central Indiana.

* WHEN...From 10 AM to 10 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind gusts will be occasionally strong
  throughout the period.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ind

691 
WWUS73 KIND 030901
NPWIND

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
401 AM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-031715-
/O.CON.KIND.WI.Y.0005.230303T1500Z-230304T0300Z/
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-
Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-
Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, 
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, 
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, 
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, 
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, 
Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, 
Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, 
New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Martinsville, 
Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, 
Sullivan, Carlisle, Shelburn, Farmersburg, Linton, Bloomfield, 
Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, 
Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, 
Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon
401 AM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  south central, southeast, southwest and west central Indiana.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ind

551 
WWUS73 KIND 031458
NPWIND

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
958 AM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-032300-
/O.CON.KIND.WI.Y.0005.230303T1500Z-230304T0300Z/
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-
Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-
Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, 
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, 
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, 
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, 
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, 
Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, 
Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, 
New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Martinsville, 
Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, 
Sullivan, Carlisle, Shelburn, Farmersburg, Linton, Bloomfield, 
Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, 
Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, 
Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon
958 AM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  south central, southeast, southwest and west central Indiana.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ind

489 
WWUS73 KIND 031556
NPWIND

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1056 AM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-040000-
/O.EXT.KIND.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230304T0600Z/
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-
Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-
Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, 
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, 
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, 
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, 
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, 
Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, 
Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, 
New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Martinsville, 
Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, 
Sullivan, Carlisle, Shelburn, Farmersburg, Linton, Bloomfield, 
Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, 
Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, 
Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon
1056 AM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  south central, southeast, southwest and west central Indiana.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ind

749 
WWUS73 KIND 031840
NPWIND

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
140 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>056-060-040245-
/O.UPG.KIND.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230304T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KIND.HW.W.0002.230303T1840Z-230304T0600Z/
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-
Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, 
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, 
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, 
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, 
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, 
Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, 
Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, 
New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Martinsville, 
Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Sullivan, 
Carlisle, Shelburn, and Farmersburg
140 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  southwest and west central Indiana.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A 2 to 4 hour period of intense wind gusts
  are anticipated from late afternoon into the evening Peak gusts
  at 60 mph will be possible with locally higher gusts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

INZ057-061>065-067>072-040245-
/O.CON.KIND.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230304T0600Z/
Rush-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-
Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Rushville, Linton, Bloomfield, 
Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, 
Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, 
Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon
140 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southeast and 
  southwest Indiana.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ind

551 
WWUS73 KIND 032015
NPWIND

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
315 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>056-060-040415-
/O.CON.KIND.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230304T0600Z/
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-
Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, 
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, 
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, 
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, 
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, 
Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, 
Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, 
New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Martinsville, 
Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Sullivan, 
Carlisle, Shelburn, and Farmersburg
315 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 60 mph. Isolated 
  higher gusts possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  southwest and west central Indiana.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A 2 to 4 hour period of intense wind gusts
  are anticipated between 4 and 10 pm. Peak gusts at 60 mph will 
  be possible with locally higher gusts to near 70 mph.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

INZ057-061>065-067>072-040415-
/O.CON.KIND.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230304T0600Z/
Rush-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-
Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Rushville, Linton, Bloomfield, 
Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, 
Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, 
Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon
315 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southeast and 
  southwest Indiana.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ind

225 
WWUS73 KIND 040328
NPWIND

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1028 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>056-060-040430-
/O.CAN.KIND.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-230304T0600Z/
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-
Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, 
West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, 
Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, 
Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, 
Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, 
Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, 
Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, 
New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Martinsville, 
Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Sullivan, 
Carlisle, Shelburn, and Farmersburg
1028 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Although it will be windy, through early overnight, wind speeds
are expected to stay below warning criteria.

$$

INZ057-061>065-067>072-040430-
/O.CAN.KIND.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-230304T0600Z/
Rush-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-
Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Rushville, Linton, Bloomfield, 
Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, 
Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, 
Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon
1028 PM EST Fri Mar 3 2023

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Although it will be windy, through early overnight, wind speeds
are expected to stay below advisory criteria.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1135 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.Forecast Update...
Issued at 935 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

Forecast is in decent shape this morning. Thicker cirrostratus was
across the far southern forecast area, with thinner cirrus to the
north. Temperatures were in the 30s to around 40.

