Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Lincoln, IL

854 
WWUS53 KILX 222118
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
318 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

ILC021-139-173-222200-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-230222T2200Z/
Christian-Moultrie-Shelby-
318 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHRISTIAN...MOULTRIE AND SHELBY COUNTIES...

At 317 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Assumption to 6 miles south of Tower Hill, moving east
at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Shelbyville, Westervelt, Findlay, Bethany, Stewardson, Sullivan, 
  Lovington, Windsor and Allenville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Illinois.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3922 8907 3935 8910 3943 8914 3955 8911
      3975 8850 3927 8849 3922 8888
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 253DEG 40KT 3952 8903 3929 8898 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Shimon

225 
WWUS53 KILX 222129
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
329 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

ILC021-222139-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-230222T2200Z/
Christian-
329 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Illinois.

LAT...LON 3928 8891 3935 8895 3944 8896 3958 8899
      3975 8850 3927 8849 3922 8888
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 253DEG 40KT 3956 8888 3933 8883 

$$

ILC139-173-222200-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-230222T2200Z/
Moultrie-Shelby-
329 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST
FOR MOULTRIE AND SHELBY COUNTIES...

At 329 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Westervelt to near Cowden, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Findlay around 335 PM CST.

Other locations in the path of these severe thunderstorms include
Bethany, Stewardson, Sullivan, Windsor and Allenville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Illinois.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3928 8891 3935 8895 3944 8896 3958 8899
      3975 8850 3927 8849 3922 8888
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 253DEG 40KT 3956 8888 3933 8883 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Shimon

844 
WWUS53 KILX 222137
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
337 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

ILC139-173-222200-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-230222T2200Z/
Moultrie-Shelby-
337 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST
FOR MOULTRIE AND EASTERN SHELBY COUNTIES...

At 337 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Bethany to near Stewardson, moving east at 50
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Sullivan and Allenville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Illinois.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3932 8875 3943 8880 3953 8883 3963 8885
      3975 8850 3927 8849 3924 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 258DEG 42KT 3960 8878 3931 8860 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Shimon

495 
WWUS53 KILX 222148
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
348 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

ILC139-173-222157-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-230222T2200Z/
Moultrie-Shelby-
348 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MOULTRIE AND EASTERN SHELBY
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds are
still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Illinois.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
far southern Shelby County until 415 pm.

LAT...LON 3932 8875 3943 8880 3953 8883 3963 8885
      3975 8850 3927 8849 3924 8871
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 253DEG 40KT 3963 8864 3934 8846 

$$

Shimon

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
148 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 148 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

A strong weather system will push east of the region tonight,
followed by windy and colder temperatures for Thursday and
Thursday night. The cold airmass will linger through Friday,
before another warming trend brings above normal temperatures this
weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 148 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

The warm front has pushed north to just south of the I-72 corridor
early this afternoon. North of the front was a large area of
stratiform rain with embedded thunder, along with brisk northeast
winds and temperatures in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Training of
heavier cells has been noted from Lincoln west toward Rushville,
and east-northeast toward McLean Co. 1-2" radar estimates along
this band along with continuing return lead to a low flooding
threat and have issued an Urban/Small Stream Flood Advisory until
5:15 pm. South of the front, south winds are gusting 25-40 mph
with temperatures in the 60s to as warm as the mid 70s in our
southern tier of counties, with dewpoints near 60F. In the warm
sector, a low- topped QLCS was nearing the St. Louis metro at 1:30
pm. Favorable deep layer shear and modest instability, will favor
near-severe convection to shift east across the southern half of
the CWA this afternoon. Damaging wind gusts are the primary
threat, but favorable 0-3 km shear vectors will make quick QLCS
spin up tornadoes possible. For this reason a Tornado Watch was
issued south of I-72 to Danville until 6 pm. The dry slot quickly
punches in from the southwest late afternoon/early evening, with
dry conditions persisting overnight.

Low pressure tracks into the lower Great Lakes tomorrow, with the
cold front crossing the CWA during the morning. Brisk west winds
behind the front gust 35-45 mph, highest north of I-74. Strong
cold advection will cause falling temperatures through the day.
One more day with a very large temperature gradient over the CWA,
with late afternoon temperatures from the mid 30s west of the IL
River, to the mid 50s in the extreme SE CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 148 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

Late season 1040 mb Arctic high pressure builds into the northern
Plains Thursday night. Strong cold advection on deep layer
northwest winds pushes 850 mb temps as lows as -1 to -4 C. Will
see a good northwest to southeast gradient on lows, with teens
common west of I-55 to mid 20s south of I-70. Gusty winds continue
overnight, dropping wind chills to the single digits for much of
the area. The high stretches east across the upper Midwest and
Great Lakes Friday, resulting in lighter winds and below normal
temps. Highs will be confined to the 30s for much of the CWA, with
lower 40s south of I-70.

A weak shortwave crosses the Midwest Friday night. Moisture and
forcing are limited and only have slight chance PoPs. Thermal
profiles support snow but no accumulations are expected.

After the high pushes off to the east thermal moderation
overspreads the region this weekend. Upper level heights rise
ahead of the next trough digging into the Rockies. Highs are
forecast in the 40s Saturday and 50s Sunday.

