Tornado Warning 20, NWS Lincoln, IL

620 
WWUS53 KILX 312329
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
629 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

ILC107-167-312345-
/O.CON.KILX.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-230331T2345Z/
Logan-Sangamon-
629 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL LOGAN AND NORTH CENTRAL SANGAMON COUNTIES...
    
At 628 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was 
located between Williamsville and Cornland, moving northeast at 35 
mph. 

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
south central Logan and north central Sangamon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3991 8950 3995 8952 4007 8940 3994 8927
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 241DEG 30KT 3995 8947 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN

$$

37

540 
WWUS53 KILX 312341
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
641 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

ILC107-167-312350-
/O.EXP.KILX.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-230331T2345Z/
Logan-Sangamon-
641 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LOGAN AND NORTH CENTRAL
SANGAMON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM CDT...
    
The Tornado Warning that was previously in effect has been reissued 
for portions of Logan, Sangamon, Macon, and De Witt Counties, and is 
in effect until 7 pm. Please refer to that bulletin for the latest 
severe weather information.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for central
Illinois.

LAT...LON 3991 8950 3995 8952 4007 8940 3994 8927
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 239DEG 30KT 4000 8937 

$$

37

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
337 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 336 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Strong to severe thunderstorms will track across central and
southeast Illinois through mid-evening. Some of the storms will be
capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and tornadoes.
The storms will push into Indiana between 9pm and 10pm...followed
by breezy and dry conditions for the remainder of the night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 336 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

20z/3pm mesoanalysis shows a moderately unstable/highly sheared
warm sector environment characterized by MLCAPEs of 1000-1500J/kg
and 0-3km shear in excess of 40kt west of the I-55 corridor.
Several clusters of strong/severe convection are ongoing...with
most of the activity now along/north of a Macomb to Bloomington
line. Based on radar trends and HRRR forecasts, it appears this
convection will exit the northern KILX CWA into northern Illinois
within the next 1-2 hours. After a brief lull, additional cells
firing further upstream ahead of an advancing cold across central
Iowa/Missouri will quickly pivot into the area by late
afternoon/early evening. Most CAMs suggest the cells will congeal
into a squall line, then race eastward into Indiana by 9pm-10pm.
The primary threat with the line will be damaging wind gusts in
excess of 70mph: however, a few tornadoes will also be possible.
Once the cold front passes and the storms depart, winds will veer
to the west and temperatures will plummet. Readings will drop from
current values in the upper 60s and lower 70s to early morning
lows ranging from the middle 30s in the Illinois River Valley to
the middle 40s south of I-70. Blustery and chilly conditions will
prevail on Saturday as the pressure gradient tightens between
departing low pressure and a high building into the Plains.
Forecast soundings and numeric guidance indicate W/NW gusts
reaching 40-50mph Saturday morning before gradually subsiding
during the afternoon. High temperatures will be considerably
cooler than today...only reaching the middle to upper 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
ISSUED AT 336 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Quiet weather will be on tap for Sunday as temperatures quickly
rebound back to seasonal values in the upper 50s and lower 60s. As
a weak front drops southward and stalls in the region, low chance
PoPs for showers are warranted Sunday night into Monday.

After that, attention turns to another powerful storm system
progged to track from the southern Rockies into the Upper Midwest
early next week. As the upper system approaches from the west, the
stationary frontal boundary will lift back northward as a warm
front on Tuesday. Given increasing instability/shear, there will
be a risk for strong to severe storms Tuesday/Tuesday
night...before a cold front sweeps through Illinois by early
Wednesday morning. At this time, will focus highest PoPs Tuesday
afternoon and evening, with rapidly decreasing rain chances by
Wednesday. High temperatures will soar into the middle to upper
70s on Tuesday, but will drop back into the lower to middle 50s by
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 704 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

A mix of low VFR and MVFR ceilings continue this morning as waves
of stratocumulus and showers move across the area with and just
behind a warm front. Blustery southerly winds will continue
throughout the morning as a strong low pressure system deepens and
lifts northeast towards the region. Winds will increase gradually
throughout the afternoon as the mixed layer deepens and winds
aloft strengthen ahead of the low, but the strongest gusts are
expected late this evening through the overnight period behind a
strong cold front; frequent southwest to west gusts to 40 kt, and
occasional gusts to nearly 50 kt, will be possible from roughly
02z through the end of the TAF period. Ahead of this front, a line
of severe thunderstorms will bring a burst of intense southwest
winds which are likely to gust 50 kt or higher at most of the TAF
sites. There is also the possibility that one or two waves of
thunderstorms will form ahead of the main line, possibly as early
as 19-20z. These will pose a threat for hail, scattered wind
gusts over 45 kt, and an isolated tornado, in addition to frequent
lightning.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 1 PM CDT Saturday for ILZ027>031-036>038-
040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Barnes
SHORT TERM...Barnes
LONG TERM...Barnes
AVIATION...Bumgardner

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>042-047>051-012015-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-Sangamon-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are likely into early evening. Damaging wind
gusts over 70 mph, very large hail, and strong tornadoes are all
possible.