Adjusted sky cover a bit this morning based on the thicker clouds in
the far south. These may delay warming a bit this morning, so
tweaked hourly temperatures down. The clouds will thin later, so
high temperatures still look good overall.

Otherwise just tweaked forecast as needed based on observations.

&&

.Short Term...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 307 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

...Heavy rain becoming more likely late tonight through
Friday...

Key Messages:
- Flood watch issued for all of Central Indiana

- Rain is expected to overspread the region late this evening, with
pockets of moderate to at times heavy rainfall overnight through
much of Friday. Some embedded thunderstorms may accompany the steady
rain, with the main focus for thunder being along and south of a
Terre Haute to Indy to Muncie line.

- There is also a potential for hazardous wind conditions Friday,
but there are some caveats that could hold the higher gusts aloft
and not reach the surface. Details will be highlighted below in the
discussion for Friday.

This morning through Today... Broad anti-cyclonic surface ridging is
drifting east across the Great Lakes region. This has allowed the
cirrus shield to persist across the Southern Missouri Valley,
stretching northeast over Central Indiana. Surface conditions remain
benign, with a light northerly flow, and temps generally have
radiated into the mid 40s. Expect for much of the day minimal
changes to occur in the weather conditions, with the exception being
wind direction. The pressure gradient will become oriented from the
northeast to southwest, allowing winds to shift northeasterly but
the lack of a robust gradient should allow speeds to generally be
sub 10kt. Cirrus shield will likely persist through the afternoon
hours. Given some solar shielding of the sun, and lack of a thermal
ridge, temps will likely not see the diurnal surge from Wed and
remain contained within the upper 40s to middle 50s.

Tonight... Focus turns towards the developing shortwave, progged to
arrive Friday across the region. Prior to the arrival the stage will
be set with several ensemble members still pointing at lengthening
vectors of the integrated water vapor transport, pointing from the
the Central GOMEX northward towards the Ohio Valley. Current
ensembles indicate the potency to be 3 to 4 sigma in strength, which
coupled with the robust meridional flow in the 850-700mb layer would
suggest that the potential for moderate/steady rain to at times
heavy pockets appears favorable for much of Central Indiana. This
has resulted in the need for a flood watch for the entire forecast
area. Given the antecedent conditions of moist soils already in
place, and the high confidence of rainfall in excess of 2 inches,
this headline seemed prudent given the setup and expected
conditions. Flood watch will continue until 6z Sat.

Current timing has the shortwave beginning a northerly track from
the Arklatex region around 6z Fri. Mid-lvl 500mb vort max is aligned
with the surface features, and guidance continues to lift this
feature north. Downstream the departing surface ridge will begin to
slow, which should allow for further amplification to this synoptic
system. This may briefly delay full saturation of the profile, but
it appears to be only brief with strong isentropic ascent to parcels
quickly moistening by 12Z Fri.

Friday...There does appear to be some hints at a very slight
negative tilt to the upper level features and the surface, which
could shift the axis of higher rainfall values a touch northwest and
bring a slight erosion to the moist layer into the southwest
forecast area late Fri afternoon. Confidence remains high for heavy
rainfall through much of the day Fri, but equally a concern for
hazardous winds. Guidance has also continued to suggest some
embedded thunderstorms with this setup Fri, but the emphasis on any
organized severe elements appears to be more focused further south
across Kentucky/Tennessee. But with mentioned negative tilt to the
upper level support and this could also shift the convective
concerns further north as well.