Another strong mid latitude cyclone is forecast to cross the
Midwest Sunday night and Monday. In fact this may be the strongest
in the recent string of systems, as several deterministic and
ensemble solutions support sub-980 mb low pressure crossing
eastern IA early Monday. This opens the area to several potential
hazards, including strong gradient wind, heavy rain, and strong
or severe storms. This system will need to be closely watched over
the coming days. A quiet and mild pattern is suggested by
ensemble guidance beyond this system into mid-week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1138 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

Periods of showers and storms will continue through this afternoon,
resulting in IFR to LIFR flight conditions. Most of the activity
should push out of the area between 23-01Z tonight. Flight
conditions will improve overnight, though MVFR ceilings may hang
around at northern airfields a little longer. Winds ramp up around
daybreak Thursday as a cold front plows through the area with gusts
approaching 30 kts.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for ILZ063-067-068-
071>073.

&&

SYNOPSIS...25
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM...25
AVIATION...NMA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1247 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047-048-231900-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Cass-Menard-
1247 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms are expected through
sunset. A few of the storms this afternoon may produce isolated
damaging wind gusts, mainly in areas south of a Rushville to
Bloomington line. Also, additional rainfall of 0.5 to locally 1.5
inches is expected, with the heaviest amounts north of I-72.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

ILZ049>052-231900-
Scott-Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-
1247 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected through sunset. Some of these
will be strong to severe this afternoon. Damaging winds are the main
concern, though isolated large hail and a tornado or two are also
possible. A tornado watch is in effect. Also, additional rainfall of
0.5 to 1.5 inches are likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

West winds will gust from 35 to 40 mph Thursday morning, causing
some difficult travel for high profile vehicles.

Another storm system early next week has the potential to produce
additional heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon, with the most
likely time frame between 1 pm and 4 pm.

Expected storm motion is toward the east northeast around 60 mph.

ILZ044>046-053>057-061-062-066-231900-
Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Effingham-
1247 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected through sunset. Some of the
storms may be strong to severe, especially west of I-57. Damaging
winds are the main concern, though isolated large hail and a tornado
or two are also possible. A tornado watch is in effect. Also,
additional rainfall of 0.5 to 1.5 inches are likely, with the
greatest amounts north of I-72.

South winds will gust from 30 to 40 mph this afternoon, causing some
difficult travel for high profile vehicles.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

ILZ063-067-068-071>073-231900-
Clark-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
1247 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Illinois and
southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

South winds will gust over 40 mph at times today, causing some
difficult travel for high profile vehicles.

A line of thunderstorms is expected to cross the area mid to late
afternoon. Isolated damaging winds appear likely with these storms,
though isolated hail and a tornado or two are also possible. A
tornado watch is in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A storm system early next week has the potential to produce heavy
rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon, with the most
likely time frame between 3 pm and 6 pm.

Expected storm motion is toward the east northeast around 60 mph.

Bumgardner

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1151 AM CST WED FEB 22 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HAIL             1 SSE CHRISMAN          39.79N 87.67W
02/22/2023  E1.00 INCH       EDGAR              IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

JRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1259 PM CST WED FEB 22 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     HAIL             2 E LINCOLN             40.15N 89.34W
02/22/2023  M1.05 INCH       LOGAN              IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
104 PM CST WED FEB 22 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E LINCOLN             40.15N 89.34W
02/22/2023  M1.05 INCH       LOGAN              IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS REPORT OF HAIL... THIS IS
            A RAINFALL REPORT. NOT HAIL.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
108 PM CST WED FEB 22 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW BLUFF SPRINGS     40.00N 90.37W
02/22/2023  M1.95 INCH       CASS               IL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION FW8184 BEARDSTOWN.

1245 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NW OAKFORD            40.12N 89.98W
02/22/2023  M1.64 INCH       MENARD             IL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION OKFI2 1.9 NW OAKFORD.

1245 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S NEW HOLLAND         40.17N 89.58W
02/22/2023  M1.54 INCH       LOGAN              IL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION AU422 NEW HOLLAND.

1245 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WNW BROWNING          40.14N 90.42W
02/22/2023  M1.49 INCH       SCHUYLER           IL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW9440 BROWNING.

0100 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MIDDLETOWN              40.10N 89.59W
02/22/2023  M1.32 INCH       LOGAN              IL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION NHMDD MIDDLETOWN.

1200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 S BONDVILLE           40.05N 88.37W
02/22/2023  M1.28 INCH       CHAMPAIGN          IL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION BNDI2 UI BONDVILLE CHAMPAIGN
            9 SW IL US.

1255 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LOGAN COUNTY AIRPORT    40.16N 89.33W
02/22/2023  M1.28 INCH       LOGAN              IL   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KAAA LINCOLN ARPT.

0100 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 ENE WAYNESVILLE       40.26N 89.04W
02/22/2023  M1.19 INCH       DE WITT            IL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW9761 WAYNESVILLE.

1241 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW DANVILLE          40.17N 87.65W
02/22/2023  M1.08 INCH       VERMILION          IL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CW9931 DANVILLE.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
143 PM CST WED FEB 22 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNW LINCOLN           40.16N 89.37W
02/22/2023  M1.55 INCH       LOGAN              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
257 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

ILZ052-061-222130-
Christian-Shelby-
257 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern
Christian and Shelby Counties through 330 PM CST...

At 256 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Nokomis to 6 miles northeast of Coffeen.
Movement was east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Pana around 310 PM CST.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Assumption, Tower
Hill, Shelbyville, Findlay, Cowden and Westervelt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for central
Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 3922 8914 3935 8914 3935 8943 3936 8943
      3959 8885 3943 8857 3930 8853 3924 8886
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 248DEG 40KT 3936 8930 3916 8931

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Shimon