Winds will likely gust from 45 to 55 mph tonight into Saturday
morning, as winds turn southwest this evening and west to northwest
by Saturday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday afternoon
and Tuesday evening.

Minor flooding will continue through next week on the Illinois River
from Havana to Beardstown.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed between 3 pm and 10 pm.

ILZ043>046-052>057-061-012015-
De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-
Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and east
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are likely this evening. Damaging winds over 70
mph, large hail, and strong tornadoes are all possible.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph are expected tonight into midday Saturday
as southwest winds this evening turn west to northwest Saturday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday afternoon
into Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed between 3 pm and 10 pm.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-012015-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Illinois and
southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are likely into this evening. Damaging winds
over 70 mph, large hail, and tornadoes are all possible.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph are expected tonight into midday
Saturday, as southwest winds this evening turn westerly Saturday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday afternoon
into Tuesday night.

Lingering flooding on the Wabash, Embarras, and Little Wabash Rivers
is expected to subside by early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed between 3 pm and 10 pm.

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
354 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0237 PM     TORNADO          5.5 NW MANITO           40.43N 89.78W
03/31/2023                   MASON              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM
            MANITO. LOCATION UPDATED TO BE 5.5 MILES NW
            OF MANITO. NO EF RATING IS AVAILABLE AT THIS
            TIME. BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF STATE PARK RD AND SPRING
            LAKE RD.

&&

EJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
402 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             ROANOKE                 40.80N 89.20W
03/31/2023  M2.50 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS CAR WINDOWS BROKEN AT THE EOC. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
413 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0327 PM     HAIL             BENSON                  40.85N 89.12W
03/31/2023  M1.75 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
418 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 PM     HAIL             2 E MORTON              40.61N 89.42W
03/31/2023  M1.00 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
425 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0237 PM     HAIL             HANNA CITY              40.70N 89.80W
03/31/2023  M1.00 INCH       PEORIA             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE INCH HAIL MEASURED BY A TRAINED SPOTTER
            IN HANNA CITY, IL.

0237 PM     TORNADO          5.5 NW MANITO           40.43N 89.78W
03/31/2023                   MASON              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM
            MANITO. LOCATION UPDATED TO BE 5.5 MILES NW
            OF MANITO. NO EF RATING IS AVAILABLE AT THIS
            TIME. BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF STATE PARK RD AND SPRING
            LAKE RD.

0242 PM     HAIL             2 E MORTON              40.61N 89.42W
03/31/2023  M1.00 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

0249 PM     HAIL             2W BANNER               40.50N 89.91W
03/31/2023  M1.75 INCH       FULTON             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLFBALL HAIL MEASURED. SIGNIFICANT
            WINDSHIELD DAMAGE TO VEHICLES. MULTIPLE CARS
            DAMAGED REQUIRING TOWING FROM THE ROADWAY
            DUE TO HAIL.

0249 PM     HAIL             BELLEVUE                40.69N 89.68W
03/31/2023  M1.50 INCH       PEORIA             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

0254 PM     HAIL             GLASFORD                40.58N 89.81W
03/31/2023  M1.50 INCH       PEORIA             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            8010 S TRIVOLI RD.

0256 PM     HAIL             1 E WEST PEORIA         40.70N 89.62W
03/31/2023  E1.50 INCH       PEORIA             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0256 PM     HAIL             BANNER                  40.52N 89.91W
03/31/2023  E2.75 INCH       FULTON             IL   PUBLIC

            .

0300 PM     HAIL             PEORIA HEIGHTS          40.74N 89.57W
03/31/2023  M1.75 INCH       PEORIA             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

0310 PM     HAIL             METAMORA                40.79N 89.36W
03/31/2023  M1.00 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

0313 PM     HAIL             BARTONVILLE             40.65N 89.66W
03/31/2023  E1.00 INCH       PEORIA             IL   PUBLIC

            .

0315 PM     HAIL             PEORIA HEIGHTS          40.75N 89.57W
03/31/2023  E1.75 INCH       PEORIA             IL   PUBLIC

            .

0315 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DEER CREEK              40.63N 89.33W
03/31/2023                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HEAVY DAMAGE TO BARNS.

0326 PM     HAIL             ROANOKE                 40.80N 89.20W
03/31/2023  M1.00 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

0327 PM     HAIL             BENSON                  40.85N 89.12W
03/31/2023  M1.75 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

0330 PM     HAIL             ROANOKE                 40.80N 89.20W
03/31/2023  M1.75 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED.

0330 PM     HAIL             ROANOKE                 40.80N 89.20W
03/31/2023  M2.50 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS CAR WINDOWS BROKEN AT THE EOC. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

0341 PM     HAIL             BENSON                  40.85N 89.12W
03/31/2023  M1.50 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
530 PM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             CHAPIN                  39.77N 90.40W
03/31/2023  M1.25 INCH       MORGAN             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&