Some caveats to seeing the higher winds materialize
focus on the strong isentropic ascent of warm parcels creating a
warm layer aloft. This could inhibit the potential for better mixing
to the surface and resulting in winds remaining in the 30-35mph gust
range for the area. Further south along the Ohio River appear to be
more favorable where better mixing could easily occur and transport
the 40 to 45 kt gusts to the surface.

Friday night...Shortwave will continue to lift north late Fri
evening, and bring a quick end to the precip shield as the deeper
moisture peels quickly to the northeast and a dry layer arrives. A
frontal boundary will then pass the region and bring a return to
more seasonal air.

&&

.Long Term...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 307 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

Weather impacts in the long term should be minimal. One minor
precipitation event is expected late Monday into early Wednesday.
Temperatures for most of the long term period will be above normal
until a cooler pattern evolves the latter half of next week.
Meteorological details and uncertainties are discussed below.

Saturday:

Cyclonic low level flow, residual low level moisture and ascent from
relatively weak upstream shortwave trough would keep stratus through
about midday or early afternoon. Neither of the shortwave troughs
will be effective at dislodging higher latitude cold air, so the
cool-down will be modest. Still about 10 degrees above climo.

Sunday:

The synoptic-scale pattern amplifies Sunday enough for some increase
in temperatures, but the warm plume aloft holds southwest before the
end of the diurnal mixing cycle so this will limit the warm-up
somewhat.

Monday:

We're a little more favorably positioned relative to deep ridging
for a warm plume to advect over, and so we're slightly higher with
temperatures compared to a blended process to account for model
deficiencies with mixing/PBL details (as we saw yesterday with
temperatures near the 90th percentile of the ensemble distribution).

Pacific moisture connection within westerlies, augmented by ascent
from the approaching shortwave trough will ensure increasing cirrus,
but deep moisture is mainly confined closer to the Ohio River, and
deflected eastward as ascent moves through so only low probability
of measurable precipitation late Monday and Monday night.

Tuesday through Thursday:

Post-frontal environment should be modestly cooler Tuesday, but
continued veering of low level flow with broadening eastern trough
should cause progressively cooler temperatures into the latter half
of next week. Generally a dry period with deeper moisture relegated
south, and only modest perturbations transient within the
westerlies.

Day 8-14:

A colder pattern than recent days, but medium-range ensemble
guidance is chaotic with position of synoptic features and therefore
(1) magnitude of cold, and (2) potential for precipitation events.

&&

.Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1135 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

Impacts:

* Conditions deteriorate to MVFR overnight and then to IFR Friday
  morning with rain moving in.

* Winds increasing overnight with gusts over 20kt, with gusts over
  30kt expected Friday with wind direction from the NE.

Discussion:

Scattered lower clouds near KLAF should remain scattered there this
afternoon, otherwise mainly high and mid clouds are expected at the
other sites into the evening hours.

As a strong low pressure system approaches overnight, ceilings will
lower into the MVFR category and winds will increase and become
gusty. Rain will overspread the area from south to north. Isolated
convection is possible but odds are too low to include.

The low will move into central Indiana on Friday, with rain
continuing at times along with strong winds and MVFR to IFR
conditions.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch from late tonight through late Friday night for
INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072.

&&

Update...50
Short Term...Beach
Long Term...BRB
Aviation...50

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
321 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-030830-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon,
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington,
Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers,
Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Union City,
Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma,
Rosedale, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville,
Indianapolis, Greenfield, New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer,
Gosport, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin,
Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Carlisle, Shelburn, Farmersburg,
Linton, Bloomfield, Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville,
Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals,
Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon
321 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Rain will overspread the area late tonight with moderate to at times
heavy rainfall. This may lead to renewed or continued areal and river
flooding for portions of Central Indiana.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Heavy rain will persist through much of Friday with continued
areal and river flooding concerns.

Windy conditions...as well as isolated thunderstorms are possible
Friday and Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Beachler